CRUDE FEDERALISM: DECENTRALIZATION AND CONTROL OVER OIL AND GAS RESOURCES IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION by Joel Alan Palmer B.A., University of Calgary, 1993 THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF .... 'Of<•~ ""'- <#f ··-·- · · · . • ·-- ...... ... .i. THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF ARTS ill POLITICAL SCIENCE © Joel Alan Palmer, 1997 THE UNIVERSITY OF NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA April1997 All rights reserved. This work may not be reproduced in whole or in part, by photocopy or other means, without the permission of the author. ABSTRACT This thesis explores how the decentralization of control over Russia's oil and natural gas resources is shaping Russian federalism. A political-economic methodology is employed that draws from literature on decentralization, federalism, intergovernmental relations in the Russian Federation, and the Russian oil and gas sector. The study focuses on how and why some of Russia's regions have secured relatively more autonomy from the centre. It is argued that under Russia' s asymmetrical brand of federalism, regions with the administrative status of "autonomous republic" and natural resource-rich regions have been able to build stronger bases of regional power and authority because they are negotiating from positions of strength in intergovernmental relations. Autonomous republics have been delegated legal and political-administrative powers that the rest of Russia' s regions simply do not possess. The distribution of control over Russia's abundant oil and gas resources has changed since the collapse of the Soviet Union and, though there has been some decentralization in the oil and gas sector, the Russian government retains decisive influence in these strategic industries. The other main beneficiaries of oil and gas development are the producing regions, a significant improvement from Soviet times to be sure. Examinations of the Sakha Republic (Y akutia) and Tyumen' Oblast, including the autonomous okrugs of Khanty-Mansiisk and Yamal-Nenets, demonstrate both the importance of republic status, and the political power derived from natural resource wealth. The thesis concludes that the push for Russian "federalization" will continue to be led by republics and resource-rich regions, and that Russian federalism is attainable as long as asymmetries do not become overly acute. ii Abstract TABLE OF CONTENTS ii Table of Contents 111 List of Tables and Figures IV Acknowledgements v INTRODUCTION 1 4 5 7 Terms, Concepts, and Relevant Literature Decentralization Federalism Oil and Natural Gas in a Federal State Russian Federalism Research Design/Methodology 14 20 Chapter Two The Russian Oil and Gas Sector Introduction The Oil Industry Legislation and Licensing Privitization and Industrial Reorganization Export Quotas and Access to Pipelines Prices Taxation and Resource R ent The Natural Gas Industry Conclusion 23 23 25 27 33 41 44 47 51 56 Chapter Three Russian Federalism and Oil and Gas: Examples of the Sakha Republic and Tyumen' Oblast Introduction The Sakha Republic Background Decentralization The Sakha Oil and Gas Sector Tyumen' Oblast Background Decentralization The Tyumen' Oil and Gas Sector Conclusion 58 58 59 59 62 71 80 80 80 84 86 Chapter Four Conclusion 90 Chapter One 10 96 Bibliography iii LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES Figure 1-1 Map of Russia's Territorial-Administrative Structure and Natural Resource Endowments 17 Table 2-1 Oil Production for Russia and West Siberia, Selected Years, 1980-1993 25 Figure 2-1 Map of Russia' s Major Oil Regions 26 Figure 2-2 Organizational Structure of the Russian Oil Industry 38 Figure 2-3 Map of Russia's Major Natural Gas Regions 52 Figure 3-1 Map of the Sakha Republic 60 Table 3-1 Sakhalnvest's Holdings By Industry 70 Figure 3-2 Organizational Structure of Sakhaneftegaz 73 Figure 3-3 Yakutian Gas Pipeline Proposals, 1968-1974 76 Figure 3-4 Planned Pipeline Routes for the "Vostok" Plan 78 iv ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This project would not have been possible without the unwavering support of my family: Alan and Kathy, with constant assistance and understanding, you allow me to realize my goals; Neal, a model of hard work and dedication, you make me push myself through difficult times; and Cheryl, your enthusiasm is my motivation and keeps me smiling. I love you all dearly. This project would not have been bearable without my friends. In particular, I would like to thank the present and former members of "909" -- Rich Little, Dan Bernier, Brian Bowman, Sean Simmons and Jon Schulli -- and all of the other great friends I have made here in Prince George. To Jim Ackroyd who taught me how to excel in university-- and enjoy it! A special thank you to Jim Astley who is everything a best friend should be, and then some. I will not forget your generosity. To Lily Astley, and Ken and Yvonne Chow, who made me feel a part of their family and who often fed this poor hungry bachelor. And to Rachelle Astley, my newest inspiration in life. This project would not have been as gratifying without the fraternity of my fellow graduate students: Shannon, Sara, Steve, Don, Meryl, Shauna and Tracey; but especially Chris Ghazouly who "survived" Russia with me. Hey Chris. Done! May you all find happiness and success in life. This project would not have been as rewarding without the experiences and materials gathered in Russia. To Sheena Trimble, your hard work made the exchange program possible. Also, the trip would not have been affordable without a research grant from the N orthem Scientific Training Program. Most importantly, I must thank the many people in Russia who made my stay exciting, interesting and enjoyable. To Clavdia, who arranged and scheduled many of my interviews; to Giorgi, who interpreted many of my interviews; to my hostess, Liuda Nikolaeva, whose hospitality and friendship will always be remembered; and to all of the friends I made in Y akutsk, Sakha -- especially Marina and the Zhmurov family, Aleksandr and Vera, Sasha, and "professor" Sergei. This project would not have been defensible without the assistance of many faculty members here at UNBC. To Dr. Edwin Black and Dr. Mary Louise McAllister, who taught me to think of political science in a new light. To Dr. Greg Poelzer and Dr. Gail Fondahl, who provided positive comments and guidance throughout. A special and final acknowledgment goes to my supervisor, Dr. John Young, whose door was always open. This thesis could not have been completed without your encouragement and sound advice. v INTRODUCTION The disintegration of the Soviet Union has left the Russian Federation in a period of extensive economic, social and political transition, from a totalitarian state to some semblance of democratic federalism. One of the many elements of this transition is to develop and institutionalize a new .balance of power between the central government in Moscow and the dozens of regional governments.1 One of the key issues in the process of establishing a new division of powers between the centre and regions is the redistribution of control over Russia's natural resources. This thesis focuses on the decentralization of economic and political power in post-Soviet Russia, with specific attention to the oil and natural gas sector. Analysis of the Russian oil and gas industries helps to illustrate the type of federal system that is emerging in Russia. During its last two decades of existence, oil and gas were the Soviet Union's most important and most valuable economic resources. The oil and gas sector continues to be extremely important to the post-Soviet Russian state: it provides employment for many thousands of people; it fuels much of Russia's highly industrial economy; it provides massive revenues for government budgets; and oil and gas account for over half of Russia's foreign currency earnings, for Russia presently has little else to offer. Quite simply, the health and stability of the Russian economy depend critically on the oil and gas industry. Russia's central, regional and local governments are all struggling for control over the oil and gas industries as this control is truly a form of economic and political empowerment. While not all regions in Russia 1 For the purposes of this thesis, the term "centre" refers to the central government in Moscow, while "region" refers principally to the eighty-nine administrative units or "subjects" (sub" ekty) of the Russian Federation. 1 are endowed with oil and gas resources, oil and gas are important factors in the division of power in post-Soviet Russia. Decentralization and control over natural resources are considerable issues in any federally organized state, but in Russia these are particularly relevant issues. The collapse of the Soviet system left Russia and the other successor states with a political and economic void. Russia was left to establish new institutions to fill this void and a power struggle between the federal centre and the regions has coincided with this endeavour. Historically subject to strict subordination by Moscow, Russia's regions were quick to use the period of instability to assert power within their perceived jurisdictions, and oil and gas are valuable instruments of power in this process. The struggle for control over natural resources has various implications for Russian federalism. Just as Peter Rutland argues that if privatization "were really to succeed in Russia, one would expect to see it making inroads into the oil and gas industry,"2 it is similarly argued herein that if decentralization is really occurring in Russia, one would expect to see evidence of it in the oil and gas sector because it is possible that the struggle for control over Russia's oil and gas is playing a significant part in shaping post-Soviet Russian federalism. Specifically, this thesis investigates how the distribution of control over Russia's oil and gas resources is affecting the nature of Russian federalism. It is argued that natural resource endowment and the "status" of republic within the Russian Federation greatly improve a region's chances of becoming more autonomous from the centre. This thesis investigates broadly three elements of post-Soviet Russian federalism: (1) decentralization and the increased power of Russia's regions; (2) asymmetrical federalism, that is, the unequal rights and powers of Russia's four regional administrative units -- autonomous Peter Rutland, "Privatisation in Russia: One Step Forward: Two Steps Back?", Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 46, No. 7, 1994,1109-1131,1119. 