POLYPHARMACY AMONG PERSONS RESIDING IN LONG-TERM CARE FACILITIES BEFORE AND DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC IN CANADA: A RETROSPECTIVE COHORT ANALYSIS by Anam Liaqat M.Phil. in Pharmacology., Riphah International University, 2019 M.Sc., University of Northern British Columbia, 2023 THESIS SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE IN HEALTH SCIENCES UNIVERSITY OF NORTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA December 2023 © Anam Liaqat, 2023 Abstract According to the World Health Organization, one in nine persons are designated older adults, or 60 years of age or older, and the percentage of the global population over 60 years will nearly double from 12% to 22% between 2015 and 2050 (World Health Organization [WHO, 2022]). Individuals living in long-term care facilities (LTCFs) are often frail, and present with co-morbidities that demand the administration of multiple drugs referred to as “polypharmacy”. Polypharmacy poses a significant concern for individuals in LTCFs due to several factors. The metabolic changes and reduced drug clearance associated with aging make older individuals more susceptible to adverse drug reactions and drug-drug interactions, resulting from the utilization of multiple medications (Dagli et al., 2014). Furthermore, the COVID-19 pandemic has brought attention to the significant vulnerability of individuals receiving care in LTCFs, attributable to both the potential for inappropriate polypharmacy and the direct risk of COVID-19 and its potential complications. There have been limited studies examining the prevalence and factors associated with polypharmacy among persons living in LTCFs, especially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada. This study intends to fill this information gap by using secondary data to determine the prevalence and risk factors of polypharmacy among newly admitted Canadians in LTCFs before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Identifying risk factors may lead to more effective and tailored therapy or even prevention of inappropriate prescribing especially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Keywords: Polypharmacy, Risk Factors, Nursing Homes, Medication, Older Adults ii Table of Contents Abstract ..................................................................................................................................... ii Table of Contents ...................................................................................................................... iii List of Tables .......................................................................................................................... viii List of Figures ........................................................................................................................... ix Acknowledgement ...................................................................................................................... i Introduction ................................................................................................................................1 Definition of Polypharmacy ....................................................................................................3 Prevalence of Polypharmacy ...................................................................................................3 Polypharmacy and Multi-morbidity .........................................................................................4 Polypharmacy and Potentially Inappropriate Medications (PIMs) ............................................5 Harms Associated with Polypharmacy.....................................................................................7 Polypharmacy and COVID-19 Pandemic ................................................................................8 Literature Review ...................................................................................................................... 11 Aim ....................................................................................................................................... 11 Methods ................................................................................................................................ 11 Research Question ............................................................................................................. 11 Search Strategy ................................................................................................................. 11 Studies Selection ................................................................................................................ 12 Data Extraction and Synthesis ........................................................................................... 12 Results .................................................................................................................................. 13 iii Characteristic of Study Participants ....................................................................................... 15 Polypharmacy ....................................................................................................................... 17 Factors Associated with Polypharmacy ................................................................................. 18 Falls .................................................................................................................................. 24 Drug-Drug Interactions and Adverse Drug Events ............................................................ 25 Hospitalization Risk .......................................................................................................... 28 Co-morbidities, Disease Symptoms, and Age ..................................................................... 29 Cognitive Function ............................................................................................................ 35 Mortality ........................................................................................................................... 