FACTORS AFFECTING HOSPICE CARE USE AMONG LONG-TERM CARE FACILITY RESIDENTS IN CANADA by Beibei Xiong B.M., B.A., Jilin University, 2017 THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTICIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER IN SCIENCE IN HEALTH SCIENCES UNIVERSITY OF NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA April 2019 © Beibei Xiong, 2019 Abstract Hospice care can improve quality of life for persons nearing end of life. Little is known about hospice care practices in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) in Canada. This thesis included 185,715 residents in LTCFs in Canada in 2015 and followed their death records to 2016 to examine the characteristics of residents who received hospice care and those who did not but may have benefitted from it. Univariate, bivariate and multivariate analyses were used depending on the variable type. Results show the actual use of hospice care in LTCFs is very low in Canada (i.e. less than 3%). Residents who received hospice care had more severe and complex clinical needs than those who did not. Findings suggest several possible barriers to hospice use in the LTCF population including ageism, rurality, and disease diagnoses. Immediate action is needed to provide improved access to, and utilization of, hospice care in LTCFs in Canada. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT............................................................................................................................. II TABLE OF CONTENTS ..................................................................................................... III LIST OF TABLES .................................................................................................................. V LIST OF FIGURES .............................................................................................................. VI ACKNOWLEDGEMENT .................................................................................................. VII CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION .................................................................................... 1 Definition of Hospice Care ................................................................................................ 1 History of Hospice Care .................................................................................................... 3 Long-Term Care Facility (LTCF) in Canada ................................................................. 6 Hospice Care in LTCFs in Canada .................................................................................. 8 Problem Statement and Research Questions .................................................................. 9 Conceptual Framework ................................................................................................... 11 Operational Definition ..................................................................................................... 13 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW..................................................................... 16 Literature Search ............................................................................................................. 16 Database selection. ...................................................................................................... 16 Search strategies. ......................................................................................................... 16 Literature selection and search outcome...................................................................... 17 Literature Analysis .......................................................................................................... 18 Characteristics of included studies. ............................................................................. 18 Prevalence of hospice use in LTCFs. .......................................................................... 19 Length of hospice use in LTCFs. ................................................................................. 20 Hospice use in LTCFs versus in non-LCTFs. ............................................................. 21 Hospice use among residents in LTCFs. ..................................................................... 22 Hospice use among end-stage residents in LTCFs. ..................................................... 26 Discussion ......................................................................................................................... 30 CHAPTER THREE: METHODS ........................................................................................ 32 Study Design ..................................................................................................................... 32 Data Sources ..................................................................................................................... 32 Sample. ........................................................................................................................ 32 Data collection. ............................................................................................................ 33 Measures ........................................................................................................................... 34 Predisposing characteristics. ........................................................................................ 34 Enabling characteristics. .............................................................................................. 34 Need characteristics. .................................................................................................... 34 Outcomes. .................................................................................................................... 44 Data Analysis .................................................................................................................... 44 Data cleaning. .............................................................................................................. 45 Univariate analyses. ..................................................................................................... 45 iii Bivariate analyses. ....................................................................................................... 46 Multivariate analyse..................................................................................................... 46 Ethical Considerations .................................................................................................... 46 CHAPTER FOUR: HOSPICE USE AMONG RESIDENTS IN LONG-TERM CARE FACILITIES IN CANADA .................................................................................................. 47 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 48 Conceptual framework................................................................................................. 50 Methods ............................................................................................................................ 51 Study design and data sources. .................................................................................... 51 Measures. ..................................................................................................................... 51 Statistical analyses. ...................................................................................................... 53 Ethical considerations. ................................................................................................. 54 Results ............................................................................................................................... 54 Predisposing characteristics. ........................................................................................ 55 Enabling characteristics ............................................................................................... 55 Need characteristics. .................................................................................................... 55 Predictive models......................................................................................................... 56 Discussion ......................................................................................................................... 57 Strengths and limitations. ............................................................................................ 62 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................ 63 CHAPTER FIVE: AN EXAMINATION OF THE CHARACTERISTICS OF RESIDENTS WHO RECEIVE VERSUS DO NOT RECEIVE HOSPICE CARE IN LONG-TERM CARE FACILITIES IN CANADA ............................................................ 74 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 76 Conceptual framework................................................................................................. 78 Methods ............................................................................................................................ 78 Study design and data sources. .................................................................................... 78 Measures. ..................................................................................................................... 79 Statistical analyses. ...................................................................................................... 81 Ethical considerations. ................................................................................................. 82 Results ............................................................................................................................... 82 Study sample characteristics. ....................................................................................... 82 Differences among four groups. .................................................................................. 85 Multivariate results. ..................................................................................................... 86 Discussion ......................................................................................................................... 88 Strengths and limitations. ............................................................................................ 94 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................ 95 CHAPTER SIX: SUMMARY AND SIGNIFICANCE .................................................... 105 REFERENCES .................................................................................................................... 111 APPENDIX A ....................................................................................................................... 123 APPENDIX B ....................................................................................................................... 136 iv LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Keyword Search Used for All Databases .................................................................. 16 Table 2. Subject Heading Search Used for PubMed (Medline), CINAHL (EBSCO), and PsycINFO (EBSCO) ............................................................................................... 17 Table 3. List of Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Characteristics Study Variables .............. 35 Table 4. Selected List of interRAI Outcome Scales Common to the RAI-MDS 2.0 Instruments with Description and Ranges .............................................................. 39 Table 5. Variables Used to Measure the Outcomes of Residents ............................................ 40 Table 6. Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Characteristics by Status of Hospice Use of Residents (N=185,715) and End-Stage Residents (N=12,684) in Long-Term Care Facilities Across Canada in 2015 ........................................................................... 65 Table 7. Logistic Regression Model Predicting Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 ........................................................................... 68 Table 8. Final Logistic Regression Model Predicting Hospice Use Among Residents in LongTerm Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 ................................................................. 70 Table 9. Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Characteristics by One-Year Survival Survivorship of Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada at Baseline in 2015 (N=185,715) ............................................................... 96 Table 10. Multinomial Logistic Regression of Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Characteristics on One Year Survivorship of Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 with Residents Who Did Not Receive Hospice Care and Were Alive One Year Following the Last Assessment as Reference (Odds Ratios and 95% Confidence Intervals). ................................ 100 v LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. The Role of Hospice Palliative Care During Illness .................................................. 2 Figure 2. The Conceptual Framework of This Thesis: A Modified Andersen and Newman’s Behavioral Model for Health Services Utilization (1973)...................................... 15 Figure 3. Flow Diagram of Article Selection Process ............................................................. 18 Figure 4. Selected Common Diagnoses by Status of Hospice Use of Residents (N=185,715) and End-Stage Residents (N=12,684) in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 ........................................................................................................................ 72 Figure 5. Number of Clinical Protocol Assessments Triggered by Status of Hospice Use Among Residents (N=185,715) and End-Stage Residents (N=12,684) in LongTerm Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 ................................................................. 73 Figure 6. Survival Analysis by Status of Hospice Use of Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 (N=185,715) ........................................................... 102 Figure 7. Selected Common Diagnoses by Status of Hospice Use of Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 (N=185,715) ................................................... 103 Figure 8. Number of Clinical Protocol Assessments Triggered by One-Year Survivorship of Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 (N=185,715) ......................................................................................................... 104 vi Acknowledgement I would like to express my deepest appreciation to my thesis supervisor, Dr. Shannon Freeman, for being such a wonderful and supportive supervisor. I really appreciate how she has always been so friendly and supportive of all of my efforts. I become more confident and creative because she saw the potential in me. Her knowledge, expertise, perseverance, patience, and encouragement were vital for the development and accomplishment of my thesis. Her encouragement, attention to details, and critiques have immensely improved my thesis and challenged me to develop as a researcher. I would like to express my great gratitude to the members of my thesis committee, Dr. Davina Banner-Lukaris and Dr. Lina Spirgiene for their depth of knowledge, insight and guidance. Their support and mentorship have meant so much. I would like to sincerely thank Dr. Tammy Klassen-Ross for assessment for my thesis proposal and serving as the chair of my thesis defense. I am honored to have had Dr. Annie Duchesne as the external examiner of my thesis. I am grateful to have received financial support from the University of Northern British and Mitacs towards completion of my thesis program. Thank the Canadian Institute for Health Information for proving the study data. Thank you to my parents for being my biggest supporters and always encouraging me to pursue my dreams. Thank you to my boyfriend Xiangyi Zeng for all his love and support. Big thanks to everyone who has helped me with my thesis work. vii Chapter One: Introduction This chapter introduces the definition of hospice care, what is involved in hospice care, who provides hospice care, and the history of hospice care. This chapter also introduces the definition of long-term care facilities (LTCFs) and gives an overview of the background of hospice care in LTCFs in Canada. This chapter also presents the research questions and the conceptual framework that was used to guide the work described in this thesis. Definition of Hospice Care According to the Canadian Hospice and Palliative Care Association (CHPCA) (2016a), hospice care (also known as palliative care in Canada) is defined as “a special kind of health care for individuals and families who are living with a life-limiting illness that is usually at an advanced stage” (para. 2). The goal of hospice care is “to provide comfort and dignity for the person living with the illness as well as the best quality of life for both this person and his or her family” (CHPCA, 2016a, para. 2). Hospice care involves a) pain management; b) symptom management, such as anxiety and depression; c) social, psychological, spiritual and emotional support; and d) caregiver support (CHPCA, 2016b). It is provided by a diverse team, which may include physicians, nurses, pharmacists, social workers, trained volunteers, home care workers, bereavement support workers, and informal caregivers such as family members (Health Canada, 2016). Hospice care can reduce or relieve physical and psychological symptoms, provide comfort and dignity for the person living with the illness as well as the best quality of life for both this person and his or her family (CHPCA, 2016a). The term palliative care is often used interchangeably with hospice care internationally, however, the two words have slightly different meanings (Hui et al., 2013). The word hospice is the original word that is used to describe St. Christopher’s Hospice, the 1 first modern hospice, which opened in 1967 in the UK (Stoddard, 1978). The term palliative care emerged from Canada in 1974, which was initially used to refer to the opening of a hospice care unit in the hospital (Sheehan & Forman, 1996). The term has been predominantly used in Canada since then. However, the terms hospice care and palliative care have become more synonymous in both Canada and the UK over the last 20 years (Hutchings, 2002). The Canadian Hospice Palliative Care Association has added the word hospice to its name and it also clearly pointed out that “In Canada, palliative care and hospice care are used to refer to the same thing - this specific approach to care.” (CHPCA, 2016c, para. 1). In Canada, hospice palliative care starts at the beginning of the life-threatening illness which aims to relieve suffering and improve quality of life, although the focus of this stage is mainly on therapy to treat or manage the illness (CHPCA, 2013) (Figure 1). Commonly, the treatments and care provided across the course of the life-threatening illness may fluctuate according to the person’s and family’s issues and needs, goals of care and/or treatment priorities (CHPCA, 2013). Figure 1. The Role of Hospice Palliative Care During Illness Source: “A model to guide hospice palliative care: Based on national principles and Norms of Practice” by Canadian Hospice Palliative Care Association, 2013, retrieved from http://www.chpca.net/media/319547/norms-of-practice-eng-web.pdf 2 In the U.S., hospice care is defined as a special kind of health care that is “provided for a person with a terminal illness whose doctor believes he or she has 6 months or less to live if the illness runs its natural course” (National Institute on Aging (NIA), 2016, para. 9). Like hospice care in Canada, hospice care in the U.S. provides comprehensive comfort care as well as support for the family through a hospice team, however, unlike hospice care in Canada, hospice care in the U.S. is provided only when attempts to cure the person’s illness are stopped (NIA, 2016). Palliative care is different from hospice care in the U.S. “Palliative care extends the principles of hospice care to a broader population that could benefit from receiving this type of supportive care earlier in their illness or disease process” (Ferrell & Coyle, 2010, p. 19). The NIA (2016) asserts that “palliative care can be provided along with curative treatment and may begin at the time of diagnosis” (NIA, 2016, para. 6). Attention should be paid to the meaning of hospice care and palliative care, because they are different in Canada and the U.S. History of Hospice Care The first hospice may date back as far as the 4th century in Europe when Christians provided care to the sick and destitute (CHPCA, 2016d). In the early 14th century, the order of the Knights Hospitaller of St. John of Jerusalem opened the first hospice in Rhodes (which belongs to Greece now) to provide care for the ill and dying as well as refuge for travelers and pilgrims (Connor, 1998). Hospices thrived in the Middle Ages (5th-15th century), but languished in 16th century as religious orders became dispersed (Robbins, 1983). Hospice was revived, by the Daughters of Charity of Saint Vincent de Paul, in the 17th century in France (Connor, 1998). France continued to see the development of hospice; the hospice of L'Association des Dames du Calvaire founded by Jeanne Garnier, opened in 1843, followed by six other hospices before 1900 (Lewis, 2007). In the meantime, hospices also developed in 3 other countries. In the UK, the articles published in the Lancet and the British Medical Journal put forward the need of terminally ill for good care and sanitary conditions in the middle of the 19th century (Lewis, 2007). The first hospice in the UK, the Friedenheim, was founded by Davidson in 1885 (Glasgow End of Life Studies Group, 2014). The Friedenheim initially had eight beds, but in 1892 it could provide accommodation for up to 35 patients (Glasgow End of Life Studies Group, 2014). Four more hospices were established in the UK by 1905 (Lewis, 2007). Australia also experienced the active development of hospice facilities, with well-known hospices including the Home for Incurables in Adelaide (1879), the Home of Peace (1902), and the Anglican House of Peace for the Dying in Sydney (1907) (Lewis, 2007). In New York City, St. Rose's Hospice was founded by the Servants for Relief of Incurable Cancer in 1899 and soon expanded with six locations in other cities (Lewis, 2007). The more influential early developer of hospice was the Irish Religious Sisters of Charity, who opened Our Lady's Hospice in Harold's Cross, Dublin, Ireland in 1879 (Lewis, 2007) and who expanded internationally with the Sacred Heart Hospice for the Dying opened in Sydney in 1890 (Lewis, 2007), St Joseph's Hospice opening in London in 1905 (Connor, 1998; Foley & Herbert, 2002), and hospices in Melbourne and New South Wales followed in the 1930s (Lewis, 2007). The first modern hospice, the St. Christopher's Hospice, was created by Dame Cicely Saunders in the UK in 1967 (Stoddard, 1978). She was the first to apply hospice care to specialized care for terminally ill patients. She also introduced the idea of specialized care for the dying to the US and promoted the foundation of the first modern hospice in the US, which was established in New Haven, Connecticut in 1974 (National Hospice and Palliative Care Association, 2016; The World Federation of Right to Die Association, 2016). 4 In Canada, modern hospice care movement began with the creation of palliative care units in a hospital setting (CHPCA, 2016d). As the word hospice was already used in France to refer to nursing homes, the term palliative care ward was used to refer to hospice care units in a hospital setting in Canada (Duffy, 2005; Feldberg, Ladd-Taylorm, & Li, 2003). The term palliative care has been in predominant use in Canada since then. In 1974, the first palliative care unit opened at Winnipeg's St. Boniface General Hospital (CHPCA, 2016d). Within a matter of weeks, the second palliative care ward in Canada opened at the Royal Victoria Hospital in Montreal, Quebec (CHPCA, 2016d). Subsequently, hospice palliative care programs developed as divisions of larger organizations or agencies (CHPCA, 2016d). The first university institute for research and education in palliative care was created at the University of Ottawa in 1983 (CHPCA, 2016d). Volunteer-based hospice societies and organizations began to develop soon after (CHPCA, 2016d). In November 1991, the Canadian Palliative Care Foundation (renamed as Canadian Palliative Care Association in 2001) was formally established as a national charitable organization (CHPCA, 2016d). In 1992, the Ministry of Health (later renamed the Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care in 1999) provided funding for the purpose of increasing palliative care in communities as opposed to hospitals in Ontario (DeMiglio, Dykeman, Williams, & Kelley, 2012). In 1995, Community Care Access Centers in Ontario were developed, which “enforced the momentum towards delivering care within the community and increasing opportunities for patients to remain at home even at the end of life” (DeMiglio et al, 2012, p. 113). In the same year, the report “Of Life and Death - Final Report” from the Special Senate Committee on Euthanasia and Assisted Suicide examined the issues regarding assisted suicide and euthanasia in response to the request for the right to die case of Sue Rodriguez (Special Senate Committee on Euthanasia and Assisted Suicide, 1995). This report put forward that 5 palliative care, pain control, sedation, and advance directives should be considered before assisted suicide and euthanasia were considered (Chapter 2). In this report, the term palliative care was used and was defined as “care aimed at alleviating suffering - physical, emotional, psychosocial, or spiritual - rather than curing” (Chapter 2). This report also demonstrated that “people need better support during the dying process and in dealing with the circumstances surrounding death” and that “palliative care could address many of these needs and may serve as alternatives to assisted suicide and euthanasia” (Chapter 3). In 2000, the Standing Senate Committee on Social Affairs, Science and Technology released a landmark report entitled “Quality End-Of-Life Care: The Right of Every Canadian” to examine and report upon developments since the 1995 report “Of Life and Death - Final Report” (CHPCA, 2016d; Standing Senate Committee on Social Affairs, Science and Technology, 2000). In 2001, Senator Carstairs was appointed as Minister with Special Responsibility for Palliative Care and the Secretariat on Palliative and End-of-Life Care at Health Canada was created (CHPCA, 2016d). Since then, more attention on policy, research, and education on hospice care was paid in Canada. (CHPCA, 2016d). Long-Term Care Facilities (LTCFs) in Canada According to Canadian Institute of Health Information (CIHI), a LTCF is defined as a care institution that “serves diverse populations who need access to 24-hour nursing care, personal care and other therapeutic and support services that are not provided through home care programs, in retirement homes, in the persons own home or in a shared private home” (Freeman et al., 2017, p. 2). Long-term care facilities are not publicly-insured services under the Canada Health Act but is partially insured as extended health care services (McGregor, & Ronald, 2011; Canadian Healthcare Association [CHA], 2009). They are governed by provincial and territorial legislation; jurisdictions offer a different range of services and cost 6 coverage across Canada (Health Canada, 2004). As a result, there is lack of consistency in what LTCFs are called and how LTCFs are governed (McGregor, & Ronald, 2011). The U.S. commonly describes these facilities as “nursing homes” (McGregor, & Ronald, 2011). In Canada, different terms are used across and within provinces and territories, such as “longterm care facilities”, “long-term care homes”, “nursing homes”, “personal care homes”, “special care homes” (Alberta Health Services, 2019; McGregor, & Ronald, 2011). In most provinces, LTCFs are publicly funded; however, there is also an income-tested user-pay funding component for residential long-term care (McGregor, & Ronald, 2011). In some provinces, residents pay for accommodation and/or personal care expenses and these expense rates vary across Canada (CHA, 2009). Furthermore, while the majority of LTCFs are publicly funded, service delivery is provided by a mix of public (government-owned), private not-for-profit, and private for-profit providers (Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, 2015; McGregor, & Ronald, 2011). Hospice care can be provided in a variety of settings, such as private homes, hospitals, LTCFs, and hospice facilities and “although hospitals are designed to address severe and urgent needs, they may not be the best location for comfortable end-of-life care” (Health Canada, 2016, para. 8). Long-term care facilities may be a good location for end-oflife care. In LTCFs, hospice care can benefit residents without family and/or caregivers and residents who need constant monitoring by professional staff (Infeld, Crum, & Koshuta,1990). Providing hospice services in LTCFs can be cost-efficient compared to providing hospice care at private homes and in hospice facilities because the basic services such as housekeeping and central supplies can be shared between hospice facilities and LTCFs and be provided by LTCF staff (Infeld et al., 1990). Having a hospice program in LTCFs also has benefits for both hospice facilities and LTCFs. Hospice facilities may have 7 greater revenues by increasing their resident volume, utilizing staff more efficiently, overlapping basic services, and increasing the average length of stay (Petrisek & Mor, 1999). Long-term care facilities who enroll residents in hospice care programs can increase their competitiveness of the market by promising to provide hospice care to residents who are nearing the end of life, reduce in-house staff time while providing these special services, and also benefit from the knowledge of hospice staff (Castle, 1999; Petrisek & Mor, 1999). Hospice Care in LTCFs in Canada According