2 2 republics, oblasts, krais and autonomous okrugs; and (3) the redistribution of control in the Russian oil and gas sector. Chapter one considers the concepts of decentralization and federalism so that they may be applied to the Russian Federation. The chapter also covers oil and gas development in federal states, with a brief discussion of oil and gas in Canada. Chapter two examines the reorganization of the post-Soviet Russian oil and gas sector to illustrate one aspect of decentralization -- the decentralization of economic power and resources from governments to market, quasi-market and non-governmental organizations. At this point, it is argued that while privatization has led to some decentralization of the oil and gas industries, the central government still retains strategic control. Chapter three is a study of Tyumen' Oblast and the Sakha Republic. In terms of natural resources, these are two of Russia's wealthiest regions. The chapter concludes that republic status and natural resource endowment are two of the most valuable sources of political power for Russia's regions. Finally, chapter four summarizes the main conclusions of the thesis, speculates somewhat about the future of Russian federalism, and offers suggestions for further research in this field. 3 Chapter 1 TERMS, CONCEPTS, AND RELEVANT LITERATURE Five years have passed since the collapse of the Soviet Union and some quality literature on Russian federalism has now emerged.3 A variety of approaches have been employed to investigate Russian federalism. This thesis argues that the most effective approach to the study of Russian federalism is one which examines specific issues of jurisdiction and specific cases of the centre-regional division of powers. 4 Accordingly, a direct approach is taken here, one which investigates the redistribution of control taking place in the Russian oil and gas sector, and analyzes the specific cases of two regions -- the Republic of Sakha (Y akutia) and Tyumen' Oblast -- with emphasis on the oil and gas industries of these regions. This thesis draws from four separate but related bodies of literature: (1) literature on decentralization; (2) general literature on federalism; (3) recent literature on post-Soviet Russian federalism; and (4) studies of the Russian oil and gas sector. These subject areas are fused herein to determine how the struggle for control over oil and gas resources is shaping the development of Russian federalism. To begin, however, this chapter reviews the pertinent literature in these fields of study. 3 Recent research includes Robert Sharlet, "The Prospects for Federalism in Russian Constitutional Politics," Publius, 24, Spring 1994, 115-127; Edward W. Walker, "Federalism-- Russian Style: The Federation Provisions in Russia's New Constitution," Problems of Post-Communism, July-August 1995, 3-12; Darrell Slider, "Federalism, Discord, and Accomodation," in Theodore H. Friedgut and Jeffrey Hahn, eds., Local Power and PostSoviet Politics (Armonk, N.Y.: M.E. Sharpe, 1994), 239-269; James Voorhees, "Russian Federalism and Reform," Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 2, No. 4, 1995, 549-564. 4 This argument is also made by Steven Solnick, "The Political Economy of Russian Federalism: Problems of Measurement and Analysis," prepared for the 1995 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Ill., 31 August- 3 September, 1995; and Daniel R. Kempton, "The Republic of Sakba (Yakutia): The Evolution of Centre-Periphery Relations in the Russian Federation," Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 48, No. 4, 1996, 587-613. 4 Decentralization Decentralization is a frequently used term in academic literature, but one which encompasses a complex and varied set of phenomena that may be interpreted in a number of different ways. It is a term which sparks much interest and is presently a common theme of policy debates in almost all Western countries. Deservedly or not, the concept of decentralization seems to have inherited the halo of efficiency and is leading to major changes in constitutional, financial and other structures in many countries. But what is decentralization? And how, if at all, can it be measured? Simply, decentralization refers to the dispersal or distribution of power and authority away from a centre. A "centre" may exist on many different levels -- global, national, regional, local, or even within a community -- anywhere power and authority are concentrated relative to the "periphery" of a given territory or organization. With such a definition of decentralization, however, a proper understanding of power and authority is necessary. Max Weber offers a useful conceptualization of the nature of power and authority. In Weber's view, power consists of the ability of a person or group of people to realize their own will even against the resistance of others who are participating in the action. Authority is power acknowledged to be legitimate or right by both superordinate and subordinate.5 Given the multitude of organizational structures that may exist, decentralization is difficult to measure. Rousseau and Zariski (1987) view centralization and decentralization as "sensitizing concepts" that force us to ask what the concentration or dispersion of power means in terms of the functioning of specific organizational structures. 6 In this vein, power, in its centralized or decentralized form, is best conceptualized as varying along a continuum rather than as a simple 5 H. H. Gerth and C. Wright Mills, eds., From Max Weber: Essays in Sociology (Boston: Routledge & Kegan Paul Ltd., 1948). 6 Marc 0 . Rousseau and Raphael Zariski, Regionalism and Regional Devolution in Comparative Perspective (New York: Praeger, 1987). 5 dichotomy, because structures and processes of central and regional power inevitably vary between countries and over time. An understanding of decentralization is essential to the study of contemporary Russia. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, decentralization of power and authority in Russia has proceeded at a relatively rapid pace. This has much to do with Russia's former position as a member of the Soviet Union. The Soviet system was extremely centralized, a characteristic viewed by some as the main reason behind the failure of the system. Decentralization, then, may be considered a natural reaction to the hypercentrism of the Soviet state. Political democracy and a market economy both require a level of decentralized power and authority that did not exist in the Soviet Union. This thesis pursues two principal aspects of decentralization. The first is the decentralization of economic power and resources from governments to markets and nongovernmental organizations; and the second is intergovernmental, that is, the decentralization of political power and authority, and administrative discretion, from the central government to regional governments. 7 Decentralization differs from devolution which refers to the "transfer of power or authority from a central government to a regional or local one." 8 Such a defmition of devolution makes it inappropriate for general use in this thesis for two key reasons. First, devolution does not encompass the passage of power from governments to markets. Second, as a transfer of power and authority, devolution implies a conscious effort by the centre to decentralize, and this has often not been the case in Russia's chaotic constitutional-legal environment where much power and authority has decentralized de facto. 7 Robert J. Bennett, "Decentralization, Intergovemmental Relations and Markets: Towards a Post-Welfare Agenda," in Robert J. Bennett, ed., Decentralization, Local Governments, and Markets (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1990), 1-26. 8 Peter Clancy, "Politics by Remote Control: Historical Perspectives on Devolution in Canada's North," in Gurston Dacks, ed., Devolution and Constitutional Development in the Canadian North (Ottawa: Carleton University Press, 1990), 13-42. 6 For the purposes of this thesis, then, decentralization remains broadly defined along both market and governmental dimensions. As these two forms of decentralization occur, a new arrangement or organization of power and authority is required among different tiers of government and between government and non-governmental organizations. In other words, both governmental and non-governmental relationships enter a state of flux. These fluid relationships, and the importance of oil and gas to the reorganization of power and authority in the Russian Federation is studied here. Federalism Following the disintegration of the Soviet Union, the territory that comprised the former Russian Soviet Federated Socialist Republic (RSFSR) became the Russian Federation. This new name implies that Russia now possesses a "federal" system. But is Russia truly federal? Although a thorough analysis of Russian federalism is beyond the scope of this thesis, the study of natural resources in general, and oil and gas in particular, can illuminate certain dimensions of intergovernmental relations. To do so, however, we need to question what the term federalism represents, and how we may distinguish between federalism and regional devolution. Federalism refers to a constitutional division of power between central and regional levels of government, in which each of these two orders of government possesses some exclusive jurisdiction of its own. Other conditions to be met in order for a country to be deemed federal include (1) a constitutional guarantee of the continued existence and territorial integrity of the regional units of government; (2) an upper house of parliament, normally elected directly or indirectly by the people of the regions, which represents the regions and which has some power to block or delay legislation originating in the lower house; (3) possession by the regions of some measure of discretion in shaping and regulating their respective systems of local government; and 7 (4) the exercise of some control over centre-regional relations by a constitutional court wielding the power of judicial review. 9 Regional devolution is evident in unitary systems where central government power is supreme. Under a system of regional devolution, a constitution may recognize the existence of regional governments, but the regions possess no exclusive powers and a central government agent can intervene directly in regional affairs by blocking or repealing regional legislation. Also, and similar to federalism, with regional devolution the regions have an elected parliament and cabinets responsible to that parliament, both of which may not be dissolved or suspended by a central government official. This immunity is an important distinction between regional devolution and a unitary prefectoral system. 10 Thus, with regional devolution, regional governments exist, but they are highly subordinate to the central government, far more so than with federalism. A H. Birch identifies four approaches to the study of federalism. 11 The first is the institutional approach stemming from K. C. Wheare's seminal book Federal Government (1946). Wheare' s comparative study viewed federalism as a system of government in which the federal and regional governments are both coordinate and independent. 