36 Discussion ................................................................................................................................. 37 Strengths and Limitations ...................................................................................................... 41 Implications for Practice and Future Recommendations......................................................... 42 Conclusions .............................................................................................................................. 44 Chapter 2: Analyzing Factors Associated with Polypharmacy; Aims and Methods .................... 46 Aim ....................................................................................................................................... 46 Research Questions ............................................................................................................... 46 Data Collection ..................................................................................................................... 46 Data Cleaning........................................................................................................................ 47 Definition of Polypharmacy .................................................................................................. 49 Measurements ....................................................................................................................... 49 iv Sociodemographic Factors ................................................................................................ 50 Clinical Scales................................................................................................................... 50 Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs) ............................................................................... 52 Mental Health Conditions. ................................................................................................. 56 Data Quality .......................................................................................................................... 57 Ethical Consideration ............................................................................................................ 57 Data Analysis ........................................................................................................................ 57 Chapter 3: Results .................................................................................................................... 58 Bivariate Analysis ................................................................................................................. 58 Sociodemographic Factors ................................................................................................ 58 Medication Dispensing ...................................................................................................... 59 Mental Health Conditions.................................................................................................. 65 Clinical Scales................................................................................................................... 66 Results of Multivariate Analysis ............................................................................................ 72 Sociodemographic Factors ................................................................................................ 72 Mental Health Conditions.................................................................................................. 75 Clinical Scales................................................................................................................... 76 Adjusted Analysis of All Variables ..................................................................................... 79 Chapter 4: Discussion ............................................................................................................... 81 Implications of Findings ........................................................................................................ 89 v Strengths & Limitations ........................................................................................................ 92 Future Research Directions.................................................................................................... 95 Conclusions .............................................................................................................................. 97 References ................................................................................................................................ 99 Appendix One ......................................................................................................................... 114 Different Keywords Selected for All Databases ................................................................... 114 Search Criteria from CINAHL Database using MeSH Terms and Key Words ..................... 115 Search Criteria from PubMed Database using MeSH Terms and Key Words ....................... 116 Search Criteria from Web of Science Database using MeSH Terms and Key Words............ 117 Search Criteria from APA Psych info Database using MeSH Terms and Key Words ........... 118 Appendix Two ........................................................................................................................ 119 Characteristics of Participants and Studies, N = 38 Articles (2012-2023) ............................. 119 Appendix Three ...................................................................................................................... 129 Prevalence of Polypharmacy in Different Age Groups in 10 Studies from a Total of N = 38 Articles (2012 – 2023). ........................................................................................................ 129 Appendix Four ........................................................................................................................ 130 Prevalent Drugs Classes Among All Residents According to Anatomical Therapeutic Classification System in 18 Studies from a Total of N = 38 Articles (2012 – 2023) ............. 