to Statistics Canada, there were about 267,000 deaths in 2016 in Canada, about 80% of whom were aged 65 years and older (Statistics Canada, 2018). Population growth forecasts predicted that the number of deaths in Canada would increase annually by 24% to 330,000 by 2026 and 40% to more than 375,000 by 2036 (Statistics Canada, 2015a). It was estimated that about 10% of deaths occur suddenly, thus, 90% of decedents may have benefitted from hospice care (Carstairs, 2010). However, hospice care was only available to 5% of the deceased in 1995 (Carstairs, 2010) and 16% to 30% in 2008 (CHPCA, 2014). A survey showed 34% of Canadians did not know to whom hospice services were available to (CHPCA, 2014). Thus, it is important to make hospice care available to more Canadians as well as to increase Canadians’ awareness of hospice care. In addition to the increasing number of deaths, Canada is also facing an ageing population. According to Statistics Canada (2017a), about one in six of Canadians were 65 years old and older in 2016. It was estimated that about one in four of Canadians will be 65 years old and older by 2031 (Carstairs, 2010). The increasing ageing population and improvements in life expectancy have caused an increase in the number of older adults (aged 65 years and older) with chronic and complex diseases (Carstairs, 2010). Almost four in five of older adults have at least one chronic disease (Carstairs, 2010). Many older adults suffer 8 serious cognitive and physical impairments and have unstable and complex health needs (Canadian Union of Public Employees, 2009; Carstairs, 2010). Thus, there is an increasing need for formal care services, such as LTCFs, to provide care to these persons (Jayaraman & Joseph, 2013). In Canada, approximately 150,000 residents live in LTCFs (Statistics Canada, 2015b). Most of these residents stay in LTCFs until death, making the LTCF a common place of death for frail residents with chronic and complex diseases in Canada (Carstairs, 2010; Jayaraman & Joseph, 2013). It has been estimated that about one in four of Canadians die in LTCFs each year and this number is expected to rise steadily (Brink & Kelley, 2015). It was predicted that about 39% of Canadians would die in LTCFs by 2020 (Jayaraman & Joseph, 2013). For those aged 65 years and older, nearly 30% die in LTCFs every year (Motiwala, Croxford, Guerriere, & Coyte, 2006). For those over the age of 85 years, LTCFs are the most common place of death, with approximately 50% of all deaths occurring there (Motiwala et al., 2006). Given the increasing number of deaths that occur in LTCFs, it is important to examine hospice care practices in LTCFs in Canada. Problem Statement and Research Questions While a large proportion of Canadians die in LTCFs each year, most LTCFs lack a formalized hospice care program (Quality Palliative Care in Long Term Care Alliance, 2011). Research has emerged studying hospice care across various settings (e.g., private homes, hospitals, and hospice facilities), however, a particular gap in knowledge exists regarding hospice care use in the long-term care setting, particularly across Canada (Ersek & Carpenter, 2013). Little is known about what the residents in LTCFs in Canada who receive hospice care look like and what factors affect hospice use among residents in LTCFs in Canada. Hospice care may also not be used appropriately in LTCFs. The general eligibility 9 for hospice care program in Canada is a) the person has a specific prognosis (often six months or less), b) a decision has been made to focus on comfort rather than cure, and c) resuscitation will not be used when the illness brings a natural death (Canadian Virtual Hospice, 2019). However, some persons may be referred to hospice programs in the last days of life (Han, Tiggle, & Remsburg, 2008; Lun, 2007), while others may have lived more than six months after enrollment in hospice (Harris et al, 2014). It is hard to recognize terminal stages when the person has several medical problems but no specific terminal diagnosis. Due to limited research, it is unclear who receive hospice care but survive an unexpected length of time (i.e. more than six months) in LTCFs and the related characteristics. It is also unclear who may have benefited from hospice care but did not receive it and the related characteristics. The aim of the work described in this thesis was to examine the characteristics of residents who received hospice care in LTCFs in Canada and to explore factors that could predict hospice use in the LTCF population in Canada. Specifically, the work described in this thesis was guided by the following two main research questions: (a) What are the characteristics of residents who received hospice care in LTCFs in Canada versus those who did not by end-stage status and by one-year survivorship? (b) What variables can predict hospice use and one-year survivorship of hospice use among LTCF residents in Canada? The characteristics of residents who received hospice care in LTCFs versus those who did not by end-stage status and the predictors of hospice use among LTCFs in Canada will be examined in Chapter Four. The characteristics of, and one-year survivorship among, residents who received hospice care in LTCFs versus those who did not and predictors of one-year survivorship of hospice use among LTCF residents in Canada will be examined in 10 Chapter Five. To the knowledge of the author, the work described in this thesis was the first to quantitatively assess and compare the hospice use among LTCF residents across Canada. Understanding these characteristics may help LTCFs and hospice care providers to better understand hospice care practices in LTCFs in Canada, provide evidence for needs of change or improvements in care in the long-term care setting, and identify ways to implement services and interventions that can improve access to, and utilization of, hospice care in LTCFs in Canada. Conceptual Framework Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model for health services utilization was used to guide the work described in this thesis. This behaviour model was initially developed in the late 1960s, which was designed to help “to understand why family use health services, to define and measure equitable access to health care, and to develop policies to promote equitable access” (Andersen, 1995, p1). The initial model used the family as the unit of analysis. Because it was difficult to examine the family characteristics, the initial model was then modified to use the individual as the unit of analysis. The modified model was designed to assist in explaining and predicting demographic and societal determinants for utilization of health services and developing policies to promote equitable access to these services (Andersen & Newman, 1973). The behavioral model proposed that the utilization of health services was a result of three components of population characteristics: (a) the predisposition of the person to use services (predisposing characteristics), (b) the person’s ability to secure the services (enabling characteristics), and (c) the person’s illness level (need characteristics) (Andersen and Newman, 1973). Predisposing characteristics. Predisposing characteristics (i.e. demographic characteristics, social structure, and health beliefs) are identified as social-demographic 11 characteristics that influence or bias the use of health care services (Andersen and Newman, 1973). Demographic characteristics such as age and gender represent biological imperatives which suggest the likelihood that a person will need the health services. The social structure such as education and occupation shows the person’s status in the community, the person’s ability, and the resources available to the person to help them cope with the presenting problems. Health beliefs such as values and attitudes may influence the person’s subsequent perceptions of need and utilization of health services. Enabling characteristics. Enabling characteristics (i.e. family resources and community characteristics) reflect the person’s ability to access health services (Andersen and Newman, 1973). As applied using the Andersen and Newman’s (1973) model, both community and personal enabling resources must be present for the utilization of health services to take place. Need characteristics. Need characteristics are the conditions related to the health level (perceived or evaluated) that are the reasons why health services are needed (Andersen and Newman, 1973). The evaluated needs stand for professional judgement about the person’s health status and the person’s need for health services. The outcome of the Andersen and Newman’s (1973) model is utilization of health services. This model suggests that “people’s use of health services is a function of their predisposition to use services, factors which enable or impede use, and their need for care” (Andersen, 1995, p. 1). Andersen (1995) also described the measurements of four types of access to health services: potential access, realized access, equitable access, and inequitable access. Potential access is defined as the presence of enabling resources. More enabling resources relate to the increasing likelihood of using health services. Realized access is the actual use of the health 12 services. Equitable access occurs “when demographic and need characteristics account for most of the variance in utilization”, while inequitable access occurs “when the social structure, health beliefs, and enabling characteristics determine who gets health services” (Andersen, 1995, p. 4-5). Operational Definition Figure 2 illustrates a modified version of Andersen and Newman’s behavioral model that was used for the conceptual framework of the work described in this thesis. It should be noted that family resources were not included in the model, because the secondary data used in the work described in this thesis does not provide variables that could measure family resources. Predisposing characteristics. Predisposing characteristics are the resident’s characteristics that would influence or bias susceptibility for health or illness and one's attitude toward obtaining health services (Andersen, 1995). The work described in this thesis included demographic characteristics, social structure, and health beliefs. Variables that were used to examine demographic characteristics are age, sex, and marital status. Variables that were used to measure social structure are education and language. Variables that were used to measure health beliefs are do-not-resuscitate (DNR) order and do-no-hospitalize (DNH) order. Enabling Characteristics. Enabling characteristics reflect the resident’s ability to access health services. In the work described in this thesis, all participants were LTCF residents, which means that they were able to access long-term care services. The work described in this thesis included community characteristics that could reflect the resident’s ability to access hospice care services. Variables that were used to examine the community characteristics are geographic region, urban-rural status, and Quintile of Adjusted Income per 13 Person Equivalent (QAIPPE) of the LTCF. According to Statistics Canada (2017b), “an urban area was defined as having a population of at least 1,000 and a density of 400 or more people per square kilometre and all areas outside urban areas was defined as rural areas”. Urban areas and rural areas cover the entire nation together (Statistics Canada, 2017b). The QAIPPE is a simple area-based socioeconomic measure of neighbourhood income quintile for the facility providing care to the resident (Public Health Ontario, 2013). Need characteristics. Need characteristics represent the resident’s need to access to health services. The work described in this thesis included perceived and evaluated clinical characteristics. The variables that were used to measure the clinical characteristics are disease diagnoses, cognitive function, communication function, mood and behavior, physical function, continence, pain, skin condition, nutritional status, health stability, and health complexity of the LTCF resident. The outcome of the behavior model is utilization of hospice care. Utilization of hospice care is defined as LTCF residents being in a hospice care program for the management of terminal diseases (CIHI, 2015). 14 Figure 2. The Conceptual Framework of This Thesis: A Modified Andersen and Newman’s Behavioral Model for Health Services Utilization (1973) Adapted from “Societal and individual determinants of medical care utilization in the United States” by R. M. Andersen and J. F. Newman, 1973, Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly, 51, 107. The modified version of Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model was used in the work described in this thesis to assist in evaluating hospice care practices in LTCFs in Canada and understanding and predicting social-demographic and health determinants for utilization of hospice care services. 15 Chapter Two: Literature Review In this chapter, the literature that is related to the characteristics of residents who receive hospice care in LTCFs and the predictors of hospice use among residents in LTCFs is reviewed and discussed. Literature Search Database selection. Literature was identified through a search of electronic databases. PubMed (Medline), CINAHL (EBSCO), Academic Search Complete (EBSCO), PsycINFO (EBSCO), Web of Science, Cochrane Reviews (Ovid), and Scopus were chosen for this review. Search strategies. The three key concepts of the work described in this thesis are hospice care, LTCF, and characteristic. Search strategies were created for individual databases based on these three concepts. These strategies involved various combinations of keywords (Table 1) and subject headings (Table 2). Subject headings were only available for PubMed (Medline), CINAHL (EBSCO), and PsycINFO (EBSCO). Table 1. Keyword Search Used for All Databases Key Concept Keywords Hospice/palliative care Hospice care OR palliative care OR end of life care OR terminal care Long-term care facility (Long-term care OR residential OR nursing OR personal care OR convalescent OR continuing care OR assisted living OR for the aged) AND (facility OR facilities OR home OR homes) Characteristic Characteristic* OR factor* OR predict* OR determinant* OR influence* OR reason* OR cause* 16 Table 2. Subject Heading Search Used for PubMed (Medline), CINAHL (EBSCO), and PsycINFO (EBSCO) Database PubMed CINAHL PsycINFO Key Concept (Medline) (EBSCO) (EBSCO) Hospice/palliative care Hospice and Hospice and Hospice OR palliative care palliative nursing palliative care nursing OR OR hospice care hospice care OR OR palliative care palliative care OR OR terminal care terminal care Long-term care facility Long-term care OR Long-term care Long-term care OR residential OR residential residential care facilities OR facilities OR institutions OR assisted living residential care assisted living OR facilities OR OR assisted living nursing homes homes for the aged OR nursing homes OR nursing homes OR skilled nursing OR skilled nursing facilities facilities Literature selection and search outcome. The full searches were done on March 22, 2019. No time limit was applied to the databases. Searches were limited to published articles in English and Chinese languages because of the cost and time involved in translating the literature. Articles in which children (human beings aged below the age of 19 years) were the study population were excluded. Articles in which long-term care was provided through home care programs, in retirement homes, in the person’s own home or in a shared private home were excluded. Literature related to factors associated with hospice use among LTCF residents were included. Through the systematic literature search, a total of 3,656 nonduplicate articles were identified, of which 3,550 were excluded during the title and abstract screening stage. The full text of the remaining 106 articles were reviewed, of which 77 were excluded after full text screen and 3 more were excluded during data extraction. Finally, 26 studies are included for this review (Figure 3). 17 Figure 3. Flow Diagram of Article Selection Process Literature Analysis Characteristics of included studies. Of the 26 included studies, the earliest study was published in 1990 (Infeld et al., 1990) and the most recent studies were published in 2018 (Nilsen, Wallerstedt, Behm, & Ahlström, 2018; Rodriquez & Boerner, 2018). Two studies were conducted in Sweden (Rodriquez & Boerner, 2018; Smedbäck, Öhlén, Årestedt, Alvariza, Fürst, & Håkanson, 2017), one was an international study (Hjermstad et al, 2016), and the others were all carried out in the U.S. The international study recruited thirty facilities including two in Alberta, Canada, however, analyses in this study were not stratified by country (Hjermstad et al, 2016). As a result, this literature review was mostly based on American studies. All the included articles were read critically and study details were extracted and summarized thematically based on the analyses of the study findings using the Matrix Method (Garrard, 2011) (Appendix A). The themes include prevalence of hospice use in LTCFs, length of hospice use in LTCFs, hospice use in LTCFs versus in non-LCTFs, 18 hospice use among residents in LTCFs, and hospice use among end-stage residents in LTCFs. Prevalence of hospice use in LTCFs. Hospice care in LTCFs is provided through a collaboration with hospice facilities, specially trained LTCF staff, or separate specialty units focusing specifically on providing hospice care (Vulpen, 2013). The use of hospice care among LTCF residents increased over time (Gozalo & Miller, 2007; Infeld et al., 1990; Petrisek & Mor, 1999). Infeld et al.’s (1990) study shows there was an increase in the number of annual admissions in the LTCF examined in this study from 1978 to 1988. Since 1989, hospice services in LTCFs have been reimbursable under Medicare and Medicaid, which led to a rapid expansion of hospice care in LTCFs in the U.S (Petrisek & Mor, 1999). About 8% of hospice recipients lived in LTCFs in 1989, and this proportion rose to 17% in 1995 (Petrisek & Mor, 1999). Petrisek and Mor (1999) found about 30% of all Medicare/Medicaid certified LTCFs in the U.S. reported having at least one hospice resident in 1995-1997. Although the number of hospice users steadily increased each year, hospice services were still underutilized (Chapin, Gordon, Landry, & Rachlin, 2007). Gozalo and Miller (2007) found 8% of end-stage residents in nursing homes were enrolled in hospice during 1995 and 1997 in five states (Kansa, Maine, New York, Ohio, South Dakota) of the U.S. Han et al. (2008) referenced the statistics from National Hospice and Palliative Care Organization that “less than 5% of those who died in nursing homes in 1998 received hospice care” (p. 478). About one third of the residents in nursing homes who died before the end of the year 2000 received hospice care in Michigan (Lin, 2010). In 2006, the rate of hospice use was 39% for all urban decedents in nursing homes in the U.S. (Lepore, Miller, & Gozalo, 2011). The international study referenced the statistics from World Health Organization in 2014 that “only 1 in 10 of those who need palliative care receive it” (Hjermstad et al., 2016, p. 1). In 19 Hjermstad et al.’s study, palliative care referred to care that is “available early in the disease trajectory and may be delivered alongside potentially curative treatments” (p. 1). Hospice use in LTCFs from a global and national perspective in recent years has not been extensively examined in the included studies. Because the rate of hospice use in LTCFs may vary substantially across states and across facilities (Zheng, Mukamel, Caprio, & TemkinGreener, 2013; Petrisek & Mor, 1999), the finding from included studies may not be generable to other populations. Length of hospice use in LTCFs. Hospice users in the U.S. were thought to have less than six-month survival (NIA, 2016). Many residents in the U.S. nursing homes were enrolled in hospice in the last few days of their life, while other residents who were eligible for hospice at the admission lived more than six months after hospice enrollments (Huskamp, Stevenson, Grabowski, Brennan & Keating, 2010; Unroe et al, 2013). Infeld et al. (1990) found about 35% of residents stayed less than six days, most stayed one day, and the average length of stay decreased from about 29 days in 1978 to 12 days in 1988. An investigation of a large regional hospice facility which served five New England states revealed 25% of 13,479 hospice users were enrolled for 5 or fewer days, 10% were enrolled for 240 or more days, and the median length of hospice stay in LTCFs was 17 days in 2001-2008 (Huskamp et al., 2010). However, a study of 1,452 hospice users aged 65 years or over in nursing homes in Indianapolis showed the mean length of hospice stay was 114 days, about 20% of whom had hospice stays longer than six months in 1999-2009 (Unroe et al, 2013). Concerns about longer stays have been emphasized because “long hospice stay is associated with a lower intensity of services provided by hospice (providers), raising the issue of the degree of value added to the usual care of nursing home patients” (Unroe et al, 2014, p. 193). 20 Hospice use in LTCFs versus in non-LCTFs. Of the 26 included articles, three studies compared hospice care in LTCFs with hospice care in other settings and revealed residents who received hospice care in LTCFs were different from residents who received hospice care in other settings (Han et al., 2008; Hjermstad et al., 2016; Unroe et al., 2014). Han et al. (2008) compared 617 deceased residents who received hospice care in nursing homes to 1,170 deceased residents who received hospice care at homes in the U.S. and found compared to those who received hospice care at home, residents who received hospice care in nursing homes were more likely to be 85 years and older (45% vs. 17%) and widowed (49% vs. 29%) and have dementia (10% vs. 2%), noncancer primary diagnoses (66% vs. 36%), heart disease (23% vs. 11%), and difficulties in controlling bowels (74% vs. 34%) and bladder (62% vs. 29%). This study also revealed residents who received hospice care in nursing homes received more dietary/nutrition service (77% vs. 13%), medication management (92% vs. 64%), and physician services (94% vs. 28%) than home hospice patients. Likewise, a study of 3,771 hospice users aged 65 years or over in Indianapolis was conducted by Unroe et al. (2014) to address this issue with hospice patients classified into four groups: in nursing homes, not in nursing homes, crossover patients using hospice in both settings, and “near-transition” patients. This study revealed residents who received hospice care in nursing homes were more likely to be old and female and have dementia, arthritis, and diabetes compared to residents who received hospice care in nursing homes in other settings. Hjermstad et al. (2016) conducted an international study of 1,698 residents aged 18 years and older from 12 countries and found that patients in hospice/nursing homes category were more likely to be older, have poorer performance status, report more tiredness, and have shorter survival compared with patients who received hospice care at hospitals. However, this study combined hospice facilities, hospice in nursing homes and hospice at private 21 homes in one category (hospice/nursing homes category) and did not examine the differences between hospice facilities, hospice in nursing homes and hospice at private homes. The characteristics of residents in hospice/nursing homes category may not be generalizable to hospice in nursing homes. Although this study defined palliative care, they did not define hospice care and ignored the differences in definitions of palliative care and hospice care in different countries. Hospice use among residents in LTCFs. Half of the included studies (n=13/26) examined hospice use among the general LTCF population. Infeld et al. (1990) conducted a descriptive longitudinal study using administrative records from 1978 to 1988. This study revealed there was a wide variation in age over time and the mean age of hospice patients did not changed dramatically over time ranging from 57 years old in 1978 to 63 years old in 1988. This study also revealed there was a decline in proportion of females (82% in 1978 vs. 43% in 1988), Caucasian (82% in 1978 vs. 51% in 1988), married (77% in 1978 vs. 54% in 1988) and a diagnosis of cancer (100% in 1978 vs. 75% in 1988) over time. Huskamp et al. (2010) examined 13,479 hospice residents from 394 LTCFs from five New England states from 2001 to 2008 and found two thirds of the residents were female, three quarters were aged 81-90 years, two thirds were unmarried, four fifths were Caucasian and their common diagnosis was dementia (35%), cancer (19%), terminal debility (17%), and cardiovascular disease (9%). Unroe et al. (2013) identified 1,452 hospice residents aged 65 years and over in Indianapolis from 1999 to 2008 and found the mean age of the residents were 81(+8.2) years, 62% of them were female, 40% were African-American, 18% had severe cognitive impairment (a CPS of 5 or 6), their most common diagnoses were dementia (75%) and cancer (56%). This study also examined the primary hospice diagnosis of the residents and revealed cancer was the most common primary hospice diagnosis followed by dementia and 22 the proportion of residents with cancer as primary hospice diagnosis decreased over time (60% in 1999 vs. 24% in 2008). There was no comparison group in these three studies, therefore, the causes of changes in resident characteristics were unknown. The other 10 studies compared the characteristics of residents who received hospice care in LTCFs with those who did not in LTCFs. Andersen and Newman’s (1973) theoretical framework was used to guide and organize the following description about the findings for these studies. Predisposing characteristics. Predisposing characteristics that were examined among the 10 studies included age, sex/gender, marital status, race/ethnicity, education, and advance directives. Age. Two studies revealed residents who received hospice care and those who did not were similar in the value of mean age (Kiely, Givens, Shaffer, Teno, & Mitchell, 2010; Kwak, Haley, & Chiriboga, 2008). Lepore et al. (2011) found hospice residents were more likely to be aged 75 years and less. However, Vulpen (2013) found older age could predict utilization of end-of-life services. Sex/gender. The majority of studies showed residents who received hospice care were more likely to be female (Lepore et al., 2011; Kwak et al., 2008; Zheng, Mukamel, Caprio, Cai, & Temkin-Greener, 2011) with an odds ratio ranging from 1.09 (95% CI [1.02, 1.17]) in Kwak et al.’s (2008) study to 1.22 (95% CI [1.20, 1.24]) in Lepore et al.’s (2011) study. However, Kiely et al. (2010) found there was no difference in proportion of females among hospice and non-hospice residents (83% vs. 85%). Marital status. Only one of the ten studies examined marital status and found hospice residents were more likely to be married (OR=1.16, 95% CI [1.08, 1.25]) compared to nonhospice residents (Kwak et al., 2008). 