12 However, Wheare's narrow defmition, based on legal-juridical writings, has been challenged by other scholars who suggest that a country may be defmed as federal not simply by what the constitution says, but how it is employed. Second is the sociological approach, advanced by W. H. Livingston in Federalism and Constitutional Change (1956). For Livingston, the essence of federalism is to be found not in the 9 Rousseau and Zariski, Regionalism, 32. Ibid., 33. 11 A. H. Birch, "Approaches to the Study of Federalism," Political Studies, February 14, 1966, 15-33. 12 K. C. Wheare, Federal Government (London: Oxford Press, 1946). 10 8 constitutional or institutional structure, but in the society itself. 13 Social diversity is said to be reflected in political phenomena which Livingston calls "federal instrumentalities." Perhaps Livingston's greatest contribution was his conclusion that federalism is not an absolute, but a relative term -- that there exists no model of federalism, rather federalism is more accurately . d as a spectrum. 14 vtewe A third approach treats federalism as a process rather than as a static form of government. It argues that federal relations are always in flux, thus a federally organized country must have institutions that are capable of directing the periodic revision of its structure. C. J. Friedrich champions this approach in Trends of Federalism in Theory and Practice (1968), with the following defmition of federalism: the process of federalizing a political community, that is to say, the process by which a number of separate political communities enter into arrangements for working out solutions, adopting joint policies, and making joint decisions on joint problems, and, conversely, also the process by which a unitary political community becomes differentiated into a federally organized whole .... In short, we have federalism only if a set of communities coexist and interact as autonomous entities, united in a . h an autonomy of.1ts own. 15 common order w1t With this approach, one must seek to identify the factors which foster or impede differentiation or integration because federalism may operate in both directions. The fourth approach identifies federalism as a bargain, focusing directly on political and administrative aspects. In connection with this approach, W. H. Riker defines federalism simply, indicating that a country' s "constitution is federal if it provides for two levels of government, each of which has at least one area of action in which it is autonomous, and each of which has "some guarantee (even though merely a statement in the constitution)" of its contained autonomy within 13 W. H. Livingston, Federalism and Constitutional Change (Oxford: Oxford Press, 1956). Ibid., 4. 15 Carl J. Friedrich, Trends of Federalism in Theory and Practice (New York: Frederick A. Praeger, 1968), 7-8. 14 9 its sphere." 16 He suggests that such a constitution is always the result of a political bargain. Also, an important distinction is made between centralized and peripheralized federal systems: centralized if the federal centre is relatively powerful, peripheralized if the federal centre is sharply constrained. Riker goes on to conclude that such factors as the division of governmental powers, the extent of governmental activities, and the survival of provincial loyalties and belief in region's rights will influence the nature and working of the federal system, but it is the structure of the party system that determines how long the system is maintained. 17 Each of these approaches is more or less applicable to the Russian case, and each certainly has merit and contributes to the study of federalism. This thesis draws somewhat from each approach in an effort to better understand Russian federalization. But it is insufficient to discuss Russian federalism without examining specific aspects of the division of powers. Thus, much of the focus herein is on the decentralization of powers -- generally, as they exist in the Russian natural resources sector, and specifically the oil and gas industries. During this time of transition and structural reform, control over oil and gas is a particularly valuable source of economic and political power, and the struggles for this control -- between both centre and region, and public and private -- offer excellent insights into the dynamics of Russian federalism. Oil and Natural Gas in a Federal State In a federal state, oil and natural gas development raiSes many questions: develop the resources? What is the time preference for development? resource rent 18 from development? population? Who will Who will collect the How will resource rent be distributed amongst the And which government will have the power and authority to manage the resources? W. H. Riker, Federalism: Origin, Operation, Significance (Boston: Little, Brown and Co., 1964). Ibid. , 20-21. 18 Resource rent represents income generated in excess of what a producer would normally receive in terms of returns on investment (i.e. labour and capital) and is discussed more thoroughly in Chapter 2. 16 17 10 In a federal state, these issues are normally resolved cooperatively between the central, regional and, occasionally, local governments. Issues of resource rent and revenue redistribution are often the most contentious and cumbersome in federal oil and gas negotiations. However, from questions of revenue and resource rent we must proceed to more comprehensive questions of control over oil and gas development because the existing distribution of control over oil and gas development in a federal state has a direct connection with the more specific questions of resource rent and its distribution. Issues concerning control over oil and gas, such as ownership of land and resources and the jurisdiction to manage the resources, will affect the quantity and distribution of resource rent from oil and gas development. Issues surrounding the collection of resource rent and its redistribution may test even the most stable of federations. In Canada, for instance, windfall profits from oil and gas during the late 1970s and early 1980s led to serious centre-regional conflict. In Canada, the provinces (i.e. regions) have the authority to control oil and gas development in all its aspects: "they have the authority to control where wells are placed; the rate of production; construction of roads, processing plants, and local pipelines; safety for workers; pollution; accidents; noise; and impacts on wildlife among other things." 19 The province of Alberta, producer of over 80 percent of Canadian oil and gas and legal owner of its natural resources under the Canadian constitution, enjoyed windfall profits as a result of the world oil price increases of the 1970s. Alberta's economic boom, however, skewed the existing system of federal revenue redistribution. 20 In response to this systemic stress, the Canadian government introduced new taxes and attempted to 19 Susan Blackman, "The Powers of Canadian Provincial and Federal Governments With Respect to Management of Oil and Gas Resources," in Energy Resources Development in Federal States (Calgary: Canadian Institute of Resources Law, 1995), 6-11. Federal and provincial powers in natural resource industries are found mainly in Articles 91 and 92 of the Canadian constitution, respectively. 20 See John F. Helliwell, The Distribution of Energy Revenues within Canada: Functional or Factional Federalism ?, Resources Paper No. 48 (Vancouver: University of British Columbia Department of Economics, February 1980). 11 restructure the existing tax regime for the oil and gas sector in order to capture a greater share of resource rent. Alberta then reacted by restructuring its system of royalty payments. The ensuing jurisdictional feuds did not abate until well into the 1980s. Other than the threat posed by Quebecois nationalism, the intergovernmental dispute over oil and gas during the late 1970s and early 1980s was arguably the strongest test of Canadian federalism in the past thirty years. Control over oil and gas has also become a primary goal of Canada's territorial governments in recent years as they pursue greater autonomy from the Canadian government. 21 As Susan Blackman argues, "conflict over energy resources has been some of the most antagonistic intergovernmental conflict in Canada.'m Oil and gas issues have caused similar centre-regional disputes in the United States where the regions (or states) also have the power to control natural resource development. 23 Oil and gas issues are of even greater significance in Russia than in federations such as Canada or the United States, both of which have relatively stable, diversified market economies. Moscow is not about to forfeit oil and gas revenues, and the power that they bring, to the sparsely populated oil and gas producing regions of Siberia. Thus, as with the process of federalization, the process of redistributing control over Russian oil and gas remains very fluid. As Dienes (1996) explains: The long, drawn out tug-of-war between the federal center and Russia's factious republics and regions also has a bearing on the way the Russian oil and gas industry is privatized and managed in the future. In turn, the transformation of administrative, semi-feudal control into one exercised through newly acquired ownership (essentially by the same elite) is greatly 21 For an analysis of devolution and control over oil and gas in Canada's territories see Gurston Dacks, "The Quest for Northern Oil and Gas Accords," in Gurston Dacks, ed., Devolution and Constitutional Development in the Canadian North (Ottawa: Carleton University Press, 1990), 225-266. 22 Susan Blackman, "Introduction to Intergovernmental Agreements," in Energy Resource Development in Federal States (Calgary: Canadian Institute of Resources Law, 1995), 12-18. 23 See, for example, David Howard Davis, Energy Politics (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1993), chapters 3 and 4. 12 facilitated by that struggle. The unfinished legal framework is both the result of and an instrument in that still uncompleted drive for power. 24 Governments across all of Russia are grappling with budget crises, and oil and gas resources are important components of this problem-- for producing regions looking to increase revenues and for regions of high consumption trying to minimize costs. Russia, like Canada, possesses an economy dominated by raw material extraction and export. In 1994, for example, fuel exports accounted for over half of all export earnings for the Russian Federation, with metals and diamonds accounting for another 25 percent. 25 Who in fact controls Russia's petroleum resources is of consequence to every region of the country and the distribution of this control is playing a significant role in shaping Russian federalism. The issue of control over oil and gas is still more consequential because, at present, Russia's system of federal revenue redistribution is weak at best. For example, in 1994 the Sakha Republic withheld all its taxes from the federal government, but financed both federal and regional programs from its own budget?6 A similar arrangement may be appropriate for oil- and gas-rich regions because tax collection remains unreliable and federal subsidies appear to be based more on political motives than on the actual needs of given regions. 