Development Of Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Approach For Contaminated Site Management Mohammad Habibur Rahman B.Sc, Independent University, Bangladesh, 2004 Thesis Submitted In Partial Fulfillment Of The Requirements For The Degree Of Master Of Science in Natural Resources and Environmental Studies (Environmental Science) The University of Northern British Columbia March, 2008 © Mohammad Habibur Rahman, 2008 1*1 Library and Archives Canada Bibliotheque et Archives Canada Published Heritage Branch Direction du Patrimoine de I'edition 395 Wellington Street Ottawa ON K1A0N4 Canada 395, rue Wellington Ottawa ON K1A0N4 Canada Your file Votre reference ISBN: 978-0-494-48803-4 Our file Notre reference ISBN: 978-0-494-48803-4 NOTICE: The author has granted a nonexclusive license allowing Library and Archives Canada to reproduce, publish, archive, preserve, conserve, communicate to the public by telecommunication or on the Internet, loan, distribute and sell theses worldwide, for commercial or noncommercial purposes, in microform, paper, electronic and/or any other formats. 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Conformement a la loi canadienne sur la protection de la vie privee, quelques formulaires secondaires ont ete enleves de cette these. While these forms may be included in the document page count, their removal does not represent any loss of content from the thesis. Bien que ces formulaires aient inclus dans la pagination, il n'y aura aucun contenu manquant. Canada Abstract Selection of remediation alternative is an important task in the decision making process of contaminated site management. The number of available remediation alternatives is increasing over the years as a result of progress in scientific research. Decision makers face a confounded situation to select the best acceptable alternative by satisfying various preferences of different stakeholders. In this research, a fuzzy multi-criteria decision analysis (FMCDA) approach was developed. Since most information available in the decision making process is not deterministic, fuzzy-set theory was used to deal with such uncertainty. The developed FMCDA approach ranks the alternatives according to the utility values. Different stakeholders' opinions were effectively incorporated in the developed approach, allowing for a robust decision making for contaminated site management. The developed method was then applied to the management of a site in northern British Columbia to examine its applicability. TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT i LIST OF TABLES v LIST OF FIGURES vi ACKNOWLEDGEMENT viii Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Chapter 2 Literature Review 2.1 General background of contaminated sites 9 9 2.2 Remediation technologies for contaminated site management 2.2.1 In-situ methods 2.2.2 Ex-situ methods 9 10 12 2.3 Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) for environmental management 2.3.1 Process of MCDA 13 17 2.4 Description of three MCDA methods 2.4.1 Simple additive weighting method (SAW) 2.4.1.1 Procedure 2.4.2 Technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) 2.4.2.1 Procedure 2.4.3 Weighted product method (WPM) 2.4.3.1 Procedure 20 20 20 21 22 23 23 2.5 Fuzzy-set theory 2.5.1 Handling uncertainty through fuzzy-set theory 2.5.2 Conversion of linguistic criteria preferences 2.5.3 Conversion of fuzzy-sets into crisp weights 24 26 28 31 2.6 Application of fuzzy-set approach in environmental problems 2.7 Summary of literature review 33 35 Chapter 3 Methodology 37 3.1 Overview of methodology 37 3.2 Step 1 Stakeholder selection 38 3.3 Step 2 Criteria selection 3.3.1 Remediation alternative evaluation criteria 3.3.2 Description of criteria A. Cleanup time (in-situ and ex-situ) 39 40 41 41 u B. Overall cleanup cost (in-situ and ex-situ) C. Minimum achievable concentration D. Community acceptability E. Availability F. Regulatory permitting acceptability G. Development status of a technology H. Technology maintenance requirement 41 41 41 42 42 42 43 3.4 Step 3 Establishing membership functions of fuzzy criteria 3.4.1 Triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs) 3.4.2 Selection of criteria value range 3.4.3 Membership functions of fuzzy criteria A. Time required for cleanup B. Cleanup Cost C. Minimum achievable concentration D. Community acceptability E. Technology availability and other criteria 43 43 45 47 47 53 59 62 65 3.5 Step 4 Developing fuzzy multi-criteria evaluation matrix 3.5.1 Conversion of linguistic variables 3.5.2 Fuzzy evaluation matrix 70 70 76 3.6 Step 5 Defuzzification 77 3.7 Step 6 Development of a decision support system 78 Chapter 4 Case Study, Results and Discussions 81 4.1 Description of study site 81 4.2 Description of remedial alternatives in the system 4.2.1 Information about remedial alternatives 82 82 4.3 Fuzzy processing of criteria information 83 4.4 Processing of input data 4.4.1 Aggregation of membership values and criteria weights 85 94 4.5 Defuzzification and ranking of alternatives 95 4.6 Ranking of alternatives 97 4.7 Comparison of results of MCDA techniques for the same case study site 4.7.1 Simple additive weighting (SAW) method 4.7.2 Technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) 4.7.3 Weighted product method (WPM) 4.8 Results from MCDA methods 98 100 102 104 106 4.9 Comparison of results 107 4.10 Sensitivity analysis 4.10.1 Single input value 108 108 in 4.10.2 Change in criteria importance weight 4.10.3 Change in remediation alternative performance values 111 115 Chapter 5 Conclusions and Recommendations 5.1 Summary 5.2 Future extensions 117 117 120 References 122 APPENDIX I Questionnaire 141 APPENDIX II Introduction of Remediation Technologies 151 1. Enhanced bioremediation (in-situ biological treatment) 151 2. Bioventing (in-situ biological treatment) 152 3. Phytoremediation (in-situ biological treatment) 153 4. Soil vapor extraction (in-situ physical/chemical treatment) 153 5. Biopiles / static pile (ex-situ biological treatment) 154 5. Landfarming (ex-situ biological treatment) 155 6. Slurry phase treatment (ex-situ biological treatment) 156 7. Low temperature thermal desorption-LTTD (ex-situ thermal treatment) 156 8. Soil washing (ex-situ physical/chemical treatment) 157 9. Soil flushing (in-situ physical chemical treatment) 158 IV LIST OF TABLES Table 2.1 Comparative assessment of in-situ soil remedial technologies 11 Table 2.2 Comparative assessment of ex-situ soil remedial technologies 12 Table 2.3 Examples of linguistic universes 31 Table 3.1 Examples of typical stakeholder interests 38 Table 3.2 Criteria value range 46 Table 3.3 Survey on the fuzzy-sets of in-situ cleanup time 48 Table 3.4 Survey on the fuzzy-sets of ex-situ cleanup time 51 Table 3.5 Survey on the fuzzy-sets of in-situ cleanup cost 54 Table 3.6 Survey on the fuzzy-sets of ex-situ cleanup cost 57 Table 3.7 Survey on the fuzzy-sets of minimum achievable concentration 60 Table 3.8 Survey on the fuzzy-sets of community acceptability levels 63 Table 3.9 Triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs) defined for development of fuzzy membership functions of remediation alternative evaluation criteria 69 Table 3.10 Determination of criteria value using scale three 71 Table 3.11 Criteria value determination using scale six 72 Table 3.12 Conversion of linguistic terms into crisp values 73 Table 4.1 Information on remedial alternatives 82 Table 4.2 Input values of remedial alternatives 84 Table 4.3 Fuzzification of remediation alternative criteria 92 Table 4.4 Membership values of each alternative after aggregation 95 Table 4.5 Criteria input value for MCDA methods 99 Table 4.6 Calculations using SAW method 101 Table 4.7 Normalized criterion ratings 103 Table 4.8 Weighted normalized values of criteria 103 Table 4.9 Positive ideal and negative ideal solutions 103 Table 4.10 Separation measurefrompositive and negative ideal solutions and calculated value function of each alternative 104 Table 4.11 Calculations of weighted product method 105 Table 4.12 Single input value used in the fuzzy multi-criteria approach 109 v LIST OF FIGURES Fig. 2.1. Common soil remediation technologies Fig. 2.2. Taxonomy of classical MCDA methods Fig. 2.3. Overall procedure of typical MCDA application Fig. 2.4. A hierarchy of criteria for remediation alternative selection Fig. 2.5. Classification of fuzzy theory Fig. 2.6. Linguistic term conversion into fuzzy-set Fig. 2.7. Conversion of linguistic term into crisp values Fig. 2.8. Linguistic terms conversion scales Fig. 2.9. Illustration of determining crisp value Fig. 3.1. Overall methodology of the developed fuzzy-multi criteria decision analysis approach Fig. 3.2. Example of a triangular fuzzy-set Fig. 3.3. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets "cleanup time (in-situ)" criterion Fig. 3.4. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "cleanup time (ex-situ)" Fig. 3.5. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "cleanup cost (in-situ)" Fig. 3.6. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "cleanup cost (ex-situ)" Fig. 3.7. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "minimum achievable concentration" Fig. 3.8. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "community acceptability" Fig. 3.9.. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "technology availability" criterion Fig. 3.10. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "regulatory acceptability" criterion Fig. 3.11. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "development status" criterion Fig. 3.12. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "maintenance requirement" criterion Fig. 3.13. Conversion of linguistic variables by scale three Fig. 3.14. Conversion of linguistic variables by scale six Fig. 3.15. Average criteria importance weights Fig. 3.16. Selection of remedial alternatives Fig. 3.17. Criteria data input in the system Fig. 3.18. Ranking order of remedial alternatives Fig. 3.19. Remediation decision process by the system Fig. 4.1. Data input for in-situ cleanup time Fig. 4.2. Data input for in-situ cleanup cost Fig. 4.3. Data input for ability to reduce contaminant concentration Fig. 4.4. Data input for community acceptance Fig. 4.5. Data input process of technology availability criterion Fig. 4.6. Data input for regulatory acceptance criterion Fig. 4.7. Data input for development status Fig. 4.8. Fuzzification of input data for required maintenance criterion Fig. 4.9. Final membership functions of remediation alternatives Fig. 4.10. Ranking of remediation alternatives by fuzzy multi-criteria method Fig. 4.11. Utility values of alternatives obtained from MCDA methods Fig. 4.12 Ranking order of remedial alternatives by MCDA and fuzzy multi-criteria and Fig. 4.13. Comparison of results when uncertainty is considered in the evaluation VI 10 14 17 19 26 27 28 30 32 37 44 50 53 56 59 62 65 66 66 67 67 71 72 75 78 79 79 80 85 86 87 88 89 90 90 91 96 97 106 107 111 Fig. 4.14. Sensitivity analysis of remediation alternatives by changing "overall cost" criterion 113 Fig. 4.15. Sensitivity analysis of remediation alternatives by changing the importance weights "overall cost", "cleanup time" and "community acceptability" criteria 114 Fig. 4.16. Sensitivity analysis for SVE alternative by changing performance values of "community acceptability, "cleanup time" and "cleanup cost" criteria 115 vu ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I would like to thank my supervisor Dr. Jianbing Li, for his patience and providing me all sort of supports throughout my graduate studies at the University of Northern British Columbia (UNBC). He made many efforts discussing and developing my ideas, working with me through difficulties, and reviewing my papers. His guidance and willingness to expand myself intellectually and the opportunities he afforded me are truly appreciated. I would also like to thank my co-supervisor Dr. Jueyi Sui and committee member Dr. Liang Chen, for their guidance throughout this research. Despite busy schedules, they were more than willing to meet with me when I needed advice. I am in debt to Dr. Michael Rutherford, Associate Professor, Environmental Science, UNBC for his valuable feedback on questionnaire survey. He also helped me to network with environmental professionals for this research. I would like to thank Doug McMillan, Scientific Research Officer of SNC-Lavalin, Prince George for his valuable suggestions and input in my research work. I am grateful to Bharath Reddy, Computer Science, UNBC and MA Razzaq, Senior Application Architect, Beendo Corporation, USA for their help to develop the user-friendly decision support system. Together with, I would like to thank my brother, Muhammad Rahman and his family for providing me accommodation and all sorts of supports throughout my sojourn. Finally, I want to acknowledge my parents for their sacrifice to let me study in Canada. Their perpetual emotional supports, and never letting me forget the bigger picture helped me to reach this far. Consequently, I can honestly say that this research has been a group effort and I thank everyone for an amazing experience that I will carry with me throughout my life. vm Chapter 1 Introduction Numerous operations in petroleum exploration, production and transportation have been causing various environmental problems in Canada and worldwide (Amro, 2004). It is estimated that there are an excess of 10,000 contaminated sites in Canada and these sites pose significant threats to the ecosystem and human health (Siciliano and Germida, 1998; Sousa, 2001). The effective management of such contaminated sites is of critical importance and is often a liability of the federal and provincial governments as well as the industries. Thus, a solid decision making process for site management is necessary. However, the decision making of contaminated site management is complex due to the presence of many uncertainties in evaluation criteria and different stakeholder interests. Each stakeholder may define the risks and potential benefits in a remedial alternative by different (even unique) criteria, and implementation of the alternative may be prevented by raising objections that seem unnecessary to other stakeholders (Seager et al., 2007). Over the past 30 years, the concept of contaminated site management has been changed markedly (Pollard et al., 2004). In the mid1970s the focus was on cost-centered approaches, in the mid-1980s technological feasibility was emphasized, in the mid-1990s risk based approaches were taken and in this new millennium, environmental decisions must be socially-robust (Urban Task Force, 1999; ESRC Global Environmental Change Programme, 2000). The selection of remedial alternatives requires formation of partnerships between technology developers, manufacturers, regulators, end-users and public (Seager et al, 2007). The existing decision making approaches have many limitations in a number of components, such as (a) evaluation of remedial alternatives, (b) 1 evaluation criteria of remedial alternative, (c) stakeholder involvement, and (d) uncertainties in remedial alternative evaluation process. Development and implementation of remedial alternatives for contaminated sites have received much attention during the past decades (Riser-Roberts, 1998; Li et al., 2001). The number of in-situ and ex-situ remedial technologies for cleaning up contaminated sites has been growing over the years due to advancements in science and technological research. Thus, decision makers face complex problems in identifying the best alternative from a wide range of remedial alternatives where none of them are dominating (Khadam and Kaluarachchi, 2003). Since most technologies are site-specific, the selection of appropriate technologies is often difficult. Being able to make these difficult decisions, with consideration to all stakeholders, is an extremely important step in successful management of contaminated sites (Khan et al., 2004). Most of the developed decision support systems provide a list of applicable remedial alternatives, but the problem remains in selecting the best alternative. In addition, selection of a remedial alternative involves a multi-criteria evaluation process, requiring a multi-criteria analysis approach. Multi-criteria analysis refers to screening, prioritizing, ranking and/or selecting a set of remedial alternatives under independent or conflicting criteria. A wide range of criteria (e.g., flexibility, compatibility, time, cost, environmental impact, public acceptance) need to be considered in an evaluation process. These criteria may conflict with each other in terms of their trade off values. For example, some remedial alternatives might be economically feasible but require a lengthy treatment process, while other alternatives might be expensive but require shorter clean up periods. 