23 Race/ethnicity. Kwak et al.’s (2008) found that for non-Hispanic residents, those who received hospice care were more likely to be Caucasians (OR=1.25, 95% CI [1.16, 1.37]). Kiely et al. (2010) conducted a study of 323 residents with advanced dementia and found non-white residents were more likely to receive hospice care. Frahm, Brown, and Hyer (2012) found that compared to Caucasian residents, Asian residents were less likely to receive hospice care (OR=0.59, 95%CI [0.51, 0.68]) whereas Hispanic residents were more likely to receive hospice care (OR=1.21, 95%CI [1.12, 1.31]). Education. Kwak et al. (2008) found hospice and non-hospice residents were similar in years of education (11.0 vs. 10.7). Lepore et al. (2011) also found there was no significant difference in the proportion of finishing high school or over between hospice and nonhospice residents (60% vs. 59%). Advance directives. Kiely et al. (2010) found hospice and non-hospice residents were similar in prevalence of do-not-hospitalize orders (68% vs. 64%). Lepore et al. (2011), Zheng et al. (2011), and Vulpen (2013) found hospice residents were more likely to have do-nothospitalize orders and do-not-resuscitate orders compared to non-hospice residents. Enabling characteristics. Enabling characteristics that were examined among the 10 studies were urban-rural status, income, for-profit ownership, and attitude. Urban-rural status. Two of the 10 studies examined the relationship between urbanrural status and hospice use and both found nursing homes in rural counties were less likely to have hospice services (Kwak, 2008; Petrisek & Mor, 1999).The definition of urban/rural area was not clearly defined or consistent in these two studies. Petrisek and Mor’s (1999) study used metropolitan/rural classification based on Area Resource File without clarifying the exact definition, while Kwak et al.’s (2008) study used the Rural–Urban Commuting 24 Areas code developed for the State of Florida to recode the urban-rural area without elucidating the exact definition. Income. Castle (1999) found average income in the county (defined as the average income of all persons in the county) (adjusted OR=0.54, 95% CI [0.22, 1.32]), number of hospital beds in the county (adjusted OR = 0.41, 95% CI [0.2, 0.97]), and market competition (measured by Herfindahl index) (adjusted OR=1.43, 95% CI [1.02, 2.40]) were associated with the provision of hospice use in nursing homes. For-profit ownership. Castle (1999) found for-profit ownership was associated with higher probability of having hospice unites in nursing homes (adjusted OR= 1.2, p < 0.1), so was and Petrisek and Mor’s (1999) study. Castle (1999) also found facility size (adjusted OR = 1.3, p < 0.05) and having other special care units (adjusted OR = 4.75, p < 0.001) were all significant predictors of having hospice unites in nursing homes. Attitude. Three studies examined how nursing home staff beliefs and attitudes influence hospice utilization (Hanson, Sengupta, & Slubicki, 2005; Nilsen et al., 2018; Rodriquez & Boerner, 2018). These studies revealed that nursing home staff who agreed that hospice improves quality of care and proactively approached families about hospice had higher rates of hospice use in their facilities. Need characteristics. Need characteristics that were examined among the 10 studies were categorized into diseases and clinical symptoms. Diseases. Among those that examined cancer (Kwak et al., 2008; Lepore et al., 2011; Vulpen, 2013; Zheng et al., 2011), all studies found cancer was a predictor of hospice use with an odds ratio of 1.96 (95% CI [1.81, 2.13]) in Zheng et al.’s (2011) study and 3.46 (95% CI [3.09, 3.87]) in Kwak et al.’s (2008) study. Lepore et al. (2011) found that residents with Alzheimer’s disease (13% vs. 8%) and dementia other than Alzheimer’s (24% vs. 18%) in 25 90% of Medicare/Medicaid certified urban middle-sized LTCFs (30-500 residents) were more likely to receive hospice care, while residents with congestive heart failure (26% vs. 31%) and stoke (21% vs. 22%) were less likely to receive hospice care. Dementia (OR=1.71, 95% CI [1.58, 1.84]) and depression (OR=1.11, 95%CI [1.05, 1.18) were also found to be predictors of hospice use in Kwak et al.’s (2008) and Zheng et al. (2011) study, respectively. Clinical symptoms. Kiely et al. (2010) found hospice residents were more likely to have eating problems (53% vs. 15%) compared to those who did not received hospice care. Zheng et al. (2011) found cognitive (CPS, OR=1.03, 95%CI [1.01, 1.05]) and physical (OR=1.02, 95%CI [1.01, 1.02) impairment, severe pain (OR=1.48, 95%CI [1.35, 1.63), and ulcers (OR=1.16, 95%CI [1.08, 1.25]) were predictors of hospice care use. Vulpen (2013) also found residents with indicators of emotional distress (depression, sadness, or anxiety) were more likely to receive hospice care among residents in LTCFs. A retrospective study of 270 patients aged 65 years and older residing in two LTCFs in Saint Louis found frailty was associated with hospice enrollment/mortality (adjusted OR=3.96, 95%CI [1.44- 10.87]) (Kaehr, Pape, Malmstrom, & Morley, 2016). Hospice use among end-stage residents in LTCFs. An end-stage disease is defined as having an expected survival of less than six months (Buchanan, Choi, Wang, & Ju, 2004; Parker-Oliver, Porock, Zweig, Rantz, & Petroski, 2003). A diagnosis of end-stage disease was found to be a strong predictors of hospice care use (OR=7.07, 95% CI [6.42, 7.79]) (Zheng et al., 2011). Eight studies examined the characteristics of end-stage residents in LTCFs, seven of them also examined factors associated with hospice use among end-stage residents in LTCFs (Buchanan et al., 2004; Chapin et al., 2007; Gozalo & Miller, 2007; Lin, 2010; Monroe, Carter, Feldt, Dietrich, & Cowan, 2013; Parker-Oliver et al., 2003; Zheng et al., 2013). Smedbäck et al. (2017) conducted a study of 49,172 residents in Sweden who 26 were aged 60 and older, received palliative care (hospice care), and were at their final week of life. This study found hospice end-stage residents who received hospice care had a mean age of 86.7 (+7.4) years, 62% were women, the most common underlying causes of death were circulatory diseases (42%) and dementia (23%), and the most prevalent symptoms were pain (59%), rattles (42%), and anxiety (33%). Andersen and Newman’s (1973) theoretical framework is used to guide and organize the following description about the findings for the remaining seven studies which examined factors associated with hospice use among endstage residents in LTCFs. Predisposing characteristics. Predisposing characteristics that were examined among the seven studies were age, sex/gender, marital status, race/ethnicity, education, and advance directives. Age. Three studies found hospice and non-hospice end-stage residents were similar in the value of mean age (Lin, 2010; Monroe et al., 2013; Zheng et al., 2013; Parker-Oliver et al., 2003). Two studies found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to be younger (Chapin et al., 2007; Gozalo & Miller, 2007), while another study found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to be older (Buchanan et al., 2004). Sex/gender. The majority of studies found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to be female compared to non-hospice end-stage residents (Buchanan et al., 2004; Gozalo & Miller, 2007; Lin, 2010; Monroe et al., 2013; Zheng et al., 2013). One study found the two groups were similar in the proportion of females (60% vs. 59%) (Chapin et al., 2007). Marital status. One study found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to be widowed (45% vs. 37%) (Buchanan et al., 2004), while one study found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to be married (22% vs. 20%, OR=1.13, 95%CI [1.08, 1.18]) 27 (Gozalo & Miller, 2007). One study found the two groups were similar in the proportion of being married (23% vs. 21%) (Zheng et al., 2013). Race/ethnicity. Most studies found the two groups were similar in the proportion of Caucasians (Chapin et al., 2007; Lin, 2010; Monroe et al., 2013), while Gozalo & Miller (2007) found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to be Caucasians (OR=1.11, 95%CI [1.03, 1.20]). Advance directives. Buchanan et al. (2004) and Gozalo & Miller (2007) found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to have do-not-hospitalize orders and do-notresuscitate orders. Having do-not-resuscitate orders was also found to be more likely among hospice end-stage residents in Parker-Oliver et al.’s (2003) study (87% vs. 66%) and Zheng et al.’s (2013) study (80% vs. 68%). There was lack of consistency in the association between age, sex, marital status, race, advance directive and hospice use (Appendix A). The inconsistent findings may be due to different study populations, sample sizes and may also be affected by the impact of geographical variations. Enabling characteristics. One of the 8 studies examined the urban-rural status (Chapin et al., 2007). Chapin et al. (2007) found nursing homes in rural counties were less likely to have hospice beneficiaries (41% vs. 24%) and hospice end-stage residents were more likely to live in an urban county compared to non-hospice end-stage residents (68% vs. 58%). In Chapin et al.’s (2007) study, an urban county was defined as a county with population of 200,000 or more. Need characteristics. Need factors that were examined among the seven studies were categorized into diseases and clinical symptoms. Diseases. Among those that examined cancer, all studies found end-stage residents 28 with cancer were more likely to receive hospice care: 67% vs. 49% in Parker-Oliver et al.’s (2003) study, 59% vs. 52% in Buchanan et al.’s (2004) study, 47% vs. 22% in Gozalo and Miller’s (2007) study, 41% vs. 20% in Chapin et al.’s (2007) study, and 20% vs. 14% in Zheng et al.’s (2013) study. As for dementia, Buchanan et al. (2004) and Zheng et al. (2013) found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to have dementia, while Gozalo and Miller (2007) found hospice end-stage residents were less likely to have dementia (33% vs. 48%). The majority studies found end-stage residents with congestive heart failure were less likely to receive hospice care: 14% vs. 28% in Parker-Oliver et al.’s (2003) study, 31% vs. 34% in Gozalo and Miller’s (2007) study, and 26% vs. 31% in Zheng et al.’s (2013) study. Buchanan et al. (2004) found end-stage residents with congestive heart failure were more likely to receive hospice care (21% vs. 20%), however, the clinical difference was small. Renal failure was found to be less likely among hospice end-stage residents in Parker-Oliver et al.’s (2003) study (7% vs. 16%) and Buchanan et al.’s (2004) study (7% vs. 15%). Buchanan et al. (2004) also found hospice residents were less likely to have a diagnosis of hypertension (36% vs. 39%), diabetes (19% vs. 23%, p<0.01), or stoke (12.6% vs. 13.0%). However, Zheng et al. (2013) found the two groups were similar in prevalence of diabetes (29% vs. 32%, p=0.138). The large sample size (18,211) in Buchanan et al.’s (2004) study may cause the statistical significances even if the clinical differences were small. Clinical symptoms. Some studies found the two groups were similar in cognitive impairment (Parker-Oliver et al., 2003) and physical impairment (Chapin et al., 2007; ParkerOliver et al., 2003). Some studies found hospice end-stage residents were less likely to have cognitive impairment (Gozalo and Miller, 2007; Monroe et al., 2013; Zheng et al., 2013) and physical impairment (Gozalo and Miller, 2007). However, Buchanan et al. (2004) found hospice end-stage residents were more likely to have greater cognitive impairment (a mean 29 CPS score of 3.1 vs. 3.4) and physical impairment (a mean ADL score of 3.7 vs. 3.8). Besides, Parker-Oliver et al. (2003) found the two groups were similar in depressive symptoms (a mean DRS score of 1.9 vs. 1.5), prevalence of incontinence (34% vs. 38%), skin ulcers (25% vs. 27%), and dehydration (5% vs. 6%). Buchanan et al. (2004) found hospice residents were more likely to have bladder incontinence (45% vs. 42%), bowel incontinence (58% vs. 52%), and pain symptoms (74% vs. 66%). Discussion The studies included in this review provide a comprehensive description of the utilization of hospice care in LTCFs, or rather in LTCFs in the U.S., which includes the characteristics of residents who received hospice care, the trends of the characteristics, the differences in the characteristics between residents who received hospice care and residents who did not receive hospice care in nursing homes, the differences in the characteristics between residents who received hospice care in nursing homes and residents who received hospice care not in nursing homes, and the predictors of hospice use among the overall LTCF population and among the end-stage LTCF population. In contrast, knowledge about hospice use in Canadian LTCFs is limited, which highlights the need for studies on hospice use in Canadian LTCFs. The use of an appropriate theoretical framework to guide the conduct of the end-oflife research in the reviewed studies was not common: seven out of 26 of the included articles described a theoretical framework in their studies (Han et al., 2008; Kwak et al, 2008; Lepore et al., 2011; Lin, 2010; Nilsen et al., 2018; Unroe et al, 2013; Vulpen, 2013). Except two studies which only used data from interviews, the other 24 studies all used secondary data and about half of them (n=13/24) used data from the Minimum Data Set (MDS) assessment. 30 Some variations in the prevalence of hospice care use among studies were found in the included articles. The variances may be due to differences in resident demographic and clinical characteristics, local health care resources, health care providers’ practices, the geographic development of hospice, and community customs and culture (Parker-Oliver et al., 2003). Some studies reported the predictors of the hospice use, however, there is a lack of consistency among the findings. These inconsistent findings may result from different study designs, study populations, sample sizes, and hospice agency ownership and may also be affected by the impact of geographical variations (Han et al., 2008). Further research should use national-level data to address this issue and be aware of the potential impact caused by differences within the study population and geographical variations. 31 Chapter Three: Methods This chapter introduces the methods employed to answer the two research questions: (a) What are the characteristics of residents who receive hospice care in LTCFs versus those who did not by end-stage status and by one-year survivorship? (b) What variables can predict hospice use and one-year survivorship of hospice use among LTCF residents? Study Design The work described in this thesis consists of a cross-sectional study (Chapter Four) and a retrospective cohort study (Chapter Five) using health administrative data across Canada to explore the factors that may predict the utilization of hospice care among residents in LTCFs. Data Sources The work described in this thesis used routinely collected data from the Continuing Care Reporting System (CCRS) databases (CIHI, 2018a) and Discharge Abstract Database (DAD) (CIHI, 2018b) from CIHI. The CCRS database contains standardized, resident demographic characteristics, clinical and functional characteristics, special treatments and programs, admissions and discharges information on residents receiving 24-hour continuing care services in LTCFs in Canada by using the RAI-MDS 2.0 (CIHI, 2018a). The DAD contains data on separations from acute inpatient institutions and day surgery, chronic, rehabilitation and psychiatric institutions (CIHI, 2018b). Sample. The sample was drawn from residents aged 19 years or older residing in LTCFs in Canada during Jan. 1st, 2015 and Dec 31st, 2015. During that period, all residents who had a RAI-MDS 2.0 assessment were included. The work described in this thesis included 185,715 residents from 1,449 LTCFs across Canada. This cohort was followed to Dec 31st, 2016 to tract one-year survivorship. The date when the residents died during the 32 follow-up, which is between Jan 1st, 2015 and Dec 31th, 2016, was obtained from the DAD and from the Discharge form from the RAI-MDS 2.0. The most recent RAI-MDS 2.0 assessments in 2015 and the date of death up to the end of 2016 were linked at the individual level. Extra 5.2% residents who were discharged from LTCFs after the assessment and did not have death records in LTCFs were tracked through the data linkage. Data collection. Data was collected by the RAI-MDS 2.0, which was mainly completed by trained registered nurses and multidisciplinary teams and included information from the residents and their family (when available) and chart records. Full assessments are required for each resident at admission, upon significant changes in status, and at least annually (CIHI, 2015). Residents are also assessed quarterly on a subset of the full assessment. Among the 185,715 assessments obtained from CIHI, 17.4% were admission assessments, 22.0% were annual full assessments, 5.3% were significant change in status full assessment, and 55.3% were quarterly review assessments. The completed RAI-MDS 2.0 was submitted electronically on a quarterly basis to CIHI (CIHI, 2017). The Canadian Institute for Health Information has strict quality control over the data; submissions that do not comply with CIHI specifications are returned until the specifications are met (CIHI, 2017). The RAI-MDS 2.0 has undergone significant reliability and validity testing and it has been confirmed that the RAI-MDS 2.0 has both high reliability and high validity (CIHI, 2018c). Howes et al. (1995) found the general reliability of MDS items and sections were adequate for research purpose: 63% of the items achieved an average intra-class correlation of 0.6 or higher; 12 of 18 MDS sections achieved an excellent average reliability of 0.6 or higher. 33 Measures Variables utilized in the work described in this thesis were selected based on the RAIMDS 2.0 questionnaire. Categorizations of variables were based on the previous literature (Vulpen, 2013; Bainbridge, Seow, Sussman, & Pond, 2015; Krishnan, Thompson, & McClement, 2017) and were adjusted depending on their frequency distribution. Based on Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model, three determinants (predisposing characteristics, enabling characteristics, and need characteristics) of hospice use in LTCF residents were examined in the work described in this thesis. Predisposing characteristics. The predisposing factors reflect resident socialdemographic characteristics. The work described in this thesis included age, sex, marital status, language, and education (CIHI, 2015) (Table 3). Enabling characteristics. The enabling factors reflect the resident’s ability to access health services. The work described in this thesis included urban-rural status, geographic region, and the QAIPPE of the facility (CIHI, 2015) (Table 3). The QAIPPE is a simple areabased socioeconomic measure of neighbourhood income quintile for the facility providing care to the resident (Public Health Ontario, 2013). Need characteristics. The need factors represent the resident’s need to access health services. The work described in this thesis included disease diagnoses, cognitive function, communication function, mood and behavior, physical function, continence, health conditions, nutritional status, and outcome scales of the LTCF residents (CIHI, 2015) (Table 3). 34 Table 3. List of Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Characteristics Study Variables Variables Descriptions Determinants 1: Predisposing Characteristics Age Age of the resident at the time of assessment Sex Sex of the resident Marital Status Marital status of the resident Language Primary language of the resident Education The highest completed education of the resident Advanced Directives for Not Whether the resident’s advance directive for Resuscitating resuscitation is in place Advanced Directives for Not Whether the resident’s advance directive for not Hospitalizing hospitalization is in place Determinants 2: Enabling Characteristics Urban-rural Status Whether the facility is located in an urban area or in a rural area Geographic Region Province or territory of the facility 35 Categorizations 19-64 = 1 65-74 = 2 75-84 = 3 85-94 = 4 ≥ 95 = 5 Male = 0 Female = 1 Never Married = 1 Married = 2 Widowed = 3 Separated = 4 Divorced = 5 English = 1 French = 2 Other =3 8th Grade or Less = 1 9th Grade to High School = 2 Technical or Trade School or College = 3 Bachelor’s or Graduate’s Degree = 4 Not in Place = 1 In Place =2 Not in Place = 1 In Place =2 Urban = 1 Rural = 2 Alberta = 1 British Columbia = 2 Manitoba = 3 Ontario = 4 Other Provinces = 5 Variables Quintile of Adjusted Income per Person Equivalent (QAIPPE) Descriptions Neighbourhood income quintile for the facility providing care to the resident Categorizations Lowest QAIPPE = 1 Low QAIPPE =2 Medium QAIPPE = 3 High QAIPPE = 4 Highest QAIPPE = 5 Determinants 3: Need Characteristics Disease Diagnosis Disease Diagnosis Cognition Change in Cognitive Status Cognitive Performance Scale (CPS) (CIHI, 2018d) Communication Change in Communication or Hearing Mood and Behavior Patterns Depression Rating Scale (DRS) (CIHI, 2018d) Change in the Mood Aggressive Behavior Scale (ABS) (CIHI, 2018d) Change in Behavior Symptoms Current active diagnosis in the last 90 days No = 0 Yes = 1 Whether resident’s cognitive status, skills, or abilities have changed compared to the status of 90 days ago (or since last assessment if less than 90 days) Cognition status of the resident Improved = 0 No Change = 1 Deteriorated = 2 No-Mild Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 0-1) = 1 Moderate Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 2-4) = 2 Severe Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 5-6) = 3 Whether resident’s ability to express, understand, or hear information has changed compared to the status of 90 days ago (or since last assessment if less than 90 days Improved = 0 No Change = 1 Deteriorated = 2 Whether the resident showed symptoms of depression, sadness, or anxiety in last 30 days No Depressive Symptom (DRS = 0) = 1 Some Depressive Symptom (DRS = 1-2) = 2 Moderate Depressive Disorder (DRS = 3-5) = 3 Severe Depressive Disorder (DRS = 6-14) = 4 Improved = 0 No Change = 1 Deteriorated = 2 No Signs of Aggression (ABS = 0) = 1 Mild- Moderate Aggression (ABS = 1-4) = 2 Severe Aggression (ABS = 5-12) = 4 Improved = 0 No Change = 1 Deteriorated = 2 Whether mood status has changed as compared to the status of 90 days ago (or since last assessment if less than 90 days) Aggressive behavior in the last seven days Whether behavior status has changed compared to the status of 90 days ago (or since last assessment if less than 90 days) 36 Variables Psychosocial Well-Being Index of Social Engagement (ISE) (CIHI, 2018d) Physical Function Change in Activities of Daily Living (ADL) Function Activities of Daily Living Hierarchy Scale (ADL-H) (CIHI, 2018d) Continence Bladder Continence Descriptions Categorizations The resident’s sense of initiative and social involvement within the facility No-Low Social Engagement (ISE = 0-1) = 1 Moderate Social Engagement (ISE = 2-4) = 2 High Social Engagement (ISE = 5-6) = 3 Whether resident’s ADL self-performance status has changed compared to the status of 90 days ago (or since last assessment if less than 90 days) Disablement process in the last seven days Improved = 0 No Change = 1 Deteriorated = 2 No Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 0) = 1 Mild Functional Impairment ADL-H = 1-2) = 2 Moderate Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 3-4) = 3 Severe Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 5-6) = 4 Resident’s pattern of bladder continence (control) over the last 14 days Continent = 0 Usually Continent = 1 Occasionally Incontinent = 2 Frequently Incontinent =3 Incontinent = 4 Continent = 0 Usually Continent = 1 Occasionally Incontinent = 2 Frequently Incontinent =3 Incontinent = 4 Improved = 0 No Change = 1 Deteriorated = 2 Bowel Continence Resident’s pattern of Bowel continence (control) over the last 14 days Change in urinary continence Whether resident’s urinary continence has changed compared to the status of 90 days ago (or since last assessment if less than 90 days) Health Conditions Pain Symptom Frequency The frequency with which resident complains or shows evidence of pain Pain Symptom Intensity The intensity of pain Pain Scale (CIHI, 2018d) The presence and intensity of pain in the last seven days 37 No Pain = 0 Pain Less Than Daily = 1 Pain Daily = 2 Mild Pain = 1 Moderate Pain = 2 Times When Pain is Horrible Excruciating = 3 No Pain (Pain Scale = 0) = 1 Mild-Moderate Pain (Pain Scale = 1-2) = 2 Severe Pain (Pain Scale = 3) = 3 Variables End-Stage Disease Nutritional Status Weight Loss Leave Food Uneaten Skin Conditions Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale (PURS) (CIHI, 2018d) Health Instability Changes in Health, EndStage Disease, and Signs and Symptoms (CHESS) (CIHI, 2018d) Health Complexity interRAI Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs) (CIHI, 2008) Descriptions Whether the resident has 6 months or less to live Categorizations No = 0 Yes = 1 5% or more weight loss in the last 30 days or 10% or more in last 180 days Leaving 25% or more of food uneaten at most meals in last 7 days Not Having Weight Loss = 0 Having Weight Loss = 1 Not Having Nutritional Problems = 0 Having Nutritional Problems = 1 The risk for developing pressure ulcer No Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 0) Mild Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 1-2) Moderate Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 3) High Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 4-5) Very High Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 6-8) Whether the resident has frailty and health instability and is at risk of serious decline No Indication of Health Instability (CHESS = 0) Mild Health Instability (CHESS = 1-2) Moderate-Severe Health Instability (CHESS = 3-5) Number of interRAI CAPs trigged 0=1 1-5 = 2 6-10 = 3 ≥11 = 4 38 Table 4. Selected List of interRAI Outcome Scales Common to the RAI-MDS 2.0 Instruments with Description and Ranges Outcome Scales Cognitive Performance Scale (CPS) Description Measures cognitive status of the residents • Validated against Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) (R2 = 0.81) Depression Rating Scale (DRS) Clinical screener for depression • Validated against Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (r = 0.69) Measures aggressive behavior • Validated against Cohen Mansfield Agitation Inventory (CMAI) (r = 0.72) Measures residents' quality of life and level of social involvement in activities within the long-term care facility. • showed reasonable internal consistency (Cronbach's alpha = 0.72) and an acceptable construct validity (Bentler's Fit Index > 0.98) Measures the level of impairment in the disablement process of early, mid, and late loss of activities of daily living. • Validated against Barthel Index (R2 = 0.74) Measures pain presence and intensity • Validated against the Visual Analogue Scale (κ = 0.71) Measures pressure ulcer risk • Verified to be a good predictor of pressure ulcer risk (c statistics = 0.708) and validated against the Braden Scale (r = 0.66) Measure of health instability as a clinical outcome and predictor of mortality • Verified to be a good predictor of mortality (p <0.0001) Aggressive Behavior Scale (ABS) Index of Social Engagement (ISE) Scale Activities of Daily Living Hierarchy Scale (ADL-H) Pain Scale Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale (PURS) Changes in Health End Stage Signs and Symptoms (CHESS) Scale 39 Range Range from 0 to 6 • 0 indicates no cognitive impairment (cognitively intact) • 6 indicates severe cognitive impairment Range from 0 to 14 • Score greater than 3 indicates possible depression Range from 0 to 12 • 0 indicates no signs of aggression • 12 indicates very severe aggression Range from 0 to 6 • 0 indicates no/low social engagement • 6 indicates high social engagement Range from 0 to 6 • 0 indicates no functional impairment • 6 indicates severe functional impairment Range from 0 to 4 • 0 indicates no pain • 4 indicates severe pain Range from 0 to 8 • 0 indicates no risk for pressure ulcers • 8 indicates severe risk for pressure ulcers Range from 0 to 5 • 0 indicates no health instability • 5 indicates very high health instability Table 5. Variables Used to Measure the Outcomes of Residents Outcome Use of Hospice Care One-Year Survivorship Descriptions Whether the LTCF residents received hospice care in last 14 days Whether the residents died or were alive one year following the last assessment in 2015 40 Categorizations No = 0 Yes = 1 Died within one year (1-365) = 1 Alive one year following the last assessment (≥ 366) = 2 Bladder continence is coded into five categories (Table 3) (CIHI, 2015). Continent is defined as complete control; Usually Continent is defined as bladder incontinent episodes occur once a week or less; Occasionally Incontinent is defined as bladder incontinent episodes occur two or more times a week but not daily; Frequently Incontinent is defined as bladder incontinent episodes tend to occur daily, but some control is present (e.g., on day shift); and Incontinent is defined as having inadequate control and bladder incontinent episodes occur multiple times daily. Bowel continence is coded into five categories. Continent is defined as complete control; Usually Continent is defined as bowel incontinent episodes occur less than once a week; Occasionally Incontinent is defined as bowel incontinent episodes occur once a week; Frequently Incontinent is defined as bowel incontinent episodes occur two to three times per week; and Incontinent is defined as having inadequate control and bowel incontinent is all (or almost all) of the time. Disease Diagnoses include cancer, congestive heart failure, artery heart disease, cerebrovascular accident (stroke), dementia other than Alzheimer’s disease, Alzheimer’s disease, rental failure, emphysema (CIHI, 2015). Each of these disease diagnoses is coded as No = 0, Yes = 1 (Table 3). Outcome scales. The RAI-MDS 2.0 has seven outcome scales: the Cognitive Performance Scale (CPS) (Morris et al., 1994), the Depression Rating Scale (DRS) (Burrows, Morris, Simon, Hirdes, & Phillips, 2000), the Index of Social Engagement (ISE) (Mor et al, 1995), the Activities of Daily Living Self-Performance Hierarchy Scale (ADL) (Morris et al., 1994), the Changes in Health, End-Stage Disease, and Signs and Symptoms (CHESS) (Hirdes, Frijters, & Teare, 2003), the Aggressive Behavior Scale (ABS) (Perlman & Hirdes, 2008), the Pain Scale (Fries, Simon, Morris, Flodstrom, & Bookstein, 2001), and the Pressure 41 Ulcer Risk Scale (PURS) (Poss et al., 2010) (CIHI, 2018d). The RAI-MDS 2.0 outcome scales are embedded in the assessments, which are standardized composite variables made out of several individual items. The categorizations of these outcome scales were based on the RAI-MDS 2.0 Outcome Scales Reference Guide and previous studies (CIHI, 2018d; Hirdes, Mitchell, Maxwell, & White, 2011) (Table 3–4). The CPS consists of five cognitive performance scale items with scores ranging from 0 (cognitively intact) to 6 (very severe impairment) and describes the cognitive status of a resident. The CPS has been validated against the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) in the identification of cognitive impairment with the sensitivity of 94% and the specificity of 94% (Hartmaier et al., 1995). The CPS has also shown good reliability against the MMSE (R2 = 0.81) (Landi et al., 2000). The DRS, which is made out of seven depression rating scale items ranging from 0 to14 with a score of 3 or more representing potential depression, is used as a clinical screener for identifying whether the resident showed symptoms of depression, sadness, or anxiety in last 30 days. The DRS has been validated against the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale (r = 0.69) (Burrows et al., 2000). The ABS, which consists of four behaviour scale items ranging from 0 (no signs of aggression) to12 (very severe aggression), provides a measure of aggressive behavior in the last seven days. The ABS has shown good reliability (Cronbach's alpha = 0.80) and was significantly correlated with Cohen Mansfield Agitation Inventory (CMAI) data (r = 0.72, p < 0.001) (Perlman & Hirdes, 2008). The ISE, made from six social engagement items, ranges from 0 to 6 with higher scores indicating eater levels of engagement and is used to describe the resident’s sense of initiative and social involvement within the facility. The ISE has shown an approximately 42 good reliability (Cronbach's alpha = 0.72) (Lou, Chi, Kwan, & Leung, 2013) and an acceptable construct validity (Bentler's Fit Index > 0.98) (Mor et al, 1995). The ADL-H, which is made out of four physical function items ranging from 0 to 6 with higher scores indicating more severe functional impairment, reflects the disablement process in the last seven days by grouping ADL performance levels into a discrete stage of loss. The ADL-H has also shown acceptable reliability against the Barthel Index (R2 = 0.74) (Landi et al., 2000). The pain scale, which consists of two pain scale items ranging from 0 (no pain) to 3 (severe pain), summarizes the presence and intensity of pain in the last seven days. The pain scale has been validated against the Visual Analogue Scale showing strong inter-rater reliability (κ = 0.71) (Fries et al., 2001). The PURS consists of seven pressure ulcer risk scale items ranging from 0 to 8 with higher scores indicating higher risk for pressure ulcers. The PURS has been verified to be a good predictor of new pressure ulcers (c statistics = 0.708) (Poss et al., 2010) and has been validated against the Braden Scale (Spearman’s r = -0.66, p < 0.01) (Carreau, Niezgoda, Trainor, Parent, & Woodbury, 2014). The CHESS consists of nine health instability items ranging from 0 to 5 with higher scores indicating more severe health instability and detects frailty and health instability and is designed to identify persons at risk of serious decline. Hirdes et al. (2003) found that CHESS was a strong predictor of mortality (p <0.0001) and provided a useful new MDS-based test to measure instability in health as a clinical outcome. interRAI Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs). The interRAI CAPs (embedded within the RAI-MDS 2.0) focus on “a person’s function and quality of life, assessing the person’s needs, strengths and preferences” (CIHI, 2008, p. 1). There are 19 CAPs, two for 43 functional performance (activities of daily living and physical restraints), five for cognition and mental health (cognitive loss, delirium, communication, mood, behaviour), two for social life (activities, social relationship), and ten for clinical issues (falls, pain, pressure ulcer, cardio-respiratory conditions, undernutrition, dehydration, feeding tube, appropriate medications, urinary incontinence, bowel conditions) (CIHI, 2008). Trigged CAPs are used to identify person-specific need and inform clinicians of priority issues requiring improvement (CIHI, 2008; Freeman et al., 2014). In the work described in this thesis, the number of triggered CAPs was used to identify complexity of clinical needs (Freeman et al., 2014). Outcomes. The outcome variables were use of hospice care and one-year survivorship of hospice use following the last assessment (Table 5). Data Analysis Analyses were conducted using Statistical Analysis Software (SAS) for Windows Version 9.4, Cary, NC: SAS Institute Inc. Descriptive statistics, t-test and chi-square test were used depending on variable type to examine and compare predisposing, enabling, and need characteristics of residents in LTCFs. Logistic regression models were constructed to examine which variables were prognostic for use of hospice care and one-year survivorship following the last assessment. All statistical tests were based on two-sided probability and an alpha of 0.05 or less were used to indicate statistical significance (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2012). The central limit theorem indicates that the sampling distribution of the sampling means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size gets larger (over 30), no matter what the shape of the population distribution is (Pett, 2015). Required sample size (N) depends on the desired power, alpha level, number of predictors, and expected effect sizes. 