27 But for the sake of efficiency and fairness, a stable centre-regional division of powers and an effective system of taxation and collection will need to precede a concrete federal system of revenue redistribution. The question of which level of government should have the power to capture resource rents from Russia's oil and gas remains complex. The struggle for this power is intense and has numerous implications for Russia's continued federalization and state-building. Clearly, control Leslie Dienes, Corporate Russia: Privatization and Prospects in the Russian Oil and Gas Sector, Paper No.5 (University of Washington: Jackson School oflntemational Studies, 1996), 11. 25 Ibid., 43 . 26 Voorhees, "Russian Federalism and Reform." 27 For more on this see Christine I. Wallich, ed., Russia and the Challenge of Fiscal Federalism (Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 1994). 24 13 over oil and gas is a matter of shared jurisdiction and will require cooperation and compromise from all levels of government. Joint authority over all mineral resources, including oil and gas, is entrenched in Article 72 of the constitution of the Russian Federation. A central concern of this thesis then, is how "joint authority" is actually being interpreted and practiced. Russian Federalism Given the size and diversity of the Russian Federation, centre-regional relations are critical to federal state-building. The Russian federalization process is moving in the direction of differentiation discussed by Friedrich;28 consequently, the relationship between the centre and the regions is changing quickly, profoundly, and often unpredictably. Nationalism is gaining strength in some regions, making central authorities wary about the extent and pace of decentralization. Research on centre-regional relations in the Russian Federation is emerging. Some of the literature deals directly with the two regions studied here -- the Sakha Republic and Tyumen' Oblast. 29 Balzer and Vinokurova take a social anthropological approach to studying Russo-Sakha relations. Their focus is on the priorities of different political and cultural groups in Sakha, and the ways in which these priorities are sometimes compatible and sometimes clash. A notable conclusion is that the "best antidote against virulent forms of nationalism is a well-managed federalism." 30 Daniel Kempton takes a political-economic approach to Russo-Sakha relations, one which is more congruent with this thesis. Kempton concludes that the success Sakha has had 28 Friedrich, Trends of Federalism. Research on Sakha includes Marjorie Mandelstam Balzer and Uliana Alekseevna Vinokurova, "Nationalism, Interethnic Relations and Federalism: The Case of the Sakha Republic (Yakutia)," Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 48, No. 1, 1996, 101-120; and Kempton, "The Republic of Sakha;" research on Tyumen' includes Bruce Kellison, "Siberian Crude: Moscow, Tiumen and Political Decentralization," in Stephen Kotkin and David Wolff, eds., Rediscovering Russia in Asia: Siberia and the Russian Far East (Armonk, N.Y. : M.E. Sharpe, 1995), 193-206; Alexei I. Ivandaev, "The Struggle for Power Allocation Between the Central Government in Moscow and the Administration of the Tyumen Region," in James E. Hickey Jr. and Alexej Ugrinsky, eds., Government Structures in the U.S.A. and the Sovereign States of the Former U.S.S.R.: Power Allocation Among Central, Regional, and Local Governments (Westport, CT.: Greenwood Press, 1996), 222-229. 30 Balzer and Vinokurova, "Nationalism, Interethnic Relations and Federalism," 116. 29 14 in building regional autonomy stems from pursuing a "coherent strategy" to maximize its autonomy and the close interpersonal relations between Russian president, Boris Yeltsin, and Sak:ha president, Mikhail Nikolaev.31 As for Tyumen' Oblast, Bruce Kellison offers a comprehensive study which deals with decentralization to Tyumen', to the autonomous okrugs within Tyumen', to the municipality of Nizhnevartovsk, to the firm level, as well as the decentralization of Moscow's control in the oil industry. Kellison observes that, in Tyumen', Moscow still retains much of the authority over natural resource development that it enjoyed during the Soviet period, but that as market mechanisms take hold, "Moscow is finding it has less control than it would like.'m Alexei Ivandaev' s investigation of Russo-Tyumen' relations focuses on the oil and gas sector and on Tyumen's relationship with the Khanty-Mansiisk and Yamal-Nenets autonomous okrugs. It analyzes some of the legislation and presidential decrees that serve to define the relationship between Moscow and Tyumen'. lvandaev asserts that in the power struggle between Moscow and Tyumen', "there has always existed a striving to be able to set quotas, to give out crude oil drilling and export licenses, and to be able to draw foreign investments into the local oil and gas industry." 33 For the most part, Russia's current federal structure was inherited from the Soviet Union. The formal structure of the RSFSR included various types of territorial-administrative units, each with somewhat different rights. These included forty-nine non-ethnically defined oblasts, six krais, and thirty-one ethnically-defined "autonomous" areas; sixteen of the latter were republics, five were oblasts, and ten were okrugs. A significant modification was made to the RSFSR's administrative-territorial hierarchy in 1991, shortly before the disintegration of the USSR. The 31 Kempton, "The Republic of Salcha," 608. Kellison, "Siberian Crude," 205. 33 lvandaev, "The Struggle for Power," 225-226; these issues are discussed in detail in Chapter two. 32 15 sixteen autonomous republics and four of the five autonomous oblasts received the status of "republic," while the rest of the subjects of the federation became grouped officially as "regions" (see Fig. 1-1). 34 These changes were later included in the Federation Treaty of March 1992 and the constitution ratified in December 1993. In a state as highly centralized as the Soviet Union once was, having ethnically-defined units was not a serious problem. However, with decentralization, ethnic nationalism gained momentum in many of Russia's regions. Long-pent up desires for greater regional autonomy or outright independence burgeoned in several regions, the most notable being the Chechen - Republic. Many Russians supported the creation of new, non-ethnically defined regional units modeled after Canada or the United States. 35 They argued that a country as geographically large and ethnically diverse as Russia could neither remain united nor sustain democracy as long as administrative divisions reinforced ethnic ones. It has become clear, however, that political realities make it virtually impossible to carry out a redistricting aimed at abolishing existing administrative units. 36 Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the working relationship between Moscow and the regions has been both unclear and unstable. John Young identifies two main sources of confusion in early Russian federalism. 37 First is the asymmetry of the Russian Federation that allow different regions various degrees of power and authority. Autonomous republics possess rights and powers not afforded to other regions, such as the right to elect their own heads of 34 Note that the term "region" refers herein to each of the eighty-nine subjects of the Federation, including republics. 35 Sharlet, "The Prospects for Federalism." 36 Gail W. Lapidus, and Edward W. Walker, "Nationalism, Regionalism and Federalism: Center-Periphery Relations in Post-Communist Russia," in Lapidus, ed., The New Russia: Troubled Transformation (Boulder: Westview Press, 1995), 79-114. 37 John Young, "At the Bottom of the Heap: Local Self-Government and Regional Politics in the Russian Federation," in Larry Black, et. al., eds., Beyond the Monolith: The Emergence of Regionalism in Post Soviet Russia (Baltimore: Woodrow Wilson Center Press and John Hopkins University Press, forthcoming). 16 FIGURE 1-1 Map of Russia's Territorial-Administrative Structure and Natural Resource Endowments ~ Arc1ic:Ocwo - u..... o 0 Gold ,::,,,1.1du m J Oil G Got ..., 0' Dtomondt ~ s.o '· ........... . .... · ')tl. \ -~ ""' \ ,c \. ,. _./ · < ~ o l/luoh oou ' ~· ·...... · / . 'Jff' ,...... -..] ') ~~· '< . '\...lJ " . rlh , ~ ' ' I '· C ' ,,, ":> •.... - - (j ~ "' - •• ,;'I~ ,. I Ic' 10"\ " to ' •· i'1 ·!'-<>\, ,,• ' . "I 31 • , } •' s.o I J> ~1 J •u""' l J9 )b ~ "17 ,r • ,j 1, . ,. \'-~ ·-"' ~ ·, -~ ~ ' '" ~ c y \ • ·~ 7l • ,. •. l 0 ~ " • G • •• .. G e " .,.: " " "."• " ., 0." • • ... "• ol """""' Q "a • \ 5 • 53 '\ ~- . ...,_..J -v r• v--,q_S ( uJpH!rl ........ ~ •. ,,,Jl, ~ Ml!.oO " Republic of Komi 5. Murmontkoio obtest 6. Vologodskoio oblo 11 7. St . Petenburg 8. Lening rodakoio oblosl 9. Novg0f09tkoio obloJt l 0. Ptkovtko•o oblosl 11 . Brionskoio oblotl 12. lvonovskoio oblost 13. Koluz:hskoio oblost 14. Kottromskoio ablest 15. M.osko'f1koio oblost 16 . Moos< ow City r " ..\ ...,.,.,..,.,, o I . Arkhongelskoio ablest ,/... ·..... ll / /{'·;, ,/ ·< ~ ~ Soo 1 Nenehkii o utonomou\ " " '"11 3 Ropublit of k.orelio • ' -~- ~ '"/• ( 'J ' ~") , ( ·, ,. "/'-- r l. ,· e '·a -~ ~ • oJ " '{ • "( 0 :' . . ' ""'" ~ ~ r "~-. )'--J 1 ' o l.> u / l\ Jt/ r- ./ ' ) ' r-' ' ·, ' ' . ·0 " ' t, f r-1r ./ a .. \;.;:::-- J ,,'( / ,q..'.. 1 ..... • ·. I ... ..... .r !•, . .• , ··...., · '\ \) :' '"? ,, ll ,,l . I s. • ' \,...... ', ®('?;,-. .. j . .........,. ., "" '' ,·, ... ''< If\,''"' "" u• """ 8oteflh l -._,-J , . ( ,., I v .!:' .J , ,,,, c....,-' ~ €) ~ ;e / .Nninec.nt•ra () CcPf* ' & : 5upwgiont oil fi •ld• () huu Df't • l • :"SuF*Vionl go) lteldt 0 N•cUI ( ) ChrOI'nlum "Cool 11 (),Ju..,sko•u oblo tl I H lol u11wllko•o oblo ll I '} 10 11 ~ .. .. vluntku tu obloat l..o.: r ~ oblotl '~ • oblutl 27 Vludi n11nkwo o l.llosl 1J ~ .. t kuio o blotl 2 4 Rll!1ubltc of Chu..,ot h 15 KoHJvsko•o oblo tl 76 lolupubltc of Morii .fl · 17 Mo1 dovion Republic 28 N•zhniy ~ oblosl 29 Beluorodskoto oblost 30 Kurskoio oblost 3 1 ltpetskoio oblost 31 ~ oblosl ~ •w .oo '~ .00 33 . Voronezhtkoio oblosl 34 . Attrokhontkoio obtosl 35. Republic of k.olrnykio 36. Penzenskoio oblosl 37 Somorskoio oblotl 3H . Sorotovskoio oblost 3Y . W:epublic of Tola raton -40 Uhonovtkoio oblotl 4 I . 1/olg;tSrodakoio oblott g.