2 Moreover, the management of contaminated sites is not limited to choosing the right solution solely by a decision maker or by an environmental engineer. According to Akter et al. (2005), decision on contaminated site management is no longer limited to the selection of the most preferred alternative among the non-dominated solutions; the analysis needs to be extended to account for diverse opinions of multiple decision makers. The importance of stakeholders (e.g., government, industry, regulatory agency) involvement in the decision making process can be found in many literatures (Gregory et al., 1994; Kamnikar, 2001; Balasubramaniam et al., 2007). Discussions with stakeholders are needed not only for the related model building process, but also to provide stakeholders a voice which facilitates the development of stakeholder trust in the policy-implementation process (Lind and Tyler, 1988; Lind, 1995). Borsuk et al. (2001) identified that stakeholders do not only value a particular environmental problem, they also care about how they are involved in the decision making process. In the past, the manager of a contaminated site remediation project needed to be skilled only in excavating, but now a manager must combine the skills and talents of engineer, lawyer, scientist, and negotiator (Cole, 1994). One of the recommendations Kamnikar (2001) made for contaminated site management is that one has to understand the importance of early community involvement and this will increase the acceptance of specific remediation projects, acceptance of new or alternative remediation techniques, and will establish trust and good working relationships. As a result, the decision for environmental contaminated site management needs to take into account the inputs from different stakeholders with different priorities and objectives (Linkove et al, 2006). Existing decision analysis approaches fail to address different stakeholder opinions in the process of contaminated site management and 3 limited efforts have previously been made to address this issue (Zahedi, 1986; Juang and Lee, 1991; Cheng, 1996). There are many uncertainties involved in the evaluation process of remediation alternatives. For example, the criteria of "cleanup cost" may vary significantly even for a particular technology ranging from $30 per m3 to $300 per m3 of soil. Similarly, the criteria (e.g., "impact on the environment", "community acceptability" etc.) without units are measured on a numeric scale (e.g., 1 to 10, 0 to 1). Generally, in a numeric scale the lower values are given to represent less preference and higher values are given to express high preference. Existing multi-criteria analysis methods assume that ratings of alternatives and the weighting factors of criteria are deterministic values. For example, rating on "clean up cost" criteria is rated as "10 = when cost is less than $100/m3; 5= when cost is $100-300/m3; and 1= when cost is more than $300/m3". By applying the above rating method, when a remediation alternative costs $99/m3, it will receive 10 points. However, if the cost is $101/m3 it will receive 5 points, and this significantly underestimates the remedial alternative with only slightly higher cost (e.g., when cleanup cost for 2 alternatives are $101/m3 and $99/m3 respectively, the difference in cost is only $2/m3). In existing rating practices, the rating value of criteria is either in or not in the crisp set. However, a rating value can partially belong to a crisp set or belong to more than one set. Therefore, it can be stated that the ratings of criteria are not best represented by only deterministic or single crisp value. These criteria ratings could be best represented by a range of values, or by linguistic terms. 4 Selection of criteria importance weight for remedial alternative evaluation is associated with another source of uncertainty. Different stakeholder has different preferences on each criterion. Thus the values of criteria importance can vary significantly. Most of the existing multi-criteria analysis models apply the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) (Saaty, 1994) to calculate criteria importance weight. In AHP, a decision problem is presented hierarchically and this method synthesizes various assessments for ranking alternatives in a systematic way (Yeh et al., 2000). In AHP method, stakeholders are asked to compare two criteria at a time and provide a crisp rating on the comparison. However, such approach is often criticized for inappropriateness of the crisp ratio representation and for cumbersome procedure (Zahedi, 1986; Juang and Lee, 1991; Cheng, 1996). According to Petrovic and Petrovic (2002) stakeholders with different technical and non-technical backgrounds feel more comfortable with linguistic expressions to express their opinions (e.g., high, medium, low). There are many multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods available to support environmental decision making, such as the simple additive weighting (SAW) method, weighted product method (WPM), preference ranking organization method for enrichment evaluations (PROMETHEE), and technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS). Most of the widely used multi-criteria analysis methods are effective in dealing problems with quantitative data (Hwang and Yoon, 1981; Bana e Costa, 1990; Yeh et al, 2000). However, the applicability of existing MCDA methods are seriously reduced when dealing with situations where imprecision and subjectiveness of the decision making process are present (Chen and Hwang, 1992; Hellendoorn, 1997; Bender et al., 2000; Petrovic and 5 Petrovic, 2002). By neglecting these qualitative inputs, the robust capability of decision making is lost. According to Linkove et al. (2006) current decision analysis practices do not offer a comprehensive approach for incorporating the varied types of information and opinions of multiple stakeholders. The effective incorporation of multiple stakeholder perspectives within the decision making process of contaminated site management are thus of critical importance and should be a principal task of environmental professionals and regulatory agencies (Testa and Winegardner, 1991; Li et al., 2000, 2001; USEPA, 2001). The uncertainties involved in qualitative data, qualitative criteria weights or the subjective and imprecise assessments of the decision problem can be better expressed by fuzzy logic and fuzzy set theory (Klir and Folger, 1988; Yeh et al, 2000). The application of fuzzy-set theory (Zadeh, 1965) to multi-criteria problems provide an effective way for solving decision problems in a fuzzy environment where little information is known (i.e., imprecise knowledge from descriptions of human language) and the information is subjective (Bellman and Zadeh, 1970; Carlsson, 1982; Dubois and Prade, 1994; Zimmermann, 1996; Herrera and Verdegay, 1997; Sadiq et al, 2004b; Chang et al., 2007; Li et al. 2007). It is also an effective tool to incorporate linguistic preferences from different stakeholders, and can address decision making problems under uncertainty in number of environmental management areas (Li et al., 2007). There has been much theoretical work done on the use of fuzzy-set theory in multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) during the last two decades, however little attention has been given to integrating these ideas and developing a fuzzy multi-criteria decision support (FMCDS) system (Cheng, 2000). Particularly, few efforts have been made to apply this approach to 6 address the hydrocarbon impacted site management issues. In this thesis a hybrid method, fuzzy multi-criteria decision analysis (FMCDA) will be developed and applied to evaluate and rank applicable remediation alternatives for oil contaminated site by considering various stakeholder preferences and uncertainties. Consequently, there are 3 main objectives in this research including (a) to identify the criteria for remedial alternative selection and determine the criteria importance weight according to stakeholder preference, (b) to integrate and address uncertainty issues in remediation alternative evaluation process (e.g., cost, time, and stakeholder preferences) into a general decision analysis framework, and (c) to develop an effective fuzzy multi-criteria approach for evaluating and ranking remediation alternatives by comprehensively considering various independent and/or seemingly conflicting criteria. This thesis is organized as follows. In Chapter 2, a review on different component of contaminated site management issues are discussed. As well, existing practices of decision making and their limitations are discussed in this chapter. Also, literature review on the proposed fuzzy multi-criteria approach is presented. In Chapter 3, the overall methodology of developing a fuzzy multi-criteria approach is described. Moreover, acquisition of criteria importance weight, development of fuzzy membership functions, and development of a userfriendly decision support system is described in this chapter. In Chapter 4, the results of a case study site using the developed method is presented. A comparison of results from fuzzy multicriteria and the existing multi-criteria methods are also presented. Besides, results of various 7 sensitivity analyses are discussed. In Chapter 5, conclusion of the research work is drawn, while future direction of the research is discussed. 8 Chapter 2 Literature Review 2.1 General background of contaminated sites Contaminated land is primarily a post-1800s problem worldwide in terms of cause but a post 1970s phenomenon in terms of risk management (Petts et al., 1997; Sousa, 2001). Significant industrialization has occurred over the past years in many developed nations (e.g., Canada, United States, and United Kingdom). Particularly, in Canada the oil and gas industries play an important role in its economy. It is expected that this industry will continue to expand in the future. However, a number of environmental concerns (e.g., soil and groundwater contamination) are associated with such development and expansion (Dowd, 1985; Newton, 1991). It is estimated that there are 200,000 underground storage tanks (USTs) in Canada. The leakage from these USTs causes contamination to the surrounding environment and significant economic losses to the petroleum industries (CCME, 1993). In general, the number of suspected/known contaminated site in USA is 384,400 and 20,000-30,000 in Canada (NRTEE, 1997; Simons, 1998). 2.2 Remediation technologies for contaminated site management A great number of remediation technologies have been developed and implemented for contaminated site management during the past years, and more remediation alternatives will be available in the future due to continued competition among environmental service companies, technology developers and development in technology researches (Vranes et al., 2000). The existing remediation technologies can be divided into two categories of in-situ and ex-situ. For 9 in-situ remediation, no excavation is required, while ex-situ technologies require the removal, usually by excavation, of contaminated soils. Some of the common remediation alternatives can be further divided into biological, physical/chemical and thermal treatment methods (Fig. 2.1). Soil remediation In-situ methods Jl * Physical/chemical methods Thermal methods • • Soil vapor extraction Soil flushing Electrokinetics Solidification/ stabilization Soil heating Vitrification Ex-situ methods * * Biological methods i + Physical/chemical methods Thermal methods Biological methods r r Natural attenuation Soil washing Enhanced bioremediation Solvent extraction Bioventing Chemical dechlorination Air stripping Electrokinetics Solidification/stabilization r !r Thermal desorption Incineration Vitrification Bioremediation Biopiles Slurry-phase Composting Land farming Fig. 2.1. Common soil remediation technologies (from Reddy et al., 1999) 2.2.1 In-situ methods In-situ remediation methods treat the contaminated soil and/or water without being excavated or transported. In-situ methods are advantageous because they are often cost effective, make little site disruption, and possess increased safety due to a lessened risk of accidental contamination exposure to both on-site workers and the general public (Reddy, 1999). However, in-situ methods generally require a longer time period, and there is less certainty about the uniformity of treatment because of the variability in soil and aquifer characteristics. A comparison of some in-situ soil remediation approaches is listed in Table 2.1. 10 Different in-situ technologies have some strengths and limitations in their applications. For example, soil vapor extraction is a well developed technology for remediation of hydrocarbon contaminated sites. However, this technology becomes less effective when the soil characteristic is heterogeneous and there is low hydraulic conductivity. Similarly, there are differences in technology availability and cleanup cost. The contaminated site manager needs to have clear idea about such characteristics of each alternative under evaluation. Table 2.1 Comparative assessment of in-situ soil remedial technologies (from Reddy et al., 1999) Technology Strengths Factors affect the Cost range Commercial availability treatment Soil vapor extraction It is a proven technology Soil flushing It is effective for residual contaminant reduction Useful for low hydraulic conductivity soils and mixed contaminants This technology converts contaminants into non hazardous substance; it requires low cleanup cost Hydrocarbon can be easily recovered by this technology Effective for treatment of mixed contaminants Electrokinetics Bioremediation Soil heating Vitrification Solidification /stabilization Phytoremediation It is a proven technology It produces less secondary waste and it has capability of treating broad range of contaminants Not effective for heterogeneous and low hydraulic conductivity soils Flushing solution may trap in soil; not effective for low conductivity soils Not effective for metallic contaminants <$100/ton Widespread $80-$165/ton Very limited $90-$130/ton Very limited It requires lengthy treatment time; not effective for low hydraulic conductivity soils $27-$310/ton Widespread Not effective for metallic contaminants and low hydraulic conductivity soils It converts contaminated soil into glassy structured soil; not effective for metallic compounds Not effective for low hydraulic conductivity soils Applicable to limited to shallow depths and low concentration levels; it requires lengthy treatment time and there is risk of food chain contamination $50-$100/ton Limited $350-$900/ton Limited $100-$150/ton Widespread <$100/ton Very limited 11 2.2.2 Ex-situ methods Ex-situ methods treat contaminated soils and/or groundwater after excavation. They often require shorter cleanup time period as compared to in-situ methods. Another advantage of exsitu methods is that they provide more certainty about the uniformity of treatment because of the ability to homogenize and continuously mix the soil. Excavated soil can be treated on site or off-site depending on the site-specific conditions. Ex-situ treatments require excavation of soils, resulting in increased costs. Moreover, the urban settings characteristics, including neighboring buildings and narrow streets, often limit the use of onsite treatment facilities. Therefore, off-site treatment, requiring transport of contaminated materials to a treatment facility, is