130 Appendix Five ........................................................................................................................ 131 Descriptive Analysis of Sample Population N = 53,550 ....................................................... 131 Appendix Six .......................................................................................................................... 136 vi Research Ethical Board Letter ............................................................................................. 136 vii List of Tables Table 1: Prevalent Co-morbidities in All Residents in N = 38 Articles (2012-2023) .................. 16 Table 2: Factors Associated with Polypharmacy in N = 38 Articles (2012 - 2023) ..................... 19 Table 3.1a: Bivariate Analysis for Sociodemographic Characteristics in Relation to Polypharmacy Among Individuals in Pre-pandemic N = 30,544 (January 1st – December 1st, 2019) and Pandemic Cohorts N = 23,006 (March 1st, 2020 – March 1st, 2021) ......................... 64 Table 3.1b: Mental Health Conditions and Clinical Scales Associated with Polypharmacy Among Individuals in Pre-Pandemic N = 30544 (January, 1st – December, 1st 2019) and Pandemic Cohorts N = 23,006 (March 1st, 2020 – March 1st, 2021) ......................................... 68 Table 3.2a: Association Between Sociodemographic Factors and Polypharmacy for Multiple Logistic Regression Models, N = 52,356 ................................................................................... 74 Table 3.2b: The Association Between Mental Health Conditions and Polypharmacy for Multiple Logistic Regression Model, N = 53,526 .................................................................................... 76 Table 3.2c: The Association Between Clinical Scales and Polypharmacy for Multiple Logistic Regression Model, N = 53,539 .................................................................................................. 78 Table 3.2d: The Association Between All Significant Factors and Polypharmacy for Multiple Logistic Regression Model, N = 52,346 .................................................................................... 80 viii List of Figures Figure 1: Flow Diagram for Searches Under PRISMA 2020 New systematic Reviews guidelines, Including Database and Other Source Searches Conducted on April 29, 2023. .......................... 14 Figure 3.1: Prevalent Medical Conditions Among Individuals in Pre-pandemic N = 30,544 (January 1st, 2019 – December 1st, 2019) and Pandemic Cohorts N = 23,006 (March 1st, 2020 – March 1st, 2021) ....................................................................................................................... 59 Figure 3.2: Medications Dispensing Patterns in LTCFs Individuals in Pre-pandemic N = 30,544 (January,1st – December 1st, 2019) and Pandemic Cohorts N = 23,006 (March 1st, 2020 – March 1st, 2021) ....................................................................................................................... 60 Figure 3.3: Pie Diagram for Different Categories of Polypharmacy ........................................... 61 Figure 3.4 a: Forest Plot for Pre-Pandemic Cohort to Determine the Association Between CAPs Triggers and Polypharmacy ....................................................................................................... 71 Figure 3.4 b: Forest Plot for Pandemic Cohort to Determine the Association Between CAPs Triggers and Polypharmacy ....................................................................................................... 71 ix Acknowledgement All praise and glory to the Almighty Creator Allah Subhanahu wa Ta'ala, who is the most beneficent and merciful, and who has given me the ability to observe, mind to think, and the courage to work more. I stepped into the field of medical sciences as a pharmacist and earned my bachelor's degree in Doctor of Pharmacy from Pakistan. Because of my strong interest in patient care and clinical research, I opted to pursue a career as a hospital and clinical pharmacist and researcher, and I gained work experience at the Armed Forces Institute of Cardiology, as well as the Isolation and Infectious Treatment Center in Pakistan, and also completed the M.Phil. degree in Pharmacology alongside. Furthermore, I decided to pursue another master’s degree in health sciences from Canada to gain international experience and enhance my research skills, and the University of Northern British Columbia is the perfect place to do so. First and foremost, I would like to express my heartfelt gratitude to my Late father Muhammad Liaqat Ali, and my mother Rehana Liaqat for believing in me to achieve my goals. Secondly, I would like to acknowledge my advisor, Dr. Shannon Freeman, for her unwavering support and direction throughout this project, and her persistence, inspiration, zeal, and vast knowledge. In addition, I am grateful to my committee members Dr. Waqar Haque, Dr. Tammy Klassen-Ross, and Dr. Piper Jackson for providing me with expert research advice as well as appreciation and feedback on my research work. Last but not least, I'd like to thank Dr. Ranjana Bird, for her invaluable guidance in addressing and improving my weaknesses. Introduction According to the World Health Organization (WHO), the world's population is aging, and the percentage of the global population over 60 years will nearly increase from 12% to 22% between 2015 and 2050 (World Health Organization [WHO], 2022). The aging process is a dynamic and intricate phenomenon that is marked by an increased susceptibility to the onset of various chronic diseases. This often necessitates the concurrent use of multiple medications for treatment and prophylaxis and puts additional strain on healthcare systems (Dwyer et al., 2010). According to Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI), nearly two-thirds (65.7%) of older adults received prescriptions for at least five different drug classes, more than one-quarter (26.5%) received prescriptions for 10 or more different