~~ ~ ~~ ~ 44 . Kobordino-fc:tkor Republic 4.5. Krosnodorskii kroi :*:~~~ ~~~~ ~ 48 . Rotlovsko io oblost M ongolia 49 . Stovropolskii kroi SO. Korochoi-Cherkeu Republic S 1. Republic of Bothkor1oston 52. Cheliobinskoio oblos1 53. Kurgonskoio oblost 54 . Orenburgtkoio oblotl 55. P.rmskoio oblosl 56. Komi -Pttrmyotskoio autonomous okrug 57. Sverdlpvskoio oblott 58. Udmurt Republic 59. Altoiskii kroi 60. Republ ic of AUoi 61 . KemerO't'Skoio oblotl 62 . NoYOJibinkoio oblosl 63 . Omskoio obloll 64 . Tomtkoio oblost ~~ ~~~~ ~~ ~ ·' autonomous okrug 67. Yomoi-Nenets outonomovt okrug 68. Republtc of Buryotiio 69. Chitintkoio oblosl 70. Agin1kii Buryotski i outonomout oktug 71 . lrkutlkoio oblost 72. Utt' ·Ordyntkii Buryotskii outonomou1 okrug 73. Kratnoiorskii kroi 74. Republ ic of Khokosio 75. Toimyrskii (Oolgono -N.netakii) autonomous okrug 76. e....nkiis!Ui ovtonomOOt oktvg 77. Republic of Tuvo 78 . Amunkoio oblott 79. Komchottkoio oblott 80. i Platrnum ~ Hutl> ishchyot i nakhodit", Respublika Sakha, 6 May 1995, 1-2. Wook Paik, Gas and oil in Northeast Asia, 233 . 79 divided between Sakha and Moscow, with Sakhaneftegaz, the Sakha republic has an established institution with which to control the current and future development of its oil and gas resources. Tyumen' Oblast Background Tyumen' Oblast is situated just east of the Ural mountains in western Siberia. The oblast covers 2,296 square miles, which makes it twice the size of Texas, and Russia's largest oblast. Tyumen' has a population of about 3 million residents, 600,000 of which live in the oblast capital, Tyumen' City. The majority of residents are Russian, but indigenous inhabitants include Khantys, Mansis and Nenets. Tyumen' City is reputed to be the first Russian city in Siberia.190 The Tyumen' region is best known for its abundance of oil and gas resources -- it is the source of about two-thirds of Russia's oil and natural gas. Decentralization Much has changed in Tyumen' Oblast since the collapse of the Soviet Union. As with all of Russia's region's, Tyumen' has become more independent, both politically and economically. Tyumen' is regarded as a pro-reform region, 191 which has kept it in favour with the Yeltsin administration. For instance, the process of appointing an oblast governor -- a good indicator of the extent of conflict or cooperation between the centre and a region -- was a Herculean task in some regions, but was accomplished with relative ease in Tyumen'. In 1991 the oblast soviet and President Yeltsin promptly agreed upon Yuri Shafranik as governor and Shafranik later became ° Forsyth, A History of the Peoples of Siberia. 19 19 1 Tyumen's pro-reform stance is well documented in Josephine Andrews and Kathryn Stoner-Weiss, "Regionalism and Reform in Provincial Russia," Post-Soviet Affairs, Vol. 11, No.4, 1995, 384-406. 80 Russia's Minister of Fuel and Energy when Victor Chernomyrdin left the post to become Prime Minister. Shafranik' s replacement was Leonid Roketski whose relationship with Chernomyrdin is quite strong. That there exists a degree of trust and agreement between Tyumen' and Moscow likely facilitates decentralization. However, the office of governor in an oblast is not nearly as powerful as that of president in a republic. Oblast governors remain largely subordinate to the executive branch of the Russian Federation, and in several cases Yeltsin has appointed regional governors regardless of regional sentiments, or removed existing governors not loyal to him. As a resource-rich region, Tyumen' has actively sought to achieve greater control over its oil and gas industries and this control is now more decentralized than at any time during the Soviet period. As early as 1991, the Tyumen' oblast soviet (i.e. legislature) reserved for itself the right to enact laws that could not be rescinded by Moscow, including the right to set prices on oil, gas and wood products. 192 Much of this is a result of, and justified by, "marketization" and the breakup of the centrally-controlled Soviet economy, a professed goal of President Yeltsin. Challenges to the power and authority of the Tyumen' government come not only from Moscow, but also from the Yamal-Nenets and Khanty-Mansiisk autonomous okrugs, which are themselves subjects of the Federation, but lie fully within Tyumen'. The okrugs' pursuit of autonomy has a direct impact on Tyumen's own pursuit. The challenge from within may prove to be a more serious one for the Tyumen' administration than the one from above. In particular, members of both the legislative and executive branches in Tyumen' have argued that "the threat to local oblast-level control over resources and authority to tax lay not with Moscow but with the autonomous okrugs." 193 192 Bruce Kellison, "Siberian Crude: Moscow, Tiumen, and Political Decentralization," in Stephen Kotkin and David Wolff, eds., Rediscovering Russia in Asia: Siberia and the Russian Far East (Armonk, N.Y.: M.E. Sharpe, 1995), 193-206, 199. 193 Ibid. 81 The process of decentralization in Tyumen' is made eminently more complex by the presence of the two autonomous okrugs within its territory. There exists an interesting web of relations between the central government and each of these three regional governments, but also between Tyumen' and the two okrugs. Khanty-Mansiisk and Yamal-Nenets were largely subordinate to Moscow and Tyumen' under the Soviet system, but they have recently secured considerable independence from both the central government and from Tyumen'. For instance, Presidential decrees giving the okrugs "fair compensation for the extraction of natural resources and the adverse consequences of the extraction, ... put the Tyumen region into a "one against all" situation." 194 The situation of the Khanty-Mansiisk and Yamal-Nenets autonomous okrugs in the Russian Federation is a peculiar one. Under Russia's federal structure, they are subordinate to the Tyumen' administration, but are also themselves subjects of the Federation. Of course, this creates much jurisdictional confusion. Going back to 1992, there was great hope that the okrugs could continue their previous relationship with Tyumen', but the parties are now realizing the problems of dealing with each other in governing such a large territory. 195 Yamal-Nenets is far and away Russia's most important natural gas-producing region, for the present and the future, while Khanty-Mansiisk is Russia's main oil-producing region. Together they account for almost all of Tyumen's wealth and a good portion of Russia's wealth. This wealth affords them considerable economic and political resources that put them in positions of strength in federal negotiations. On some issues, the okrugs have been dealing directly with Moscow, much to Tyumen's dismay. For the Tyumen' government, a loss of control in the 194 Alexei I. Ivandaev, "The Struggle for Power Allocation Between the Central Government in Moscow and the Administration of the Tyumen Region," in James E. Hickey Jr. and Alexej Ugrinsky, eds., Government Structures in the U.S.A. and the Sovereign States of the Former U.S.S.R.: Power Allocation Among Central, Regional, and Local Governments (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1996), 222-229. 195 Rossiskaya Gazetta, 11 July 1992. 82 okrugs represents a serious threat to its power. In particular, lost revenues would be enormous if the okrugs were to become independent of Tyumen'. A recent example of increased independence in Yamal-Nenets and Khanty-Mansiisk, and their threat to Tyumen' s power, comes from the Tyumen' gubernatorial election of 22 December 1996. Khanty-Mansiisk and Yamal-Nenets elected their own governors in October 1996 and both okrugs threatened to boycott the Tyumen' election. 196 Khanty-Mansiisk relented but only managed about 15 percent turnout (which basically amounts to a boycott), well below the 25 percent required by okrug law for a valid election. Yamal-Nenets, however, flatly refused to participate in the Tyumen' election. Despite presidential decrees, visits from Kremlin emissaries, and warnings from First Deputy Presidential Chief of Staff Aleksandr Kazakov and Gazprom chairman Rem Vyakhirev to the Yamal-Nenets legislature, the okrug was not deterred. Kazakov suggested that the Yamal-Nenets boycott represents a "serious challenge" to Russia's political structure. 197 Indeed, although the Yamal-Nenets boycott does not threaten Russia's territorial integrity in the same way as the actions of the independence-minded Chechen Republic, it does have potentially serious implications for Russia's federal structure as it currently exists. Yamal-Nenets was able to successfully boycott the Tyumen' election partly because its abundance of natural gas is a valuable political resource. Yamal gas is one of the vital components of Russia's future economic plans, thus Yamal may use this as leverage in negotiations with the centre and with Tyumen'. Russia is anticipating massive revenues from gas exports to western Europe. The Russian government, wary of jeopardizing both present and future gas development in the okrug, must proceed cautiously in its relations with Yamal-Nenets. Although it has not been stated publicly, it is quite possible that the Russian government would 196 "Tyumen Election Held, but Okrug Follows Through on Boycott Threat," OMRI Russian Regional Report, 17 January 1997. 197 Ibid. 83 like to leave Tyumen' out of the loop and share gas revenues directly with Yamal-Nenets. This might leave a larger portion of gas revenues in the hands of the Russian Federation at the expense ofTyumen'. Plans to further develop Yamal-Nenets gas for delivery to Russian and European markets involve some of the most ambitious natural resource development projects in the world. Russia has already signed some export deals, in particular with Germany, in anticipation of further gas development in the okrug. 198 Potential revenues from Yamal-Nenets gas exports are enormous and would give the struggling Russian economy a tremendous boost. With its small population, Y amal-Nenets could conceivably become a "Kuwait" in the Russian north if it were to gain more control over revenues from gas produced in the okrug. To briefly summarize, as an oblast, Tyumen's regional autonomy does not yet match that of the Sakha Republic. But, with its pro-reform stance and tremendous oil and gas resources, Tyumen' has become one of the more autonomous oblasts. Political decentralization from Moscow to Tyumen' has been facilitated by the close relationship between central and regional authorities. However, decentralization is complicated by the craving for increased power and authority in Yamal-Nenets and Khanty-Mansiisk. At the heart of all of these struggles for power and authority is the desire for greater control over West Siberia's oil and gas resources. The Tyumen' Oil and Gas Sector During the Soviet period, Tyumen' City was home to most of the Soviet economic planning institutions that directed investment in the region's oil and gas sector. As many as nine 198 See, for example, Gennadiy Y astrebtsov, "Rurgaz -- Gazprom: Konkurentam tesno, partnerram -- prostomo," Trud, 21 June 1995, 2. 