often necessary at urban contaminated sites. Ex-situ treatment methods are attractive because consideration does not need to be given to subsurface conditions. Ex-situ treatments also offer greater control and monitoring during remedial activity implementation (Reddy et al., 1999). A comparison among ex-situ remediation technologies is shown in Table 2.2. Table 2.2 Comparative assessment of ex-situ soil remedial technologies (from Reddy et al., 1999) Technology Strengths Factors affect the Cost range Commercial treatment availability Soil washing Solvent extraction Chemical dechlorination Electrokinetics Volume of contaminated soil is reduced significantly It has capability of treating broad range of contaminants It reduces toxicity of contaminants; it can be used with other technologies Applicable for low hydraulic conductivity soils and mixed contaminants It is not effective in fine textured soil $100-$300/ton Widespread Not effective in clays $100-$500/ton Limited Not applicable in the sites with inorganic pollutants $300-$500/ton Limited Not effective for remediation of metal contaminated soils $90-$130/ton Very limited 12 Thermal desorption Incineration Vitrification Bioremediation Solidification It requires lower cost than incineration It has capability of treating broad range of contaminants Effective for treatment of mixed contaminants It is a simple technology to apply; it is cost effective It is a proven technology; it has capability of treating broad range of contaminants Not effective in clays $74-$184/ton Widespread The cleanup cost is high $500-$1500/ton Widespread The cleanup cost is high $90-$700/ton Very limited Different environmental factors affect the effectiveness of this technology Not applicable for organic soils $27-$310/ton Widespread $50-$250/ton Widespread 2.3 Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) for environmental management Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods have been applied to aid environmental managers to ensure better decision by selecting the best alternative. MCDA provides a systematic way to clarify the problems in a decision making process, and helps to evaluate the alternatives based on the decision maker's values and preferences. Conventional decision methods, including cost-benefit analysis, fixed target approach, and single objective linear programming, dominated to solve multi-criteria problems until the end of the 1960s (Nijkamp et al., 1990). These methods mainly considered cost criterion, and failed to address the issue of multiple criteria and trade-offs among criteria. Since the early 1970s, MCDA was introduced in order to cope with this problem. The MCDA method is a simple and intuitive approach that helps to address potential areas of conflicts among stakeholders (Cheng 2000; Linkov et al. 2006). According to Hwang and Yoon (1981), MCDA tools fall into a group of 17 methods based on the type and salient features of information received from decision makers (Fig. 2.2). 13 Salient feature of information Type of information from the decision maker JNO information Dominance Maximin Maximax \- | Standard level Multiple criteria I decision making [ Major classes of methods Conjunctive method |— (Satisfying method) Disjunctive method Ordinal Lexicographic method Elimination by aspects Permutation method Cardinal Linear assignment method Simple additive weighting (SAW) ELECTRE TOPSIS 1 Marginal rate of substitution Hierarchical trade-offs Pairwise preference —I LINMAP Interactive SAW method Information on criteria [ 1 information on alternative Order of pairwise Nproximity MDS with ideal point Fig. 2.2. Taxonomy of classical MCDA methods (from Cheng, 2000) However, these MCDA methods were modified by Hwang (1987). Three new methods were added and six methods were removed from the list. The new added methods are lexicographic semi order method; weighted product method (WPM) and distance from target method. The methods permutation, hierarchical trade-offs, analytical hierarchical process (AHP), the linear programming techniques for multidimensional analysis of preference (LINMAP), the interactive simple additive weighting method and the multidimensional scaling (MDS) were removed from the previous taxonomy. 14 Depending on criteria information characteristics, the information is divided into three categories, a) Standard data: decision maker provides the minimum acceptable value for each criterion. Either conjunctive method or disjunctive method is used at this level; b) Ordinal data: decision maker provides ordinal data (position of the data in a series) on the criteria weights. At this level the methods that can be applied are lexicographic, elimination by aspects and Lexicographic Semiorder methods, and c) Cardinal data: cardinal data (opinion on relation between criteria) on the criteria weights is provided by the decision makers. In such cases many methods are applicable including linear assignment (LA), simple weighted addition (SWA), elimination and choice expressing the reality (ELECTRE), technique for order performance by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS), weighted product method, and distancefrom-target (DT) methods. There is a plethora of references regarding application of various MCDA tools in environmental management projects and related areas. For example, the allocation of Jordan River Basin water among bordering nations was determined by ELECTRE (Bella et al., 1996). Joubert et al. (1997), Ning and Chang (2002), Gregory and Failing (2002), and Gregory and Wellman (2001) applied the multi-attribute utility theory (MAUT) for water and coastal resources management projects. Al-Rashdan et al. (1999) used outranking method preference ranking organization method for enrichment evaluations (PROMETHEE) for prioritization of wastewater projects in Jordan. Rogers et al. (2004) used the same method to select novel technological alternatives for sediment management. There have been numerous applications of MAUT in environmental management projects. For instance, MAUT was applied by Arvai 15 and Gregory (2003) for identifying radioactive waste cleanup priorities at the Department of Environment (DOE) sites. Prato (2003) also applied MAUT for selection of management alternatives for Missouri River. In addition to MAUT, Ganoulis (2003) applied outranking method (e.g., ELECTRE) for evaluating alternative strategies for wastewater recycling and reuse in the Mediterranean. Mardle et al. (2002) applied AHP for analyzing priorities in fishery management. The application of AHP can also be found in the works of Fernandes et al. (1999), Soma (2003), Yurdakul (2004), Al-Ahmari (2007), Moran et al., (2007) and Wong et al. (2008). The MCDA approaches have also been combined with many other decision support techniques to develop a number of decision support systems (DSS). For example, Hong et al. (1991) designed a spreadsheet-based DSS integrated with SAW to perform loan approval judgments. French (1996) applied MCDA methods to build a DSS for emergency responses on nuclear accidents. Norbis et al. (1996) applied multi-objective integer programming to the DSS in order to solve resource constrained scheduling problems. For resource planning, AlShemmeri et al. (1997) developed an effective monitoring system using an outranking method (PROMETHEE) to deal with the use of water resources. Qin et al. (2006) developed a DSS for the management of petroleum contaminated sites. Again, Hajkowicz and Higgins (2008) applied different MCDA methods (i.e., weighted summation, range of value, PROMETHEE II, evamix and compromise programming methods) for water management decision making problems. 16 2.3.1 Process of MCDA MCDA is a process of making decisions in the presence of multiple, usually conflicting criteria (Chen et al., 1992, Figueira et al., 2005). A typical MCDA problem can be solved by the following steps (Fig. 2.3): Define Problems Identify alternatives Select criteria by which to judge alternatives Value judgment on relative importance of criteria Evaluation matrix or Application of MCDA ^ Rank/select finaT*--^,,^ ^"•""-•.^alternativesi^. Fig. 2.3. Overall procedure of typical MCDA application (from Cheng, 2000) In MCDA process the decision maker needs to define the problem at the beginning. Then he/she has to identify a number of alternatives applicable to solve the problem. The next step is to define the criteria to evaluate these alternatives. Many references indicate that defining criteria for a problem is a difficult and time-consuming task (Hwang et al., 1981; Chen et al., 1992 and Yoon et al., 1995). To identify the criteria representing a desired purpose, Chen et al. (1992) suggests that the analyst should use either a deductive or an inductive approach to build 17 a hierarchy tree of criteria. A number of criteria are listed at the top level for a decision making problem. In the next stage the criteria are divided into sub-criteria. The process is continued at the bottom of a branch where information about the criteria is known or it is measurable. According to Cheng (2000) such criteria hierarchy tree has several advantages to deal with decision making problems, including (a) clarification of the intended meaning of the criteria at higher levels; (b) enabling to consider the criteria as independent entities among which appropriate trade-offs can be made later on, and (c) preventing undesirable double-counting of the same criterion. For example, Bonano et al. (2000) applied a hierarchy tree of criteria for evaluating remediation technologies by considering six major criteria (Fig.2.4). The criteria are programmatic issues, cost, socioeconomic issues, cultural resources, environment and human health. The programmatic issues can be divided into four-sub-criteria including time, type of waste generated, availability of technology and reliability of technology. Similarly, other criteria can be divided into various sub-criteria. The criteria are divided into sub-criteria until a criterion is measurable. After defining the criteria for the problem, the next step is data acquisition on criteria importance. To solve a multi-criteria problem with uniform parameters or uniform data (e.g., only crisp data or only linguistic data) the classical multi-attribute decision making (MADM) methods can be used. The MADM methods should be modified when mixed input parameters are present (Chen et al., 1992). 18 Socioeconomic Issues 19 Fig. 2.4. A hierarchy of criteria for remediation alternative selection (from Bonano et al, 2000) Transportation of waste jProtection of ground water res. Public acceptance Reliability of technology Short term risk to public & worker health •(Long term risk to public health Human health & safety Impact on low income & minority populations ^Reduction of contaminant concentration H Impact on wildlife Environment Availability of technology Protect cultural resources Cultural resources Impact on local economy Completion cost X Life cycle cost Type & quality of waste generated Cleanup time Programmatic issues Selection of remediation technology 2.4 Description of three MCDA methods The last step of MCDA process is to rank/select final alternatives through establishing the evaluation matrix by various methods. Three existing MCDA tools will be introduced here. 2.4.1 Simple additive weighting method (SAW) The SAW is the simplest and widely used MCDA method. In this method the overall score of an alternative is computed as the weighted sum of the criteria values (Yoon and Hwang, 1995). 2.4.1.1 Procedure (1) For each alternative, a score is computed by multiplying the scale rating of each criteria by its importance weight and summing these products over all criteria; (2) The alternative with the highest score is selected. Mathematically, the value of an alternative can be selected as: V(Ai) = Vi=fjwJvj(xij), i = l, ,m; j = \, ,n (2.1) Where, V{At) is the value function of alternative At, and wy and v ; () are weight and value functions of criteria ., respectively. xtj is the outcome of the ith alternative about the j t h criterion. However, Yoon and Hwang (1995) suggest that the value of alternative A. can be rewritten as: n V i=Yuwjrir / = 1 ' m > J=l> >n .7=1 20 (2-2) Where ri} is the normalized rating ofxtj. This procedure (calculation of rtj) divides the rating of each criterion by its norm, so that each normalized rating of xtJ can be calculated as below (Yoon and Hwang, 1995). rv for benefit criteria (the greater the criteria value the more its preference): r•=-! x , - x fJ n — Xj (2.3) Xj rtJ for cost criteria (the greater the criteria value the less its preference): x* - x,. Where x* is the maximum value of j ' h criteria and x™n is the minimum value of j ' h criteria. By applying the above equations, the scale of measurement varies precisely from 0 to 1 for each criterion. The worst outcome of a certain criteria implies rtj -0, and the best outcome implies rtj = 1. 2.4.2 Technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) According to Hwang and Yoon (1981) the chosen alternative should have the shortest distance from the ideal solution and the farthest distance from the negative-ideal solution. The following steps are followed to apply this method (Yoon and Hwang, 1995). 21 2.4.2.1 Procedure (1) In TOPSIS vector normalization is used for calculation ofrtj: rti = , , i = l, ,m; j = 1, ,n (2.5) Where rtj is normalized rating of criterion for each alternative, i is the index related to the alternatives, j is the index related to the criteria, andx(> is rating of each criterion for each alternative; (2) Then the weighted normalized decision matrix is calculated. The weighted value (v,y) is calculated as: v =w r v jv i = 1 > ,™; j = l, 'w (2-6) Where Wj is the weight of the j ' h criterion; (3) Then the positive-ideal (A") and negative-ideal solutions (A~) are calculated. The positive-ideal solution is the composite of all best criteria ratings attainable, and is calculated as: A* =\y\,v*2,...,v),...,v*n} (2.7) Where v* is the best value for the j ' h criterion among all alternatives. The negative-ideal solution is the composite of all worst criteria ratings attainable, and is calculated as: A ~ =K,v2,-,vT,...,v;j (2.8) Where vj is the worst value for the j ' h criterion among all alternatives; 22 (4) Then the separation or distance of each alternative from the positive-ideal solution (A*) is calculated as: ^=J2>.- V *-) 2 ' ' = 1. ,« (2-9) Similarly, the separation from the negative-ideal solution is calculated as: 5 r=J5>#- v J) 2 ' '=i. >m ( 2 - 10 ) (5) Then the relative closeness (C*) to the positive-ideal solution is calculated. For example, the relative closeness of an alternative At with respect to A * is calculated as: C* = S* /(S* +S7), With,0 < C* < 1 and i = 1, ,m (2.11) (6) Finally the alternatives are ranked according to C" in descending order. 2.4.3 Weighted product method (WPM) In weighted product method a product instead of a sum of the values is made across the criteria to penalize alternatives with poor criteria values (Easton, 1973). 2.4.3.1 Procedure In this method, the scale rating of each criterion of each alternative is raised to a power equal to the importance weight of the criteria. Then the resulting values are multiplied over all criteria. The alternative with the highest product is selected. Mathematically, the most preferred alternative A, can be calculated as: V(A) = Vi=1[lx;< , i = \,...,m (2.12) 23 Where xtj is the outcome of the i'h alternative about the j t h criterion, with a numerically comparable scale, and Wj is the normalized importance weight of the j ' h criterion. Alternative values obtained by this method do not have a numerical upper bound (Yoon et al. 1995). Therefore, it is convenient to compare each alternative value with the value of ideal alternative. The value ratio between an alternative and the ideal alternative can be shown as (Yoon etal. 1995): n V(A) R-L¥LL V(A) fK' i = l,...,m = -J2 (2.13) ft(l.r Where x* is the most favorable value for the j ' h criterion. And the preference of At increases when i?. approaches 1. 