drug classes, and 8.4% received prescriptions for 15 or more different drug classes (Canadian Institute for Health Information [CIHI], 2018). Long-term care facilities (LTCFs) play a significant role in delivering continuous care to individuals with complex care needs, including nursing care, personal assistance, and various therapeutic and supportive services. Long-term care is defined as services that offer 24-hour specialized supervision and assistance in a safe and supportive environment for individuals who cannot be cared for in their own houses or an assisted living place (Ministry of Health, Province of British Columbia). The LTCFs are also known as nursing homes, continuing care facilities, and residential care homes and can be public or private (CIHI Statistics Canada, 2016). Individuals living in LTCFs may experience various medical conditions, including cognitive impairment, physical disabilities, and chronic diseases, necessitating the use of multiple medications (Bjork et al., 2016). Moreover, individuals living in LTCFs face an increased 1 susceptibility to drug-related issues, attributable to factors such as frailty, compromised mental health, and limited physical mobility (Iniesta-Navalón et al., 2019; Mallet et al., 2007). The first case of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) with apparent pneumonia emerged in Wuhan, China, in December 2019, caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome-virus (SARS-CoV-2). Subsequently, on March 11, 2020, WHO declared the outbreak of COVID-19 a global pandemic (World Health Organization [WHO], 2020). COVID-19 is highly contagious and can lead to fatal co-morbidities, with acute respiratory distress syndrome being a prominent concern. In 75% of patients, it manifests as bilateral pneumonia, serving as a clear indicator for intensive care unit admissions and increased risk of fatality (Ruan et al., 2020; Singhal, 2020). Individuals 65 years of age and older are particularly at risk from COVID-19 infections due to frailty, co-morbidities, and reduction in inherent capacity which weakens their resistance to fight disease (Center for Disease Control and Prevention [CDC], 2020). According to the WHO, 95% of COVID-19 deaths involved individuals over the age of 60 years, and more than 50% of all deaths involved individuals over the age of 80 years. In addition, eight out of 10 deaths involved at least one co-morbidity, particularly cardiovascular diseases, hypertension, diabetes, and a variety of other chronic conditions (Fischer et al., 2020; Koff and Williams, 2020). The COVID-19 pandemic in Canada was particularly hard on LTCFs. Furthermore, there were approximately 44,000 COVID-19 cases and 9,200 fatalities in senior homes including LTCFs by the middle of December (during the second wave, which lasted from September 2020 to February 2021) (Public Health Agency of Canada [PHAC], 2020). Early March 2021 report showed that senior homes including LTCFs continued to be the primary locations for outbreakrelated cases and casualties, accounting for about 7% of all cases and more than 50% of all deaths (PHAC, 2021). 2 Definition of Polypharmacy The definition of polypharmacy in the literature lacks clear consensus. According to a systematic review of 110 studies on polypharmacy, the commonly acknowledged standard cutoff for clinically significant polypharmacy is the use of five or more medications, whereas the use of 10 or more drugs is frequently described as excessive polypharmacy and is seen as a sign of "high risk" prescribing (Gnjidic et al., 2012; Masnoon et al., 2017; Morin et al., 2018). According to WHO polypharmacy is defined as the administration of multiple drugs at the same time or the administration of a large number of drugs (World Health Organization [WHO], 2004). Prevalence of Polypharmacy Polypharmacy is common in LTCFs, which poses significant difficulties for residents, clinicians, and aged care workers (Payne & Avery, 2011). Up to 91%, 74%, and 65% of individuals in LTCFs worldwide have been found to use five, nine, or 10 drugs, respectively. The frequency of polypharmacy varies between LTCFs and geographical areas (Beloosesky et al., 2013; Jokanovic et al., 2015). Studies have indicated that 60% of individuals over 65 years receive prescriptions for three or more drugs, with approximately 39% receiving prescriptions for more than five medicines (Kantor et al., 2015; Scott et al., 2015). Using prescription claims data, a large cross-sectional Canadian study of 589 LTCFs found that diuretics (68.2%), protonpump inhibitors (54.8%), angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (51.7%), and beta-blockers (43.2%) were the most commonly prescribed medication classes among residents who received nine or more medications (Bronskill et al., 2012). Also, high rates of polypharmacy were found in the European SHELTER study, which examined medication use among nursing home residents in seven European Union (EU) nations and one non-EU (Israel). The rates were 49.7% 3 for five to nine drugs and 24.3% for 10 drugs. The prevalence of polypharmacy was found to be varied between countries and was directly correlated with comorbidities, depression, and chronic pain. Particularly, the prevalence of excessive polypharmacy was lowest in Italy (8.8%), followed by Israel (13.9%), Germany (15.7%), England (22.7%), the Netherlands (24.4%), the Czech Republic (25.5%), France (30.2%), and highest in Finland (56.7 %) (Onder et al., 2012). Polypharmacy and Multi-morbidity The term "multi-morbidity" refers to the coexistence of two or more chronic diseases, which may or may not be co-related, and represents a significant challenge for the health systems (Violan et al., 2014). Individuals living in LTCFs often experience multi-morbid conditions, leading to various nonspecific symptoms and geriatric syndromes (Gordon et al., 2014). Multimorbidity is strongly associated with age, affecting up to 95% of the population with ages 65 years and older, and more common in females across all age groups (Rankin et al., 2018). According