84 Soviet ministries, overseeing everything from exploration and production to refining and distribution, had offices in Tyumen' .199 Moscow's control over a large part of the Soviet oil and gas industries was directed through Tyumen' city and extended throughout the oblast. As noted in the previous chapter, privatization in the Russian oil industry has resulted predominantly in regionally-based joint-stock companies (JSCs) which now wield enormous power in their respective areas of operation. The power that is being secured by the "oil generals" that manage these companies is an example of economic decentralization and an important part of Russia's federalization process. Although some of these JSCs may be regional monopolies or even managed by regional governments themselves, their mere existence indicates that a degree of power has passed from Moscow and that the old Soviet centrally-controlled economy has been further eroded. As Russia's main source of oil and gas, much of this process has occurred in Tyumen' oblast. Tyumen' appears to have some legitimate reasons for wanting more control over oil and gas. For a region so rich with oil and gas, living standards are dismal. Tens of thousands of Tyumen oil workers still live in temporary houses that are not equipped with any utilities. No more than 69% of the oil workers in the region have proper housing, which is 12.4% less than the number for oil workers in other areas of the country.... Tyumen' s crude oil did not make the people in the region rich. The standard of living in this oil capital is lower than in the capital of any other region in the country. Tyumen is 62nd in housing development, 67th in development of schools and hospitals, 74th in telephones. Crude oil from the Tyumen did not enrich either the country or its oil and gas industry. 200 Much of the blame for this situation must be placed on the Soviet government. For two decades, the Soviet economy rode on the shoulders of Tyumen' oil and gas, yet the residents of the region 199 200 Kellison, "Siberian Crude." Ivandaev, "The Struggle for Power Allocation." 85 were not rewarded with even average living standards. A dramatic decline in oil production since 1989 has made socio-economic development still more difficult. In the foreseeable future, Tyumen' can entertain little hope of gaining legal ownership of its oil and gas. The Subsoil Act made the central government the owner of all subsoil resources, most of the hundreds of oil and gas companies in Tyumen' are controlled by one of the major holding companies, and Tyumen' s oil and gas resources are of such enormous value to the Russian state so as to make regional ownership highly implausible. Furthermore, most of Tyumen' s oil and gas resources are situated in the autonomous okrugs which have similar visions of legal ownership. Under these circumstances, Tyumen' has opted to strive for greater control over the management of and revenues from its oil and gas. In this endeavour Tyumen' has had some success. For instance, Presidential decree No. 93 of 17 February 1992 gave the Tyumen' executive the power to buy up to ten percent of the total volume of the extracted crude oil and sell up to forty percent of it to domestic buyers at free market prices. 201 However, the main powers of management which Moscow and Tyumen' are struggling to control are the authority to set quotas, to issue drilling and export licenses, and to draw foreign investment into the oil and gas industries; and in these areas Tyumen' has had less success. 202 Conclusion The analyses of the Sakha Republic and Tyumen' Oblast offer two main conclusions. First, the status of autonomous republic gives Sakha an advantage over Tyumen' in relations with 20 1 202 Ibid. Kellison, "Siberian Crude." 86 the centre. More power and authority have been delegated to the Sakha government, largely because Sakha is an autonomous republic. Sakha' s executive branch possesses more power and authority than those of oblasts and krais, and has used this asset to aggressively challenge the Russian government on many issues of jurisdiction. Second, natural resource wealth is a considerable source of political power in centre-regional negotiations. The regions of Sakha and Tyumen' derive substantial power from their right to independently market fixed shares of their natural resources -- a right granted by Presidential decree, not by constitutional principle. 203 The political power derived from natural resources is also evident in the gas-rich Yamal-Nenets and oil-rich Khanty-Mansiisk autonomous okrugs. The okrugs have successfully challenged the power and authority of both the Russian and Tyumen' governments. In boycotting the Tyumen' gubernatorial elections, the okrugs have made it clear that they are not satisfied with the current arrangement of power and are striving to usurp power and authority from the Tyumen' oblast administration. The increased power of resource-rich regions, however, creates some problems for Russian federalism, particularly fiscal federalism. By gaining the right to retain all republic-raised taxes and fund federal programs in the republic, a right delegated to very few regions, Sakha earned a good deal of autonomy. The share of taxes being collected by oblasts and krais that went to the federal budget ranged from 29 percent to 72 percent. 204 Thus, there are wide discrepancies from region to region, and the procedures for sharing central government tax revenues with the regions are changing frequently and unpredictably. 205 Naturally, these circumstances seriously limit the Russian government's ability to reduce economic inequalities among the regions and demonstrate Moscow' s lack of control over federal taxation and fmances . 203 Solnick, "The Political Economy of Russian Federalism," 17. Slider, "Federalism, Discord, and Accommodation," 246-251. 205 Christine I. Wallich, "Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations: Setting the Stage," in Christine I. Wallich, ed., Russia and the Challenge of Fiscal Federalism (Washington, D. C.: The World Bank, 1994), 64-95 . 204 87 The executive branch in Moscow has proven to be weak when confronted by the regions, most notably by the republics. The centre "has no political recourse when subnational governments refuse to allow tax revenues to be remitted to the federal government." 206 A reasonably equitable distribution of resource rents among regions is something that may be expected from a federal state, but a sound system of revenue redistribution does not currently exist in the Russian Federation. The main observation to be gleaned from examinations of the oil and gas industries of the Sakha Republic and Tyumen' Oblast is that negotiations with the centre over joint authority, as specified in Article 72 of the Russian constitution, have produced different outcomes. Specifically, the ownership structures that have emerged in the oil and gas sectors of these two regions are markedly different. Sakha has consolidated republic control over its oil and gas in one organization -- Sakhaneftegaz; while the bulk of Tyumen' s oil and gas sector is controlled largely by the Russian government via the vertically-integrated oil majors. There are several explanations for the different ownership structures that have emerged in the Sakha and Tyumen' oil and gas sectors. First, Sakha' s oil and gas sector is very small in relation to Tyumen' s. As of yet, Sakha does not export any oil or gas, while revenues from Tyumen' oil and gas exports are a critical to the strength and stability of the Russian economy. Second, as an autonomous republic, Sakha has more legal power and authority with which to control its natural resource industries. The Federal Treaty paved the way for aggressive republics such as Sakha to gain greater control over their natural resources. similar rights and powers under the Treaty. Oblasts were not granted And third, Tyumen' is forced to deal with two independence-minded okrugs, thus further complicating any oblast efforts to increase control over 206 Ibid. 88 oil and gas resources. These two okrugs appear to be assuming, or at least attempting to assume, a status akin to that of republics. It is also important to reiterate the value of natural resources in the Russian economy in general, but especially in Sakha and Tyumen'. In 1992, Sakha, Yamal-Nenets, and Khanty- Mansiisk had the three highest per capita revenues of all Russian regions ; and in terms of per capita expenditures, Sakha ranked first, Yamal-Nenets fourth, and Khanty-Mansiisk fifth. 207 That resource wealth may be readily converted into a considerable political resource is evinced by the success these three regions have had in negotiations with the Russian government, and by the success of the two okrugs in their struggles with Tyumen'. 207 Wallich, Russia and the Challenge of Fiscal Federalism , Appendix E. 89 Chapter 4 CONCLUSION This thesis examined the changing distribution of control over Russia's oil and natural gas resources, and how this is affecting the nature of post-Russian federalism. The evidence suggests that Russian "federalism" is still very much in flux, as the instability resulting from the collapse of the Soviet Union has yet to subside. Although many new institutions have emerged to guide a fledgling market economy and a young democracy, many more are needed. In particular, a concrete system of federal revenue redistribution is lacking. In the meantime, the nature of Russian federalism is being determined as intergovernmental relations are being resolved, and they are being resolved, for the most part, with bilateral agreements between the centre and the regions. One of the principle powers that is being addressed by bilateral treaties is the power to control natural resources, particularly Russia's lucrative oil and gas resources. Thus, in assessing the nature of Russian federalism, Friedrich's concept of federalism as a "process" and Riker's theory of federalism as a "bargain" seem very appropriate. Constitutional analysis sets the framework of the bargainillg process, but does not reveal the complexity of the situation. A sociological approach helps in understanding the dynamics involved when building federalism in a multi-ethnic environment, but does not address all dimensions when dealing with natural resources. Conceptualizing Russian federalism as a "bargainillg process" is useful at this time because, on the one hand, Russia is engaged in processes of differentiation, from highly centralized to more decentralized economic and political systems; and, on the other hand, since the Russian constitution is still young and obviously conflicts with many republic constitutions and the Federal Treaty, the federalization process is best characterized by persistent centre-regional 90 bargaining. Russian federalism may be defined, then, as an ongoing process of political bargaining between the central government and each of the regional governments, as is the case in any federation. What Russia clearly lacks, however, are effective, stable institutions through which to conduct the bargaining process. In terms of control over oil and gas resources, the most pressing need is a federal system of revenue redistribution. At present, if regions were to gain full control of their oil and gas, Yamal-Nenets, Khanty-Mansiisk and other oil- and gas-rich regions could conceivably become "Kuwaits." This type of situation would not encourage Russia's continued federalization. However, this by no means implies that oil and gas regions do not deserve to reap the benefits of their resource wealth. For its last ten to twenty years, the Soviet system was sustained largely by oil and gas export revenues, while oil and gas producing regions were rewarded with dismal, below-average living standards and serious environmental degradation. In a true federation, these regions that drive the Russian economy ought to be compensated with, at the very least, living standards equal to the Russian average. At any rate, the Russian government has retained decisive influence in Russia' s oil and gas industries. In the oil industry, the Russian Federation continues to hold a controlling bloc of shares in the vertically-integrated joint-stock companies, or oil majors, which dominate the industry. The Russian government has the authority to appoint directors in these companies and members of the companies' management boards must be approved by the central government. Although central authorities do not interfere in day-to-day operations, they have the power to influence major strategic decisions in the oil industry. As for natural gas, the industry is still owned and managed by the Gazprom monopoly which has strong ties with the Russian government, in particular with the company's former general director, now Prime Minister, Victor Chernomyrdin. Under pressure to increase competition in the gas industry, especially from the 91 Minister of Economics, Yevgeny Yasin, Gazprom recently insisted that it is planning to regroup its operations into separate divisions for production, transport and sales, though it remains unclear whether such a move will increase competition or simply create a clearer corporate structure for the continuation of the monopoly. 208 The preeminent form of control over oil and gas, and the one which creates the most tension between the federal and regional governments, is ownership. While the Subsoil Act established the federal government as the legal owner of all subsoil resources, this situation has been successfully challenged by some regions. Several intergovernmental agreements have awarded regions substantial de jure ownership rights, which in many cases were already being assumed de facto. For example, the republic of Tatarstan, which now draws up its own budget independently, has also won the right of ownership of its land and subsoil resources and the right to do as it wishes with a third of the oil it produces. 209 But the constitution of the republic of Tatarstan, in direct violation of the Russian constitution, had already made the republic legal owner of its land and subsoil resources, so the federal-regional agreement was simply an official concession of these rights. 210 In some cases, however, ownership may not be enough, for Moscow possesses various means by which to trespass on the domain of its sub" ekty. For example, through its pipeline company, Transneft', the central government can seriously limit or completely undermine the flow of oil into or out of a region. Moscow has also prevailed in some centre-regional disputes over oil and gas taxation. The conflict between the Republic of Bashkortostan and Moscow over excise taxes is evidence of the central government's authority over taxation in the oil industry. 208 "Russia's Energy Monopolies: Giving an Inch," The Economist, 1 February, 1997. Sanobar Shermatova, "Mintimer Shaimiyev's Big Game," Moskovskiye Novosti, 24-31 March 1996, 8, translated in Current Digest of the Post-Soviet Press , Vol. XLVIII, No. 12, 1996, 15-16. 210 Leslie Dienes, Corporate Russia: Privatization and Prospects in the Russian Oil and Gas Sector, Paper No. 5 (University of Washington: Jackson School of International Studies, 1996), 11. 209 92 It is obvious that the struggle to control oil and gas is at the heart of many centre-regional negotiations, and, in some instances, it appears as though the intergovernmental struggle to control oil and gas is shaping Russian federalism. Natural resources in general, but specifically oil and gas, translate into valuable political assets. Accordingly, regions such as Sakha, Y amalNenets and Khanty-Mansiisk that are rich in natural resources are among the leaders in the pursuit of regional autonomy. The other principal asset available to some regional governments is the administrative status of autonomous republic within the Russian Federation. administrative structure of the Russian Federation gives The "layered" territorialrepublics an advantage in intergovernmental negotiations, although it is not clear whether it is a decided advantage -oblasts such a Tyumen' have had greater success challenging the central government than some republics. 211 Still, oblasts and republics do not begin the bargaining process with the centre on equal footing -- the Federal Treaty granted autonomous republics rights and powers that the rest of Russia's regions simply do not possess. Asymmetry is one of the more conspicuous aspects of Russian federalism. Most of Russia's autonomous republics enjoy relations with the federal centre that resemble federalism, while most oblasts, krais and okrugs remain largely under the tutelage of the centre, embedded in a unitary system of intergovernmental relations. Continued challenges to central authority by the republics should push Russia closer to federalism, but unless oblasts and krais begin to win rights and powers comparable to the republics, Russia will continue to operate under a system of "marble cake" or "matrioshka" federalism, with varying degrees of power and authority in each of the eighty-nine regions; this will be exceedingly difficult to sustain over the long-term. 2 11 Steven Solnick, "The Political Economy of Russian Federalism: Problems of Measurement and Analysis," prepared for the 1995 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, Ill., 31 August- 3 September, 1995, 31-32. 93 The hypothesis that republics have more control over their natural resources is supported by the evidence from Tyumen' Oblast and the Sakha Republic. According to the Federal Treaty, mineral resources are the possessions of the republics, and Sakha used this right to secure control over its oil and gas industries, and its lucrative diamond mining industry. Although it has some authority in terms of oil and gas pricing and taxation, Tyumen' does not control the levers of power in its oil and gas sector to the extent that Sakha does. But the hypothesis that resourcerich regions have earned a relatively high degree of autonomy also appears legitimate, although research on more regions is necessary to validate it with more conviction. An important factor which prevents Tyumen' from gaining more control over oil and gas is that Tyumen's oil and gas resources are not really in Tyumen', but rather in the Yamal-Nenets and Khanty-Mansiisk autonomous okrugs which are fully within Tyumen', but are themselves subjects of the Russian Federation. The okrugs have similar visions of controlling their natural resources and their outright secession from Tyumen' Oblast now appears to be a real possibility. Should the okrugs be successful in their bids for independence, it would be testimony to the political power generated by their natural resource wealth. Russian federalization will continue to be an arduous, complex process, but the wheels are certainly in motion. Federalism is beginning to take shape in Russia, and that shape is peculiarly Russian, as it well should be. Decentralization of economic and political power has already been extensive enough so as to make a recentralization of Soviet proportions extremely difficult, as both domestic and international resistance would be stanch. As with any federal state, Russian federal state-building will depend on the continued cooperation between centre and regions. The challenge for future research in this field of study seems quite obvious: at this stage, assessing the nature of Russian federalism requires direct examinations of jurisdictional divisions. It is insufficient to simply suggest that republics are in privileged positions vis a vis other regions 94 without investigating and analyzing the true division of powers in specific regions. This thesis shows that natural resource wealth also puts regions in privileged positions in intergovernmental relations and that, in some cases, natural resource wealth may indeed be of more consequence than administrative status. Again though, for this to become a firm conclusion more regions would have to be studied. Direct examination of jurisdictional divisions in a greater number of regions would also enable us to address deeper questions, such as: Is the Russian Federation really a federal state? Is the Russian Federation sustainable, or is it destined for disintegration or re-centralization? This thesis is a contribution to this endeavour. With direct examinations of the Russian oil and gas industries, the Sakha Republic, and Tyumen' Oblast, it further clarifies the nature of Russian federalism by highlighting the manner in which the intergovernmental struggle to control oil and gas is shaping Russian federalism. In doing so, it also promotes a greater understanding of the forces which give rise to and sustain federal states. 95 BIBLIOGRAPHY "<> ishchyot i nalchodit," Respublika Sakha, 6 May 1995, 1-2. "Gasprom Pressured to Sell Shares Freely," Moscow News, 25 November-1 December 1994, 8. "Koreskoye Chudo," Respublika Sakha, 8 March 1994, 1-2. "Nothing is Easy," Russian Petroleum Investor, June 1994, 26-27. "On Changes and Supplements to the Decree "On the Creation of the National Company of the Republic of Salcha (Yakutia) Sakhaneftegaz from 17 January 1992, No. 19," Sbornik: Ukazov i Razporyazhiniy Prezidenta Respubliki Sakha (Yakutia), July-September 1992, 39. "On the Creation of the National Company of the Republic of Salcha (Yakutia) Sakhaneftegaz," Sbornik: Ukazov i Razporyazhiniy Prezidenta Respubliki Sakha (Yakutia), JanuaryMarch 1992, 30. "On the Creation of the Republican Investment Fund Sakhalnvest," Sbornik Ukazov i Razporyazhiniy Prezidenta Respubliki Sakha (Yakutia), July-September 1992, 27. "Podpisano Soglasheniye," Respublika Sakha, 1 March 1994, 1. "Russia's energy monopolies: Giving an inch," The Economist, 1 February 1997, 66. "Russia's media: All the news that fits ," The Economist, 15 February 1997, 50. "Tyumen Election Held, but Okrug Follows Through on Boycott Threat," OMRI Russian RegionalReportPartll, 17 January 1997. "V chisle ob'ektov -- gazoprovod Yakutia-Koreia," Respublika Sakha, 8 June 1994, 1. "World natural gas market for 1993," Moscow News, 9-15 September 1994, 8. Andrews, Josephine and Kathryn Stoner-Weiss, "Regionalism and Reform in Provincial Russia," Post-Soviet Affairs, Vol. 11, No. 4, 384-406. Balzer, Marjorie Mandelstam and Uliana Alekseevna Vinokurova, "Nationalism, Interethnic Relations and Federalism," Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 48, No. 1, 1996, 101-120. Bannikova, Nadezhda and Dmitry Kamyshev, "Relations Between the Capital and the Regions : Special Relations Will Help the Capital Deal With Udmurtia," Kommersant-Daily, 18 October 1995,3, translated in Current Digest of the Post-Soviet Press, Vol. XLVII, No. 42, 1995, 16-17. 