2.5 Fuzzy-set theory The conventional MCDA approaches are challenged by the uncertainties existing in various environmental management systems. Many data on criteria might not only be in numeric form. For example, in remediation technology selection problem, it is difficult to determine the public acceptance level of a technology. The information about these criteria could be numeric or linguistic (e.g., high, medium, low). The fuzzy-set theory is a powerful mathematical tool used for modeling and controlling uncertain systems. Fuzzy MCDA methods act as facilitator for approximate reasoning in decision making in the absence of complete and precise 24 information (Gutierrez et al., 1995). Lotfi Zadeh introduced a simple and intuitive concept of a fuzzy-set in his seminar paper 'Fuzzy-Sets' in 1965; according to him fuzzy-set theory was developed and extensively applied in previous decade (Zadeh, 1965). A fuzzy-set is an extension of the traditional set theory (in which x is either a member of set A or not) and it is defined by membership function. An example of fuzzy sets is adapted here from Kucheva et al. (2000). If U is an ordinary set with elements ui, U2, u% , um, a fuzzy set A on U is defined by assigning a degree of membership between 0 and 1 to each w, e U, usually with regard to a linguistic term. For example, let t/be the set of integers from 1 to 100 denoting the age of a person and let ,4 be 'middle aged'. We can define a (subjective) function that assigns to each w, a degree of membership//^(M;)G [0,l]. Degree 0 denotes non-membership and degree 1 denotes full membership. A plausible model of "middle aged" will be obtained by using a function (membership function) that yields high values between, say 40 and 55 and gradually decreases towards the two edges of the scale. Thus, the degree of membership of 37, jUA(37), can be 0.75, and of 82, jilA(S2) =0.1. In Fuzzy method, vagueness and imprecision associated with qualitative data can be represented more logically. Wang (1997) classified fuzzy theory into five major branches (Fig. 2.5), including (1) fuzzy mathematics: classical mathematics concepts are extended by replacing classical sets with fuzzy-sets; (2) fuzzy logic and artificial intelligence: approximations to classical logic are introduced and expert systems are developed based on fuzzy information and fuzzy reasoning; (3) fuzzy systems: include fuzzy control and fuzzy approaches in signal processing and communications; (4) uncertainty and information: different kinds of uncertainties are analyzed; and (5) fuzzy decision-making: considers optimization or satisfaction problems with soft constraints. 25 Fig. 2.5. Classification of fuzzy theory (from Wang, 1997) These branches of fuzzy-set theory are dependent on each other and there are strong interconnections among them. For example, multi-criteria decision support system (MCDSS) is in the class of fuzzy decision-making that deals with satisfaction problems and it uses the concept from fuzzy mathematics (i.e., fuzzy-sets). 2.5.1 Handling uncertainty through fuzzy-set theory The fuzzy-set theory can be applied to solve decision making problems with uncertainties described by linguistic variables (Chen et al, 1992). The linguistic terms are mostly encountered in the data acquisition of MCDA methods. Studies have shown that among the weightings techniques the decision makers are most comfortable with ordinal (linguistic) rankings of criteria importance (Hajkowicz et al., 2000). In the remediation technology 26 selection problem the criteria (e.g., technology availability, public acceptance, etc.) can be adequately expressed in linguistic terms (i.e., "high", "medium", "low"). When such linguistic terms need to be counted in alternative evaluation process, the analyst needs to consider a fuzzy MCDA method. Nijkamp et al. (1990) suggests that input parameters containing fuzzy information can be converted into crisp values before applying any MADM methods. Application of fuzzy-set theory for fuzzy input transformation includes two steps. First, the linguistic-term conversion is performed to convert the verbal terms into a fuzzy-set (Fig.2.6). Linguistic term Linguistic conversion (assigned by analyst) Fuzzy-set Fig. 2.6. Linguistic term conversion into fuzzy-set (adapted from Cheng, 2000) A fuzzy-set is a class of objects with a continuation of membership grades (Zadeh, 1965). A membership function is assigned for the input value. Usually, the membership grades are [0,1]. When the grade of membership for a value in a set is one, this object is absolutely in that set; when the grade of membership is zero, the value does not convey any absolute significance (Hwang etal. 1992). 27 2.5.2 Conversion of linguistic criteria preferences A numerical approximation system was proposed by Chen and Hwang (1992) to systematically transform linguistic terms to their corresponding fuzzy-sets. A schematic diagram of the transformation process is shown in Fig.2.7. Linguistic Fuzzy-sets terms ^ Linguistic-term conversion Defuzzifier Crisp values t- Fig. 2.7. Conversion of linguistic term into crisp values According to them, the transformation requires eight conversion scales (Fig.2.8). These conversion scales are proposed by synthesizing and modifying previous works (Baas et al., 1977; Bonissone, 1982; Efstathiou et al., 1979; Efstathiou et al, 1982; Wenstop, 1976). It is assumed that the given figures can cover the universe of expressing the given terms "high" vs "low". One of the figures was applied when certain linguistic terms were provided. The determination of the number of conversion scales is intuitive. Miller (1965) suggested that "seven plus or minus two" of linguistic variables represent the greatest amount of information that an observer can give about the objects based on their preference and judgment. Miller's theory was also adopted by Chen and Hwang (1992) to develop their linguistic conversion scales (Fig. 2.8). 28 (b) (a) J J ,3 A $ ,6 .? J J f .? ,« J 1 Parameter value (c) m , lw tow 4 4 ,3 .4 3 .6 l 1\ A A A A / X A XX *T / \ / \ / \ / \ / \ k , .1 .2 3 .4 5 J .7 .8 J ! Y i Y i Y i Y i '- ,1 2 I 29 J .4 J J ,? J J 1 (g) .1 2 3 A S (h) S .1 M 3 ,t I 2 3 A S £ ,7 M $ I Fig. 2.8. Linguistic terms conversion scales In the linguistic term conversion procedure, a scale figure is selected that contains all the verbal terms given by the decision-maker. Then the membership functions of those verbal terms are calculated to represent the meaning of those verbal terms. If the provided verbal terms exist in more than one figure, the simplest one should be considered. The verbal terms used in the above eight scales are in the universe: U = { "excellent", "very high", "high to very high", "high", "more or less high", "medium", "more or less low", "low", "low to very low", "very low" and "none" }. This universe of verbal terms is suitable to describe technology selection criteria like cost, maintenance, availability and community acceptability. But this universe of verbal terms is not applicable for clean up time criteria. Because to describe the clean up time the possible universe of linguistic terms will be U= {"extremely long", "very long", , "extremely short"}. This universe and the proposed universe are different. Chen and Hwang (1992) suggest that the latter universe can be adjusted according to the nature of the criteria used in the decision problem. Therefore, "very long" cleanup time can be treated as "very high", and "very short" as "very low", respectively. A pair of words that represents 30 extreme meanings can always be found for evaluation of any type of criteria. Eight pairs of opposite words are listed in Table 2.3. More examples on pairs of words can be found in Osgood (1975). Price Table 2.3 Examples of linguistic universes Size Distance Weight Hazard Technique Experience high expensive large far heavy danger advanced good low cheap small local light safe basic poor General 2.5.3 Conversion of fuzzy-sets into crisp weights In order to determine a crisp score for a fuz2y-set M, it is necessary to compare the fuzzysets with a maximizing fuzzy-set (fuzzy max, Umax) and a minimizing fuzzy-set (fuzzy min, P-min) (Chen and Hwang ,1992). The membership values of these two fuzzy-sets are calculated by equation (2.14) and (2.15). f x, [0, fl-x, A-.(*)= n [0, 0 "max (*)] (2-16) Likewise, the left score [juL (M) ] of M can be determined using: (2.17) jUL (M) = sup[// M (x) A //min (*)] Given the left and right scores of M, the total score [juT(M)] of M, can be calculated using: MM) = [juR(M) + (2.18) l-jUL(M)]/2 32 The membership functions of Mi, M2, M3 are (Fig.2.9): /"M,W: X 0 90% No opinion Total 2.63% 0.00% 7.89% 100.00% 60 (4) Survey on medium to high minimum achievable concentration Contaminant concentration should be Response percentage reduced by approximately: (%) 0.00% 10% 20% 0.00% 30% 0.00% 40% 0.00% 50% 0.00% 60% 10.53% 70% 42.11% 80% 31.58% 90% 5.26% No opinion 10.53% Total 100.00% (5) Survey on high minimum achievable concentration Contaminant concentration should be Response percentage reduced by approximately: (%) 10%> or greater 0.00% 20% or greater 0.00% 30%) or greater 0.00% 40%) or greater 0.00% 50%) or greater 0.00% 60%o or greater 0.00% 70%o or greater 0.00% 80%) or greater 15.79% 90% or greater 76.32% No opinion 7.89% Total 100.00% The membership functions of these fuzzy sets were developed based on the collected data. Fig. 3.7 represents the developed membership functions for the fuzzy-sets of minimum contaminant concentration reduction criterion. 61 Low Low to Med. Med Med. To high High 0.90.8a 0.7| 0.6% 0.5| 0.4S 0.30.20.1 00 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Ability to reduce contaminant concentration (percentage) Fig. 3.7. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "minimum achievable concentration" criterion D. Community acceptability From the survey it was found that 34.21% of respondents indicated that the option of "community acceptability should be approximately 40% or less" to be accepted as "low" community acceptability; 42.11% of the respondents selected "community acceptability should be approximately 50%" to be accepted as "low to medium" community acceptability; 36.84% of the respondents selected " community acceptability should be approximately 60%" to be accepted as "medium" community acceptability; 42.11% of the respondents indicated that the option of "community acceptability should be approximately 70%" to be accepted as "medium to high" community acceptability and 42.11% of the respondents selected that "community acceptability should be approximately 90% or greater" to be accepted as "high" community acceptability. Table 3.8 shows all the values expressed by stakeholders on community acceptability criteria. 62 Table 3.8 Survey on the fuzzy-sets of community acceptability levels (1) Survey on low community acceptability Acceptance of the remedial alternative Response percentage by community should be (%) approximately: 10% or less 21.05% 20% or less 7.89% 30% or less 21.05% 40% or less 34.21% 50% or less 10.53% 60% or less 0.00% 70% or less 0.00% 80%) or less 0.00% 90% or less 0.00% No opinion 5.26% Total 100.00% (2) Survey on low to medium community acceptability Acceptance of the remedial alternative Response percentage by community should be (%) approximately: 10% 0.00% 20% 7.89% 30% 15.79% 40% 10.53% 50% 42.11% 60% 15.79% 70% 0.00% 80% 0.00% 90% 0.00% No opinion 7.89% Total 100.00% (3) Survey on medium community acceptability level Acceptance of the remedial alternative Response percentage by community should be (%) approximately: 10% 0.00% 20% 0.00% 30% 5.26% 40% 7.89% 50% 28.95% 60% 36.84% 70% 13.16% 63 80% 90% no opinion Total No. of Respondents 0.00% 0.00% 7.89% 100.00%) (4) Survey on medium to high community acceptability level Acceptance of the remedial alternative Response percentage by community should be (%) approximately: 10% 0.00% 20% 0.00% 30% 0.00% 40% 0.00% 50% 10.53% 60% 15.79% 70% 42.11% 80% 23.68% 90% 0.00% No opinion 7.89% Total 100.00% (5) Survey on high community acceptability Acceptance of the remedial alternative Response percentage by community should be (%) approximately: 10% or greater 0.00% 20% or greater 0.00% 30%> or greater 0.00% 40%) or greater 0.00% 50% or greater 5.26% 60% or greater 5.26% 70% or greater 5.26% 80% or greater 36.84% 90% or greater 42.11% No opinion 5.26% Total 100.00% According to Chen and Hwang (1992), the membership functions of these five fuzzy sets can be constructed based on the collected data. Fig. 3.8 shows the developed membership functions of the fuzzy-sets of community acceptability criterion. For example, if community 64 acceptance is 80% then it could be categorized as partly (0.5) "medium to high" and partly (0.5) "high". Lo.tomed. Med. Med.tohigh Low 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 High 90 100 Community acceptance Fig. 3.8. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "community acceptability" Other criteria such as technology availability, regulatory acceptability, development status and technology maintainability are mostly technical criteria. For this reason, these criteria were not included in the survey. Membership functions of these criteria were selected from references and with consultation of experts (USEPA, 1993; Soesilo, 1997). E. Technology availability and other criteria As rating of technology availability criteria has no unit for measurement, a dimensionless scale of 1 to 10 was adopted. The values between one and ten were divided into 5-tuple fuzzy sets. The range of "medium" category was considered from three to seven. Again, values falling below three were categorized as "low". And values above seven were categorized as "high". Fig.3.9 shows the developed membership functions for technology availability 65 criterion. Similarly, regulatory acceptance, development status and technology maintenance criteria were fuzzified into five-tuple ("low", "low to medium", "medium", "medium to high" and "high") fuzzy-sets. Fig. 3.10, 3.11 and 3.12 shows the developed membership functions of these criteria. Low 0 Low to med. 1 2 Med. High Med. to high 3 4 5 6 7 Level of technology availability 8 9 10 Fig. 3.9.. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "technology availability" criterion Med.tohigh Low to med. .9* U ! 7 10 Level of regulatory acceptance Fig. 3.10. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "regulatory acceptability" criterion 66 Lowtomed. Med. to high I 10 Development status Fig. 3.11. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "development status" criterion Med. to high Low to med. i- 1 10 Required maintenance Fig. 3.12. Membership functions of fuzzy-sets of "maintenance requirement" criterion Though different criteria uses different linguistic terms in the fuzzy performance scale figure (e.g., "low", "low to medium", "medium", "medium to high", "high", "short", "short to medium", "medium", "medium to long" and "long") all fuzzy-sets are categorized using 67 common linguistic variables (i.e., excellent, good, fair, poor and bad). Such conversion process was developed and applied by Chen and Hwang (1992). Table 3.9 lists the values of developed membership functions for all criteria. From this table it can be observed that the fuzzfied value range of "excellent" and "bad" fuzzy-sets follow two sequences. For example, "excellent" fuzzy-set is defined by the highest values for certain criteria (e.g., technology availability, community acceptability, minimum achievable concentration). And the sequence of fuzzification for these criteria is highest values as "excellent" fuzzy-set and lowest values as "bad" fuzzy-set. On the other hand, for certain criteria "excellent" fuzzy-set is defined by the lowest values (e.g., cleanup cost, cleanup time). And the sequence of fuzzification for these criteria are opposite of the previous fuzzification sequence. 