to the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging, the prevalence of multi-morbidity was found to increase with age, increasing from 29.7% in the 45-49 years age group to 52% in the 60-64 years age group (Sakib et al., 2019). Philip et al. (2021) also found that age is closely related to the prevalence of chronic diseases, and Canadians with age groups 45-54 years, 55-64 years, 65-74 years, and 75 years and older all had an average of 2.1 conditions, 2.9 conditions, 3.8 conditions, and 4.8 conditions, respectively. The prevalence of multi-morbidity is also expected to rise over the next few decades, manifesting at younger ages, which is due to improved survival among adults with chronic conditions (Canizares et al., 2018; Lebenbaum et al., 2018). Multi-morbidity is associated with an increased risk of hospitalization, physical decline, depression, premature death, and polypharmacy (Masnoon et al., 2017). Polypharmacy (five or 4 more drugs) and hyper-polypharmacy (10 or more drugs) estimates in individuals 65 years and older have significantly increased over the past 20 years as a result of multi-morbidity (Guthrie et al., 2015; Charlesworth et al., 2015), with most recent international estimates falling between 50-66% and 23-27%, respectively (CIHI, 2016; Giovannini et al., 2018; Ellenbogen et al., 2020). According to a cross-sectional study in Ontario LTCFs, the percentage of individuals with ages 85 years and older increased from 45.1% to 53.8% over 15 years. Additionally, parallel increases in the percentages of individuals with nine or more prescription drugs and seven or more chronic diseases (from 44.9% to 64.2%) have occurred through this time, with hypertension, osteoarthritis, and dementia being the most common conditions reported between 2000 and 2015 (Ryan et al, 2020). Effectively addressing multi-morbidity through pharmacological interventions poses a challenge for healthcare professionals, especially in the care of older and frail individuals. The complexity arises from the need for a focused approach that takes into account the interconnected nature of multiple health conditions (Johnston et al., 2019). This results in complex medication regimens that put these individuals at risk for inappropriate use, treatment burden, non-adherence, and adverse drug events (Bailey et al., 2020; Thorell et al., 2019; Wastesson et al., 2018). Polypharmacy and Potentially Inappropriate Medications (PIMs) Inappropriate medication prescribing is a worldwide issue. While polypharmacy appears to be necessary for managing multi-morbidity and attempting to target the pathogenesis of a wide range of disorders, inappropriate prescription of multiple medications can be unsafe (World Health Organization [WHO], 2019). A substantial amount of research, including systematic reviews, identified polypharmacy as the main factor for determining the use of potentially 5 inappropriate drugs (overprescribing, miss-prescribing, and under-prescribing) (Morin et al., 2016; Storms et al., 2017). The term potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs) is frequently used to describe medications with a higher risk for adverse drug events. Inappropriate polypharmacy occurs when prescriptions of multiple medications fail to produce the desired therapeutic effect and increase the risk of adverse effects (Soler et al., 2019). PIMs have been linked to increased risk of drug interactions, medication non-adherence, functional decline, unnecessary health outcomes, and increased the risk of morbidity and mortality in older adults (Davies et al., 2019; Galli et al., 2016). Studies have revealed a high prevalence of PIMs use in nursing home settings with 23.7% - 70% of residents being prescribed at least one PIMs. Furthermore, 25.1% to 37.8% of residents experienced potential drug-drug interactions, of which 72% were of moderate or major severity (Chen et al., 2012; Iniesta-Navalón et al., 2019; Ryan et al., 2013). In addition, PIMs use among seniors is extremely common in Canada. According to CIHI, nearly 50% of older adults (49.4%) had at least one prescription on the Beers Criteria of PIMs, while 8.1% of seniors who were chronic users of two or more medicines had prescriptions for multiple drugs on the PIMs Beers Criteria list, accounting for approximately 18.0% of PIMs use in LTCFs (Canadian Institute for Health Information [CIHI], 2018). Furthermore, it was found that 29% of individuals were taking at least one drug that was never considered appropriate for them (Holmes et al., 2008). To prevent inappropriate polypharmacy guidelines have been created globally, and the Beers and the Screening Tool of Older Individuals' Potentially Inappropriate Prescriptions STOPP criteria are the two most frequently used quality standards (Campanelli et al., 2012; Hamilton et al., 2011). Inappropriate polypharmacy not only endangers the safety of individuals by resulting in hospitalizations and poor adherence to medications but also places a financial burden on the 6 healthcare system (Dookeeram et al., 2017; Rodriguese et al., 2016). In a Japanese cohort study, it was found that individuals on polypharmacy were taking one or more PIMs and exhibited a higher risk of hospitalization and more outpatient visit days, leading to a 33% rise in healthcare costs in comparison to individuals on polypharmacy with no PIMs (Akazawa et al., 2010). Nyborg and colleagues discovered that the concurrent use of three or more psychotropic drugs, antihypertensive, and the regular use of hypnotics were PIMs among Norwegian nursing home residents aged 70 years (Nyborg et al., 2017), whereas Bor and colleagues discovered that PIMs, such as pantoprazole and trimetazidine were significant risk factors for falls among individuals in LTCFs (Bor et al., 2017). In Finland, Juola and colleagues found a sequential correlation between the use of multiple potentially harmful medications and poorer health-related quality of life (Juola et al., 2016). Harms Associated with Polypharmacy Polypharmacy has been identified as a safety concern, and the risk of an