96 Bekker, Aleksandr, "Gazprom Could Become a Source of Revenue," Sevodnya, 1 August 1995, 2, translated in Current Digest of the Post-Soviet Press, Vol. XLVII, No. 31, 1995, 8-9. Belyakov, Vladimir V. and Walter J. Raymond, eds., Constitution of the Russian Federation (Lawrenceville, VA. and Moscow: Brunswick and Novosti, 1994). Bennett, Robert J., "Decentralization, Intergovernmental Relations and Markets: Towards a Post-Welfare Agenda," in Robert J. Bennett, ed., Decentralization, Local Governments, and Markets (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1990), 1-26. Birch, A. H., "Approaches to the Study of Federalism," Political Studies, 14 February 1966, 1533. Bird, Richard M., Robert D. Ebel and Christine I. Wallich, eds., Decentralization of the Socialist State: Intergovernmental Finance in Transition Economies (Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 1995). Blackman, Susan, "Introduction to Intergovernmental Agreements," in Energy Resource Development in Federal States (Calgary: Canadian Institute of Resources Law, 1995), 12-18. Blackman, Susan, "The Powers of Canadian Provincial and Federal Governments With Respect to Management of Oil and Gas Resources," in Energy Resources and Development in Federal States (Calgary, Canada: Canadian Institute of Resources Law, 1995), 6-11. Boyea, Maxim, Privatizing Russia (Cambridge MA.: MIT Press, 1995). Cameron, P., "Investing in Russian Oil and Gas: The Legal Factor," Petroleum Review, March 1993, 120-121. Clancy, Peter, "Politics by Remote Control: Historical Perspectives on Devolution in Canada's North," in Gurston Dacks, ed., Devolution and Constitutional Development in the Canadian North (Ottawa: Carleton University Press, 1990), 13-42. Constitution of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) (Yakutsk, 1994). Dacks, Gurston, "The Quest for Northern Oil and Gas Accords," in Gurston Dacks, ed., Devolution and Constitutional Development in the Canadian North (Ottawa: Carleton University Press, 1990), 225-266. Dienes, Leslie, Corporate Russia: Privatization and Prospects in the Russian Oil and Gas Sector, Paper No.5 (University of Washington: Jackson School oflnternational Studies, 1996). Ebel, Robert, Energy Choices in Russia (Washington, D. C.: The Center for Strategic & International Studies, 1994). 97 Energy Policies of the Russian Federation: 1995 Survey (Washington, D.C.: International Energy Agency, 1995). Ferguson, Chris, "Russian Law-- production sharing agreements," Petroleum Review, February 1996, 60-62. Forsyth, James, A History of the Peoples of Siberia: Russia's North Asian Colony 1581-1990 (Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 1992). Friedrich, Carl J., Trends of Federalism in Theory and Practice (New York: Frederick A. Praeger, 1968). Gerth, H. H. and C. Wright Mills, From Max Weber: Essays in Sociology (Boston: Routledge & Kegan Paul Ltd., 1948). Gustafson, Thane, Crisis Amid Plenty: The Politics of Soviet Energy Under Brezhnev and Gorbachev (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1989). Handelman, Stephen, Comrade Criminal: The Theft of the Second Russian Revolution (London: Michael Joseph, 1994). Helliwell, John F., The Distribution of Energy Revenues within Canada: Functional or Factional Federalism?, Resources Paper No. 48 (Vancouver: University of British Columbia Department of Economics, 1980). Heren, Patrick, "Prices Become the Paramount Factor," Petroleum Economist, August 1993, 711. lvandaev, Alexei 1., "The Struggle for Power Allocation Between the Central Government in Moscow and the Administration of the Tyumen' Region," in James E. Hickey Jr. and Alexej U grinsky, eds., Government Structures in the U.S.A. and the Sovereign States of the Former U.S.S.R.: Power Allocation Among Central, Regional, and Local Governments (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1996), 222-229. Jones, Alan, "Energy and Developing Law in the Russian Federation," Petroleum Economist, July 1992,9-15. Kellison, Bruce, "Siberian Crude: Moscow, Tiumen, and Political Decentralization," in Stephen Kotkin and David Wolff, eds., Rediscovering Russia in Asia: Siberia and the Russian Far East (Armonk, N.Y.: M.E. Sharpe, 1995), 193-206. Kempton, Daniel R., "The Republic of Sakha (Yakutia): The Evolution of Centre-Periphery Relations in the Russian Federation," Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 48, No.4, 1996, 587613. Kryukov, Valeriy, "Industry Profile: Siberian-based Oil Companies," http://solar.rtd.utk.edu/friends/siberia/eco_bus/f2_6.html, 1-2. 98 Kuznetsov, Victor, "Is the Gift of Nature Profitable?," New Times, July 1995, 1-3. Lapidus, Gail W. and Edward W. Walker, "Nationalism, Regionalism and Federalism: CenterPeriphery Relations in Post-Communist Russia," in Gail Lapidus, ed., The New Russia: Troubled Transformation (Boulder, CO.: Westview Press, 1995), 79-114. Latynina, Yulia, "Absurdity: Adventures of the Law on Production Sharing, or a Dog in the Well?," Sevodnya, 2 November 1995, 3, translated in Current Digest of the Post-Soviet Press, Vol. XLVII, No. 44, 1995, 8-9. Liesman, Steve, "Russian Oil Bill Still Alive," Globe & Mail, 6 October 1995, B7. Livingston, W . H., Federalism and Constitutional Change (Oxford: Oxford Press, 1956). Makarov, A. A., et al., "The Conception of the Energy Policy for Russia in the New Economic Situation," Thermal Engineering, Vol. 40, No. 1, 1993, 1-6. Malia, Martin, "From Under the Rubble, What?," Problems of Post-Communism, Vol. 8, No.3 , 1992, 197-238. Moe, Arild and Valeriy Kryukov, "Observations on the Reorganization of the Russian Oil Industry," Post-Soviet Geography, Vol. 35, No.2, 1994, 89-101. Morvant, Penny, "Energy Crisis Threatens Samara Oblast," OMRI Russian Regional Report Part II, Vol. 1, No.3, 11 September 1996. Oil & Gas Journal, 17 April 1995, 28. Oil & Gas Journal, 23 March 1992, 121. Oil & Gas Journal, 25 July 1994, 38. Oil & Gas Journal, 7 September 1992, 18. Orttung, Robert, "Lukoil Head Backs Yeltsin," OMRI Daily Digest, 17 April1996. Orttung, Robert, "Sakha President Relies on Moscow Ties and Diamond Revenues to Secure Reelection," OMRI Russian Regional Report Part II, 17 January 1997. Peterson, James, "Russia' s Environment and Natural Resources in Light of Economic Regionalization," Post-Soviet Geography, Vol. 36, No.5, 1995, 291-309. Poelzer, Greg, "Devolution, Constitutional Development, and the Russian North," Post-Soviet Geography, 36, No. 4, April1995, 204-214. Razuvayev, Vladimir, "Managing Russia's Oil," The Moscow Times, 12 March 1995, 25. 99 Razuvzev, V.V., "The Oil Companies in Russian Politics," Russian Politics and Law, MarchAprill996, 71-81. Republic of Sakha: Yakutian Business Guide (Y ak:utsk: The Ministry of Foreign Relations of the Republic of Sakha, 1995). Respublika Sakha (Yakutia): Special Issue of Deloviye Lyudi, November 1994. Respublika Sakha, 5 July 1995. Riker, W. H., Federalism: Origin, Operation, Significance (Boston: Little, Brown and Co., 1964). Rossiskaya Gazetta, 11 July 1992. Rousseau, Marc 0. and Raphael Zariski, Regionalism and Regional Devolution in Comparative Perspective (New York: Praeger, 1987). Rutland, Peter, "Cold War in Tver," OMRI Russian Regional Report Part II, Vol. 1, No.6, 2 October 1996. Rutland, Peter, "Gazprom Issues Annual Report," OMRI Daily Digest, 5 June 1996. Rutland, Peter, "Gazprom Loses Tax Privilege," OMRI Daily Digest, 9 Aprill996. Rutland, Peter, "Privatisation in Russia: One Step Forward: Two Steps Back?," Europe-Asia Studies, Vol. 46, No.7, 1994, 1109-1131. Rutland, Peter, "Tatarstan: A Sovereign Republic Within the Russian Federation," OMRI Russian Regional Report Part II, Vol. 1, No.5, 25 September 1996. Sagers, Matthew, Valeriy A. Kryukov and Vladimir V. Shmat, "Resource Rent From the Oil and Gas Sector ofthe Russian Economy," Post-Soviet Geography, Vol. 36, No.7, 389425. Sakhainvest Servis, July 1995. Sharlet, Robert, "The Prospects for Federalism in Russian Constitutional Politics," Publius, 24, Spring, 1994, 115-127. Shermatova, Sanobar, "Mintimer Shaimiyev's Big Game," Moskovskiye Novosti, 24-31 March 1996, 8, translated in Current Digest of the Post-Soviet Press, Vol. XLVIII, No. 12, 1996, 15-16. Slider, Darrell, "Federalism, Discord, and Accommodation," in Theodore H. Friedgut and Jeffery Hahn, eds., Local Power and Post-Soviet Politics (Armonk, N.Y.: M.E. Sharpe, 1994), 239-269. 100 Slider, Darrell, "Privatization in Russia's Regions," Post-Soviet Affairs, Vol. 10, No. 4, 1994, 367-396. Solnick, Steven, ''The Political Economy of Russian Federalism: Problems of Measurement and Analysis," prepared for the 1995 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, lll., 31 August- 3 September, 1995. Stoner-Weiss, Kathryn, Local Heroes: The Political Economy of Governmental Performance in Provincial Russia (unpublished dissertation, Harvard University, 1995). Thompson, Steve and Vladimir Matveev, "Exploration opportunities, 30 fields dot eastern Russia's Salcha Republic," Oil & Gas Journal, 15 August 1994,98-102. Thompson, Steve and Vladimir Matveev, "Sakha Republic of Russian Far East looks like new exploration frontier," Oil & Gas Journal, 8 August 1994, 70-72. Voorhees, James, ''Russian Federalism and Reform," Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 2, No.4, 1995, 549-564. Wallich, Christine 1., ed., Russia and the Challenge of Fiscal Federalism (Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 1994). Wallich, Christine 1., "Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations: Setting the Stage," in Christine I. Wallich, ed., Russia and the Challenge of Fiscal Federalism (Washington, D.C.: The World Bank, 1995), 64-95. Wheare, K. C., Federal Government (London: Oxford Press, 1946). Whiting, Allen S., "Yakutiya Gas," in Mark J. Valencia, ed., The Russian Far East in Transition: Opportunities for Regional Economic Cooperation, (Boulder, CO.: Westview Press, 1995), 111-124. Wook Paik, Keun, Gas and oil in Northeast Asia: Policies, Projects and Prospects (London: The Royal Institute of International Affairs, 1995). Yastrebtsov, Gennadiy, "Rurgaz -- Gazprom: Konkurentam tesno, partneram -- prostorno," Trud, 21 June 1995, 2. Yemelyanenko, Vladimir, ''Yakutia Wins Rights to its Own Diamonds," Moscow News, 30 June6 July 1995, 1. Young, John, "At the Bottom of the Heap: Local Self-Government and Regional Politics in the Russian Federation," in Larry Black, et. al., Beyond the Monolith: The Emergence of Regionalism in Post Soviet Russia (Baltimore: Woodrow Wilson Center Press and John Hopkins University Press, forthcoming). Zhuravlyov, Pyotr, "Government Decides to Manage Oil Complex," Sevodnya, 21 September 1994, translated in Current Digest of the Post-Soviet Press, Vol. XLVI, No. 38, 1994, 21. 101 I