44 The formula commonly used is N ≥ 50 + 8M for testing the multiple correlations and N ≥ 104 + M for testing individual predictors with M being the number of independent variables (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2012). The large sample size in the work described in this thesis met the criteria of at least 234 samples to test both multiple correlations and individual predictors with a medium-size relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variables (i.e., hospice use and one-year survivorship of hospice use following the last assessment) (α = 0.05 and β = 0.20). Data cleaning. Data screening included issues about the accuracy of the data file, missing data, detecting outliers, correlations between variables and assumptions the descriptive analysis, t-test, chi-square test, and logistical regression analyses were based on (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2012). Screening for accuracy involved examination of univariate descriptive statistics (mean, range and standard deviation) and graphic representations (histograms and scatterplots of the variables). Dealing with the problem of missing data were based on the amount and distribution of missing data. Plots and standardized scores were used to detect and evaluate the univariate outliers and Mahalanobis distance with a significance level of 0.001 were examined to detect the multivariate outliers (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2012). Normality of the variables were assessed using kurtosis and skewness statistics and histograms. Assumptions of multicollinearity was assessed by variance inflation factors (VIF), tolerance, and condition index. If VIF value exceeded 4.0, tolerance was less than 0.2, or condition index exceeded 30.0, multicollinearity was thought to be present (Hair et al., 2010). Assumptions of linearity in the logit were assessed using SAS Interactive Data Analysis. Univariate analyses. Univariate analyses including frequency, mean, standard deviation, and percentage were conducted on the variables from resident predisposing, 45 enabling, and need characteristics. These analyses were utilized to describe the characteristics of the residents and facilities participating in the work described in this thesis. Bivariate analyses. T-test and chi-square tests (depending on the variable type) were conducted to compare the characteristics of residents who received hospice care versus those who did not receive hospice care. Comparisons of categorical variables were done using the chi-square test, and comparison of continuous variables were done using t-tests. Multivariate analyse. With mixed independent variables and a dichotomous independent variable, binary logistical regression analyse were chosen to explore the possible factors that predict the use of hospice services within the LTCFs. Binary logistic regression analyse were conducted with all predictors entering the equation simultaneously because there are no specific hypotheses about the order or importance of predictor variables (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2012). This method allows evaluation of the contribution made by each predictor variable over and above that of the other predictor variables. In other words, each predictor variable is evaluated as if it entered the equation last. Multinomial logistic regression analyses were conducted to explain how the residents’ characteristics influence their one-year survivorship of hospice use with residents who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment as the reference group. This method allows prediction of the probabilities of different possible outcomes of a categorically distributed outcome variable, given a set of predictor variables. Complete case analyses were applied for predictive modelling. Ethical Considerations Data access is granted and monitored by CIHI. Data is de-identified prior to analysis. Ethics approvals for this project was not required. This was confirmed by the University of Northern British Columbia’s Research Ethics Board (Appendix B). 46 Chapter Four: Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada Objective: The aim of the study introduced in this chapter is to describe the characteristics of residents who receive hospice care, to compare the characteristics of residents who receive hospice care with those who do not receive hospice care, to compare the characteristics of residents who are noted as end-stage and receive hospice care with those who are noted as end-stage but do not receive hospice care, and to build a predictive model of hospice use among residents in LTCFs in Canada. Methods: The last RAI-MDS 2.0 assessments of all unique residents (N = 185,715) submitted to CIHI in 2015 in Canada were included. At stage 1, descriptive univariate analyses were conducted to describe the study population. At stage 2, bivariate analyses were performed to compare residents in hospice care with other residents not in hospice care. At stage 3, multivariate analyses (binary logistic regression analyses) were conducted to build a predictive model of hospice use among residents in LTCFs in Canada. Results: Of all residents, 2.7% received hospice care (n = 4,973) and 6.8% were profiled as having an end-stage disease (n = 12,684). Residents who received hospice care had more severe and complex clinical needs, most were noted as end-stage (89.5%), and had severe physical impairment (ADL-H ≥ 5, 74.3%), mild to severe pain (Pain Scale ≥ 1, 76.0%), and moderate to severe health instability (CHESS ≥ 3, 82.9%). Conclusion: Only a small proportion of residents in LTCFs received hospice care. Residents who received hospice care had more severe and complex clinical needs compared to those who did not. The findings may help LTCFs administrators, hospice care providers, and policy makers to identify ways to implement services and interventions that can improve access to, and utilization of, hospice care in LTCFs in Canada. 47 Introduction It is well known that the Canadian population is ageing. About one in five Canadians were 65 years or older in 2016 (Statistics Canada, 2017a). It was estimated that about one in four Canadians will be 65 years or older by 2031 (Carstairs, 2010). The increasing ageing population and improvements in life expectancy have resulted in an increase in the number of older adults (aged 65 years and older) with chronic and complex diseases (Carstairs, 2010). Many older adults experience impaired mobility, suffer serious cognitive and physical impairments, and have unstable and complex health needs (Canadian Union of Public Employees, 2009; Carstairs, 2010). Thus, there is an increasing need for formal care services, such as LTCFs, to provide care to these people (Hirdes et al., 2011; Jayaraman & Joseph, 2013). In Canada, a LTCF is a care institution that “serves diverse populations who need access to 24-hour nursing care, personal care and other therapeutic and support services that are not provided through home care programs, in retirement homes, in the persons own home or in a shared private home” (Freeman et al., 2017, p. 2). Long-term care facilities in Canada are governed by provincial and territorial legislation (Health Canada, 2004; McGregor & Ronald, 2011), consequently, there is variability in provision of services and cost coverage among LTCFs across provinces and territories (Health Canada, 2004). Long-term care facilities in Canada are partially insured as extended health care service, and service delivery is provided by a mix of public not-for-profit (government-owned), private not-for-profit, and private for-profit providers (CHA, 2009; Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, 2015; McGregor, & Ronald, 2011). In recent years, the length of resident stay has dropped in many provinces and territories largely due to the enhancement of community support services, the expansion of home care services, and advances in technology (CHA, 2009). As 48 a result, admission to LTCFs is often delayed until the persons are nearing the end of their lives (CHA, 2009). In Canada, approximately 150,000 residents live in LTCFs (Statistics Canada, 2015a). Most of these residents stay in LTCFs until death, making the LTCF a common place of death for frail residents with chronic and complex diseases in Canada (Carstairs, 2010; Hirdes et al., 2011; Jayaraman & Joseph, 2013). It has been estimated that about one in four Canadians die in LTCFs each year and this number is expected to rise steadily (Brink & Kelley, 2015). It is predicted that about 39% of Canadians will die in LTCFs by 2020 (Jayaraman & Joseph, 2013). However, resource allocations do not always correspond to the highly complex needs of residents in LTCFs (Hirdes et al., 2011). Given the increasing number of deaths that occur in LTCFs, it is important to examine hospice care practices in LTCFs. According to CHPCA (2016a), hospice care is defined as “a special kind of health care for individuals and families who are living with a life-limiting illness that is usually at an advanced stage” (para. 2). Hospice care can reduce or relieve physical and psychological symptoms, provide comfort and dignity for the person living with the illness as well as the best quality of life for both this person and his or her family (CHPCA, 2016a). While a large proportion of Canadians die in LTCFs each year, most LTCFs lack a formalized hospice care program (Quality Palliative Care in Long Term Care Alliance, 2011). Research has emerged studying hospice care across various settings (e.g., at hospitals and at private homes), however, a particular gap in knowledge exists regarding hospice care use in LTCF setting, particularly across Canada (Erel, Marcus, & Dekeyser-Ganz, 2017; Ersek & Carpenter, 2013; Thompson, Bott, Boyle, Gajewski, & Tilden, 2010). To the knowledge of the author, there is no national Canadian study addressing this issue. As such, this study utilized a large national 49 data set to describe residents who received hospice care in LTCFs and explore factors that can predict hospice use in LTCFs across Canada. This study was guided by the following four main questions: (a) What are the characteristics of residents who receive hospice care in LTCFs? (b) What are the differences in characteristics between residents who receive hospice care and who do not receive hospice care in LTCFs? (c) What are the differences in characteristics between end-stage residents who receive hospice care and who do not receive hospice care in LTCFs? and (d) What variables can predict hospice use among LTCF residents? Conceptual framework. Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model has been widely used for studies on health services utilization (Lo & Fulda, 2008; Li, Nong, Wei, Feng, & Luo, 2016). This model assists in explaining and predicting demographic and societal determinants for utilization of health services and developing policies to promote equitable access to these services (Anderson & Newman, 1973). The behavioral model proposed that the utilization of health services was a result of three components of population characteristics: (a) the predisposition of the person to use services (predisposing characteristics), (b) the person’s ability to secure the services (enabling resources), and (c) the person’s illness level (needs) (Andersen and Newman, 1973). Anderson (1995) proposed four types of access to health services: potential access, realized access, equitable access, and inequitable access. Potential access is defined as the presence of enabling resources. More enabling resources relate to the increasing likelihood of using health services. Realized access is the actual use of the health services. Equitable access occurs “when demographic and need factors account for most of the variance in utilization”, while inequitable access occurs “when the social structure, health beliefs, and enabling resources determine who gets health services” (Anderson, 1995, p. 4-5). 50 This model was also used in this study to assist in understanding and predicting social-demographic and health determinants for utilization of hospice care services and evaluating hospice care practices in LTCFs in Canada. Methods Study design and data sources. This population-based cross-sectional study used health administrative data from CIHI. The Canadian Institute for Health Information has strict quality control over the data; submissions that do not comply with CIHI specifications are returned until the specifications are met (CIHI, 2017). The last RAI-MDS 2.0 assessments of all unique residents (N=185,715) submitted to CIHI in 2015 throughout Canada were included in this study. The RAI-MDS 2.0 was completed by trained registered nurses and multidisciplinary teams through direct observation over all shifts prior to the RAI-MDS 2.0 assessments and also included information from the resident and their family (when available) and chart records (CIHI, 2017). Completed assessments were submitted electronically on a quarterly basis to CIHI (CIHI, 2017). Full assessments are required for each resident at admission, upon significant changes in status, and at least annually (CIHI, 2015). Residents are also assessed quarterly on a subset of the full assessment. Among the 185,715 assessments obtained from CIHI, 17.4% were admission assessments, 22.0% were annual full assessments, 5.3% were significant change in status full assessment, and 55.3% were quarterly review assessments. Measures. The RAI-MDS 2.0 contains standardized and comprehensive information of residents receiving 24-hour continuing care services in LTCFs in Canada. Based on Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model, three determinants of population characteristics for hospice use were examined in this study. The three determinants included 51 predisposing characteristics (e.g. age, gender, and marital status), enabling characteristics (e.g. urban-rural status, neighborhood income quantile), and need characteristics (e.g. cognition, mood, behavior, and physical function) (Figure 2). The RAI-MDS 2.0 also includes information on special treatments and programs (e.g. hospice care), admissions (e.g. admission date and type), and discharges (e.g. discharge date and type). The resident is profiled as having an end-stage disease when his/her physician believes that the resident has only six or fewer months to live (CIHI, 2015). This judgement is required to be substantiated by a well-documented disease diagnosis and deteriorating clinical course (CIHI, 2015). The RAI-MDS 2.0 defines hospice care as a program for terminally ill persons where services are necessary for the palliation and management of terminal illness and related conditions. Outcome Scales. There were eight widely used outcome scales that were derived from the items in the RAI-MDS 2.0: the Cognitive Performance Scale (CPS) (Morris et al., 1994), the Depression Rating Scale (DRS) (Burrows et al., 2000), the Index of Social Engagement (ISE) (Mor et al, 1995), the Activities of Daily Living Self-Performance Hierarchy Scale (ADL) (Morris et al., 1994), the Changes in Health, End-Stage Disease, and Signs and Symptoms (CHESS) (Hirdes et al., 2003), the Aggressive Behavior Scale (ABS) (Perlman & Hirdes, 2008), the Pain Scale (Fries et al., 2001), and the Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale (PURS) (Poss et al., 2010) (CIHI, 2018d). The categorizations of these outcome scales are based on the RAI-MDS 2.0 Outcome Scales Reference Guide and previous studies (CIHI, 2018d; Hirdes et al., 2011) (Table 4). Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs). The CAPs (embedded within the RAI-MDS 2.0) focus on “a person’s function and quality of life, assessing the person’s needs, strengths and preferences” (CIHI, 2008, p. 1). There are 19 CAPs, two for functional performance 52 (activities of daily living and physical restraints), five for cognition and mental health (cognitive loss, delirium, communication, mood, behaviour), two for social life (activities, social relationship), and ten for clinical issues (falls, pain, pressure ulcer, cardio-respiratory conditions, undernutrition, dehydration, feeding tube, appropriate medications, urinary incontinence, bowel conditions) (CIHI, 2008). Trigged CAPs are used to identify personspecific need and inform clinicians of priority issues requiring improvement (CIHI, 2008; Freeman et al., 2014). Statistical analyses. Analyses were conducted using Statistical Analysis Software (SAS institute, Inc., Cary, NC). At stage 1, descriptive univariate analyses including means, medians, standard deviations, and percentages were used to describe the characteristics of residents and LTCFs participating in the study and the residents who received hospice care in LTCFs. At stage 2, bivariate analyses including t-test and chi-square test were performed depending on variable type to test for statistically significant differences in predisposing, enabling, and need characteristics between residents in hospice care to other residents not in hospice care and between end-stage residents in hospice care to other end-stage residents not in hospice care. At stage 3, multivariate analyses including binary logistic regression analyses and ROC analysis were conducted to build a predictive model of hospice use among residents in LTCFs in Canada. Residents who had missing values were removed during predictive model building. The variables that were tested in the need factors model were chosen based on the correlation issues between variables and multicollinearity tests. To avoid correlation issues between variables, variables that were included in the outcome scales were not considered for the predictive model building. Multicollinearity was measured by variance inflation factors (VIF), tolerance, and condition index. If VIF value exceeded 4.0, tolerance was less than 0.2, or condition index exceeded 30.0, multicollinearity was thought to be 53 present (Hair et al., 2010). All statistical tests will be based on two-sided probability and an alpha of 0.05 or less was used to indicate statistical significance (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2012). Ethical considerations. Data access was granted and monitored by CIHI. Data was de-identified prior to analysis. Ethics approvals for this project was not required, which was confirmed by the University of Northern British Columbia’s Research Ethics Board (Appendix B). Results This study included 185,715 LTCF residents in Canada in 2015. Residents in LTCFs in Canada had a mean age of 83.0 years (±11.4 years). Most residents were aged over 85 years (54.3%), were female (65.8%), and lived in an urban LTCF (85.2%). Of all residents, 2.7% received hospice care (n = 4,973) and 6.8% were profiled as having an end-stage disease (n = 12,684). Of all end-stage residents, 35.1% received hospice care (n = 4,449/12,684). Among residents who died in 2015,11.8% of residents received hospice care at the time of last assessment (n = 4009/33,908). More than half of residents who received hospice care were aged below 85 years (57.1%) and female (58.2%) (Table 6). The majority of residents lived in an urban LTCF (93.9%). Most residents had a diagnosis of cancer (57.5%), were profiled as having an endstage disease (89.5%), and had moderate to severe cognitive impairment (CPS ≥ 2, 78.1%), severe physical impairment (ADL-H ≥ 5, 74.3%), mild to severe pain (Pain Scale ≥ 1, 75.9%), moderate to very high pressure ulcer risk (PURS ≥ 3, 83.7%), and moderate to severe health instability (CHESS ≥3, 82.9%). Significant differences in predisposing, enabling, and need characteristics between residents in hospice care to other residents not in hospice care and between end-stage residents in hospice care to other end-stage residents not in hospice care are presented in 54 Table 6 and Figure 4–5. Predisposing characteristics. Compared to residents who did not receive hospice care, residents who received hospice care had a higher percentage of being younger than 75 years old (30.2% vs. 18.3%), male (41.8% vs. 34.0%), and married (35.9% vs. 23.7%), and had education higher than high school (31.7% vs. 27.4%), a DNR order (89.8% vs. 80.4%), and a DNH order (62.2% vs. 35.0%). However, a lower percentage of end-stage residents who received hospice care had a DNR order (89.3% vs. 93.3%) compared to those who did not receive hospice care. Enabling characteristics. A higher percentage of residents who received hospice care than those who did not lived in an urban LTCF (93.9% vs. 85.0%), high-income area (QAIPPE ≥ 4, 38.1% vs. 34.1%), and Ontario (93.3% vs. 61.9%). However, a slightly lower percentage of end-stage residents who received hospice care lived in a high-income area (QAIPPE ≥ 4, 37.5% vs. 39.2%), compared to those who did not receive hospice care. Need characteristics. Compared to residents who did not receive hospice care, residents who received hospice care had a much higher percentage of having a diagnosis of cancer (57.3% vs. 9.4%) but a lower percentage of having a diagnosis of dementia (27.1% vs. 49.1%) (Figure 4). Residents who received hospice care had more severe and complex clinical needs than those who did not with regard to severe cognitive impairment (CPS ≥ 5, 33.9% vs. 21.9%), potential depressive disorder (DRS ≥ 3, 33.3% vs. 28.6%), severe physical impairment (ADL-H ≥ 5, 74.3% vs. 33.6%), bowel incontinence (52.7% vs. 29.7%), pain (Pain Scale ≥ 1, 75.9% vs. 38.5%), high to very high pressure ulcer risk (PURS ≥ 4, 56.0% vs. 15.9%), moderate to severe health instability (CHESS ≥ 3, 82.9% vs. 10.4%), and the number of CAPs triggered (a mean of 6.6 vs. 5.4). A lower percentage of residents who received hospice care had severe aggressive behaviors (ABS ≥ 5, 4.6% vs. 8.2%) and high 55 social engagement (ISE ≥ 5, 9.0% vs. 20.5%) compared to residents who did not receive hospice care. Unlike differences between hospice users and non-users among all residents, a lower percentage of end-stage residents who received hospice care than those who did not had severe cognitive impairment (CPS ≥ 5, 35.1% vs. 44.3%), potential depressive disorder (DRS ≥ 3, 33.0% vs. 36.0%), bowel incontinence (53.2% vs. 56.6%), and bladder incontinence (37.0% vs. 53.9%). Besides, end-stage residents who received hospice care had a higher percentage of having high social engagement (ISE ≥ 5, 8.5% vs. 6.8%) compared to those who did not receive hospice care. Predictive models. The Model 1 that contained predisposing factors (i.e. age, sex, marital status, language, education, DNR order, and DNH order) was significantly different from an intercept-only model, Wald χ2(7, N = 95,667) = 582.0, p < 0.0001, AIC = 14,683.5, R2max-rescaled = 0.0503, c statistics = 0.694 (Table 7). The Model 2 run with only enabling factors (i.e. province, rural-urban status, and QAIPPE) against an intercept-only model was statistically significant, Wald χ2(3, N = 184,557) = 1,883.3, p < 0.0001, AIC = 42,320.9, R2max-rescaled = 0.0818, c statistics = 0.726. The Model 3 that included selected need factors (i.e. diagnosis of dementia but not Alzheimer’s disease, diagnosis of cancer, CPS, DRS, ABS, ISE, ADL_H, Pain Scale, and CHESS) against an intercept-only model was statistically significant, Wald χ2(9, N = 184,411) = 11,132.1, p < 0.0001, AIC = 25,063.6, R2max-rescaled = 0.4664, c statistics = 0.943. The Model 4, the final model, which included predisposing, enabling, and need factors (i.e. age, rural-urban status, QAIPPE, diagnosis of dementia but not Alzheimer’s disease, diagnosis of cancer, ABS, ISE, ADL_H, Pain Scale, and CHESS), against an intercept-only model was statistically significant, Wald χ2(10, N = 138,048) = 6779.2, p < 56 0.0001, AIC = 15,819.2, R2max-rescaled = 0.4472, c statistics = 0.944 (Table 8). The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow test (χ2= 6.6, df = 8, p = 0.58) indicated a good model fit. The ROC analysis showed there was no significant difference between the predisposing factors model (Model 1) and the enabling factors model (Model 2) (p=0.75). The need factors model (Model 3) was stronger than both the predisposing factors model (Model 1) (p<0.001) and the enabling factors model (Model 2) (p<0.001), but was not as strong as the final model (Model 4) (p=0.003). The final predictive model showed living in an urban LTCF and high-income area and having a diagnosis of cancer, severe functional impairment, mild to severe pain, and mild to severe health instability significantly increased the likelihood of receiving hospice care (OR > 1, p < 0.05; Table 8), while being older, having a diagnosis of dementia (not Alzheimer’s disease), signs of aggression, and moderate to high social engagement were less likely to receive hospice care (OR < 1, p <0.05). Discussion Although LTCFs have become a major location of death, hospice care was highly underutilized among dying LTCF residents. Less than 3% of residents received hospice care in LTCFs. Among those who were profiled as having an end-stage disease, about one third received hospice care. According to the Canadian Virtual Hospice (2019), the general hospice eligibility criteria in Canada are “1) a specific prognosis (often six months or less), 2) a decision to focus on comfort rather than cure, and 3) an acceptance that resuscitation will not be used when the illness brings a natural death”. This study found the 91.9% of end-stage residents had a DNR order indicating about nine in ten of residents may be eligible to hospice care. The underutilization of hospice care is substantial and requires immediate attention. 