68 3 Development status (0 to 10) Technology Maintenance requirement (0 to 10) 1,1,3 69 1, 3, 5 9,7,5 9,7,5 9,9,7 9,9,7 9,7,5 9,9,7 Availability (0 to 10) Regulatory permitting acceptability (0 to 10) (%) 90,90,70 Community acceptability 90,70,60 3, 5, 7 7,5,3 7,5,3 7,5,3 70,60,50 5,7, 9 5,3,1 5,3,1 5,3,1 60,50,40 7,9, 9 3,1,1 3,1,1 3,1,1 50,40,40 Table 3.9 Triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs) defined for development of fuzzy membership functions of remediation alternative evaluation criteria Criteria TFNExceiient TFNGood TFNFair TFNPoor TFNBad Cleanup time 1,1,2 1,1.7,2.5 1.5,3,3.5 2.5,5,5 3.5,5,5 (in-situ, in year) 4,6,8 8,10,12 10,12,12 Cleanup time 4,4,6 6,8,10 (ex-situ, in month) Overall cost 50,50,100 50,100,150 100,150,200 150,200,275 200,275,275 (in-situ, $/m3) Overall cost 100,100,125 100,125,200 125,200,225 200,225,300 225,300,300 3 (ex-situ, $/m ) 90,90,70 90,70,50 50,40,10 Minimum achievable 70,50,40 40,10,10 concentration (%) 3.5 Step 4 Developing fuzzy multi-criteria evaluation matrix A fuzzy multi-criteria evaluation matrix was developed for remedial alternative evaluation. In a general setting, the process of fuzzy multi-criteria analysis (FMA) can be conveniently described by pointing out relationships between a collection of pattern features and their class membership vectors. A fuzzy multi-criteria decision problem with m alternatives m) and n criteria Aiiy=\,..., Cy (7 =1,...,n) can be concisely expressed as:D = [S^.J and W = (w-J, where D is the fuzzy decision matrix, x represents the fuzzy rating of alternative At with respect to criterion Cj, W is the weight vector, w is the fuzzy weight of criterion Cs. 3.5.1 Conversion of linguistic variables In this research, stakeholder opinion on criteria was collected through a questionnaire survey. Each stakeholder expressed their opinion through linguistic variables. Then, the linguistic variables were converted into crisp values by using Chen and Hwang's (1992) conversion method. The conversion method of linguistic variables is discussed in details in chapter two. A scale was chosen from the eight scales (Chen and Hwang, 1992) that contained all the linguistic variables given by a respondent. For example, if a respondent preferred the variables "very low", "low medium", "high" and "very high", to rate all the criteria, scale three was selected for conversion of those linguistic variables (Fig. 3.13). 70 Very low Medium Very high ]i#s) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 Fig. 3.13. Conversion of linguistic variables by scale three (Chen and Hwang, 1992) In this Fig.3.13 five linguistic variables ("very low", "low", "medium", "high", and "very high") are presented as five fuzzy-sets. The membership function of each fuzzy-set is shown as a continuous line. The y axis presents the membership function values and the x axis presents the values for each fuzzy set. The left score [jUL (M) ] and right score [juR (M) ] for each fuzzyset are shown as dashed lines. Consequently, Table 3.10 represents the converted values of linguistic variables. From the table it can be seen that "very low" received numeric value of 0.0945 and "very high" linguistic variable received 0.9055. Table 3.10 Determination of criteria value using scale three i Linguistic variables n«(Mi) UL(MJ) UT(MJ) 1 Very low 0.189 1 0.095 2 Low 0.350 0.775 0.288 3 Medium 0.588 0.588 0.500 4 High 0.775 0.350 0.713 5 Very high 1 0.189 0.906 71 Similarly, scale six was applied when a respondent used the linguistic variables "Very low", "Low", "Low to medium, "Medium", "Medium to high", "High" and "Very high" to rate all the criteria. Fig.3.14 shows the conversion process. Very low low more or less low Medium 0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 more or less high high Very high 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.7 1 Fig. 3.14. Conversion of linguistic variables by scale six (Chen and Hwang, 1992) The converted criteria importance weights are shown in Table 3.11. These weights were calculated by using scale six. In this scale, linguistic variable "very low" and "high" has a value of 0.0875 and 0.9125 respectively. Table 3.11 Criteria value determination using scale six i 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Linguistic variables Very low Low Low to medium Medium Medium to high High Very high HR(M0 0.175 0.275 0.463 0.538 0.725 0.813 1 72 HiXMi) 1 0.813 0.725 0.538 0.45 0.275 0.175 HT(M0 0.0875 0.231 0.369 0.5 0.6375 0.769 0.9125 The crisp values for all the 8 conversion scales are shown in Table 3.12. According to Chen and Hwang (1992) the principle of this conversion procedure is simply to pick a figure that contains all the verbal terms given by the decision maker and then use the fuzzy membership function from the figure to represent the meaning of those verbal terms. Table 3.12 Conversion of linguistic terms into crisp values Scale Linguistic UL UT m variables 1 Medium 0.66 0.5 0.58 High 0.32 0.75 0.82 1 0.16 2 Low 0.32 0.62 0.5 Med 0.62 0.32 0.84 High 1 4 Low 0.2 1 0.1 0.3 Med. low 0.4 0.8 Med. low 0.6 0.5 0.6 Med. high 0.4 0.7 0.8 High 0.2 0.9 1 5 Very low 1 0.09 0.18 Low 0.82 0.23 0.28 More or less low 0.72 0.35 0.42 Medium 0.52 0.52 0.5 More or less high 0.72 0.42 0.65 High 0.82 0.28 0.77 Very high 1 0.18 0.91 1 0.09 7 V. low 0.18 Low to very low 1 0.125 0.25 Low 0.82 0.265 0.35 Med low 0.42 0.7 0.36 0.58 0.5 Med 0.58 0.64 Med. high 0.42 0.7 High 0.82 0.35 0.735 High to very high 0.875 1 0.25 V. high 1 0.18 0.91 8 None 0.09 1 0.045 V. low 0.14 0.18 0.9 Low to very low 0.42 0.9 0.26 0.335 Low to very low 0.42 0.75 Med. Low 0.62 0.415 0.45 73 Med. Low Med. High High High to very high Very, high Excellent 0.58 0.62 0.75 0.9 0.9 1 0.58 0.45 0.42 0.42 0.18 0.09 0.5 0.585 0.665 0.74 0.86 0.955 From Table 3.12 it can be observed that similar linguistic variables have different values in different scale. For example, values for "medium" and "high" are 0.58 and 0.75 respectively in scale one. Again, in scale two the values for "medium" and "high" are 0.5 and 0.84 respectively. A questionnaire survey (Apendix I) was conducted to obtain the criteria importance weights. Criteria importance weights were first collected through linguistic variables. Then, these linguistic variables were converted into crisp weights. Subsequently, an average importance weight was calculated for each of the criterion. For example, the average importance weight of criterion "overall cost" was calculated by adding all the importance weights given by each stakeholder and then the total importance weight was divided by the number of respondents. The sum of importance weights of "overall cost" given by all the stakeholders was 26.622 and total number of respondents was 38, therefore the average criterion importance weight of "overall cost" is (26.622 / 38) = 0.701. Similar procedure was applied to calculate the average criteria importance weight of other criteria. Fig. 3.15 shows the average criteria importance weights of all criteria. From this figure it can be observed that, most of the stakeholders provided high importance weight on regulatory acceptability criterion. 74 Such emphasis on regulatory acceptability criterion reflects that, the stakeholders are concerned that a remediation technology is implemented with in compliance with existing rules and regulations. As well, minimum achievable concentration and community acceptability criteria were rated as the next most important factors in the remediation alternative evaluation process. However, the criterion development status was rated as lowest important factor among all the criteria. 3 1.000 0.900 0.800 0.116 If 0.700 -I Q*638 * 8 | 0.600 0.500 0.400 I 0.300 0-701 & 0.200 * 0.100 0.000 •&S? cr ^° 0:694 0:694 H -— 0.622 H — Wm 0:605 o;669 = x•&' f & r& J$ t o l o t g £ i « : » l *** con E x - »it*» p.h>'!iit-a»l/«:h*sim»c»I trvMMhnaMHt* k. .1 C2M«szrki«£s*l « w « t r * % e H o r * (TH C h e m i c x l r e < J k » o t i o r * / a x * < d » t i a t t T ! SUsfMurattioR l_J S o i l w u M n g E x H r i M «l»*?t~**iii«*l c*-«?*fc*»riNewt < * ; * * * * * % ' » * * « * . * * > JHU»t i&saes rmt£Mmii3nt»tito£it 0|»oar* tyonri i" i m-x- ~«Ift»ji «so*»*:«ijBi*iaM£i** r: :• L j u i d f f l l osip I * E-i > <_> ca HI 7} o> e 73 O" o 2 1\ s & ity a I * J = uirem JP aila chn o •S" epta 63.S- I lat 1 •a a, & .3 Pi C3 Ranking of alternatives Utility v a l u e s and r a n k i n g of alternatives Fig. 3.19. Remediation decision process by the system 80 Chapter 4 Case Study, Results and Discussions A contaminated site was selected to apply the developed method. The obtained results were compared with three existing MCDA methods, including SAW, TOPSIS and WPM. 4.1 Description of study site The study site is located about 150 km north of Fort St. John in northern British Columbia. An oil leak was discovered in May, 2002. The leaked volume of crude oil was recorded about 200 m3. Crude oil spilled over an area of approximately six hectares. The site is surrounded by agricultural land. This spill area is within the traditional use area of First Nations and approximately 80 kilometer from the Doig Reserve. The volume of contaminated soil was estimated to be 10,000 m3 (13,080 yd3). Contaminant concentration was measured higher than the provincial guideline value of Total Petroleum Hydrocarbon (TPFf) level. Identified contaminants were Benzene, Ethylbenzene, Toluene and Xylene (BTEX). After primary site investigations and site characterization a list of potential remedial alternatives were selected to recover the contaminated soil. After screening out the list of available remedial alternatives, the following alternatives were selected for the above case, including (a) enhanced bioremediation (in-situ); (b) bioventing (in-situ); (c) soil vapor extraction (SVE; in-situ); (d) landfarming (exsitu); (e) slurry phase treatment (ex-situ), and (f) low temperature thermal desorption (LTTD, ex-situ). There are three in-situ and three ex-situ alternatives in the potential alternative list. The site manager has to evaluate these alternatives to select the most appropriate remediation alternative from this list by considering stakeholder involvement and other uncertainties. 81 4.2 Description of remedial alternatives in the system A brief description on remedial technologies was stored in a database as a source of reference and to assist the users of the developed system (Appendix II). The remedial alternatives were divided into two categories, ex-situ and in-situ. The user can refer to this database for background information on technology and technology evaluation criteria. This reference will help the users to measure the performance of each alternative for each criterion and then decide the input values. 4.2.1 Information about remedial alternatives Information on these alternatives was collected based on previous application results, case studies and from remedial alternative evaluation matrix. Table 4.1 lists information on remedial alternative used for the case study site. Criteria Technology availability (1-10) Table 4.1 Information on remedial alternatives In-situ A B C D More than 4 vendors Better More than 4 vendors Better More than 4 vendors Better More than 4 vendors Ex-situ E F More More than than 4 4 vendors vendors Average Average Community Average acceptability (10-100%) Min.ach.concentration Average Better Average Average Average Better (10-100%) Development status Full Full Full Full Full Full (1-10) Maintenance req. (1-10) Average Low Low Low Average Average Time to clean up 0.5-3 1-3 0.5-1 0.5-1 year 0.5-1 0.5-1 year (month or year) years years year year Overall cost ($/ton) Average Low Average Low High High Reg, acceptability (1-10) Worse Average Better Average Better Average A= in-situ enhanced bioremediation, B= in-situ bioventing, C= in-situ soil vapor extraction (SVE), D= ex-situ landfarming, E= ex-situ slurry phase, F= ex-situ low temperature thermal desorption (LTTD) 82 Most of the remediation alternative information was in linguistic form. Therefore, this information is required to be processed before applying in the developed system. 4.3 Fuzzy processing of criteria information As the developed fuzzy multi-criteria approach is capable of dealing with a range of values, it was not mandatory to input a single crisp value for each criterion. Triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs) are an effective way to represent uncertain values. Table 4.2 represents the converted criteria values. 83 H G F E D C B A 5 8 1 6 80% 50% $50 0.5yr 6.5 9 2.5 7.5 90% 65% $125 2yr 7 10 3 10 100% 70% $150 3.5yr 1 8 5 6 80% 80% $25 lyr 2 9 6 7 90% 90% $70 2yr 3 10 7 10 100% 100% $80 3yr Max 1 8 8 6 80% 50% $50 0.5yr Min 2 9 9 7.5 90% 60% $125 0.9yr MLV 84 Min=Minimum, MLV=Maximum Likely Value, Max=Maximum, yr=year, m=month. Regulatory acceptability (1-10) Dev. status (1-10) Maintenance requirement (1-10) Cleanup time (month/year) Overall cost ($/m3) Min.achievable concentration (10-100%) Community acceptability (10-100%) Availability (1-10) MLV Min Max Min MLV Bioventing Enhanced bio remediation 3 10 10 10 100% 70% $150 lyr Max Soil vapor extraction 1 8 5 6 50% 50% $75 6m Min 2 9 6 7.5 60% 60% $100 9m MLV Landfarming Table 4.2 Input values of remedial alternatives In-situ 3 10 7 10 70% 70% $125 12m Max 5 8 8 6 50% 50% $200 6m Min 6 9 9 7 60% 60% $250 9m MLV Slurry phase Ex-situ 7 10 10 10 70% 70% $300 12m Max 5 8 5 6 50% 80% $200 6m Min 6 9 6 7 60% 90% $250 9m MLV 7 10 7 10 70% 100% $300 12m Max Low temperature thermal desorption 4.4 Processing of input data The input data processing of in-situ enhanced bioremediation is described below. A. Cleanup time The possible values of cleanup time for in-situ enhanced bioremediation are 0.5, 2 and 3.5 years. This array refers to a Triangular Fuzzy Number (TFN) which has most credible value 2 and lowest and highest possible values are 0.5 and 3.5. When the TFN is plotted on Fig. 4.1, the memberships of cleanup time to the five fuzzy-sets (0.5, 0.89, 0.69, 0.4, 0.0) are obtained (Fig. 4.1), where these five fuzzy-sets include "short", "short to medium", "medium", "medium to long" and "long" cleanup time, respectively. 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 f 0.6 | 0.5 Short to Med. Med. Med. to long Short \ Long A A / \ 0.600 € 0.500 S> 0.400 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 Remediation alternatives D Trial 1 •Trial 2 • Trial 3 • Original rank order for case study site Fig. 4.14. Sensitivity analysis of remediation alternatives by changing "overall cost" criterion importance weight In trial 4, criteria importance weights of both "overall cost" and "cleanup time" criteria were set to 0.45 and criteria importance weight of all other criteria (i.e., "technology availability", "community acceptability", "minimum achievable concentration", "development status", "maintenance requirement", and "regulatory acceptance") were set to 0.017. In this trial, in-situ SVE became the first preferred alternative whereas, in-situ SVE was fifth preferred alternative in trial 3. It was observed that the lower importance weight of "overall cost" criterion played an important role for higher ranking order of in-situ SVE in trial 4 because the importance weight of this criterion was 0.85 in trial 3. In addition, trial 5 was conducted by setting the criteria importance weights of "overall cost", "cleanup time" and "community acceptability" as 0.250. The importance weights of all other criteria were set to 0.05. In-situ SVE remained the first preferred alternative in this trial and overall there were no 113 significant differences in the ranking order of trial 5 compared to the ranking order of trial 4. The results of trial 4 and trial 5 of sensitivity analysis are shown in Fig. 4.15. 