57 Policy makers should consider to allocate more resources and investments in hospice care services in LTCFs. Residents in LTCFs were often under-recognized as having a prognosis of six months or less, as it is hard to identify terminal stages when the person has several medical problems but no specific terminal diagnosis (CHPCA, 2009). This study found among those who died with a DNR order in place, one in nine received hospice care before death. Hospice use rate among residents who may have benefitted from receiving hospice care was much lower than those who were profiled as having end-stage disease. This suggests that accuracy of endstage diagnosis and effectiveness of hospice eligibility criteria were poor. The current criteria of referral to hospice care may limit the benefits to residents in terms of improvements in end-of-life care, particularly for residents with several medical problems but no specific terminal diagnosis (Bennett, Ziegler, Allsop, Daniel, & Hurlow, 2016). Standardized assessment of terminal status or more effective hospice eligibility criteria with less dependency on a specific life expectancy of six months or less is needed to improve accessibility to, and utilization of, hospice care resources. Residents who received hospice care were more likely to have a diagnosis of cancer, which was consistent with previous studies (Buchanan et al., 2004; Chapin et al., 2007; Gozalo & Miller, 2007; Kwak et al., 2008; Lepore et al., 2011; Parker-Oliver et al., 2003; Zheng et al., 2011; Zheng et al.; 2013; Vulpen, 2013). However, residents with dementia were less likely to access hospice care. This may be partly because of difficulty in prediction of life expectancy for persons with dementia and lack of recognition of the terminal nature of dementia, lack of advance directives in place among persons with dementia, and lack of recognition of benefits from hospice care for persons with dementia (Erel et al., 2017; Mitchell et al., 2010; Sachs, Shega, & Cox-Hayley, 2004). It is important for health care 58 providers and policy-makers to improve recognition of dementia as a terminal disease and increase understanding of the role of hospice services for persons with dementia. This study also found residents who received hospice care had more severe and complex clinical needs, which was consistent with previous studies (Vulpen, 2013; Zheng et al., 2011) and highlights a demand on LTCFs to provide complex care. Efforts should be made to improve access to hospice care among residents with dementia or other progressive chronic diseases with severe and complex clinical needs, so these residents can have improved access to hospice care as residents with end-stage cancer. Lynn (2004) suggests that “people who would benefit from hospice palliative and end-of-life care now fall into three categories: a) People who have an overwhelming illness and go through a rapid, predictable decline to death (e.g., end-stage cancers); b) People who have a chronic illness who may live for many years but may at any time experience some exacerbation of symptoms that leads to sudden death (e.g., people with congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, cirrhosis, kidney failure); and c) People who experience increasing frailty and neurological disorders (e.g., people with Alzheimer’s Disease) and dwindle over time” (CHPCA, 2009), which may be good guidance to help identify people who would benefit from hospice care. Pain was common among LTCF residents, especially among those with end-stage disease. Although end-stage residents who received hospice care had the same intense pain compared to those who did not receive hospice care, their pain were more frequent than those who did not receive hospice care. However, residents who received hospice care had the same frequent and intense pain no matter whether were noted as having end-stage disease indicating the pain may be part of the reason why residents without end-stage diagnosis received hospice care. As this is a cross-sectional study, casual effect between hospice use 59 and pain cannot be determined. It was not clear whether the same intensity of pain among end-stage residents was a result of effective pain control from hospice care or long-term care or a result of inadequate pain assessment for persons at end of life (Herr, Coyne, McCaffery, Manworren, & Merkel, 2011). Interestingly, this study indicates end-stage residents who received hospice care had less severe health conditions in some aspects than those who did not receive hospice care. Compared to those who did not received hospice care, they were less likely to have low social engagement, severe cognitive impairment, potential depressive disorder, and bowel and bladder incontinence. End-stage residents who received hospice care had deteriorated changes in cognitive function, mood, and urinary continence in last three months. Therefore, it can be inferred that end-stage residents who received hospice care had less severe cognitive impairment, lower depressive symptoms, and better bowel and bladder control. More frequent pain, as discussed earlier, may be one of the reasons as residents with severe cognitive impairment may not be able to self report pain (Herr et al., 2011; Miu, & Chan, 2014) and thus were more likely to receive hospice care. Stigma attached to residents with severe cognitive impairment and potential depressive disorder may be part of the reason for this. Cognitive impairment is often mistaken as an untreatable natural process of aging (Graham et al., 2003; Lebowitz & Niederehe, 1992) and residents with cognitive impairment may not benefit from hospice care (Garand, Lingler, Conner, & Dew, 2009). Stigma associated with the diagnostic labels of depressive disorder and cognitive impairment can have a negative impact on interpersonal relationships, interactions with the LTCF staff, and attitudes about hospice service utilization. The majority of residents triggered at least one CAP, while those who received hospice care triggered more CAPs. The CAPs “identify areas in which a resident has a higher 60 than expected rate of decline, an increased potential to improve, and symptoms that could be alleviated if a problem was addressed” (interRAI, 2017). Evidence of CAP triggering may be useful to predict health complexity (Freeman et al., 2014). The high number of CAPs triggered among residents who received hospice care reflects high levels of complex clinical needs within this group. Clinical assessment protocols triggered at high rates such as delirium, pressure ulcer, bowel incontinence, and pain warrant increased attention for the majority of end-stage residents. A previous study found treatment of symptoms for residents who are at end of life can still improve their quality of life (Lorenz et al., 2008). Consideration of triggered CAPs in this study provide evidence to inform a collaborative decision making process from LTCF staff and hospice providers on whether (or not) and how issues raised by the CAPs should be addressed in the plan of care. This study found the utilization of hospice services was a result of the predisposition of the residents to use hospice services, the resident’s ability to secure the hospice services and the resident’s needs to use hospice services, which were consistent with prior research (Gozalo & Miller, 2007; Han et al., 2008; Zheng et al., 2013). The realized access (the actual use of the health services) to hospice care is low in LTCFs. Although residents in an urban LTCF and higher income neighborhood are more likely to receive hospice care, need factors showed the strongest predictive value on hospice use indicating all LTCF resident may have poor access to hospice care services. As the population ages, there will be increasing need to provide hospice care for the growing number of residents in LTCFs. Since access to hospice care in LTCFs is poor, there is a great and immediate need to improve hospice care for the LTCF population. This study found CHESS was a good predictor of hospice use in LTCFs, consistent with previous findings that CHESS was a strong predictor of death (Hirdes et al., 2003). The 61 predictive model developed in this study was superior than CHESS alone, as clinical needs were not the only determinants of hospice use. The variables in the predictive model examined in this study were common in the suite of interRAI assessment instruments. As a result, persons receiving care in different service settings can be compared and evaluated directly with equivalent measures (Hirdes et al., 2003) in regard to hospice admission eligibility. Further investigation of hospice use in different settings such as the person’s home, hospitals, and hospice facilities is needed and may help hospice providers identify the unique needs of LTCF residents enrolled in hospice care and tailor the care to be provided within the LTCF population. This study found 10.7% of end-stage residents who had a DNR orders received hospice care. It would be interesting to see further study investigate the characteristics of residents who receive hospice care but do not meet hospice eligibility criteria and residents who receive hospice care for an unexpected long-term period, which will inform better resources allocation for hospice care services. As accuracy of end-stage diagnosis continues to be challenging and criteria for hospice eligibility are restrictive, further longitudinal study is needed to explore standardized assessment of terminal status or more effective hospice eligibility criteria with less dependency on six-month prognosis. Reasons why end-stage residents with higher social engagement, less severe cognitive impairment, and lower depressive symptoms are more likely to receive hospice care and why end-stage residents have the same intense pain no matter whether they receive hospice care need further investigation. Strengths and limitations. This is the first Canadian study to use the RAI-MDS 2.0 data to examine the LTCF population and a subpopulation of LTCF residents who receive hospice care at the national level. The Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model for 62 health service utilization used to guide this study, which helped to better understand hospice use among the LTCF population in Canada. This study used a mix of admission assessments, quarterly assessments, and annual full assessments, so the study population covered all stages in LTCFs in Canada. This study also has several limitations. First, while the CCRS database contains full coverage for Ontario, British Columbia, Alberta, Yukon, Saskatchewan, and Newfoundland and Labrador, it has partial coverage for Manitoba, New Brunswick and Nova Scotia, and does not cover Quebec, Prince Edward Island, the Northwest Territories, and Nunavut. Second, residents who received continuing care services in hospitals were mixed in the sample and cannot be singled out, therefore, the study population in this study also include individuals receiving continuing care services at 107 hospital-based complex continuing care facilities in Ontario and Manitoba in addition to 1,342 LTCFs across Canada (CIHI, 2016). Third, hospice use may be underestimated as some resident who did not receive hospice care at the time of their last assessment in 2015 may have received hospice care after the assessment. Conclusion The underutilization of hospice care in LTCFs is substantial and requires immediate attention. Residents who received hospice care exhibited more severe and complex clinical needs, such as pain, severe physical impairment, and high health instability than those who did not receive hospice care. End-stage residents who received hospice care exhibited high social engagement and were less likely to have severe cognitive impairment, depressive symptoms, bowel and bladder incontinence than those who did not receive hospice care. Further study is needed to identify the underlying reason. Further investigation of standardized assessment of terminal status is also needed as accuracy of end-stage diagnosis 63 continues to be challenging and criteria for hospice eligibility are narrow. Special attention should be paid to improve access to hospice care among residents with dementia or other progressive chronic diseases with severe and complex clinical needs. 64 Table 6. Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Characteristics by Status of Hospice Use of Residents (N=185,715) and End-Stage Residents (N=12,684) in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 All Residents (N=185,715) Variables Determinants 1: Predisposing Characteristics Age Group (in years) 19-64 65-74 75-84 85-94 95+ Female Sex Marital Status Never Married Married Widowed Separated/Divorced Primary Language Spoken English French Other Education 8th Grade or Less 9th Grade-High School Technical/Trade School/College Bachelor's or Higher Degree Advance Directives-Do Not Resuscitate Advance Directives-Do Not Hospitalize Determinants 2: Enabling Characteristics Province Alberta British Columbia Ontario Other Provinces Urban Facility Facility Neighbourhood Income Quintile Lowest (QAIPPE = 1) Low (QAIPPE = 2) Medium (QAIPPE = 3) High (QAIPPE = 4) Highest (QAIPPE = 5) End-Stage Residents (N=12,684) All residents (N=185,715) Did not receive hospice care (97.3%, n=180,742) Received hospice care (2.7%, n=4,973) 7.6 (14,055) 11.0 (20,509) 27.2 (50,483) 43.9 (81,435) 10.4 (19,233) 65.8 (122,145) 7.4 (13,364) 10.9 (19,701) 27.1 (49,137) 44.1 (79,736) 10.4 (18,804) 66.1 (119,252) 13.9 (691) 16.3 (808) 27.1 (1,346) 34.3 (1,699) 8.6 (4,29) 58.2 (2,893) 10.3 (16,647) 27.5 (44,546) 51.6 (83,583) 10.7 (17,354) 10.3 (16,198) 27.1 (42,759) 51.9 (81,749) 10.7 (16,963) 10.1 (449) 40.1 (1,787) 41.1 (1,834) 8.8 (391) 83.6 (155,309) 2.5 (4,560) 13.9 (25,846) 83.6 (151,039) 2.4 (4,357) 14.0 (25,346) 85.9 (4,270) 4.1 (203) 10.1 (500) 28.5 (33,527) 44.0 (36,767) 16.7 (19,666) 10.7 (12,596) 89.8 (137,001) 35.7 (62,244) 28.6 (33,035) 44.1 (50,950) 16.7 (19,312) 10.7 (12,348) 80.4 (137,001) 35.0 (59,463) 25.9 (492) 42.3 (756) 18.6 (354) 13.1 (248) 89.8 (4,071) 62.2 (2,781) 10.0 (18,505) 16.3 (30,288) 62.8 (116,552) 11.0 (20,370) 85.2 (158,246) 10.1 (18,333) 16.7 (30,189) 61.9 (111,910) 11.2 (20,319) 85.0 (153,575) 3.5 (172) 2.0 (99) 93.3 (4,642) 0.8 (60) 93.9 (4,671) 26.1 (48,213) 19.1 (35,280) 20.4 (37,655) 18.9 (3,4912) 15.4 (28,497) 26.4 (47,439) 18.9 (33,917) 20.5 (36,726) 18.9 (33,905) 15.3 (27,613) 15.6 (774) 27.5 (1,363) 18.7 (929) 20.3 (1,007) 17.8 (884) 65 P Value <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 All residents at end stage (N=12,684) Did not receive hospice care (64.9%, n=8,235) Received hospice care (35.1%, n=4,449) 8.1 (1,028) 11.5 (1,455) 25.6 (3,245) 42.8 (5,432) 12.0 (1,524) 61.4 (7,782) 4.9 (399) 8.7 (718) 24.6 (2,025) 47.8 (3,932) 14.1 (1,161) 63.1 (5,192) 14.1 (629) 16.6 (737) 27.4 (1,220) 33.7 (1,500) 8.2 (363) 58.2 (2,590) 7.9 (903) 33.5 (3,812) 50.1 (5,703) 8.6 (976) 6.8 (501) 29.5 (2,186) 55.3 (4,091) 8.4 (623) 10.1 (402) 40.7 (1,626) 40.4 (1,612) 8.8 (353) 87.0 (11,039) 2.8 (350) 10.2 (1,295) 87.4 (7,193) 2.1 (170) 10.6 (872) 86.5 (3,846) 4.1 (180) 9.5 (423) 26.1 (1,736) 44.6 (2,969) 17.8 (1,185) 11.6 (773) 91.9 (10,885) 60.6 (7,111) 26.3 (1,318) 45.2 (2,268) 17.4 (875) 11.1 (559) 93.3 (7,239) 59.7 (4,599) 25.4 (418) 42.7 (701) 18.9 (310) 13.0 (214) 89.3 (3,647) 62.4 (2,512) 6.1 (770) 5.8 (734) 84.0 (10,653) 4.2 (527) 87.3 (11,074) 7.4 (613) 8.0 (660) 78.5 (6,464) 6.1 (498) 83.7 (6,892) 3.5 (157) 1.7 (74) 94.2 (4,189) 0.7 (29) 94.0 (4,182) 19.8 (2,497) 21.9 (2,761) 19.8 (2,507) 22.1 (2,790) 16.5 (2,084) 22.2 (1,819) 18.1 (1,486) 20.6 (1,686) 23.6 (1,936) 15.6 (1,277) 15.2 (678) 28.8 (1,275) 18.5 (821) 19.3 (854) 18.2 (807) P Value <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.06 <0.0001 <0.01 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Determinants 3: Need Characteristics Change in Cognitive Status Improved No Change Deteriorated Cognition No-Mild Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 0-1) Moderate Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 2-4) Severe Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 5-6) Change in Communication Improved No Change Deteriorated Change in Mood Improved No Change Deteriorated Depression No Depressive Symptoms (DRS = 0) Some Depressive Symptoms (DRS = 1-2) Mild Depressive Disorder (DRS = 3-5) Moderate-Severe Depressive Disorder (DRS = 6-14) Change in Behavior Symptom Improved No Change Deteriorated Aggressive Behavior No Signs of Aggression (ABS = 0) Mild-Moderate Aggression (ABS = 1-4) Severe Aggression (ABS = 5-12) Social Engagement No-Low Social Engagement (ISE = 0-1) Moderate Social Engagement (ISE = 2-4) High Social Engagement (ISE = 5-6) Change in ADL Function Improved No Change Deteriorated Physical Function No Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 0) Mild Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 1-2) Moderate Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 3-4) Severe Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 5-6) 1.8 (3,349) 85.9 (159,103) 12.3 (22,683) 1.8 (3,294) 87.1 (157,072) 11.1 (19,980) 1.2 (55) 42.4 (2,031) 56.4 (2,703) 22.3 (41,329) 55.5 (103,097) 22.2 (41,289) 22.3 (40,241) 55.8 (100,900) 21.9 (39,601) 21.9 (1,088) 44.2 (2,197) 33.9 (1,688) 0.7 (1,212) 91.9 (170,042) 7.5 (13,881) 0.7 (1,190) 92.6 (167,044) 6.7 (12,112) 0.5 (22) 62.6 (2,998) 36.9 (1,769) 5.1 (9,465) 82.4 (152,576) 12.5 (23,094) 5.2 (9,290) 83.2 (150,097) 11.6 (20,959) 3.7 (175) 51.8 (2,479) 44.6 (2,135) 41.0 (75,838) 30.3 (56,163) 19.8 (36,669) 8.9 (16,465) 41.2 (74,204) 30.3 (54,599) 19.7 (35,493) 8.9 (16,050) 34.1 (1,634) 32.7 (1,564) 24.6 (1,176) 8.7 (415) 4.4 (8,181) 85.0 (157,437) 10.5 (19,517) 4.4 (7,973) 85.5 (154,164) 10.1 (18,209) 4.3 (208) 68.3 (3,273) 27.3 (1,308) 58.9 (108,962) 33.0 (61,091) 8.2 (15,082) 58.7 (10,5939) 33.0 (59,546) 8.2 (14,861) 63.1 (3,023) 32.3 (1,545) 4.6 (221) 27.3 (50,606) 52.5 (97,572) 20.2 (37,537) 26.5 (47,948) 53.0 (95,706) 20.5 (37,088) 53.5 (2,658) 37.5 (1,866) 9.0 (449) 4.5 (8,382) 74.6 (138,594) 20.9 (38,739) 4.6 (8,314) 76.1 (137,480) 19.3 (34,948) 1.4 (68) 22.4 (1,114) 76.2 (3,791) 4.2 (7,774) 16.7 (31,052) 44.4 (82,424) 34.7 (64,465) 4.3 (7,744) 17.0 (30,766) 45.1 (81,461) 33.6 (60,771) 0.6 (30) 5.8 (286) 19.4 (963) 74.3 (3,694) 66 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 1.0 (120) 52.6 (6,473) 46.2 (5,712) 0.9 (74) 59.4 (4,775) 39.7 (3,188) 1.1 (46) 39.8 (1,698) 59.1 (2,524) 16.0 (2,031) 42.9 (5,442) 41.1 (5,211) 13.1 (1,080) 42.6 (3,507) 44.3 (3,648) 21.4 (951) 43.5 (1,935) 35.1 (1,563) 0.4 (47) 66.1 (8,139) 32.5 (4,119) 0.3 (27) 69.0 (5,549) 30.6 (2,461) 0.5 (20) 60.6 (2,590) 38.9 (1,658) 4.7 (576) 60.3 (7,417) 35.0 (4,312) 5.2 (420) 65.7 (5,279) 29.1 (2,338) 3.7 (156) 50.1 (2,138) 46.3 (1,974) 31.7 (3,902) 33.3 (4,103) 23.7 (2,911) 11.3 (1,389) 30.7 (2,467) 33.3 (2,679) 23.1 (1,858) 12.9 (1,033) 33.6 (1,435) 33.4 (1,424) 24.7 (1,053) 8.3 (356) 5.6 (685) 70.0 (8,618) 24.4 (3,002) 6.3 (503) 71.3 (5,726) 22.5 (1,808) 4.3 (183) 65.0 (2,892) 28.0 (1,194) 56.3 (6,926) 36.2 (4,458) 7.5 (921) 52.8 (4,242) 38.2 (3,072) 9.0 (723) 62.9 (2,684) 32.5 (1,386) 4.6 (198) 54.6 (6,919) 38.1 (4,833) 7.4 (932) 54.7 (4,503) 38.6 (3,176) 6.8 (556) 54.3 (2,416) 37.2 (1,657) 8.5 (376) 1.3 (163) 32.7 (4,147) 66.0 (8,374) 1.4 (118) 39.6 (3,261) 59.0 (4,856) 1.0 (45) 19.9 (886) 79.1 (3,518) 0.6 (78) 5.3 (671) 23.4 (2,969) 70.7 (8,966) 0.7 (56) 5.2 (431) 26.0 (2,138) 68.1 (5,610) 0.5 (22) 5.4 (240) 18.7 (831) 75.4 (3,356) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Bowel Continence Continent Usually Continent Occasionally continent Frequently Continent Incontinent Bladder Continence Continent Usually Continent Occasionally continent Frequently Continent Incontinent Change in Urinary Continence Improved No Change Deteriorated Pain Symptoms Frequency No Pain Pain Less Than Daily Pain Daily Pain Symptoms Intensity Mild Pain Moderate Pain Severe Pain Pain No Pain (Pain Scale = 0) Mild-Moderate Pain (Pain Scale = 1-2) Severe Pain (Pain Scale = 3) Weight Loss Leaves Food Uneaten Pressure Ulcer Risk No Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 0) Mild Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 1-2) Moderate Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 3) High Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 4-5) Very High Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 6-8) Health Instability No Indication of Health Instability (CHESS = 0) Mild Health Instability (CHESS = 1-2) Moderate-Severe Health Instability (CHESS = 3-5) 34.9 (64,768) 11.8 (21,915) 8.0 (14,876) 15.0 (27,873) 30.3 (27,873) 35.3 (63,824) 11.9 (21,457) 8.1 (14,586) 15.1 (27,213) 29.7 (53,662) 19.0 (944) 9.2 (458) 5.8 (290) 13.3 (660) 52.7 (2,621) 20.7 (38,469) 8.6 (15,941) 9.9 (18,317) 24.5 (45,548) 36.3 (67,440) 20.3 (36,709) 8.6 (15,614) 9.9 (17,944) 24.8 (44,890) 36.3 (65,585) 35.4 (1,760) 6.6 (327) 7.5 (373) 13.2 (658) 37.3 (1,855) 2.8 (5,199) 85.8 (159,362) 11.4 (21,154) 2.8 (4,975) 86.7 (156,737) 10.5 (19,030) 4.5 (224) 52.8 (2,625) 42.7 (2,124) 60.5 (112,389) 24.8 (45,980) 14.7 (27,346) 61.5 (111,193) 24.4 (44,093) 14.1 (25,456) 24.1 (1,196) 37.9 (1,887) 38.0 (1,890) 45.7 (33,523) 46.1 (33,791) 8.2 (6,012) 46.8 (32,515) 45.5 (31,661) 7.7 (5,373) 26.7 (1,008) 56.4 (2,130) 16.9 (639) 60.5 (112,389) 37.2 (68,997) 2.3 (4,329) 11.0 (18,973) 33.3 (61,836) 61.5 (111,193) 36.4 (65,759) 2.1 (3,790) 10.4 (17,557) 32.2 (58,161) 24.1 (1,196) 65.1 (3,238) 10.8 (539) 28.5 (1,416) 73.9 (3,675) 19.0 (34,861) 33.1 (60,827) 31.0 (57,005) 15.4 (28,401) 1.6 (2,847) 19.4 (34,721) 33.6 (60,112) 31.1 (55,682) 14.5 (25,949) 1.4 (2,524) 2.8 (140) 14.4 (715) 26.7 (1,323) 49.5 (2,452) 6.5 (323) 40.7 (75,639) 47.0 (87,227) 12.3 (22,849) 41.8 (75,549) 47.8 (86,467) 10.4 (18,726) 1.8 (90) 15.3 (760) 82.9 (4,123) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 16.1 (2,042) 8.0 (1,019) 5.4 (689) 15.0 (1,904) 55.4 (7,030) 15.8 (1,210) 7.3 (603) 5.5 (449) 15.9 (1,309) 56.6 (4,664) 18.7 (832) 9.4 (416) 5.4 (240) 13.4 (595) 53.2 (2,366) 22.8 (2,893) 5.4 (678) 6.9 (873) 17.0 (2,153) 48.0 (6,087) 15.8 (1,298) 4.7 (387) 6.5 (531) 19.2 (1,579) 53.9 (4,440) 35.9 (1,595) 6.5 (291) 7.7 (342) 12.9 (574) 37.0 (1,647) 3.3 (414) 61.3 (5,494) 35.5 (4,499) 2.7 (224) 66.7 (5,494) 30.6 (2,517) 4.3 (190) 51.2 (2,277) 44.6 (1,982) 36.7 (4,652) 31.6 (4,005) 31.8 (4,027) 44.3 (3,646) 27.7 (2,282) 28.0 (2,307) 22.6 (1,006) 38.7 (1,723) 38.7 (1,720) 27.5 (2,208) 55.7 (4,474) 16.8 (1,350) 28.2 (1,295) 55.1 (2,527) 16.7 (767) 26.5 (913) 56.6 (1,947) 16.9 (583) 36.7 (4,652) 54.7 (6,935) 8.7 (1,097) 31.7 (3,424) 71.4 (9,057) 44.3 (3,646) 48.4 (3,985) 7.3 (604) 28.0 (2,131) 68.7 (5,654) 22.6 (1,006) 66.3 (2,950) 11.1 (493) 40.3 (1,293) 76.5 (3,403) 2.8 (351) 14.7 (1,851) 30.8 (3,892) 45.6 (5,760) 6.2 (778) 3.0 (246) 15.1 (1,235) 33.3 (2,728) 42.7 (3,503) 6.0 (488) 2.4 (105) 13.9 (616) 26.3 (1,164) 50.9 (2,257) 6.5 (290) 0.0 22.3 (2,826) 77.7 (9,858) 0.0 27.8 (2,293) 72.2 (5,942) 0.0 12.0 (533) 88.0 (3,916) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.23 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Note. Other provinces include Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, Yukon. QAIPPE denotes Quintile of Adjusted Income per Person Equivalent; CPS denotes Cognitive Performance Scale; DRS denotes Depression Rating Scale; ABS denotes Aggressive Behavior Scale; ISE denotes Index of Social Engagement; ADL-H denotes Activities of Daily Living Hierarchy; PURS denotes Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale; CHESS denotes Changes in Health, End-Stage Disease, Signs, and Symptoms Scale. 67 Table 7. Logistic Regression Model Predicting Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 Variables OR (95% CI) p-Value 0.73 (0.57-0.93) 0.54 (0.43-0.67) 0.45 (0.36-0.57) 0.54 (0.42-0.70) <0.01 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.81 (0.72-0.91) <0.001 0.72 (0.59-0.89) 0.91 (0.80-1.04) 0.59 (0.48-0.72) <0.01 0.18 <0.0001 1.81 (1.39-2.34) 1.19 (1.01-1.39)) <.0001 0.04 1.00 (0.88-1.14) 1.29 (1.10-1.50) 1.19 (1.00-1.43) 0.99 <0.01 0.06 4.20 (3.19-5.54) <0.0001 2.47 (2.21-2.76) <0.0001 2.37 (2.11-2.67) <0.0001 2.28 (2.09-2.50) 1.33 (1.21-1.47) 1.55 (1.41-1.70) 1.65 (1.50-1.82) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 0.24 (0.21-0.28) 0.08 (0.06-0.10) 0.08 (0.06-0.11) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Model 1: Predisposing Factor Model (c statistics = 0.694) Age Group (in years, ref = 19-64) 65-74 75-84 85-94 95+ Sex (ref = Male) Female Marital Status (ref = Married) Never Married Widowed Separated/Divorced Language (ref = English) French Other Education (ref = 8th Grade or Less) 9th Grade-High School Technical/Trade School/College Bachelor's or Higher Degree Do Not Resuscitate Order (ref = Not in Place) In Place Do Not Hospitalize Order (ref = Not in Place) In Place Model 2: Enabling Factor Model (c statistics = 0.726) Urban vs. Rural Facility Neighbourhood Income Quintile (ref = Lowest [QAIPPE = 1]) Low (QAIPPE = 2) Medium (QAIPPE = 3) High (QAIPPE = 4) Highest (QAIPPE = 5) Province (ref = Ontario) Alberta British Columbia Other Provinces 68 Model 3: Need Factor Model (c statistics = 0.943) Dementia Not Alzheimer’s (ref = No) Yes 0.51 (0.48-0.56) <0.0001 Cancer (ref = No) Yes 6.94 (6.47-7.45) <0.0001 Cognition (ref = No-Mild Cognitive Impairment [CPS = 0-1]) Moderate Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 2-4) 0.88 (0.80-0.97) <0.01 Severe Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 5-6) 1.17 (1.04-1.31) <0.01 Depression (ref = No Depressive Symptoms [DRS = 0]) Some Depressive Symptoms (DRS = 1-2) 0.83 (0.76-0.90) <0.0001 Mild Depressive Disorder (DRS = 3-5) 0.88 (0.90-0.97) 0.01 Moderate-Severe Depressive Disorder (DRS = 6-14) 0.58 (0.51-0.67) <0.0001 Aggressive Behavior (ref = No Signs of Aggression [ABS = 0]) Mild to Moderate Aggression (ABS = 1-4) 0.83 (0.77-0.90) <0.0001 Severe Aggression (ABS = 5-12) 0.50 (0.43-0.59) <0.0001 Social Engagement (ref = No to Low Social Engagement [ISE = 0-1]) Moderate Social Engagement (ISE = 2-4) 0.66 (0.61-0.71) <0.0001 High Social Engagement (ISE = 5-6) 0.51 (0.45-0.58) <0.0001 Physical Function (ref = No Functional Impairment [ADL-H = 0]) Mild Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 1-2) 1.15 (0.77-1.71) 0.50 Moderate Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 3-4) 1.16 (0.79-1.71) 0.46 Severe Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 5-6) 2.77 (1.88-4.07) <0.0001 Pain (ref = No Pain [Pain Scale = 0]) Mild-Moderate Pain (Pain Scale = 1-2) 2.05 (2.05-1.89) <0.0001 Severe Pain (Pain Scale = 3) 2.26 (1.97-2.59) <0.0001 Health Instability (ref = No Indication of Health Instability [CHESS = 0]) Mild Health Instability (CHESS = 1-2) 5.74 (4.60-7.15) <0.0001 Moderate-Severe Health Instability (CHESS = 3-5) 75.39 (60.86-93.40) <0.0001 Note. Other provinces include Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, Yukon. QAIPPE denotes Quintile of Adjusted Income per Person Equivalent; CPS denotes Cognitive Performance Scale; DRS denotes Depression Rating Scale; ABS denotes Aggressive Behavior Scale; ISE denotes Index of Social Engagement; ADL-H denotes Activities of Daily Living Hierarchy; PURS denotes Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale; CHESS denotes Changes in Health, End-Stage Disease, Signs, and Symptoms Scale. 69 Table 8. Final Logistic Regression Model Predicting Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 B Variables OR (95% CI) p-Value Model 4 (Final Model): Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Factor Model (c statistics = 0.944) Intercept -6.70 <0.0001 Age Group (ref=19-64) 65-74 -0.22 0.80 (0.66-0.98) 0.03 75-84 -0.60 0.55 (0.45-0.66) <0.0001 85-94 -0.80 0.45 (0.37-0.54) <0.0001 95+ -0.72 0.49 (0.39-0.61) <0.0001 Urban-Rural Status (ref = rural) Urban 0.94 2.55 (2.24-2.90) <0.0001 Facility Neighbourhood Income Quintile (ref = Lowest [QAIPPE = 1]) Low (QAIPPE = 2) 0.62 1.86 (1.67-2.07) <0.0001 Medium (QAIPPE = 3) 0.16 1.17 (1.05-1.32) <0.01 High (QAIPPE = 4) 0.59 1.81 (1.62-2.03) <0.0001 Highest (QAIPPE = 5) 0.48 1.61 (1.44-1.81) <0.0001 Dementia Not Alzheimer’s (ref = No) Yes -0.50 0.61 (0.56-0.66) <0.0001 Cancer (ref = No) Yes 1.87 6.48 (6.03-6.96) <0.0001 Aggressive Behavior (ref = No Signs of Aggression [ABS = 0]) Mild to Moderate Aggression (ABS = 1-4) -0.26 0.77 (0.71-0.83) <0.0001 Severe Aggression (ABS = 5-12) -0.85 0.43 (0.37-0.50) <0.0001 Social Engagement (ref = No-Low Social Engagement [ISE = 0-1]) Moderate Social Engagement (ISE = 2-4) -0.50 0.60 (0.56-0.65) <0.0001 High Social Engagement (ISE = 5-6) -0.83 0.44 (0.38-0.50) <0.0001 Physical Function (ref = No Functional Impairment [ADL-H = 0]) Mild Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 1-2) 0.12 1.12 (0.75-1.69) 0.57 Moderate Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 3-4) 0.12 1.13 (0.76-1.67) 0.55 Severe Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 5-6) 1.01 2.76 (1.87-4.07) <0.0001 Pain (ref = No Pain [Pain Scale = 0]) Mild-Moderate Pain (Pain Scale = 1-2) 0.65 1.92 (1.77-2.08) <0.0001 Severe Pain (Pain Scale = 3) 0.68 1.98 (1.72-2.27) <0.0001 Health Instability (ref = No Indication of Health Instability [CHESS = 0]) Mild Health Instability (CHESS = 1-2) 1.79 5.99 (4.90-7.47) <0.0001 Moderate-Severe Health Instability (CHESS = 3-5) 4.33 76.31 (61.52-94.64) <0.0001 Note. QAIPPE denotes Quintile of Adjusted Income per Person Equivalent; ABS denotes Aggressive Behavior Scale; ISE denotes Index of Social Engagement; 70 ADL-H denotes Activities of Daily Living Hierarchy; PURS denotes Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale; CHESS denotes Changes in Health, End-Stage Disease, Signs, and Symptoms Scale. 71 Figure 4. Selected Common Diagnoses by Status of Hospice Use of Residents (N=185,715) and End-Stage Residents (N=12,684) in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 All residents (N=185,715) Cancer Renal Failure Arterial Heart Disease Congestive Heart Failure Alzheimer’s Disease Emphysema Cerebrovascular Accident Diabetes Mellitus Dementia Not Alzheimer’s Disease 0.0% 25.0% Received hospice care 50.0% 75.0% 100.0% 75.0% 100.0% Did not receive hospice care End-stage residents (N=12,684) Cancer Renal Failure Arterial Heart Disease Alzheimer’s Disease Congestive Heart Failure Cerebrovascular Accident Emphysema Diabetes Mellitus Dementia Not Alzheimer’s Disease 0.0% Received hospice care 25.0% 50.0% Did not received hospice care 72 Figure 5. Number of Clinical Protocol Assessments Triggered by Status of Hospice Use Among Residents (N=185,715) and End-Stage Residents (N=12,684) in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 All residents (N=185,715) 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Received hospice care 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 14 15 16 Did not receive hospice care End-stage residents (N=12,684) 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Received hospice care 8 9 10 11 12 13 Did not receive hospice care 73 Chapter Five: An Examination of the Characteristics of Residents Who Receive Versus Do Not Receive Hospice Care in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada Objective: Hospice care is designed for persons in the final phase of a terminal illness. Some persons who did not meet the hospice eligibility received hospice care, while many persons who may benefit from hospice care did not receive it. The aim of the study introduced in this chapter is to examine the characteristics of, and one-year survivorship among, residents who received hospice care versus those who did not receive hospice care in LTCFs in Canada. Methods: This retrospective cohort study used linked health administrative data from the CCRS and the DAD. All persons residing in LTCFs between Jan. 1st, 2015 and Dec 31st, 2015 assessed with the RAI-MDS 2.0 in CCRS database were included in this study and their death records were linked up to Dec 31th, 2016. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to examine differences in characteristics of residents in four groups: a) did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following the last assessment, b) did not receive hospice care and died within one year of assessment, c) received hospice care and were alive one year following the last assessment, and d) received hospice care and died within one year of assessment. Results: The assessed hospice care rate in LTCFs is very low (i.e., less than 3%), while one in five of the residents died within three months of the assessment. Residents who received hospice care and died within one year of assessment had more severe and complex health conditions than residents in the other groups. Compared to those who did not receive hospice care but died within one year of assessment, residents who received hospice care and were alive one year following the last assessment were younger (a mean age of 79.4 [+13.5] years vs. 86.5 [+9.2]), had a higher percentage of living in an urban LTCF (93.2% vs. 82.6%), higher percentage of having a diagnosis of cancer (50.7% vs. 12.9%) but a lower percentage 74 of having a diagnosis of dementia (30.2% vs. 54.5%), and exhibited more severe acute clinical needs. Conclusions: The actual use of hospice care among LTCF residents is very poor in Canada. This study indicates several possible barriers to hospice use in the LTCF population including ageism, rurality, and a diagnosis of dementia. Improving understanding of characteristics of residents who did not access but may have benefitted from hospice care may help LTCFs administrators, hospice care providers, and policy makers to make plans and take actions to improve hospice accessibility in this target group. 75 Introduction According to CHPCA, hospice care is defined as “a special kind of health care for individuals and families who are living with a life-limiting illness that is usually at an advanced stage” (CHPCA, 2016a, para. 2). Hospice care can reduce or relieve physical and psychological symptoms, provide comfort and dignity for the person living with the illness as well as the best quality of life for both this person and his or her family (CHPCA, 2016a). In Canadian version of the RAI-MDS 2.0 assessment, hospice care is defined as “a program for terminally ill persons where services are necessary for the palliation and management of terminal illness and related conditions” (CIHI, 2015). The general eligibility for hospice care program in Canada is a) the person has a specific prognosis (often six months or less), b) a decision has been made to focus on comfort rather than cure, and c) resuscitation will not be used when the illness brings a natural death (Canadian Virtual Hospice, 2019). However, it is hard to recognize terminal stages when the person has several medical problems but no specific terminal diagnosis. Hospice care in Canada has traditionally been offered only in the last weeks or months of life (Langille, 2013). Late referrals limit the ability of health systems to reach maximum potential for reduction or relief of suffering and healthcare cost containment (Hawley, 2014). Hospice care can be provided in a variety of settings, such as homes, hospitals, LTCFs, and hospices (Health Canada, 2016). “Although hospitals are designed to address severe and urgent needs, they may not be the best location for comfortable end-of-life care” (Health Canada, 2016, para. 8). Providing hospice services in LTCFs is cost-efficient compared to providing hospice care at private homes and in hospice facilities (Infeld et al., 1990). For example, hospices may have greater revenues by increasing their resident volume, utilizing staff more efficiently, overlapping basic services, and increasing the average length 76 of stay (Petrisek & Mor, 1999). The basic services such as environmental services, housekeeping, and central supplies can be shared by hospice facilities and LTCFs. Long-term care facilities who enroll residents in a hospice care program can increase their competitiveness of the market by promising to provide hospice care to residents who are nearing the end of life, reduce in-house staff time while providing these special services and also benefit from the knowledge of hospice staff (Castle, 1999; Petrisek & Mor, 1999). In Canada, a LTCF is a care institution that serves diverse populations who need access to 24-hour nursing care, personal care and other therapeutic and support services that are not provided elsewhere (Freeman et al., 2017) and is a common place of death for Canadians (Carstairs, 2010; Hirdes et al., 2011; Jayaraman & Joseph, 2013). Long-term care facilities are not included under the Canada Health Act (McGregor, & Ronald, 2011). It is governed by provincial and territorial legislation, and jurisdictions offer a different range of services and cost coverage across Canada (Health Canada, 2004). While the majority of LTCFs are publicly funded, service delivery is provided by a mix of public (governmentowned), private not-for-profit, and private for-profit providers (Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, 2015; McGregor, & Ronald, 2011). While a large proportion of Canadians die in LTCFs each year, most LTCFs lack a formalized hospice care program (Quality Palliative Care in Long Term Care Alliance, 2011; Brink & Kelley, 2015). As indicated in Chapter Four, some residents who did not meet the hospice eligibility received hospice care, while many residents who may benefit from hospice care did not receive it. However, there is limited research examining hospice use in LTCFs in Canada (Ersek & Carpenter, 2013). It remains unknown what the residents who receive hospice care but survive an unexpected length of time (i.e. more than six months) look like. It also remains to be seen what the residents who may benefit from hospice care but did not 77 receive it look like. As such, this study aimed to examine the characteristics of, and one-year survivorship among, residents who received hospice care versus those who did not receive hospice care in LTCFs in Canada. This study was guided by the following two main questions: (a) What are the characteristics of LTCF residents in Canada who receive versus who do not receive hospice care by their one-year survivorship? and (b) What variables can predict one-year survivorship of hospice use among LTCF residents? Conceptual framework. To better understand hospice services utilization in LTCFs in Canada, Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model was used to guide this study. This model was designed to assist in explaining and predicting demographic and societal determinants for utilization of health services and identifying access disparities and other barriers to these services (Anderson & Newman, 1973). This behavioral model was widely used for studies on health services utilization (Lo & Fulda, 2008; Li et al., 2016). The behavioral model indicates that the utilization of health services was a result of three components of population characteristics: (a) the predisposition of the person to use services (predisposing characteristics), (b) the person’s ability to secure the services (enabling resources), and (c) the person’s illness level (needs) (Andersen and Newman, 1973). This model was used in this study to assist in evaluating the current hospice care practices in LTCFs in Canada and understanding how the residents’ predisposing, enabling, and need characteristics influence their utilization of hospice care services. Methods Study design and data sources. This is a population-based cohort study using health administrative data from the CCRS and the DAD from CIHI. The Canadian Institute for Health Information is an independent and not-for-profit organization that provides essential information on Canada’s health systems and the health of Canadians. The Canadian Institute 78 for Health Information has a comprehensive and high-standard Data and Information Quality Program to ensure the data can be trusted by stakeholders (CIHI, 2017; CIHI, 2018a). All persons residing in LTCFs who had a RAI-MDS 2.0 assessment in the CCRS database between Jan. 1 st, 2015 and Dec 31st, 2015 were included in this study. Their death records were linked through the RAI-MDS 2.0 discharge form and the DAD up to Dec 31th, 2016. The RAI-MDS 2.0 was completed by trained clinical professionals (including registered nurses, social workers, physicians) through direct observation over all shifts prior to the assessments and also included information from the resident and his/her family (when available) and chart records (CIHI, 2017). The RAI-MDS 2.0 contains standardized and comprehensive information of residents receiving 24-hour continuing care services in LTCFs in Canada. The full assessment of the RAI-MDS 2.0 are required for each resident at admission, upon significant changes in status, and within one year of the last full assessment (User’s Manual, 2015). Residents are also assessed quarterly on a subset of the full assessment. The Discharge Abstract Database captures information on hospital discharges (including deaths, sign-outs and transfers) directly from acute care facilities or from their respective health/regional authority or ministry/department of health in all provinces and territories except Quebec (CIHI, 2018b). Measures. Based on Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model, three determinants (predisposing characteristics, enabling characteristics, and need characteristics) of hospice use in LTCF residents were examined in this study (Figure 2). Predisposing characteristics. Age was measured in years and also categorized into five age groups. Other predisposing characteristics included gender, marital status, language, education, and advance directives (do-not-resuscitate [DNR] and do-not-hospitalize [DNH] orders). 79 Enabling characteristics. This study included province, urban-rural status, and QAIPPE. According to Statistics Canada (2017b), “an urban area was defined as having a population of at least 1,000 and a density of 400 or more people per square kilometre and all areas outside urban areas was defined as rural areas”. The QAIPPE is a simple area-based socioeconomic measure of neighbourhood income quintile for the facility providing care to the resident (Public Health Ontario, 2013). Need characteristics. This study included disease diagnoses, cognitive function, communication function, mood and behavior, physical function, continence, pain, skin condition, nutritional status, health stability, and complexity of clinical needs. Outcome scales. In addition to individual item in the RAI-MDS 2.0, a variety of risk and clinical summary outcome scales that embedded in the RAI-MDS 2.0 were also used to examine need characteristics. The outcome scales included the Cognitive Performance Scale (CPS) (Morris et al., 1994), the Depression Rating Scale (DRS) (Burrows et al., 2000), the Index of Social Engagement (ISE) (Mor et al, 1995), the Activities of Daily Living SelfPerformance Hierarchy Scale (ADL) (Morris et al., 1994), the Changes in Health, End-Stage Disease, and Signs and Symptoms (CHESS) (Hirdes et al., 2003), the Aggressive Behavior Scale (ABS) (Perlman & Hirdes, 2008), the Pain Scale (Fries et al., 2001), and the Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale (PURS) (Poss et al., 2010) (CIHI, 2018d) (Table 4). Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs). The CAPs (embedded in the RAI-MDS 2.0) were also used to assess need characteristics. The CAPs “identify areas in which a resident has a higher than expected rate of decline, an increased potential to improve, and symptoms that could be alleviated if a problem was addressed” (interRAI, 2017). There are 19 CAPs including activities of daily living, physical restraints, cognitive loss, delirium, communication, mood, behaviour, activities, social relationship, falls, pain, pressure ulcer, 80 cardio-respiratory conditions, undernutrition, dehydration, feeding tube, appropriate medications, urinary incontinence, and bowel conditions (CIHI, 2008). The number of triggered CAPs was used to identify complexity of clinical needs in this study (Freeman et al., 2014). Statistical analyses. Analyses were conducted using SAS software for Windows Version 9.4, Cary, NC: SAS institute, Inc. At stage 1, univariate analyses including means, medians, standard deviations, and percentages were used to describe the characteristics of residents. At stage 2, bivariate analyses including t-tests for continuous variables and chisquare test for categorical variables were performed to test the statistically significant differences in characteristics of residents in four groups: a) did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment, b) did not receive hospice care and died within one year of assessment, c) received hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment, and d) received hospice care and died within one year. At stage 3, multinomial logistic regression analysis was conducted to explain how the residents’ characteristics influence their hospice use with residents who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment as the reference group. Variables that had more than 5% of missing values were not included in the multinomial logistic regression analysis (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2012). For variables with less than 5% of missing values, complete case analysis was applied for the predictive modelling. To reduce multicollinearity, variables that were already in the outcome scales were not considered for the predictive model building. Multicollinearity was measured by variance inflation factors (VIF), tolerance, and condition index. Multicollinearity was thought to be present when VIF value exceeded 4.0, tolerance was less than 0.2, or condition index exceeded 30.0, (Hair et al., 2010). All statistical tests were based on two-sided probability 81 and an alpha of 0.05 or less was used to indicate statistical significance (Tabachnick & Fidell, 2012). Ethical considerations. Data access was granted and monitored by CIHI. Data is deidentified prior to data analysis. Ethics approvals for this project was not required. This decision was confirmed by the University of Northern British Columbia’s Research Ethics Board (Appendix B). Results Study sample characteristics. There were 185,715 unique residents living in LTCFs assessed with the RAI-MDS 2.0 in Canada in 2015. Residents in LTCFs in Canada had a mean age of 83.0 years (±11.4 years). More than half of the residents were aged over 85 years (54.3%), and widowed (51.6%). Most were female (65.8%), lived in an urban LTCF (85.2%) and Ontario (62.8%), and had a primary language of English (83.6%) (Table 9). As shown in Figure 6, 30.9% of the residents died within one year of assessment (N = 57,398/185,715), most of whom died within three months (65.5%, N = 37,602/57,398). Of all 185,715 residents living in LTCFs in Canada in 2015, only 2.7% of the residents received hospice care (n=4,973/185,715). Of those who receive hospice care, 88.9% died within one year of assessment (n = 4,417/4,973), while about 10.1% were still alive one year following their last assessment (n = 556/4,973). Of all residents, 28.5% did not receive hospice care and died within one year (n = 52,981/185,715). Did not receive hospice care and alive. Residents who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment (n = 127,761) had a mean age of 81.7 (+11.8) years; about half were aged over 85 years (49.5%). About half of the residents in this group were widowed (49.7%), two thirds were female (66.8%), three in four had DNR order (76.6%), and less than one third had DNH order (30.7%). Most of these residents lived in an 82 urban LTCF (86.0%) (Table 9). A diagnosis of dementia (46.8%) was more common than a diagnosis of cancer (7.9%) in this group (Figure 7). The majority of the residents in this group exhibited no to moderate cognitive impairment (CPS ≤ 4, 82.5%), no to mild depressive symptoms (DRS ≤ 2, 72.7%), no signs of aggression (ABS = 0, 60.8%), moderate to high social engagement (ISE = 2-6, 78.6%), mild to moderate physical impairment (ADLH = 1-4, 73.1%), bowel incontinence (24.6%), bladder incontinence (31.2%), no pain (Pain Scale = 0, 63.5%), no to moderate pressure risk (PURS ≤ 3, 89.1%), and no to mild health instability (CHESS ≤ 2, 94.5%) (Table 9). Less than half of the residents in this group triggered more than five CAPs (44.7%) (Figure 8); the top three triggered CAPs were activities of daily living (84.3%), urinary incontinence (82.5%), and mood (56.7%). Did not receive hospice care and died. Residents who did not receive hospice care but died within one year of assessment (n = 52,981) had a mean age of 79.4 (+13.5) years; two thirds were aged over 85 years (66.5%). More than half of them were widowed (57.4%), less than two thirds were female (64.2%), most had DNR order (89.4%), nearly half had DNH order (45.4%), and most lived in an urban LTCF (82.6%) (Table 9). Dementia was a common diagnosis in this group (54.5%), but cancer was not (12.9%) (Figure 7). About one third of the residents in this group exhibited severe cognitive impairment (CPS ≥ 5, 32.4%) and possible depressive disorder (DRS ≥ 3, 31.7%), barely half had signs of aggression (ABS ≥ 1, 46.3%), more than one third had no to low social engagement (ISE ≤ 1, 39.0%), half had severe physical impairment (ADL-H ≥ 5, 50.0%), barely half had completely bowel (42.0%) incontinence and completely bladder (48.7%) incontinence, less than half had mild to severe pain (Pain Scale ≥ 1, 43.2%), one in four had high to very high pressure risk (PURS ≥ 4, 27.9%), and one in five had moderate to severe health instability (CHESS ≥ 3, 21.9%) (Table 9). More than half of the residents in this group had more than five CAPs triggered (52.2%) 83 (Figure 8); the top three triggered CAPs were urinary incontinence (77.0%), mood (58.3%), and social relationship (52.3%). Received hospice care and alive. Residents who received hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment (n = 556) had a mean age of 86.5 (+9.2) years; less than half were aged over 85 years (43.3%). Less than half of the residents in this group were widowed (44.0%), most had a DNR order (92.5%), more than half had a DNH order (58.0%), and most lived in an urban LTCF (93.2%) (Table 9). A diagnosis of cancer (50.7%) was more common than a diagnosis of dementia (30.2%) in this group (Figure 7). About less than one fourth of the residents in this group exhibited severe cognitive impairment (CPS ≥ 5, 23.0%), less than one third had depressive disorder (DRS ≥ 3, 29.7 %), less than one third had signs of aggression (ABS ≥ 1, 31.7%), more than one third had no to low social engagement (ISE ≤ 1, 36.90%), more than half had severe physical impairment (ADL-H ≥ 5, 51.6%), two in five had complete bowel incontinence (41.9%), one third had complete bladder incontinence (33.3%), about two thirds had mild to severe pain (Pain Scale ≥ 1, 64.2%), about one third had high to very high pressure risk (PURS ≥ 4, 32.6%), and about half had moderate to severe health instability (CHESS ≥ 3, 50.5%) (Table 9). More than half of them had more than five CAPs triggered (53.0%) (Figure 8), and the top three triggered CAPs were activities of daily living (68.6%), urinary incontinence (67.6%), and mood (63.6%). Received hospice care and died. Residents who received hospice care and died within one year of assessment (n = 4,417) had a mean age of 79.7 (+12.7) years, and less than half of them were aged 85 years and older (42.7%). More than one third of the residents in this group were widowed (40.7%), more than half were female (57.9%), most had DNR order (89.4%), less than two thirds had DNH order (62.7%), and most lived in an urban LTCF 84 (94.0%) (Table 9). More than half had a diagnosis of cancer (58.4%) and about one in five had a diagnosis of dementia (26.7%). More than one third of the residents in this group exhibited severe cognitive impairment (CPS ≥ 5, 35.3%) and possible depressive disorder (DRS ≥ 3, 33.7%), more than one third had signs of aggression (ABS ≥ 1, 37.5%), more than half had no to low social engagement (ISE ≤ 1, 55.5%), more than two thirds had severe physical impairment (ADL-H ≥ 5, 77.1%), more than half had completely bowel incontinence (54.1%), more than one third had completely bladder incontinence (37.8%), more than two thirds had mild to severe pain (Pain Scale ≥ 1, 77.4%), more than half had high pressure ulcer risk (PURS ≥ 4, 59.0%), and most had moderate to severe health instability (CHESS ≥ 3, 87.0%) (Table 9). Two thirds of these residents triggered more than five CAPs (63.9%) (Figure 8), and the top three triggered CAPs were urinary incontinence (64.7%), mood (64.1%), and social relationship (48.6%). Differences among four groups. Compared to residents who did not receive hospice care and alive one year following their last assessment, residents who did not receive hospice care but died within one year of assessment (n = 556) were older (66.5% aged over 85 years vs. 49.5%), had a higher percentage of being widowed (57.4% vs. 49.7%), having a DNR order (89.4% vs. 76.6%), and having a DNH order (45.4% vs. 30.7%) (Table 9). Similar to those who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment, dementia was a common diagnosis in this group (54.5%) but cancer was not (12.9%) (Figure 7). Residents who did not receive hospice care but died within one year of assessment had more severe and complex clinical needs than those who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment (Table 9; Figure 8). Compared to residents who did not receive hospice care and alive one year following their last assessment, residents who received hospice care and were alive one year following 85 their last assessment were younger (43.3% aged over 75 years vs. 49.5%), had a lower percentage of being widowed (44.0% vs. 49.7%), but a higher percentage of having DNR order (92.5% vs. 76.6%), and having a DNH order (58.0% vs. 30.7%) and living in an urban LTCF (93.2%) (Table 9). Cancer was a common diagnosis in this group (50.7%), while dementia was less common (30.2%) (Figure 7). Residents who received hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment also had more severe and complex clinical needs than those who did not receive hospice care and alive one year following their last assessment. This group exhibited more severe acute clinical needs than those who did not receive hospice care but died within one year of assessment with regard to presence of pain (Pain Scale ≥ 1, 64.2% vs. 43.2%), high to very high pressure risk (PURS ≥ 4, 32.6% vs. 27.9%), and moderate to severe health instability (CHESS ≥ 3, 50.5% vs. 21.9%), but had less chronic clinical needs in terms of severe cognitive impairment (CPS ≥ 5; 23.0% vs. 32.4%) and bladder incontinence (33.3% vs. 48.7%) (Table 9). Compared to residents who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment, residents who received hospice care and died within one year of assessment were younger (42.7% aged over 75 years vs. 49.5%), had a lower percentage of being widowed (40.7% vs. 49.7%), but a higher percentage of having DNR order (89.4% vs. 76.6%), having a DNH order (62.7% vs. 30.7%), and living in an urban LTCF (94.0%) (Table 9). Compared to other three groups, this group had and the highest percentage of cancer diagnosis (58.4%) and the most severe and complex clinical conditions with respect to cognition, depression, social engagement, physical function, bowel control, pain, pressure ulcer risk, health instability and highest complexity (Table 9, Figure 7; Figure 8). Multivariate results. Table 10 shows the predictors of hospice use status identified in the multinomial logistic regression analysis. Compared to residents who did not receive 86 hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment, residents who did not receive hospice care and died within one year of the assessment were less like to live in an urban LTCF (OR = 0.78, 95% CI = 0.75-0.80), and were more likely to be older (OR range from 1.60 [95% CI = 1.50-1.72] among 65-74 age group to 5.45 [95% CI = 5.11-5.82] among 95+ age group) and have moderate (OR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.11-2.33) to severe (OR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.67-2.01) physical impairment, have mild-moderate (OR = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.10-1.16) to severe (OR = 1.39, 95% CI = 1.27-1.53) pain, pressure ulcer risk (OR range from 1.38 [95% CI = 1.31-1.44] in mild pressure ulcer risk category to 2.64 [95% CI = 2.362.97] in very high pressure ulcer risk category) and mild (OR = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.50-1.59) to moderate-severe (OR = 3.53, 95% CI = 3.34-3.71) health instability. Compared to residents who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment, residents who received hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment were more likely to be aged between 75 to 84 (OR = 0.63, 95% CI = 0.47-0.84) and 85 to 94 (OR = 0.66, 95% CI = 0.50-0.88) years, live in urban LTCF (OR = 2.04, 95% CI = 1.46-2.84) and have a diagnosis of cancer (OR = 7.98, 95% CI = 6.68-9.54), moderate (OR = 2.07, 95% CI = 1.25-3.44) to high (OR = 2.18, 95% CI = 1.273.75) pressure ulcer risk, and mild (OR = 2.83, 95% CI = 2.01-3.98) to severe (OR = 17.00, 95% CI = 15.60-24.88) health instability. Compared to residents who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment, residents who received hospice care and died within one year of the assessment were more likely to be 95 years and older (OR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.101.56), have a diagnosis of cancer (OR = 8.96, 95% CI = 8.27-9.91), and severe physical impairment (OR = 5.38, 95% CI = 2.12-13.64), and were also more likely have mildmoderate (OR = 2.03, 95% CI = 1.82-2.28) to severe (OR = 2.68, 95% CI = 2.19-3.27) pain, 87 moderate to very high pressure ulcer risk (OR ranges from 2.18 [95% CI = 1.45-3.29] in moderate pressure ulcer risk category to 3.50 [95% CI = 2.24-4.38] in very high pressure ulcer risk category), and mild (OR = 10.40, 95% CI = 6.67-16.22) to moderate-severe (OR = 205.37, 95% CI = 132.09-319.30) health instability. Discussion The assessed use rate of hospice care in LTCFs was very low (i.e., less than 3%), while one in five of the residents died within three months of the assessment and one in three died within one year of the assessment. Most deaths occurred three months after the assessment among those who received hospice care and among those who did not receive hospice care. Among those who did not receive hospice care, more than one fourth of residents died within one year the assessment. This indicates one in four of residents in LTCFs who had potential to benefit from hospice care may not have received it. The actual use of hospice care among residents in LTCFs is very poor in Canada, which indicates urgent needs for immediate action to improve hospice care utilization in LTCFs in Canada. This study is one of the first to really quantify and compare those who received hospice care and those who did not with proximity to death. The findings of this study indicate how the residents’ predisposing, enabling, and need characteristics influence their utilization of hospice care services, which helps to identify access disparities and other barriers to hospice use in LTCFs in Canada (Andersen and Newman, 1973). The results indicate there are big differences in residents’ predisposing, enabling, and need characteristics among the four groups. Younger age, living in an urban LTCF, having a diagnosis of cancer, and having more severe, complex, and acute clinical needs significantly increased the likelihood of hospice use among residents in LTCFs in Canada. 