1.000 -I 0.900 0.800 0.700 0.600 g3-S 0.500 » 0.400 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 Enhanced bbremediation Bbventing SVE Landiaiming Slurryphase LTTD Remediation alternatives D Trial4 I Trial 5 • Original rank orderforcase study site Fig. 4.15. Sensitivity analysis of remediation alternatives by changing the importance weights "overall cost", "cleanup time" and "community acceptability" criteria In summary it can be stated that the criteria importance weights can influence the overall ranking order of the remediation alternatives. If all the criteria importance weights are close to each other then all of these criteria will influence the ranking order of the alternatives. However, if a criterion has significantly higher importance weight compared to other criteria then this criterion will influence the evaluation results of the alternatives. It was observed that the criterion "overall cost" played an important role in the ranking order of alternatives when the importance weight of this criterion was very high. 114 4.10.3 Change in remediation alternative performance values Since the remediation alternative in-situ soil vapor extraction (SVE) became the best preference among other alternatives by fuzzy multi-criteria method. A sensitivity test was conducted by changing the performance values of criteria, "community acceptability", "cleanup time" and "overall cost" of in-situ SVE to observe whether performance values affect the ranking order of an alternative. The existing performance value range of criterion "community acceptability" was 80% to 100%; "cleanup time" was 0.5yr to lyr and "overall cost" was 50$/m3 to 150$/m3. In the sensitivity analysis these performance value ranges were set to 30% to 50%, 3yr to 5yr, and 250$/m3 to 300$/m3, respectively. From the sensitivity analysis, it was observed that the rank order of in-situ soil SVE alternative became fourth from first ranking place in the original ranking order of remediation alternatives for the case study site (Fig. 4.16). However, the in-situ bioventing alternative became the first preference in this ranking order. The ranking order of in-situ bioremediation also improved from previous ranking order of fourth to third. Fig. 4.16 shows the ranking order and utility values of all the alternatives obtained from the sensitivity analysis. 1.000 Enhanced bbremediation Bioventing SVE Landferming Slurryphase LTTD Remediation alternatives I Rank order of SVE after performance value change I Original rank order for case study site Fig. 4.16. Sensitivity analysis for SVE alternative by changing performance values of "community acceptability, "cleanup time" and "cleanup cost" criteria 115 In summary it can be stated that selection of remediation alternative through an evaluation process mostly depends on independent performance value (i.e., "cleanup cost", "cleanup time", "regulatory acceptance" etc.) of each alternative. From the above analysis it was observed that the in-situ SVE became less preferred option when the performance value of "community acceptability" criterion was significantly reduced and the performance value "cleanup time" and "overall cost" criteria were significantly increased. 116 Chapter 5 Conclusions and Recommendations 5.1 Summary Management of contaminated sites is a complex task. Such decision making process is not limited only in selection of the best remediation alternative, but also several factors need to be considered. The factors which influence the decision making process include, involvement of various stakeholders, consideration of uncertainties, and evaluation and selection of the right remediation alternative. Selection of remediation alternative is considered as a multi-criteria problem because a number of criteria including cleanup time, overall cost, community acceptability and regulatory acceptability need to be considered for the evaluation of remediation alternatives. There are many multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) tools (e.g., AHP, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE, ELECTRE, WPM, SAW) available to aid the decision making process of a contaminated site. Most of these MCDA tools require crisp values as inputs. However, the performance data of remediation alternatives are not always available in crisp form. For example, performance data on community acceptability and regulatory acceptability are expressed in linguistic terms (e.g., high, medium, low). These linguistic terms need to be converted into numerical scale value or into crisp values to use in the existing MCDA tools. Public participation and stakeholder involvement is another important component in the decision making process of contaminated site management. Due to public concern on environment, public interest in contaminated sites and regulatory requirement, it is essential to 117 incorporate public opinions in such decision making process. However, the existing decision making approaches have limitations to involve public and different stakeholders' opinions adequately. Moreover, presence of a number of uncertainities in the decision making problems limit the application of existing MCDA tools. The source of uncertainties includes lack of information about a contaminated site, different opinions of different stakeholders, and a range of possible values of remediation alternative evaluation criteria. Considering these problems, there was a need for development of a holistic approach for contaminated site management. There are many applications of fuzzy set theory available in literature, especially in the environmental decision making problems. It was found that the concept of fuzzy-set theory is appropriate to solve these problems. Fuzzy-set theory provides an intuitive and effective way for the decision makers for dealing with such linguistic preferences and uncertainties. The fuzzy multi-criteria technique involves identification of remediation alternative selection criteria, estimating criteria weight, fuzzification, aggregation, defuzzification, and ranking remedial alternatives. In this research, a fuzzy multi-criteria decision analysis approach was developed. First, the remediation alternative evaluation criteria were identified. Then, different stakeholders were contacted to express their opinion on the importance of the selected criteria. 118 Second, the criteria measurement values (e.g., overall cost/m3, cleanup time/year) were divided into five fiizzy-sets by the stakeholders. Then, performance of each alternative was evaluated by means of these fuzzy-sets. Subsequently, the criteria importance weight and the membership functions of the fuzzy-sets were aggregated by applying fuzzy matrix multiplication. This multiplication produced the final fuzzy-sets for each alternative. Then utility values were calculated for each alternative. Finally, the alternatives were ranked according to their utility. One of the objectives of this research was to identify the remediation alternative evaluation criteria and determine the importance weights of the criteria according to stakeholder preference. This objective was achieved by selecting the most important evaluation criteria from literature survey and by involving stakeholder in determining the criteria importance weights. Another objective of this research was to integrate the uncertainty issues in the remediation alternative evaluation process. This objective was also achieved by using fuzzy-set theory. Finally, the last objective regarding development of an effective fuzzy multi-criteria approach for evaluating and ranking remediation alternatives was met in this research. The developed fuzzy multi-criteria approach was applied to a contaminated site to solve remediation alternative selection problem and reasonable results were achieved. In the developed method, it was possible to use a range of possible values to address the uncertainties in the alternative evaluation performance data. The involved stakeholders were also satisfied with the easy process of their participation in the selection of most appropriate remediation alternative. 119 In addition, existing MCDA methods (i.e., SAW, TOPSIS, and WPM) were applied to solve the same problem. To apply the existing MCDA methods, remediation alternative evaluation data was required to convert into single crisp value. Much information was not counted in the overall evaluation process due to selection of single value. Though, the results by the both approach were mostly consistent, the fuzzy multi-criteria method proved to be more efficient in dealing with uncertainties. The results from the developed method are more acceptable than the results of existing MCDA methods because various stakeholder opinions were incorporated in the system. 5.2 Future extensions Selection of remediation alternatives is one of the many challenges in contaminated site management. The developed fuzzy multi-criteria approach could be applied in the earlier stage of a decision making process of contaminated sites. For example, site characterization and risk assessment are two important steps of successful contaminated site management. However, in the developed method it is assumed that both of these two steps have already been conducted and the user faces the problem of selecting a remediation alternative. Site characterization tools and risk assessment tools should be incorporated within the developed method for more efficiency in the contaminated site management. Once site characterization and risk assessment are incorporated the method can provide a decision on the most appropriate remediation option for a contaminated site. 120 The list of the remediation alternative is fixed in the system. Thereby, a user can apply this system when the potential remediation alternatives match with the list. However, situation may arise that integrated remediation alternatives (e.g., bioremediation and thermal treatment) need to be considered for evaluation and ranking. The future extension of the system should incorporate the integrated remediation alternatives in the list. In the developed method, it was assumed that different stakeholders have agreed on criteria importance weight. The average criteria importance weights were used for remediation alternative evaluation. 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Highest level of education completed? (Please select one) a. 12th grade, no diploma [] b. High school graduate [] c. Some college credit, but less than 1 year [ ] d. 1 or more years of college, no degree [] e. Associate degree (i.e., AA, AS) [ ] f. Bachelor's degree (i.e.,BA,AB,BS) [] g. Master's degree (i.e.,MA, MS, MEng) [ ] h. Professional degree (i.e., MD,LLB,JD) [ ] i. Doctoral degree (i.e.,PhD,EdD) [] j . Other [] 3. Which one of the following best describes your professional affiliation? (Please select one) a. Institution [ ] b. Industry [] (i.e., universities) (i.e.,oil and gas industries) c. Federal government [ ] d. Provincial government e. Research organization [] f. Non-governmental / non-profit organization [ ] g. Environmental consulting firms [ ] h. First nation community [] i. General public [ ] j . Other [] 4. How many years of experience do you have in your profession? a. less than 2 years [] b. 2 -5 years c. More than 5 years [ ] d. Not applicable [] [] Please read these important definitions, these are helpful references for the next sections: 1. Community Acceptability criterion Refers to the level of technology acceptability by members of the general public that live or work near the contaminated site. 2. Minimum Achievable Concentration Criterion Addresses the degree to which the technology is able to meet remediation objectives. 3. Time to Complete Cleanup (in-situ and ex- situ) Criterion Refers to the time required to complete remediation, including site closure time by a technology. 4. Overall Cost (in-situ and ex- situ) Criterion Includes design, construction, operations and maintenance (O&M) costs of a remediation technology, exclusive of mobilization, demobilization, and pre- and post- treatment. 5. Development Status of a Technology Refers to the current status of the technology, i.e., experimental (laboratory scale), pilot scale, full scale, or the technology is already being applied as commercially and industrially. 141 6. Availability of the Technology Criterion Number of vendors that can design, construct, and maintain the technology. 7. Technology Maintenance Criterion Refers to the level of complexity of the technology and how easy it is to maintain. If high maintenance is required for a technology this will indicate low reliability of the technology. 8. Regulatory (permitting) Acceptability Criterion Degree of regulatory and permitting acceptability of the technology. 142 Your opinion on criteria importance Overall cost Data requirements Availability Maintenance Regulatory permitting acceptability 4 5 6 7 8 3 Minimum achievable concentration Time to complete clean up Criteria Community acceptability 2 1 Very low Very low Very low Very low Low Low Low Low Low Low Very low Very low Low Low Very low Very low Low medium Low medium Low medium Low medium Low medium Low medium Low medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium 143 to to to to to to to Medium High Medium High Medium High Medium High Medium High Medium High Medium High to High to High to High to High to High to High to High Linguistic scale to rate the importance of criteria Low to Medium Medium to High medium High Very high Very high Very high Very high Very high Very high Very high Very high No opinion No opinion No opinion No opinion No opinion No opinion No opinion No opinion 5. Please rate the following 10 criteria in terms of their importance to you, by selecting the linguistic scale below. For explanation on criteria you may refer to the previous page. Different criteria carry different weights among decision makers to select a remediation technology. Part II: Part III: Opinion on criteria value range A. Community acceptability Refers to the level of technology acceptability by members of the general public that live or work near the contaminated site. Note: Provided that the technology is effective for Petroleum Hydrocarbon contaminants 6. When would you consider that acceptance of a technology is low in the community? (You may select more than one response) a. If the technology is accepted by 10% or less of the community involved b. If the technology is accepted by 20% or less of the community involved c. If the technology is accepted by 30% or less of the community involved d. If the technology is accepted by 40% or less of the community involved e. Ifthe technology is accepted by 50% or less of the community involved f. Ifthe technology is accepted by 60% or less of the community involved g. Ifthe technology is accepted by 70% or less of the community involved h. Ifthe technology is accepted by 80% or less of the community involved i. Ifthe technology is accepted by 90% or less of the community involved j . No opinion 7. When would you consider that acceptance of a technology is low to medium in the community? (You may select more than one response) a. If the technology is accepted by aprox. 10% of the community involved b. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 20% of the community involved c. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 30% of the community involved d. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 40% of the community involved e. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 50% of the community involved f. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 60% of the community involved g. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 70% of the community involved h. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 80% of the community involved i. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 90% of the community involved j . No opinion 8. When would you consider that acceptance of a technology is medium in the community? (You may select more than one response) a. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 10% of the community involved b. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 20% of the community involved c. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 30% of the community involved d. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 40% of the community involved e. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 50% of the community involved f. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 60% of the community involved g. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 70% of the community involved h. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 80% of the community involved i. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 90% of the community involved j . No opinion 9. When would you consider that acceptance of a technology is medium to high in the community? (You may select more than one response) a. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 10% of the community involved b. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 20% of the community involved c. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 30% of the community involved d. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 40% of the community involved e. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 50% of the community involved f. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 60% of the community involved g. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 70% of the community involved h. Ifthe technology is accepted by aprox. 80% of the community involved 144 i. If the technology is accepted by aprox. 90% of the community involved j . No opinion 10. When would you consider that acceptance of a technology is high in the community? (You may select more than one response) a. If the technology is accepted by 10% or greater of the community involved b. If the technology is accepted by 20% or greater of the community involved c. If the technology is accepted by 30% or greater of the community involved d. If the technology is accepted by 40%) or greater of the community involved e. If the technology is accepted by 50% or greater of the community involved f. If the technology is accepted by 60% or greater of the community involved g. If the technology is accepted by 70% or greater of the community involved h. If the technology is accepted by 80% or greater of the community involved i. If the technology is accepted by 90% or greater of the community involved j . No opinion B. Minimum achievable concentration Different remediation technologies have various level of capability to achieve expected contaminant concentration. The following questions ask about your opinion to rate a technology depending on its achieved concentration. The linguistic scale to evaluate this criteria value range includes bad, poor, average, good, and excellent. Note: Provided that the technology is effective for Petroleum Hydrocarbon contaminants 11. When would you rate a technology as low? (You may select more than one response) a. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 10% or less b. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 20% or less c. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 30% or less d. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 40% or less e. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 50% or less f. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 60% or less g. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 70% or less h. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 80% or less i. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 90% or less j . No opinion 12. When would you rate a technology as low to average? (You may select more than one response) a. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 10% b. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 20% c. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 30% d. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 40% e. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 50% f. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 60% g. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 70% h. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 80% i. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 90% j . No opinion 13. When would you rate a technology as average? (You may select more than one response) a. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 10% b. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 20% c. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 30% d. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 40% e. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 50% f. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 60% 145 g. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 70% h. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 80% i. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced approx. 90% j. No opinion 14. When would you rate a technology as average to high? (You may select more than one response) a. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 10% b. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 20% c. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 30% d. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 40% e. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 50% f. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 60% g. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 70% h. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 80% i. If contaminant of interest concentration is reduced approx. 90%o j. No opinion 15. When would you rate a technology as high? (You may select more than one response) a. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 10% or greater b. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 20% or greater c. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 30% or greater d. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 40%) or greater e. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 50% or greater f. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 60% or greater g. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 70%o or greater h. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 80% or greater i. If contaminant concentration of interest is reduced 90% or greater j. No opinion C. Clean-up time (in-situ and ex-situ): Refers to the time required to complete remediation, including site closure time, hi general the technologies with high efficiency might have higher preference over technologies with low efficiency. The following questions are to survey your opinion on clean up time required for both in-situ and ex-situ remediation treatments. In-situ treatment: contaminated soil is treated without excavation. In a general setting in-situ treatment is a slow process compared to ex-situ treatment. Note: Provided that the technology is effective for Petroleum Hydrocarbon (crude oil) contaminants, the mentioned time for in-situ treatment is based on a standard site and under favorable conditions. It is assumed that contaminated site area is 40m X 40m (1600m2); the average depth of soil contamination is from the surface to a depth of 5m. The contaminated soil mass is approx. 20,000 tons. Only contaminated soil is considered for treatment 16. When using in-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a short clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 6 months or less b. Approximately 1 year or less c. Approximately 18 months or less d. Approximately 2 years or less e. Approximately 30 months or less f. Approximately 3 years or less g. Approximately 42 months or less h. Approximately 4 years or less i. Approximately 54 months or less j . Approximately 5 years or less k. No opinion 17. When using in-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a short to medium clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 6 months b. Approximately 1 year 146 c. Approximately 18 months e. Approximately 30 months g. Approximately 42 months i. Approximately 54 months k. No opinion d. Approximately 2 years f. Approximately 3 years h. Approximately 4 years j . Approximately 5 years 18. When using in-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a medium clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 6 months b. Approximately 1 year c. Approximately 18 months d. Approximately 2 years e. Approximately 30 months f. Approximately 3 years g. Approximately 42 months h. Approximately 4 years i. Approximately 54 months j . Approximately 5 years k. no opinion 19. When using in-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a medium to long clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 6 months b. Approximately 1 year c. Approximately 18 months d. Approximately 2 years e. Approximately 30 months f. Approximately 3 years g. Approximately 42 months h. Approximately 4 years i. Approximately 54 months j . Approximately 5 years k. No opinion 20. When using in-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a long clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 6 months or greater b. Approximately 1 year or greater c. Approximately 18 months or greater d. Approximately 2 years or greater e. Approximately 30 months or greater f. Approximately 3 years or greater g. Approximately 42 months or greater h. Approximately 4 years or greater i. Approximately 54 months or greater j . Approximately 5 years or greater k. No opinion Ex-situ treatment: contaminated soil is treated after excavation. In a general setting ex-situ treatment is a fast process compared to in-situ treatment. Note: Provided that the technology is effective for Petroleum Hydrocarbon (crude oil) contaminants, the mentioned time for ex-situ treatment is based on a standard site and under favorable conditions. It is assumed that contaminated site area is 40m X 40m (1600m2); the average depth of soil contamination is from the surface to a depth of 5m. The contaminated soil mass is approx. 20,000 tons. It is also assumed that the soil is excavated and treated. 21. When using ex-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a short clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 4 months or less b. Approximately 5 months or less c. Approximately 6 months or less d. Approximately 7 months or less e. Approximately 8 months or less f. Approximately 9 months or less g. Approximately 10 months or less h. Approximately 11 months or le i. Approximately 12 months or less j . No opinion 22. When using ex-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a short to medium clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 4 months b. Approximately 5 months c. Approximately 6 months d. Approximately 7 months 147 e. Approximately 8 months g. Approximately 10 months i. Approximately 12 months f. Approximately 9 months h. Approximately 11 months j . No opinion 23. When using ex-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a medium clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 4 months b. Approximately 5 months c. Approximately 6 months d. Approximately 7 months e. Approximately 8 months f. Approximately 9 months g. Approximately 10 months h. approximately 11 months i. Approximately 12 months j . no opinion 24. When using ex-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a medium to long clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 4 months b. Approximately 5 months c. Approximately 6 months d. Approximately 7 months e. Approximately 8 months f. Approximately 9 months g. Approximately 10 months h. Approximately 11 months i. Approximately 12 months j . No opinion 25. When using ex-situ treatment, what time period would you consider as a long clean-up time for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately 4 month or greater b. Approximately 5 month or greater c. Approximately 6 month or greater d. Approximately 7 month or greater e. Approximately 8 month or greater f. Approximately 9 month or greater g. Approximately 10 month or greater h. Approximately 11 month or greater i. Approximately 12 month or greater j . No opinion D. Overall Cost Includes design, construction, operations and maintenance (O&M) costs of the core process that defines each technology, exclusive of mobilization, demobilization, and pre- and post- treatment. In- situ treatment: contaminated soil is treated without excavation. Note: Provided that the technology is effective for Petroleum Hydrocarbon (crude oil) contaminants, the mentioned cost for in-situ treatment is based on a standard site and under favorable conditions. It is assumed that contaminated site area is 40m X 40m (1600m2); the average depth of soil contamination is from the surface to a depth of 5m. The contaminated soil mass is approx. 20,000 tons. Only contaminated soil is considered for treatment. 26. Which value would you consider as low cost (per cubic meter) when in-situ treatment is considered for the above case? (You may select multiple or single options) a. Approximately $50 per m3 or less b. Approximately $75 per m3 or less 3 c. Approximately $100 per m or less d. Approximately $125 per m3 or less e. Approximately $150 per m3 or less f. Approximately $175 per m3 or less g. Approximately $200 per m 3 or less h. Approximately $225 per m 3 or less i. Approximately $275 per m or less j . No opinion 3 27. Which value would you consider as low to medium cost (per cubic meter) when in-situ treatment is considered for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $50 per m3 b. Approximately $75 per m3 3 c. Approximately $100 per m d. Approximately $125 per m3 e. Approximately $150 per m3 f. Approximately $175 per m3 148 h. Approximately $225 per m3 j . No opinion g. Approximately $200 per m i. Approximately $275 per m3 28. Which value would you consider as medium cost (per cubic meter) when in-situ treatment is considered for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $50 per m3 b. Approximately $75 per m3 3 c. Approximately $100 per m d. Approximately $125 per m3 3 e. Approximately $150perm f. Approximately $175 perm3 3 g. Approximately $200 per m h. Approximately $225 per m3 3 i. Approximately $275 per m j . No opinion 29. Which value would you consider as medium to high cost (per cubic meter) when in-situ treatment is considered for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $50 per m3 b. Approximately $75 per m3 3 c. Approximately $100 per m d. Approximately $125 per m3 3 e. Approximately $150 per m f. Approximately $175 per m3 g. Approximately $200 per m3 h. Approximately $225 per m3 i. Approximately $275 per m3 j . No opinion 30. Which value would you consider as high cost (per cubic meter) when in-situ treatment is considered for the above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $50 per m3 or greater b. Approximately $75 per m3 or greater 3 c. Approximately $100 per m or greater d. Approximately $125 per m3 or greater 3 e. Approximately $150 per m or greater f. Approximately $175 per m3 or greater 3 g. Approximately $200 per m or greater h. Approximately $225 per m3 or greater i. Approximately $275 per m3 or greater j . No opinion Ex situ treatment: contaminated soil is treated after excavation and excavation cost is assumed $50/ton. Note: Provided that the technology is effective for Petroleum Hydrocarbon (crude oil) contaminants, the mentioned cost for ex-situ treatment is based on a standard site and under favorable conditions. It is assumed that contaminated site area is 40m X 40m (1600m2); the average depth of soil contamination is from the surface to a depth of 5m. The contaminated soil mass is approx. 20,000 tons. The excavation cost is $50 per ton. Excavation cost is included in the following values. 31. Which value you consider as low cost (per cubic meter) when ex-situ treatment is considered for above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $ 100 per yd3 or less b. Approximately $ 125 per yd3 or less 3 c. Approximately $150 per m or less d. Approximately $175 per m3 or less 3 e. Approximately $200 per m or less f. Approximately $225 per m3 or less 3 g. Approximately $275 per m or less h. Approximately $300 per m3 or less i. Approximately $325 per m3 or less j . No opinion 32. Which value you consider as low to medium cost (per cubic meter) when ex-situ treatment is considered for above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $ 100 per m3 b. Approximately $ 12 5 per m3 3 c. Approximately $150 per m d. Approximately $175 per m3 3 e. Approximately $200 per m f. Approximately $225 per m3 3 g. Approximately $275 per m h. Approximately $300 per m3 3 i. Approximately $325 per m j . No opinion 33. Which value you consider as medium cost (per cubic meter) when ex-situ treatment is considered for above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $100 per m3 b. Approximately $125 per m3 3 c. Approximately $150 per m d. Approximately $175 per m3 e. Approximately $200 per m3 f. Approximately $225 per m3 149 g. Approximately $275 per m3 i. Approximately $325 per m3 h. Approximately $300 per m3 j . No opinion 34. Which value you consider as medium to high cost (per cubic meter) when ex-situ treatment is considered for above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $100 per m3 b. Approximately $125 per m3 3 c. Approximately $150 per m d. Approximately $175 per m3 3 e. Approximately $200 per m f. Approximately $225 per m3 g. Approximately $275 per m3 h. Approximately $300 per m3 i. Approximately $325 per m3 j . No opinion 35. Which value you consider as high cost (per cubic meter) when ex-situ treatment is considered for above case? (You may select more than one response) a. Approximately $100 per m3 or greater b. Approximately $125 per m3 or greater 3 c. Approximately $ 150 per m or greater d. Approximately $ 175 per m3 or greater 3 e. Approximately $200 per m or greater f. Approximately $225 per m3 or greater 3 g. Approximately $275 per m or greater h. Approximately $300 per m3 or greater i. Approximately $325 per m3 or greater j . No opinion 150 APPENDIX II Introduction of Remediation Technologies A brief description of all the remediation alternatives used in the system is given below as a reference to the users of the system. The description of the following remediation alternatives and criteria information is synthesized from Lehr (2004) and USEPA (2008). 