88 This study indicates residents who were older were more likely to die without hospice care, which reveals evidence of ageism in relation to equitable access to hospice care in LTCFs. Evidence of inequalities in access to end-of-life care, particularly between age groups, has been reported in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia (Addington-Hall, 2000; Burt & Raine, 2006; Rosenwax & McNamara, 2006). Age inequalities in access to end-of-life care was also found in a study of cancer patients in the province of Nova Scotia, Canada (Burge, Lawson, Johnston, & Grunfeld, 2008). It is well known that the Canadian population is ageing, thus, failure to recognize the role of ageism in relation to accessibility to hospice care may pose severe consequences. Ageism affects the way in which services at the end of life are often designed without reference to older LTCF residents’ needs (Gardiner, Cobb, Gott, & Ingleton, 2011; Gott, Ibrahim, & Binstock, 2011). The tendency to give greater value to youth over old age and attribute negative characteristics to older residents may influence older residents’ expectations and experiences of hospice care (Burge, Lawson, Johnston, & Grunfeld, 2008; Gott et al., 2011). Older LTCF residents’ needs should be valued during policy development with regard to improving equitable access to hospice care within LTCFs. About nine in ten of residents in LTCFs had a DNR order compared to one in three had a DNH order. Residents who received hospice care had a higher percentage of having a DNR or DNH order in place than those who did not. The casual effect between having a DNR order and receiving hospice care cannot be determined in this study. Having a DNR order in place may lead to higher probability of referral to hospice care. Having severe and complex health conditions may result in more discussion of advance care planning and higher probability of having a DNR in place to be eligible for hospice referral. However, among those who received hospice care, around 10% did not have a DNR order in place. There is 89 still room to improve the use of advance directives among LTCF residents who receive hospice care. Among those who received hospice care, a large percentage of residents did not have a DNH in place. It remains unknow why residents who received hospice care still wanted to be hospitalized when possible and this requires further study. The results of this study show living in an urban LTCF were more likely to receive hospice care regardless of their one-year survivorship and less likely to die without hospice care. Studies have demonstrated that in addition to the ability to recognize terminal stage, for LTCF residents, access to hospice may be more influenced by the facility and its location than by the residents’ treatment preferences (Zerzan, Stearns, & Hanson, 2000; Welch, Miller, Martin, & Nanda, 2008). Contributors of the rural-urban difference include lack of resources and funding (e.g. lack of equipment, low salaries, and lack of specialist geriatricians) and limited access to hospice services in rural LTCFs, compared with urban LTCFs (Virnig, Hartman, Moscovice, & Carlin, 2006; Kelley, Sletmoen, Williams, Nadin, & Puiras, 2012; Kaasalainen et al., 2012). As hospice requires physician referral, physician shortage and high physician turnover in rural LTCFs may create barriers of hospice referral and lower the threshold for transferring residents to hospitals, especially when LTCFs and hospitals are co-located or located within a relatively short distance of each other (TemkinGreener, Zheng, & Mukamel, 2012; Kaasalainen et al., 2012). Urban areas are more likely to have a larger number of hospice providers and closer proximity of those providers to LTCFs, thus decreasing potential barriers to hospice utilization (Temkin-Greener et al., 2012). Recently, there are some studies about hospice palliative care practices in private home of rural communities in Canada (Kaasalainen et al., 2012; Whitfield, 2018), however, it remains unclear how hospice care works in rural LTCFs (DeMiglio et al. 2012). The issue of LTCF- 90 based urban-rural disparity needs further investigation to find ways to improve access to, and provision of, hospice care services in rural LTCFs. Although residents with a diagnosis of cancer were more likely to die without hospice care, they were also more likely to receive hospice care regardless of their one-year survivorship. However, residents with a diagnosis of Dementia Not Alzheimer’s were less likely to receive hospice care regardless of their one-year survivorship and more likely to die without hospice care. A report from CIHI also revealed that few seniors living with dementia in Canada receive hospice palliative care and this is more prevalent among residents in LTCFs (CIHI, 2019). Residents with dementia were relatively under-served by hospice, partly because of challenges in prediction of life expectancy for persons with dementia and lack of recognition of the terminal nature of dementia, lack of advance directives in place among persons with dementia, and short of perceived benefits to the persons with dementia (Erel et al., 2017; Mitchell et al., 2010; Sachs et al., 2004; Kiely, 2010, Mitchell, Kiely, Hamel, 2004). It is important for health care providers and policy-makers to improve recognition of dementia as a terminal disease and better understand the role of hospice services for persons with dementia so these residents can have improved access to hospice care as residents with end-stage cancer. The clinical characteristics of residents who did not receive hospice care and were alive one year following the assessment confirmed general expectations that this group had less severe and complex health conditions than other groups. This study indicates that residents who received hospice care and died within one year of assessment had the most severe and complex clinical needs among the four groups. Residents who received hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment exhibited more severe acute clinical needs (i.e. pain, high pressure risk, and health instability) and had less chronic 91 clinical needs (i.e. cognitive impairment) than those who did not receive hospice care but died within one year of assessment. More attention should be paid to residents with chronic clinical needs (i.e. cognitive impairment) when considering hospice referral. Residents with more frequent and intense pain were more likely to receive hospice care regardless of their one-year survivorship. Due to the limitation related to the study design, it was not clear whether pain is one of the reasons for hospice referral or residents who received hospice care were more likely to develop pain. Many studies revealed hospice care is often targeted to dying residents with higher levels of reported pain as hospice care in LTCFs can lead to better pain assessment and management for dying LTCF residents (Miller, Mor, & Teno, 2003; Baer & Hanson, 2000; Miller, Mor, Wu, Gozalo, & Lapane, 2002; Wu, Miller, Lapane, & Gozalo, 2003). Hospice care providers should recognize that residents with cognitive impairment who may not be able to self report pain (Herr et al., 2011; Miu, & Chan, 2014). Data from this study indicates residents who did not receive hospice care and died within one year reported less pain than those who received hospice care. Part of the reason may be good control of pain from LTCF staff. A previous study found LTCF staff seem well positioned to control pain for residents whose deaths were expected (Munn et al., 2006). More possible reasons may be under-detected pain among LTCF resident without hospice care, especially among those with cognitive impairment (Herr et al., 2011; Marx, 2005; Miu, & Chan, 2014). On the other hand, many studies indicate that hospice positively affects and improves the assessment of symptoms including pain (Miller, Mor, & Teno, 2003; Baer & Hanson, 2000; Miller, Mor, Wu, Gozalo, & Lapane, 2002; Wu, Miller, Lapane, & Gozalo, 2003). Efforts from both LTCF staff and hospice providers are needed to have pain better controlled for residents who received hospice care. 92 Most residents triggered more than one CAP, while those who received hospice care and died within one year of assessment had more CAPs triggered. The high number of CAPs triggered among residents who received hospice care and died within one year of assessment reflects high levels of complex clinical needs within this group. Among those who died within one year of assessment, urinary incontinence, mood, and social relationship were the top three area in which the residents had a higher than expected rate of decline, an increased potential to improve, and symptoms that could be alleviated if problems are addressed. Among those who were still alive one year following the assessment, activities of daily living, urinary incontinence, and mood were the top three areas in which the residents had a higher than expected rate of decline and may have benefited from alleviated symptoms if problems were addressed. The CAPs triggered at high rates such as urinary incontinence and mood among all residents warrant increased attention for the majority of LTCF residents. Consideration of specific triggered CAPs in this study provide evidence to support care plan related decisions based on residents’ needs. Although residents with health instability were more likely to die with hospice care, they were also more likely to receive hospice care regardless of their one-year survivorship. Studies have found CHESS was a good predictor of mortality for hospitalized patients and persons with neurological conditions (Hirdes et al., 2003). However, this study revealed hospice care was offered to a large proportion of residents who did not die within one year but had severe health instability. This indicates that while CHESS may be a good predictor of mortality, it may not be a good predictor of receipt of hospice care. The predictive model developed in this study (p. 73) were superior than CHESS alone, as clinical needs were not the only determinants of hospice use. 93 Strengths and limitations. The major strength of this study is that it is the first Canadian study to use the RAI-MDS 2.0 data to examine hospice use among LTCF residents stratified by their one-year survivorship. Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behaviors model for health services utilization was used to help understand hospice care access and utilization in LTCFs in Canada. This study included three population characteristics components of the framework to explore their association with health services utilization. In addition, this study used a mix of admission assessments (17.4%), significant change in status full assessment (5.3%), annual full assessments (22.0%), and quarterly assessments (55.3%). Thus, the study population covered all stage of residents living in LTCFs. Furthermore, this study linked the DAD to the CCRS to track an extra 5.2% residents who were discharged from LTCFs and did not have death records in LTCFs. This study also has several limitations. First, this study showed one-year survivorship of hospice use among residents living in LTCFs in Canada at the time of last assessment in 2015. The hospice use rate among LTCF residents at death cannot be identified, as some residents who did not receive hospice care at the time of last assessment in 2015 may have received hospice care after the assessment. Second, this study revealed substantial differences in hospice use among provinces. However, the differences among all provinces in Canada cannot be explicitly examined, as the CCRS database does not contain full coverage of LTCFs in all provinces of Canada. Third, although the study revealed numerous associations between resident characteristics and hospice use, causality could not be determined due to study design. Longitudinal study of differences of resident characteristics in hospice use is recommended to better understand the association between resident characteristics and hospice use. Fourth, complete case analyses were used in the predictive modeling. To reduce potential for biased and inefficient estimates, variables with a large proportion of missing 94 values, such as DNR order (5.8%), marital status (12.7%) and education (36.7%) were removed from predictive modeling. Conclusion Residents who received hospice care and died within one year of assessment exhibited more severe and complex clinical needs than those who did not receive hospice care and those who receive hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment. Residents who received hospice care and were alive one year following their last assessment exhibited more severe acute clinical needs (i.e. pain, high pressure risk, and health instability) and had less chronic clinical needs (i.e. cognitive impairment, depression, and low social engagement) than those who did not receive hospice care but died within one year of assessment. This study indicates several possible barriers to hospice use in the LTCF population including ageism, rurality, and a diagnosis of dementia. As Andersen and Newman (1973) indicates, all these factors come together to explain and inform health care utilization. Immediate action is needed to address inequality in care at the end of life for the LTCF population and provide improved access to high quality hospice care in LTCFs in Canada. 95 Table 9. Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Characteristics by One-Year Survival Survivorship of Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada at Baseline in 2015 (N=185,715) Variables Determinants 1: Predisposing Characteristics Age Group (in years) 19-64 65-74 75-84 85-94 95+ Female Sex Marital Status Never Married Married Widowed Separated Divorced Primary Language Spoken English French Education 8th Grade or Less 9th Grade-High School Technical/Trade School/College Bachelor's or Higher Degree Advance Directives Do Not Resuscitate Do Not Hospitalize Determinants 2: Enabling Characteristics Province Alberta British Columbia Ontario Other Provinces Total Population N=185,715 Did not receive hospice care Alive after Died within one year, one year, 68.8%, 28.5%, N= 127,761 N= 52,981 Received hospice care Alive after Died within one year, one year, 0.3%, 2.4%, N= 556 N=4,417 7.6 (14,055) 11.0 (20,509) 27.2 (50,483) 43.9 (81,435) 10.4 (19,233) 65.8 (122,145) 9.2 (11,790) 12.7 (161,66) 28.6 (36,490) 41.4 (52,922) 8.1 (10,393) 66.8 (85,289) 3.0 (1,574) 6.7 (3,535) 23.9 (12,647) 50.6 (26,814) 15.9 (8,411) 64.2 (33,963) 15.1 (84) 17.1 (95) 28.6 (136) 33.6 (187) 9.7 (54) 60.3 (335) 13.7 (607) 16.1 (713) 23. 9 (1,210) 34.2 (1,512) 8.5 (375) 57.9 (2,558) 10.3 (16,647) 27.5 (44,546) 51.6 (83,583) 3.1 (5,017) 7.6 (12,337) 83.6 (155,309) 2.5 (4,560) 13.9 (25,846) 11.6 (13,129) 27.1 (30,637) 49.7 (56,137) 3.3 (3,683) 8.4 (9478) 82.5 (105,345) 2.5 (3,245) 15.0 (19,171) 6.9 (3,069) 27.2 (12,122) 57.4 (25,612) 2.8 (1,238) 5.8 (2,564) 86.3 (45,694) 2.1 (1,112) 11.7 (6,175) 8.3 (42) 36.9 (187) 44.0 (233) 2.2 (11) 8.7 (44) 83.6 (465) 4.9 (27) 11.5 (64) 10.3 (407) 40.5 (1,600) 40.7 (1,611) 2.2 (85) 6.4 (251) 86.1 (3,805) 4.0 (176) 9.9 (436) 28.5 (33,527) 44.0 (36,767) 16.7 (19,666) 10.7 (12,596) 28.6 (23,158) 43.9 (35,522) 16.8 (13,608) 10.7 (8,694) 28.5 (9,877) 44.5 (15,428) 16.5 (5,704 10.5 (3,654) 28.1 (62) 37.1 (82) 22.6 (50) 12.2 (27) 25.6 (430) 43.2 (725) 18.1 (304) 13.2 (221) 89.8 (137,001) 35.7 (62,244) 76.6 (92,034) 30.7 (36,710) 89.4 (44,946) 45.4 (22,753) 92.5 (457) 58.0 (282) 89.4 (3,614) 62.7 (2,499) 10.0 (18,505) 16.3 (30,288) 62.8 (116,552) 11.0 (20,370) 8.8 (11,236) 15.3 (19,494) 65.8 (84,114) 10.2 (12,917) 13.4 (7,097) 20.2 (10,695) 52.5 (27,796) 14.1 (7,393) 1.3 (7) 3.2 (18) 92.8 (516) 2.7 (15) 3.7 (165) 1.8 (81) 93.4 (4,126) 1.1 (45) 96 p-value <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Urban Facility Facility Neighbourhood Income Quintile Lowest (QAIPPE = 1) Low (QAIPPE = 2) Medium (QAIPPE = 3) High (QAIPPE = 4) Highest (QAIPPE = 5) Determinants 3: Need Characteristics Change in Cognitive Status No Change Improved Deteriorated Cognition No-Mild Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 0-1) Moderate Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 2-4) Severe Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 5-6) Change in Communication No Change Improved Deteriorated Change in Mood No Change Improved Deteriorated Depression No Depressive Symptoms (DRS = 0) Some Depressive Symptoms (DRS = 1-2) Mild Depressive Disorder (DRS = 3-5) Moderate-Severe Depressive Disorder (DRS = 6-14) Change in Behavior Symptom No Change Improved Deteriorated Aggressive Behavior No Signs of Aggression (ABS = 0) Mild to Moderate Aggression (ABS = 1-4) Severe Aggression (ABS = 5-12) 85.2 (158,246) 86.0 (109,860) 82.6 (43,715) 93.2 (518) 94..0 (4,153) 26.1 (48,213) 19.1 (35,280) 20.4 (37,655) 18.9 (3,4912) 15.4 (28,497) 26.4 (33,511) 18.9 (24,016) 20.4 (25,833) 19.1 (24,214) 15.2 (19,293) 26.4 (13,928) 18.8 (9,901) 20.7 (10,893) 18.4 (9,691) 15.8 (8,320) 15.5 (86) 25.2 (140) 18.2 (101) 29.0 (161) 12.1 (67) 15.6 (688) 27.8 (1,233) 18.8 (828) 19.2 (846) 18.6 (817) <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 85.9 (159,103) 1.8 (3,349) 12.3 (22,683) 90.2 (115,121) 2.0 (2,515) 7.8 (9,985) 79.6 (41,951) 1.5 (779) 19.0 (9,995) 69.2 (384) 2.2 (12) 28.7 (159) 38.9 (1,647) 1.0 (43) 60.1 (2,544) 22.3 (41,329) 55.5 (103,097) 22.2 (41,289) 25.6 (32,689) 56.9 (72,660) 17.5 (22,412) 14.3 (7,552) 53.3 (28,240) 32.4 (17,189) 29.1 (162) 47.8 (266) 23.0 (128) 21.0 (926) 43.7 (1,931) 35.3 (1,560) 91.9 (170,042) 0.7 (1,212) 7.5 (13,881) 95.1 (121,307) 0.7 (918) 4.2 (5,396) 86.3 (45,737) 0.5 (272) 12.7 (6,716) 83.4 (462) 1.3 (7) 15.3 (85) 59.9 (2,535) 0.4 (15) 39.8 (1,684) 82.4 (152,576) 5.1 (9,465) 12.5 (23,094) 85.0 (108,505) 5.3 (6,772) 9.7 (12,344) 78.9 (41,592) 4.8 (2,518) 16.3 (8,615) 66.2 (368) 4.7 (26) 29.0 (161) 49.9 (2,111) 3.5 (149) 46.6 (1,974) 41.0 (75,838) 30.3 (56,163) 19.8 (36,669) 8.9 (16,465) 43.2 (55,161) 29.5 (37,633) 19.1 (24,364) 8.2 (10,463) 36.1 (19,043) 32.2 (16,996) 21.1 (11,129) 10.6 (5,587) 41.6 (231) 28.7 (159) 23.4 (130) 6.3 (35) 33.1 (1,403) 33.2 (1,405) 24.7 (1,046) 9.0 (380) 85.0 (157,437) 4.4 (8,181) 10.5 (19,517) 87.3 (111,368) 4.3 (5,487) 8.4 (10,766) 81.2 (43,796) 4.7 (2,486) 14.1 (7,443) 78.2 (434) 6.0 (33) 15.9 (88) 67.1 (2,839) 4.1 (175) 28.8 (1,220) 58.9 (108,962) 33.0 (61,091) 8.2 (15,082) 60.8 (77,594) 31.6 (40,337) 7.6 (9,690) 53.8 (28,345) 36.4 (19,209) 9.8 (5,171) 68.2 (379) 27.9 (155) 3.8 (21) 62.5 (2,644) 32.8 (1,390) 4.7 (200) 97 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Social Engagement No to Low Social Engagement (ISE = 0-1) Moderate Social Engagement (ISE = 2-4) High Social Engagement (ISE = 5-6) Change in Physical Function No Change Improved Deteriorated Physical Function No Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 0) Mild Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 1-2) Moderate Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 3-4) Severe Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 5-6) Bowel Continence Continent Usually Continent Occasionally continent Frequently Continent Incontinent Bladder Continence Continent Usually Continent Occasionally continent Frequently Continent Incontinent Change in Urinary Continence No Change Improved Deteriorated Pain Symptoms Frequency No Pain Pain Less Than Daily Pain Daily Pain Symptoms Intensity Mild Pain Moderate Pain Severe Pain 27.3 (50,606) 52.5 (97,572) 20.2 (37,537) 21.4 (27,303) 54.4 (69,529) 24.2 (24.2) 39.0 (20,645) 49.4 (26,177) 11.6 (6,159) 36.9 (205) 46.0 (256) 17.1 (95) 55.5 (2,453) 36.5 (1,610) 8.0 (354) 74.6 (138,594) 4.5 (8,382) 20.9 (38,739) 79.2 (101,127) 5.6 (7,130) 15.3 (19,504) 68.6 (68.6) 2.2 (1,184) 29.2 (15,444) 46.8 (260) 5.9 (33) 47.3 (263) 19.3 (854) 0.8 (35) 79.9 (3,528) 4.2 (7,774) 16.7 (31,052) 44.4 (82,424) 34.7 (64,465) 5.3 (6,817) 20.3 (25,930) 47.5 (60,706) 26.9 (34,308) 1.8 (927) 9.1 (4,836) 39.2 (20,755) 50.0 (26,463) 3.6 (20) 15.1 (84) 29.7 (165) 51.6 (287) 0.2 (10) 4.6 (202) 18.1 (798) 77.1 (3,407) 34.9 (64,768) 11.8 (21,915) 8.0 (14,876) 15.0 (27,873) 30.3 (27,873) 40.9 (52,279) 12.3 (15,712) 8.0 (10,161) 14.2 (18,177) 24.6 (31,432) 21.8 (11,545) 10.8 (5,745) 8.4 (4,425) 17.1 (9,036) 42.0 (22,230) 31.7 (176) 10.1 (56) 5.2 (29) 11.2 (62) 41.9 (233) 17.4 (768) 9.1 (402) 5.9 (261) 13.5 (598) 54.1 (2,388) 20.7 (38,469) 8.6 (15,941) 9.9 (18,317) 24.5 (45,548) 36.3 (67,440) 22.9 (29,197) 9.6 (12,304) 10.8 (13,795) 25.6 (32,656) 31.2 (39,809) 14.2 (7,512) 6.3 (3,310) 7.8 (4,149) 23.1 (12,234) 48.7 (25,776) 38.5 (214) 8.1 (45) 7.0 (39) 13.1 (73) 33.3 (185) 35.0 (1,546) 6.4 (262) 7.6 (334) 13.2 (585) 37.8 (1,670) 85.8 (159,362) 2.8 (5,199) 11.4 (21,154) 88.2 (112,711) 3.1 (3,892) 8.7 (11,158) 83.1 (44,026) 2.0 (1,083) 14.9 (7,872) 71.2 (396) 5.2 (29) 23.6 (131) 50.5 (2,229) 4.4 (195) 45.1 (1,993) 60.5 (112,389) 24.8 (45,980) 14.7 (27,346) 63.5 (81,083) 23.8 (30,391) 12.8 (16,287) 56.8 (30,110) 25.9 (13,702) 17.3 (9,169) 35.8 (199) 34.2 (190) 30.0 (167) 22.6 (997) 38.4 (1,697) 39.0 (1,723) 45.7 (33,523) 46.1 (33,791) 8.2 (6,012) 48.6 (22,702) 44.5 (20,781) 6.8 (3,195) 42.9 (9.813) 47.6 (10,880) 9.5 (2,178) 32.2 (115) 54.6 (195) 13.2 (47) 26.1 (893) 56.6 (1,935) 17.3 (593) 98 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Pain <0.0001 No Pain (Pain Scale = 0) 60.5 (112,389) 63.5 (81,083) 56.8 (30,110) 35.8 (199) 22.6 (997) Mild-Moderate Pain (Pain Scale = 1-2) 37.2 (68,997) 34.9 (44,540) 40.1 (21,219) 57.2 (318) 66.1 (2,920) Severe Pain (Pain Scale = 3) 2.3 (4,329) 1.7 (2,138) 3.1 (1,652) 7.0 (39) 11.3 (500) Weight Loss 11.0 (18,973) 7.3 (8,719) 17.7 (8,838) 28.3 (128) 40.4 (1,288) <0.0001 Leaves Food Uneaten 33.3 (61,836) 26.0 (33,250) 47.0 (24,911) 50.9 (283) 76.8 (3,392) <0.0001 Pressure Ulcer Risk <0.0001 No Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 0) 19.0 (34,861) 23.8 (30,126) 8.8 (4,595) 9.2 (51) 2.0 (89) Mild Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 1-2) 33.1 (60,827) 36.5 (46,254) 26.5 (13,858) 27.9 (154) 12.8 (561) Moderate Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 3) 31.0 (57,005) 28.8 (36,406) 36.8 (19,276) 30.4 (168) 26.3 (1,155) High Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 4-5) 15.4 (28,401) 10.1 (12,797) 25.1 (13,152) 30.2 (167) 51.9 (2,285) Very High Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 6-8) 1.6 (2,847) 0.8 (1,041) 2.8 (1,483) 2.4 (13) 7.1 (310) Health Instability <0.0001 No Indication of Health Instability (CHESS = 0) 40.7 (75,639) 48.1 (61,422) 26.7 (14,127) 10.4 (58) 0.7 (32) Mild Health Instability (CHESS = 1-2) 47.0 (87,227) 46.4 (59,239) 51.4 (27,228) 39.0 (217) 12.3 (12.3) Moderate-Severe Health Instability (CHESS = 3-5) 12.3 (22,849) 5.6 (7,100) 21.9 (11,626) 50.5 (281) 87.0 (3,842) Number of CAPs Triggered <0.0001 0 0.7 (1,228) 0.6 (763) 0.8 (434) 1.4 (8) 0.5 (23) 1-5 51.9 (96,344) 54.7 (69,938) 46.4 (24,579) 45.5 (253) 35.6 (1,574) 6-10 45.5 (84,412) 43.2 (55,197) 49.8 (26,387) 49.8 (277) 57.8 (2,551) 11-16 1.6 (3,009) 1.1(1,456) 2.4 (1,266) 3.2 (18) 6.1 (269) Note. QAIPPE denotes Quintile of Adjusted Income per Person Equivalent; CPS denotes Cognitive Performance Scale; DRS denotes Depression Rating Scale; ABS denotes Aggressive Behavior Scale; ISE denotes Index of Social Engagement; ADL-H denotes Activities of Daily Living Hierarchy; PURS denotes Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale; CHESS denotes Changes in Health, End-Stage Disease, Signs, and Symptoms Scale. 99 Table 10. Multinomial Logistic Regression of Predisposing, Enabling, and Need Characteristics on One Year Survivorship of Hospice Use Among Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 with Residents Who Did Not Receive Hospice Care and Were Alive One Year Following the Last Assessment as the Reference Group (Odds Ratios and 95% Confidence Intervals). Variables Age Group (ref=19-64) 65-74 75-84 85-94 95+ Urban-Rural Status (ref = Rural) Urban Dementia Not Alzheimer’s (ref = No) Yes Cancer (ref = No) Yes Cognition (ref = No-Mild Cognitive Impairment [CPS = 0-1]) Moderate Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 2-4) Severe Cognitive Impairment (CPS = 5-6) Depression (ref = No Depressive Symptoms [DRS = 0]) Some Depressive Symptoms (DRS = 1-2) Mild Depressive Disorder (DRS = 3-5) Moderate-Severe Depressive Disorder (DRS = 6-14) Aggressive Behavior (ref = No Signs of Aggression [ABS = 0]) Mild to Moderate Aggression (ABS = 1-4) Severe Aggression (ABS = 5-12) Social Engagement (ref = No-Low Social Engagement [ISE = 0-1]) Moderate Social Engagement (ISE = 2-4) High Social Engagement (ISE = 5-6) Physical Function (ref = No Functional Impairment [ADL-H = 0]) Mild Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 1-2) Moderate Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 3-4) Severe Functional Impairment (ADL-H = 5-6) Pain (ref = No Pain [Pain Scale = 0]) Mild-Moderate Pain (Pain Scale = 1-2) Severe Pain (Pain Scale = 3) Did not receive hospice Died within one year, 28.5%, N= 52,981 Received hospice care Alive after one year, 0.3%, N= 556 Died within one year, 2.4%, N=4,417 1.60 (1.50-1.72)**** 2.39 (2.25-2.54)**** 3.46 (3.26-3.67)**** 5.45 (5.11-5.82)**** 0.86 (0.64-1.17) 0.63 (0.47-0.84)** 0.66 (0.50-0.88)** 1.06 (0.74-1.53) 0.93 (0.79-1.09) 0.86 (0.74-0.99)* 0.89 (0.78-1.02) 1.31 (1.10-1.56)** 0.78 (0.75-0.80)**** 2.04 (1.46-2.84)** 2.17 (1.89-2.50)**** 1.04 (1.01-1.07)* 0.71 (0.57-0.87)* 0.59 (0.54-0.65)**** 1.68 (1.62-1.74)**** 7.98 (6.68-9.54)**** 8.96 (8.27-9.71)**** 1.10 (1.06-1.15)**** 1.33 (1.27-1.40)**** 1.08 (0.81-1.45) 1.41 (0.97-2.06) 0.91 (0.78-1.05) 1.27 (1.06-1.52)** 1.04 (1.00-1.07)* 1.01 (0.97-1.05) 1.03 (0.98-1.09) 0.87 (0.67-1.14) 1.18 (0.87-1.61) 0.74 (0.46-1.18) 0.81 (0.71-0.92)*** 0.89 (0.77-1.02) 0.72 (0.60-0.87)*** 0.95 (0.92-0.98)** 0.90 (0.86-0.95)*** 0.66 (0.51-0.85)** 0.36 (0.21-0.62)*** 0.80 (0.71-0.89)**** 0.49 (0.39-0.60)**** 0.74 (0.72-0.76)**** 0.54 (0.52-0.57)**** 0.67 (0.52-0.86)** 0.63 (0.45-0.90)* 0.52 (0.46-0.58)**** 0.39 (0.33-0.48)**** 1.05 (0.96-1.15) 1.21 (1.11-1.33)**** 1.83 (1.67-2.01)**** 0.74 (0.38-1.45) 0.48 (0.25-0.95)* 0.86 (0.43-1.72) 1.85 (0.72-4.73) 1.84 (0.73-4.65) 5.38 (2.12-13.64)*** 1.13 (1.10-1.16)**** 1.39 (1.27-1.53)**** 1.29 (1.02-1.63)* 1.33 (0.79-2.24) 2.03 (1.82-2.28)**** 2.68 (2.19-3.27)**** 100 Pressure Ulcer Risk (ref = No Pressure Ulcer Risk [PURS = 0]) Mild Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 1-2) Moderate Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 3) High Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 4-5) Very High Pressure Ulcer Risk (PURS = 6-8) Health Instability (ref = No Indication of Health Instability [CHESS = 0]) Mild Health Instability (CHESS = 1-2) Moderate-Severe Health Instability (CHESS = 3-5) 1.38 (1.31-1.44)**** 1.69 (1.60-1.78)**** 2.30 (2.17-2.45)**** 2.64 (2.36-2.97)**** 1.33 (0.84-2.12) 2.07 (1.25-3.44)** 2.18 (1.27-3.75)** 1.21 (0.50-2.92) 1.23 (0.82-1.84) 2.18 (1.45-3.29)*** 3.05 (2.02-4.61)**** 3.50 (2.24-4.38)**** 1.55 (1.50-1.59)**** 3.53 (3.34-3.71)**** 2.83 (2.01-3.98)**** 17.00 (15.60-24.88)**** 10.40 (6.67-16.22)**** 205.37 (132.09-319.30)**** *p <0 .05, **p <0 .01, ***p < 0.001, ****p <0 0.001. Note. Wald χ2(12, N = 182,858) = 33,066.2, p < 0.0001, AIC = 212,328.1, classification rate=73.4% CPS denotes Cognitive Performance Scale; DRS denotes Depression Rating Scale; ABS denotes Aggressive Behavior Scale; ISE denotes Index of Social Engagement; ADL-H denotes Activities of Daily Living Hierarchy; PURS denotes Pressure Ulcer Risk Scale; CHESS denotes Changes in Health, End-Stage Disease, Signs, and Symptoms Scale. 101 Figure 6. Survival Analysis by Status of Hospice Use of Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 (N=185,715) Did not receive hospice care Received hospice care Time to Deaths (Days) 102 Figure 7. Selected Common Diagnoses by Status of Hospice Use of Residents in Long-Term Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 (N=185,715) 100.0% Did not reveive hospice care and alive Did not reveive hospice care and died Reveived hospice care and alive Reveived hospice care and died 80.0% 60.0% 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% Dementia Not Diabetes Mellitus Cerebrovascular Accident Alzheimer’s Emphysema Alzheimer’s 103 Congestive Heart Arterial Heart Failure Disease Renal Failure Cancer Figure 8. Number of Clinical Protocol Assessments Triggered by One-Year Survivorship of Hospice Use Among Residents in LongTerm Care Facilities in Canada in 2015 (N=185,715) 104 Chapter Six: Summary and Significance The work described in this thesis was completed to describe the characteristics of residents who received hospice care and to explore predictors of hospice use among residents in LTCFs in Canada. The work described in this thesis was guided by two main research questions: (a) What are the characteristics of residents who receive hospice care in LTCFs versus those who did not by end-stage status and by one-year survivorship? (b) What variables can predict hospice use and one-year survivorship of hospice use among LTCF residents? Findings from the work described in this thesis show one in nine of LTCF residents who died in 2015 received hospice care in Canadian LTCFs. Previous studies reveal less than 5% of residents who died in nursing homes in 1998 received hospice care, one third of the LTCF residents who died before 2000 received hospice care in Michigan, compared to 39% of urban decedents received hospice care in nursing homes in the U.S. (Han et al., 2008; Lepore, Miller, & Gozalo, 2011; Lin, 2010). Although evidences show the use of hospice care among LTCF residents has increased over time (Gozalo & Miller, 2007; Infeld et al., 1990; Petrisek & Mor, 1999), hospice use rate in Canadian LTCFs in 2015 is even lower than the hospice use rate in the US LTCFs ten years ago. Residents who received hospice care in Canadian LTCFs had severe and complex clinical needs, most were noted as end-stage, and had severe physical impairment, pain, and high health instability. Residents who received hospice care had more severe and complex clinical needs compared to those who did not. However, compared to those who did not receive hospice care, end-stage residents who received hospice care exhibited higher social engagement and were less likely to have severe cognitive impairment, depressive symptoms, bowel and bladder incontinence. Residents who received hospice care and died within one 105 year of assessment had more severe and complex health conditions than other residents. A predictive model was developed in the cross-sectional study, which were superior than CHESS alone, as clinical needs were not the only determinants of hospice use. Younger age; living in an urban LTCF; having a diagnosis of cancer; and having more severe, complex, and acute clinical needs significantly increased the likelihood of hospice use among residents in LTCFs in Canada. Ageism, rurality, and a diagnosis of dementia may be the barriers to accessibility to hospice care among the LTCF population in Canada. The work described in this thesis has several strengths. First, it was the first to use the RAI-MDS 2.0 data to examine a subpopulation of persons in LTCFs in Canada who receive hospice care at a national level. The RAI-MDS 2.0, a standardized resident assessment instrument filled by trained staff, contains comprehensive and detailed information on resident demographic, clinical and functional characteristics, special treatments and programs, admissions and discharges and are widely used worldwide. Second, the work described in this thesis was population-based and had a large sample size, so the selection bias was less likely to occur and the power of the work described in this thesis was large. Third, Andersen and Newman’s (1973) behavioral model for health service utilization was used to guide the work described in this thesis, which helps to better understand hospice use among the LTCF population in Canada. Fourth, the work described in this thesis included three population characteristics components of the framework to explore their association with health services utilization. The work described in this thesis was also one of the first to not only explore the resident characteristics affecting utilization of health services, but also to consider the characteristics of LTCFs. Fifth, the work described in this thesis used a mix of admission assessments, quarterly assessments, and annual full assessments, so the study population covered all stages in LTCFs in Canada. Last but not the least, the retrospective 106 cohort study linked the DAD to the CCRS to track an extra 5.2% residents who were discharged from LTCFs and did not have death records in LTCFs. The work described in this thesis also has several limitations. First, while the CCRS database contains full coverage for Ontario, British Columbia, Alberta, Yukon, Saskatchewan, and Newfoundland and Labrador, it has partial coverage for Manitoba, New Brunswick and Nova Scotia, and does not cover some provinces such as Quebec and some territories such as Northwest Territories. Second, residents who received continuing care services in hospitals were mixed in the sample and cannot be singled out, therefore, the study population in the work described in this thesis also include individuals receiving continuing care services at 107 hospital-based complex continuing care facilities in Ontario and Manitoba in addition to 1,342 LTCFs across Canada (CIHI, 2016). Third, as applied using the Andersen and Newman’s (1973) model, enabling resources must be present for the utilization of hospice care to take place. In the work described in this thesis, facilities that have or do not have hospice care available could not be identified or measured due to the limitation of the data. Consequently, the analyses were based on all LTCFs that reported to CIHI without limiting to the LTCFs that have hospice care available. Andersen (1995) also mentioned “we are limited more by the feasibility and costs of developing such measures than by conceptual limitations”. Fourth, previous studies identified several factors associated with hospice use in LTCFs, such as race or ethnicity, administrative altitudes, and LTCF ownership (Castle, 1999; Monroe et al., 2013; Nilsen et al., 2018). The CCRS database does not have or provide information on these variables, so the potential factors affecting hospice use could not be explored in the work described in this thesis. Fifth, hospice use may be underestimated as some resident who did not receive hospice care at the time of their last assessment in 2015 may have received hospice care after the assessment. 