1. Enhanced bioremediation (in-situ biological treatment) Technology description Bioremediation is a general term used for the destruction of contaminants in soil, including microorganisms (e.g., yeast, fungi, or bacteria), by biological mechanisms. In enhanced bioremediation, the activity of naturally occurring microbes is stimulated by circulating water-based solutions through contaminated soils to enhance in situ biological degradation of organic contaminants or immobilization of inorganic contaminants. Nutrients, oxygen, or other amendments may be used to enhance bioremediation and contaminant desorption from subsurface materials. Bioremediation may rely on either indigenous microorganisms (i.e., those that are native to the site) or exogenous microorganisms (i.e., those that are imported from other locations. It can take place under aerobic or anaerobic conditions. Under aerobic conditions, in the presence of sufficient oxygen and other nutrient elements, microorganisms will ultimately convert many organic contaminants to carbon dioxide, water and microbial cell mass. Under anaerobic conditions (i.e., in the absence of oxygen the organic contaminants will be ultimately metabolized to methane, limited amounts of carbon dioxide and trace amounts of hydrogen gas. The main advantage of the in situ process is that it allows soil to be treated without being excavated and transported, resulting in less disturbance of site activities. When the clean up goal can be attained in an acceptable time frame, it can save costs to the projects. This kind of process mostly requires longer time periods and there is an uncertainty about the quality of the treatment. a) Community acceptability: Above average; b) Minimum achievable concentration: Above average; c) Clean up time: The length of time required for treatment can range from 6 months to 5 years and is dependent on many site-specific factors; 151 d) Clean up cost: Bioremediation is cost competitive. Typical costs for enhanced bioremediation range from $30 to $100 per cubic meter ($20 to $80 per cubic yard) of soil; e) Development status: Above average (Full scale); f) Technology availability: More than 4 vendors and commercially available; g) Maintenance requirement: Average maintenance required. Access to the site for unexpected repairs, adjustments, and regular maintenance is likely to be limited; h) Regulatory acceptability: Average. 2. Bioventing (in-situ biological treatment) Technology description Bioventing stimulates the naturally occurring soil microorganisms to degrade compounds in soil by providing oxygen. Oxygen is most commonly supplied through direct air injection into soil. Passive bioventing systems use natural air exchange to deliver oxygen to the subsurface via bioventing wells. The rate of natural degradation is generally limited by the lack of oxygen and other electron acceptors (i.e., a compound that gains electrons during Biodegradation rather than by the lack of nutrients (i.e., electron donors). a) Community acceptability: Above average; b) Minimum achievable concentration: All aerobically biodegradable constituents can be treated by bioventing. Bioventing techniques have been successfully used to remediate soils contaminated by petroleum hydrocarbons, nonchlorinated solvents, some pesticides, wood preservatives, and other organic chemicals. These techniques, while still largely experimental, show considerable promise of stabilizing or removing inorganics from soil; c) Clean up time: Average, 1-3 years; d) Clean up cost: For small site $709 to $742 per cubic yard and for large site $60 to $84 per cubic yard ($928 to $970 per cubic meter or $79 to $109 cubic meter respectively); e) Development status: Above average (Full). f) Technology availability: More than 4 vendors. Bioventing is becoming more common and most of the hardware components are readily available; g) Maintenance requirement: Above average (low maintenance required); 152 h) Regulatory acceptability: Average; 3. Phytoremediation (in-situ biological treatment) Technology description: Phytoremediation is a process that uses plants to remove, transfer, stabilize, and destroy contaminants in soil and sediment. Contaminants may be either organic or inorganic. a) Community acceptability: Below average; b) Ability to achieve minimum concentration: Data not available; c) Clean up time: Below average, more than 3 years. The time required to remediate a site using bioventing is highly dependent upon the specific soil and chemical properties of the contaminated media; d) Clean up cost: For small site $479 to $1775, for large site $479 to $1775 ($626 to $2,322 and$147 to $483 per cubic meter); e) Development status of the technology: Above average (full scale); f) Technology availability: 2-4 vendors; g) Maintenance requirement: Below average (high maintenance required); h) Regulatory acceptability: Below average. 4. Soil vapor extraction (in-situ physical/chemical treatment) Technology description In soil vapor extraction technique a vacuum is applied to the soil to induce the controlled flow of air and remove volatile and some semi volatile contaminants from the soil. The gas leaving the soil may be treated to recover or destroy the contaminants, depending on local and state air discharge regulations. Vertical extraction vents are typically used at depths of 1.5 meters or greater and have been successfully applied as deep as 91 meters. Horizontal extraction vents (installed in trenches or horizontal borings) can be used as warranted by contaminant zone geometry, drill rig access, or other site-specific factors. a) Community acceptability: Average; 153 b) Minimum achievable concentration: Average; c) Clean up time: The duration of operation and maintenance for in situ SVE is typically medium- to long-term. In situ SVE projects are typically completed in 1 to 3 years; d) Overall cost: Cost for SVE of contaminated soil varies from $944-$ 1,100 /cubic yard for a small site and for large site $300-$722/cubic yard; e) Development status: Full; f) Availability of the technology: Above average, more than 4 vendors; g) Maintenance: Low maintenance and high reliability; h) Regulatory permitting acceptability: Average; 5. Biopiles / static pile (ex- situ biological treatment) Technology description: Excavated soils are mixed with soil amendments and placed in aboveground enclosures. It is an aerated static pile composting process in which compost is formed into piles and aerated with blowers or vacuum pumps. Biopiles are engineered systems in which excavated soils are combined with soil amendments, formed into compost piles and enclosed for treatment. They are commonly provided with an air distribution system by blowers or vacuum pumps. The leachate must be collected and treated. Several properties of the process such as nutrients and oxygen can be controlled in order to enhance the remediation procedure. This technology is used to reduce concentrations of petroleum constituents in excavated soils. The treatment area will generally be covered or contained with an impermeable liner to minimize the risk of contaminants leaching into uncontaminated soil. a) Community acceptability: Data not available and it is site specific; b) Minimum achievable concentration: Data not available; Biopile treatment has been applied to treatment of nonhalogenated VOCs and fuel hydrocarbons. Halogenated VOCs, SVOCs and pesticides can also be treated; c) Clean up time: approximate 0.5 to 1 year; d) Clean up cost: Typical costs with a prepared bed and liner are $130 to $260 per cubic meter ($30 to $60 per cubic yard); e) Development status of the technology: Above average (full scale). More than 4 vendors; 154 f) Technology availability: Above average (full scale).The technology is commercially available for treating fuel contamination; g) Maintenance requirement: Above average (low maintenance required); h) Regulatory acceptability: Data not available. 5. Landfarming (ex-situ biological treatment) Technology description: Landfarming, also known as land treatment or land application, is an above-ground remediation technology for soils. It reduces concentrations of petroleum constituents through biodegradation. Contaminated soils are mixed with soil amendments such as soil bulking agents and nutrients and then tilled into the earth. The soil is spread over an area and periodically turned to improve aeration. Turning the soil also avoids the disadvantages of having heterogeneous degradation. Soil conditions are controlled to optimize the rate of contaminant degradation. The enhanced microbial activity results in degradation of adsorbed petroleum product constituents through microbial respiration. The petroleum industry has used landfarming for many years. Contaminated soil, sediment, or sludge is excavated, applied into lined beds, and periodically turned over or tilled to aerate the waste. Landfarming is extremely simple and inexpensive. Requires no process controls. Relatively unskilled personnel can perform the technique. Certain pollutants can be completely removed from the soil. a) Community acceptability: Average; b) Minimum achievable concentration/ technology applicability: Average; Land farming has been proven most successful in treating petroleum hydrocarbons and other less volatile biodegradable contaminants. Because lighter, more volatile hydrocarbons such as gasoline are treated very successfully by processes that use their volatility (i.e., soil vapor extraction), the use of aboveground bioremediation is usually limited to heavier hydrocarbons. As a rule of thumb, the higher the molecular weight (and the more rings with a PAH), the slower the degradation rate; c) Clean up time: approximate 0.5 to 1 year; d) Clean up cost: Costs prior to treatment (assumed to be independent of volume to be treated): $25,000 to $50,000 for laboratory studies; and less than $100,000 for pilot tests or field demonstrations. Cost of prepared 155 bed (ex situ treatment and placement of soil on a prepared liner): Under $100 per cubic meter (under $75 per cubic yard); e) Development status of the technology: Above average (full scale); 1) Technology availability: Above average, more than 4 vendors; g) Maintenance requirement: Low maintenance required; h) Regulatory acceptability: Average; 6. Slurry phase treatment (ex-situ biological treatment) Technology description: An aqueous slurry is created by combining soil, sediment, or sludge with water and other additives. The slurry is mixed to keep solids suspended and microorganisms in contact with the soil contaminants. Upon completion of the process, the slurry is dewatered and the treated soil is disposed of. a) Community acceptability: Average; b) Minimum achievable concentration: Average ; c) Clean up time: approximate 0.5 to 1 year; d) Clean up cost: Treatment costs using slurry reactors range from $130 to $200 per cubic meter ($100 to $150 per cubic yard). Costs ranging from $160 to $210 per cubic meter ($125 to $160 per cubic yard) are incurred when the slurry-bioreactor off-gas has to be further treated because of the presence of volatile compounds; e) Development status of the technology: Above average (full scale); f) Technology availability: Above average, More than 4 vendors; g) Maintenance requirement: Average maintenance required; h) Regulatory acceptability: Above average; 7. Low temperature thermal desorption-LTTD (ex-situ thermal treatment) Technology description: In LTTD, wastes are heated to between 90 and 320 °C (200 to 600 CF). Decontaminated soil retains its physical properties. Unless being heated to the higher end of the LTTD temperature range, organic components in the soil are not damaged, which enables treated soil to retain the ability to support future biological activity. 156 a) Community acceptability: Average; b) Minimum achievable concentration/ technology applicability: Above average. The technology is targeted to semi volatile halogenated and non-halogenated organic compounds, as well as other organics. LTTD is a full-scale technology that has been proven successful for remediating petroleum hydrocarbon contamination in all types of soil. Contaminant destruction efficiencies in the afterburners of these units are greater than 95%. c) Clean up time: Less than 0.5 year; d) Clean up cost: Cleanup cost for LTTD is approximate $75-$232/cubic yard for a small site. For a large site the cost may vary from $44-$ 110; e) Development status of the technology: Above average, full scale; f) Technology availability: Above average, more than 4 vendors. Thermal desorption is a well established technology; g) Maintenance requirement: Average; h) Regulatory acceptability: Average. 8. Soil washing (ex-situ physical/chemical treatment) Technology description: Soil washing uses water to remove contaminants from soils. The process works by either dissolving or suspending contaminants in the wash solution. Contaminants which are absorbed onto soil particles are separated from soil in an aqueous based system. High pressure water can be used to aid the removal from the surface. a) Community acceptability: Above average; b) Minimum achievable concentration/ technology applicability: The target contaminant groups for this technology are SVOCs, fuels and heavy metals, including radionuclides. The technology can be used on selected VOCs and pesticides; c) Clean up time: Less than 0.5 year; d) Clean up cost: Cost for soil washing is approximately $142/cubic yard for small site and for large site approximately $53/cubic yard; e) Development status of the technology: Above average, full scale; 157 f) Technology availability: The technology of soil washing is used extensively in Europe. Commercialization in the United States is not yet extensive; More than four vendors, above average g) Maintenance requirement: Low maintenance required; h) Regulatory permitting acceptability: Average. 9. Soilflushing(in-situ physical chemical treatment) Technology description Water, or water containing an additive to enhance contaminant solubility, is applied to the soil or injected into the ground water to raise the water table into the contaminated soil zone. Contaminants are leached into the ground water, which is then extracted and treated. a) Community acceptability: Average; b) Minimum achievable concentration/ technology applicability: Below average. The target contaminant group for soilflushingis inorganics including radioactive contaminants. The technology can be used to treat VOCs, SVOCs, fuels, and pesticides, but it may be less cost-effective than alternative technologies for these contaminant groups; c) Clean up time: 1 to 3 years; d) Clean up cost: The cost of soil flushing depends greatly on the type and concentration of surfactants used, if they are used at all. Rough estimates ranging from $25 to $250 per cubic yard have been reported. e) Development status of the technology: Above average, full scale; f) Technology availability: Above average, more than 4 vendors; g) Maintenance requirement: Average; h) Regulatory acceptability: Below average (worse). 158