107 Despite limitations, the work described in this thesis provides several implications for LTCFs and policy makers. As the population ages, there will be increasing need to provide hospice care for the growing number of residents in LTCFs. The underutilization of hospice care is substantial and requires immediate attention. Policy makers should consider to allocate more resources and investments in hospice care services in LTCFs. Several possible barriers to hospice use in the LTCF population may exist including ageism, rurality, and a diagnosis of dementia. Policy makers and LTCF administrator should consider to implement policies and practices that could remove barriers to referral and use of hospice care services in LTCFs. Special attention should be paid to improve access to hospice care among residents with dementia or other progressive chronic diseases with severe and complex clinical needs. Among those who received hospice care, around 10% did not have a DNR order in place. There is still room to improve the use of advance directives among LTCF residents who received hospice care. Pain was prevalent among LTCFs, especially among those who received hospice care. Efforts from both LTCF staff and hospice providers are needed to have pain better controlled for residents who received hospice care. The majority of residents who received hospice care triggered more than three CAPs, which reflects high levels of complex clinical needs within this group. A previous study found treatment of symptoms for residents who are at end of life can still improve their quality of life (Lorenz et al., 2008). Consideration of triggered CAPs in the work described in this thesis provide evidence to inform a collaborative decision making process from LTCF staff and hospice providers on whether (or not) and how issues raised by the CAPs should be addressed in the plan of care. The work described in this thesis could be foundational to future policy initiatives mandating end-of-life training for LTCF staff and hospice providers. 108 The work described in this thesis has several implications for researchers. Finding from the work described in this thesis indicate that accuracy of end-stage diagnosis and effectiveness of hospice eligibility criteria were restrictive, which may limit the benefits to residents in terms of improvements in end-of-life care, particularly for residents with several medical problems but no specific terminal diagnosis (Bennett, Ziegler, Allsop, Daniel, & Hurlow, 2016). Further longitudinal study about standardized assessment of terminal status or more effective hospice eligibility criteria with less dependency on a specific life expectancy of six months or less is needed to help make better use of limited hospice care resources. Among those who received hospice care, a large percentage of residents did not have a DNH in place. It remains unknow why residents who received hospice care still wanted to be hospitalized when possible and this requires further study. The work described in this thesis indicates end-stage residents who received hospice care did have less severe cognitive impairment, lower depressive symptoms, and better bowel and bladder control. Reasons why end-stage residents with higher social engagement, less severe cognitive impairment, and lower depressive symptoms are more likely to receive hospice care need further investigation. Additionally, more research needs to be conducted focusing further on the effect of enabling characteristics on hospice access among LTCF residents. Differences in hospice use between hospital-based continuing care facilities and LTCFs and differences in hospice use among LTCFs that have hospice care available need further investigation. This study revealed that differences in hospice use among provinces may exist. Future study is needed to examine differences in hospice use among all provinces in Canada. It remains unclear how hospice care works in rural LTCFs in Canada. There is a need for further research on the issue of LTCF-based urban-rural disparity in order to find ways to improve access to, and provision of, hospice care services in rural LTCFs. 109 In summary, the work described in this thesis reveals that a very small proportion of residents in LTCFs are using hospice care, which provides evidence for needs of improvements in accessibility to hospice care in the long-term care setting. Findings suggest several possible barriers to hospice use in the LTCF population including ageism, rurality, and disease diagnoses. Immediate action is needed to provide improved access to, and utilization of, hospice care in LTCFs in Canada. Special attention should be paid to improve access to hospice care among residents with dementia or other progressive chronic diseases with severe and complex clinical needs. 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Medical Care, 49(11), 992–998. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0b013e318236384e 122 Appendix A Summary of Studies Associated with Hospice Use in Long-term Care Facilities Author Purpose Participants Methods Infeld, D. L., To examine the 697 residents • Descriptive longitudinal Crum, G. E., characteristics of in a LTCF study & Koshuta, residents in a long• Administrative records M. A. (1990) term-care based (1978-1988) hospice setting • Descriptive analysis from 1978 to1988 Castle, N. G. (1999) To examine 14,646 nursing homes with nursing homes hospice units and examine their determinants and compare nursing homes with hospice units to nursing homes with/without other special care units Findings Relevant to This Thesis The characteristics of hospice use in a LTCF from 1978 to1988: • Number of annual admissions increased over time • Length of stay decreased from about 29 days in 1978 to 12 days in 1988 • Mean age did not changed dramatically (57 years old in 1978 vs. 63 years old in 1988) • Proportion of females (82% in 1978 vs. 43% in 1988), whites (82% in 1978 vs. 51% in 1988), married (77% in 1978 vs. 54% in 1988) and a diagnosis of cancer (100% in 1978 vs. 75% in 1988) decreased over time • Retrospective cohort study Predictors of having hospice unites in nursing homes: • Medicare/Medicaid • Average income in the county (defined as the Automated Certification average income of all persons in the county) Survey, Area Resource File (adjusted OR=1.43, p<0.05), number of (1996) hospital beds in the county (adjusted OR = • Descriptive analysis, 0.41, p < 0.01), and market competition logistic regression (measured by Herfindahl index) (adjusted OR = 1.43, p < 0.05) • For-profit ownership (adjusted OR= 1.2, p < 0.1), facility size (adjusted OR = 1.3, p < 0.05), and having other special care units (adjusted OR = 4.75, p < 0.001) 123 Author Petrisek, A. C. & Mor, V. (1999) Purpose To examine the distribution of hospice beneficiaries in nursing homes Participants 16,945 nursing homes Methods • Retrospective cohort study • Provider of Service file, Online Survey and Certification of Automated Records, Area Resource File • Chi-square statistics, analysis of variance, multinomial logistic regression Findings Relevant to This Thesis The higher the percentage of residents receiving the hospice benefit • The more likely the nursing home was forprofit, belonged to a chain, lacked full-time physician coverage • The less likely the nursing home was in rural counties ParkerOliver, D., Porock, D., Zweig, S., Rantz, M., & Petroski, G. F. (2003) To compare hospice residents in nursing homes with non-hospice residents with endstage disease in nursing homes 363 newly admitted residents with end-stage disease: 171 received hospice care, 192 did not receive hospice care • Descriptive study • Minimum Data Set (1999) • Descriptive analysis Hospice and non-hospice end-stage residents were similar in • Mean age (76.2 ±12.5 vs. 76.0 ±11.1); • Cognitive performance (a mean CPS score of 2.2 vs. 2.4), physical abilities (a mean ADL score of 24.8 vs. 25.8), depressive symptoms (a mean DPS score of 1.9 vs. 1.5), prevalence of incontinence (34% vs. 38%), skin ulcers (25% vs. 27%), and dehydration (5% vs. 6%). Compared to non-hospice end-stage residents, hospice residents were • More likely to have do-not-resuscitate orders (87% vs. 66%), cancer (67% vs. 49%), and moderate (70% vs. 59%) or severe (26% vs. 19%) pain • Less likely to have congestive heart failure (14% vs. 28%) and renal failure (7% vs. 16%) 124 Author Buchanan, Choi, Wang, & Ju. (2004) Purpose To compare residents in hospice care at admission to the nursing facility to end stage residents not in hospice at admission Participants 18,211newly admitted residents with end-stage disease: 10,656 received hospice care; 7,555 did not receive hospice care. Methods • Descriptive study • Minimum Data Set (2000) • Descriptive analysis Findings Relevant to This Thesis Hospice and non-hospice end-stage residents were similar in • Depression (20% vs. 21%) and severe cognitive function (15% vs. 16%) Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice end-stage residents were more likely to • Be older (a mean age of 76.3 vs. 71.8), female (59% vs. 54%), and widowed (45% vs. 37%) and have do-not-hospitalize (14% vs. 8%) order and do-not-resuscitate order (84% vs. 64%) • Have a diagnosis of cancer (59% vs. 52%), congestive heart failure (21% vs. 20%), and dementia other than Alzheimer’s disease (17% vs. 15.0%) • Have greater cognitive impairment (a mean CPS score of 2.6 vs. 2.3), physical impairment (a mean ADL long scale score of 19.0 vs. 17.8), bladder incontinence (45% vs. 42%), bowel incontinence (58% vs. 52%), and pain symptoms (74% vs. 66%) Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice end-stage residents were less likely to • Have a diagnosis of hypertension (36% vs. 39%), diabetes (19% vs. 23%), stoke (12.6% vs. 13.0%), and renal failure (7% vs. 15%) 125 Author Hanson, L. C., Sengupta, S., & Slubicki, M. (2005). Purpose To describe facilitators and barriers to hospice in nursing homes and to test the relationship between nursing home administrators' attitudes and hospice use. Participants Methods 241 nursing • Cross-sectional design home • Self-developed survey, administrators, questionnaire; 74 hospice • Chi-square test, t-tests administrators Findings Relevant to This Thesis Compared to hospice administrators, nursing home administrators were less likely to agree that hospice improves the quality of care for dying residents (70% vs. 99%). Chapin, R. K., Gordon, T., Landry, S., & Rachlin, R. (2007) To examine hospice use among hospice eligible adults and barriers to hospice use from the perspectives of the Client Assessment, Referral, and Evaluation assessors and surviving family members 400 Kansas end-stage older adults, 359 Client Assessment, Referral, and Evaluation assessors, 18 surviving family members Hospice and non-hospice end-stage residents were similar in • Proportion of females (60% vs. 59%), whites (96% vs. 95%), and competition rate for the do-not-resuscitate order (59% vs. 57%); • Physical abilities (a mean ADL score of 17.0 vs. 16.6) • Explanatory sequential design • Client Assessment, Referral, and Evaluation assessment (1999 or 2000); Hospice Standard Analytic File; Minimum Data Set; Outcome and Assessment Information Set; Selfadministered survey (2004); Interview • Descriptive analysis, independent sample t-test, logistic regression analysis 126 Among nursing home administrators with a hospice contract, those who agreed that hospice improves quality of care had higher rates of hospice use in their facilities (73% vs. 42%). Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice end-stage residents were more likely to • Be younger (a mean age of 83 vs. 85), • Have cancer (41% vs. 20%) and fewer multiple diagnoses (53% vs. 62%). Nursing homes in rural counties were less likely to have hospice beneficiaries (41% vs. 24%) and hospice residents were more likely to live in urban county compared to non-hospice end-stage residents (68% vs. 58%). Author Purpose Gozalo, P. L., To examine factors & Miller, S. associated with C. (2007) hospice use by hospice eligible nursing home residents and evaluate the causal effect of hospice on hospitalization Participants 183,742 endstage residents in five states (Kansa, Maine, New York, Ohio, South Dakota) who died during 1995 and 1997 Methods • Retrospective cohort study • Minimum Data Set, Medicare claims and denominator files, Provider of Service file, Area Resource File (1995–1997) • Descriptive analysis, Inverse Probability of Treatment weighting method, logistic regression Findings Relevant to This Thesis Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice end-stage residents were more likely to • Be married (OR=1.13, 95%CI [1.08, 1.18]) and have do-not-hospitalize (OR=1.34, 95%CI [1.21, 1.49]) and do-not-resuscitate orders (OR=1.30, 95%CI [1.24, 1.36]); • Have cancer (47% vs. 22%). Han, B., Tiggle, R. B., & Remsburg, R. E. (2008) 1170 deceased home hospice patients, 617 deceased nursing home hospice patients • Comparative descriptive design • National Home and Hospice Care Survey (1998), National Nursing Home Survey (1997,1999) • Weighted percentage, ttests, Bonferroni adjustments Compared to residents receiving hospice care at homes, residents receiving hospice care in nursing homes were more likely to • Be 85 years and older (45% vs. 17%) and widowed (49% vs. 29%) • Have dementia (10% vs. 2%), noncancer primary diagnoses (66% vs. 36%), heart disease (23% vs. 11%), and bowels (74% vs. 34%) and bladder (62% vs. 29%) incontinence • Receive physician services (94% vs. 28%) To assess differences in characteristics of patients receiving hospice care at home versus in Nursing homes 127 Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice residents were less likely to • Be male (OR=0.80, 95%CI [0.77, 0.84]), older (OR=0.99, 95%CI [0.98, 0.99]) and non-whites (OR=0.90, 95%CI [0.83, 0.97]) • Have congestive heart failure (31% vs. 34%) and dementia (33% vs. 48%), greater cognitive impairment (a mean CPS score of 3.1 vs. 3.4) and physical impairment (a mean ADL score of 3.7 vs. 3.8) Author Kwak, J., Haley, W. E., & Chiriboga, D. A. (2008) Huskamp, H. A. Stevenson, D. G. Grabowski, D. C. Brennan, E. Keating, N. L. (2010) Purpose To investigate the role of race in predicting the likelihood of using hospice and inhospital death among Medicaid and Medicare insured residents in nursing homes Participants 30,765 aged 65 and older, non-Hispanic, Medicaid and Medicare insured residents who died in 2000, 2001, or 2002 Methods • Retrospective cohort study • Medicaid Long-Term Care Analysis file, Medicaid eligibility and claims records, hospice claims file, death certificates • Descriptive analysis, Pearson’s correlations and point-biserial correlation, logistic regression Findings Relevant to This Thesis Hospice and non-hospice residents were similar in • Mean age (86.0 vs. 85.8) and years of education (11.0 vs. 10.7) • Prevalence of heart disease (33% vs. 38%) To identify characteristics of nursing homes and residents associated with particularly long or short hospice stays 13,479 hospice residents in 394 facilities • Observational study • Medicare Provider of Service file, Online Survey and Certification Automated Records, and Minimum Data Set (2001– 2008) • Descriptive analysis, logistic regression Characteristics of hospice users in nursing homes: • Two thirds of the residents were female, three quarters were aged 81-90 years, two thirds were unmarried, and four fifths were whites • Common diagnosis was dementia (35%), cancer (19%), terminal debility (17%), and cardiovascular disease (9%) 128 Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice residents were more likely to • Be female (OR=1.09, 95% CI [1.02, 1.17]), whites (OR=1.25, 95% CI [1.16, 1.37]), and married (OR=1.16, 95% CI [1.08, 1.25]), • Reside in urban area (OR=1.36, 95% CI [1.25, 1.48]) • Have cancer (OR=3.46, 95% CI [3.09, 1.87]) and dementia (OR=1.71, 95% CI [1.58, 1.84]). Author Kiely, D. K., Givens, J. L., Shaffer, M. L., Teno, J. M., & Mitchell, S. L. (2010). Purpose To examine the association between hospice use and the treatment of pain and dyspnea and unmet needs during the last 7 days of life Participants Methods 323 residents • Prospective cohort study with advanced • Minimum Data Set (2003dementia in 22 2007), interviews Boston-area • Descriptive analysis, nursing homes logistic regression, general estimated equations Lin, C. (2010). To examine the relationships among nursing home organizational characteristics and cancer-related medical service utilization (including hospice use) 1,183 Medicaid and Medicare insured residents diagnosed with cancer in 396 nursing homes Findings Relevant to This Thesis Hospice and non-hospice residents were similar in • Mean age (85.0 vs. 86.0), proportion of females (83% vs. 85%), prevalence of do-nothospitalize orders (68% vs. 64%) • Pain frequency (11 vs. 9 days/month). Compared to other residents in nursing homes, those who received hospice care were more likely to • Be non-whites (23% vs. 9%), • Have eating problems (53% vs. 15%), • Have an estimated survival less than 6 months (15% vs. 2%). • Cross-sectional design • Michigan Tumor Registry, Medicare denominator file, Medicare/ Medicaid claim files, Medicaid eligibility files, Online Survey and Certification Automated Records, Area Resource File (1996-2000) • Descriptive analysis, chisquare test, simple student t-tests, logistic regression 129 Hospice and non-hospice end-stage residents were similar in • Age (p>0.05), proportion of whites (p>0.05) • Cancer site (p>0.05), cancer stage (p>0.05), and comorbidity (p>0.05). Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice end-stage residents were more likely to • Be female (OR=1.65, 95%CI [1.51, 2.36]), • Reside in a county that had greater number of general internal medicine physicians (OR=1.02, 95%CI [1.01, 1.02]). Author Lepore, M. J., Miller, S. C., & Gozalo, P. (2011) Zheng, N. T., Mukamel, D. B., Caprio, T. V., Cai, S., & TemkinGreener, H. (2011) Purpose To identify factors associated with hospice use among urban Black and White decedents in nursing homes To examine whether the observed racial disparities in inhospital death and hospice use among residents in nursing homes were due to within-facility or cross-facility variations Participants 288,202 urban residents aged over 65 died in 2006 49,048 residents in 555 New York State nursing homes died between 2005 and 2007 Methods • Cross-sectional study • Minimum Data Set, Medicare files, Online Survey, Online Survey and Certification Automated Records database; Provider of Service files, Area Resource File (2006) • Descriptive analyses, multilevel logistic regression Findings Relevant to This Thesis Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice residents were more likely to • Be aged 75 years and less (OR<1), be female (OR=1.22, 95%CI [1.20, 1.24]), have do-notresuscitate order (OR=1.83, 95%CI [1.79, 1.87]), and have do-not-hospitalize orders (OR=1.47, 95%CI [1.42, 1.52]); • Have cancer (12% vs. 6%), Alzheimer’s disease (13% vs. 8%), and dementia other than Alzheimer’s (24% vs. 18%) • Cross-sectional study • Minimum Data Set, Medicare inpatient claim and hospice claim • Descriptive analyses, hierarchical logistic regression mode, randomeffects model Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice residents were more likely to • Be female (OR=1.15, 95%CI [1.07, 1.23), have do-not-resuscitate orders (OR=1.51, 95%CI [1.40, 1.63]) and do-not-hospitalize orders (OR=1.24, 95%CI [1.11, 1.38]) • Have an end-stage diagnosis (OR=7.07, 95%CI [6.42, 7.79]), cancer (OR=1.96, 95%CI [1.81, 2.13), depression (OR=1.11, 95%CI [1.05, 1.18), cognitional (CPS, OR=1.03, 95%CI [1.01, 1.05]) and physical (OR=1.02, 95%CI [1.01, 1.02) impairment, severe pain (OR=1.48, 95%CI [1.35, 1.63), and ulcers (OR=1.16, 95%CI [1.08, 1.25) 130 Compared to non-hospice residents, hospice residents were less likely to ● Have congestive heart failure (26% vs. 31%) and stoke (21% vs. 22%). Author Frahm, K. A., Brown, L. M., Hyer, K. (2012). Purpose To examine the relationship between race and advance directives, hospice services, and hospitalization at the end of life among deceased nursing home residents Participants 183,841 residents aged 65 years and older who died in 2007 Methods • Prospective cohort study • Minimum Data Set (2007) • Descriptive analysis, linear regression models, general linear model, logistic and poisson regressions Findings Relevant to This Thesis Compared to white residents, Asian residents were less likely to receive hospice care (OR=0.59, 95%CI [0.51, 0.68]) whereas Hispanic residents were more likely to receive hospice care (OR=1.21, 95%CI [1.12, 1.31]). Monroe, T. B., Carter, M. A., Feldt, K. S., Dietrich, M. S., & Cowan, R. L. (2013) To examine the association between hospice enrolment, dementia severity and pain among residents in nursing homes 55 residents • Cross-sectional study with dementia • Minimum Data Set within who died from 90 days of life cancer • Descriptive analysis, independent t-tests, Mann– Whitney tests, Kruskal– Wallis tests, chi-squaretests, multiple logistic regression Hospice and non-hospice end-stage residents were similar in • Mean age (85 vs. 87), proportion of females (56% vs. 53%) and whites (76% vs. 67%) • Dementia type (p<0.05). Unroe, K. T., Sachs, G. A., Hickman, S. E., Stump, T. E., Tu, W., & Callahan, C. M. (2013) To describe trends in hospice use, hospice utilization patterns, and factors associated with very long hospice stays (>6 months) 1,452 urban • Retrospective study hospice • Medicare/Medicaid claims, residents who Minimum Data Set (1999 are aged 65 2008) years or over • Descriptive analysis, chiin Indianapolis square test, t-tests, logistic regression Characteristics of hospice users in nursing homes are • Mean age of the residents were 81(+8.2) years old, 62% were female, 40% were African-American • 18% had severe cognitive impairment (a CPS of 5 or 6), most common diagnosis was dementia (75%) and cancer (56%). 131 Compared to non-hospice end-stage residents, hospice residents were less likely to • Have cognitive impairment (a mean CPS score of 3.0 vs. 4.4). Author Vulpen K. V. (2013) Purpose To explore the resident and organizational factors that may serve as catalysts and barriers to provide quality end-of-life care in nursing homes in the U.S. Participants 13,419 residents in 1174 facilities Methods • Cross-sectional design • National Nursing Home Survey (2004) • Descriptive analysis, chisquare test, logistic regression Findings Relevant to This Thesis “Factors specific to the nursing home resident that predicted utilization of end-of-life services included • Older age, having an advanced directive • Decreased bed mobility, reports of pain, indicators of emotional distress (depression, sadness, or anxiety), and specific diagnoses (neoplasms and respiratory diseases)” (p. 7). Zheng, N. T., Mukamel, D. B., Caprio, T. V., & TemkinGreener, H. (2013) To examine the relationship between facility self-reported endof-life practices and residents’ hospice utilization 4,540 endstage residents in 290 New York State nursing homes • Retrospective cohort study • End-of-Life Survey, Minimum Data Set, Medicare Hospice Claims, Online Survey and Certification Automated Records, and Area Resource File (2007) • Descriptive analysis, ttests, logistic regression Hospice and non-hospice end-stage residents were similar in • Mean age (87 vs. 86), proportion of married (23% vs. 21%) • Prevalence of diabetes (29% vs. 32%) Compared to non-hospice end-stage residents, hospice residents were more likely to • Be female (70% vs. 65%) and have do-notresuscitate orders (80% vs. 68%) • Dementia (46% vs. 43%), cancer (20% vs. 14%), and depression (51% vs. 42%). Compared to non-hospice end-stage residents, hospice residents were less likely to ● Have congestive heart failure (26% vs. 31%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (16% vs. 23%), and sever cognitive impairment (26% vs. 29%). 132 Author Unroe, K. T., Sachs, G. A., Dennis, M. E., Hickman, S. E., Stump, T. E., Tu, W., & Callahan, C. M. (2014) Purpose To describe characteristics and utilization of hospice among patients in nursing homes and patients not in nursing homes Participants 3,771 hospice patients aged over 65 years from one safety net health system Methods • Comparative descriptive study • Medicare/Medicaid Claims, Minimum Data Set (1999–2008) • Descriptive analysis, ttests, chi-square test, Wald test Findings Relevant to This Thesis Compared to hospice residents not in nursing homes, hospice residents in nursing homes were more likely to • Be old and female • Have dementia, arthritis, and diabetes Hjermstad, M. J., Aass, N., Aielli, F., Bennett, M., Brunelli, C., Caraceni, A., …Kaasa, S. (2016) To describe palliative care organisation and services in participating centres and characteristics of patients in palliative care programmes 1698 Patients aged18 and older at 30 centres in 12 countries including 24 hospitals, 4 hospices, 1 nursing home, 1 home-care service • Descriptive study • Single web-based survey; self-reported symptoms; medical data • Descriptive statistics, oneway analysis of variance with Bonferroni adjustments, chi-square test Compared to hospice residents in hospitals, hospice residents in nursing homes were more likely to ● Be old (a mean age of 73 vs. 64 years); ● Have poorer functional performance and report more tiredness. Kaehr, E. W., Pape, L. C., Malmstrom, T. K., Morley, J. E. (2016). To investigate the predictive validity of FRAIL-NH frailty screening tool and frailty index (FI) for 6month adverse health outcomes 270 patients ages ≥ 65 years old residing in two long-term care facilities in Saint Louis • Retrospective study • Minimum Data Set and chart review from JuneDecember 2014 • Descriptive statistics, ANOVA, chi-square, logistic regression The FRAIL-NH frailty was the strongest predictor of 6-month mortality (adjusted OR=3.36; 95%CI [1.26-8.98]) and the frailty index (FI) was a more modest predictor (adjusted OR=2.28, 95%CI [1.01, 5.15 ]). 133 Author Smedbäck, J., Öhlén, J., Årestedt, K., Alvariza, A., Fürst, C., & Håkanson, C. (2017) Purpose “To explore the presence of symptoms, symptom relief, and other key aspects of palliative care during the final week of life among older people residing in nursing homes” (p. 417). Participants 49,172 registered individuals aged 60 and older who died in nursing homes Methods • Descriptive study • Swedish Palliative Care Register (2011-2012) • Descriptive analysis Nilsen, P., Wallerstedt, B., Behm, L., & Ahlström, G. (2018). “To identify barriers and facilitators to implementing evidence-based palliative care in nursing homes” (p. 1). 20 managers • Qualitative study from 20 • Semi-structured interview nursing homes (2015-2016) in two • Conventional con- tent municipalities analysis and 2 managers responsible for all elderly care in each municipality 134 Findings Relevant to This Thesis Characteristics of hospice users in nursing homes are • Mean age was 86.7 years old (+7.4) and 62% were women • The most common underlying causes of death were circulatory diseases (42%) and dementia (23%), and the most prevalent symptom was pain (59%), rattles (42%), and anxiety (33%). Four factors constituted barriers: • “Staff’s beliefs in their capabilities to face dying residents, their attitudes to changes at work as well as the resources and time required” (p. 1). One factor constituted facilitator: • Leadership Five factors functioned as either facilitators or barriers • Staff’s competence and confidence, motivation, and attitudes to work in general, as well as the managers’ plans and decisional latitude concerning efforts to develop evidence-based palliative care. Author Purpose Rodriquez, J., To examine “how & Boerner, staff beliefs and K. (2018). work routines influenced hospice utilization in two nursing homes” (p. 76) Participants 21 staff in two nursing homes in Massachusetts Methods • Qualitative study • Interviews • Thematic analysis Findings Relevant to This Thesis “Staff identified barriers to hospice including families who saw hospice as giving up and gaps in the reimbursement system” (p. 76) “At the high- hospice nursing home (76%), staff said hospice care extended beyond what they provided on their own” (p. 76) “At the low- hospice nursing home (24%), an influential group said hospice was essentially the same as their own end-of-life care and therefore needlessly duplicative” (p. 76) “Staff at the high-hospice nursing home proactively approached families about hospice, whereas staff at the low-hospice nursing home took a reactive approach, getting hospice when families asked for it” (p. 76) 135 Appendix B 136