adverse event increases exponentially with the use of five or more medications (Koper et al., 2013). Polypharmacy is associated with adverse drug reactions (ADRs), drug-drug interactions (DDIs), poor adherence to therapy, geriatric syndromes, and hospitalizations in LTCFs (Lalic et al., 2016). Polypharmacy has also been linked to an increased risk of negative health outcomes such as frailty, disability, and falls (Izza, et al., 2020). Additionally, ADRs by polypharmacy can significantly affect morbidity and mortality and have a substantial financial effect on the healthcare system (Díez et al., 2022). Comorbidity and age-related physiological changes such as a decrease in the capacity of Phase I reaction enzymes (CYP450) can influence medication disposition, and metabolism and may explain increased susceptibility to drug-drug interactions and ADRs in older adults (Drenth-Van et al., 2019; Tornio et al., 2019). All of these effects may 7 be worsened by pre-existing diseases and lead to treatment infectiveness in this population (Nechba et al., 2015; Teramura-Grönblad et al., 2016). According to Doan and colleagues, potential CYP450-mediated DDIs are present in 80% of hospitalized individuals with polypharmacy, and their frequency increases with the number of medications prescribed (Doan et al., 2013). Additionally, polypharmacy may cause anxiety or excitability, trouble sleeping, discomfort, confusion, dizziness, tremors weakness, hallucinations, and dizziness, showing a detrimental effect on the quality of life (Davies and O’mahony, 2015; Laurie et al., 2020). ADRs are more common in LTCFs, with individuals using nine or more medications being twice as likely to experience an ADR compared to those taking fewer than nine medications. Identifying ADRs is challenging as symptoms overlap with those commonly present in older adults, complicating the selection of appropriate treatments and potentially leading to further inappropriate prescriptions (Nyborg et al., 2017; Soler & Barreto, 2019). Furthermore, clinical manifestations of several ADRs are proven to be brought on by a number of particular medicines. For instance, when an individual is prescribed two or more medications that increase the risk of falling, their likelihood of experiencing falls will also increase (Schiek et al., 2019). Hence, the management of polypharmacy can be challenging, particularly in older individuals, requiring significant time and complexity, and presenting a substantial dilemma (Molokhia & Majeed, 2017; Sinha et al., 2021). Polypharmacy and COVID-19 Pandemic The COVID-19 pandemic has had a devastating impact on the standard of care and life expectancy of older adults with complicated chronic diseases (Ouslander et al., 2020). Although the overall COVID-19 mortality rate in Canada was lower than the rates in other Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) nations, it had the highest percentage of 8 deaths in LTCFs. Compared to an average of 38% in other OECD nations, LTCFs residents made up 81% of all reported COVID-19 deaths in Canada during the first wave of the pandemic (March-August 2020) (Canadian Institute of Health Research [CIHI], 2020). Many older adults who dwell in LTCFs with advanced age and complex chronic conditions have significant infection rates and unfavorable health outcomes during the pandemic. Increasing multi-morbidity, particularly cardio-metabolic multi-morbidity, and polypharmacy were found to be associated with an increased risk of developing COVID-19 infection (McQueenie et al., 2020). The risk of developing a severe COVID-19 infection that can lead to hospitalization, admission to an intensive care unit, or death remained highest in poly-medicated older individuals with pre-existing multi-morbidities. For instance, 66% of the 1.7 billion individuals with underlying illnesses who were at an increased risk of developing severe COVID-19 infection were those aged 70 years and older (Arons et al., 2020; Clark et al., 2020; White et al., 2020). SARS-CoV-2 has been widely transmitted in LTCFs due to structural and operational considerations, and 50% to 80% of COVID-19-related early deaths occurred among individuals receiving community care in LTCFs in economically developed countries (ComasHerrera et al., 2020). Achieving optimal drug use in the population of older adults is difficult and complex under normal circumstances. This issue worsened when COVID-19 disproportionately affected LTCFs, where individuals may have received less timely and appropriate clinical care, including medication management, as a result of the decline in the number of available clinicians and other healthcare professionals, and disruptions in communication and services during the pandemic (Campitelli et al., 2021; Nagham et al., 2021). Exposure to multiple medications may serve as an indicator of disease severity, but it also amplifies the risk of adverse events, rendering 9 older adults more susceptible to complications, particularly in the context of COVID-19. In a systematic review, polypharmacy was linked to a higher risk of unfavorable clinical outcomes among individuals diagnosed with COVID-19. Drug classes such as antipsychotics, non-tricyclic antidepressants, opioid analgesics, and medications for peptic ulcer, and gastroesophageal reflux disease were associated with adverse outcomes among these individuals (Iloanusi et al., 2021). In a population cohort study in Quebec, the number of drugs and the risk of death and hospitalization in confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the population older than 65 years of age was evaluated. While controlling for age and chronic diseases, polypharmacy was found to be significantly linked to an increased risk of COVID-19-related hospitalizations and mortality in this group of older adults (Sirois et al., 2022). Given that polypharmacy has been demonstrated to result in less ideal treatment outcomes for a number of diseases, the simultaneous threat of COVID-19 infection and polypharmacy in LTCFs residents with pre-existing multi-morbidities is particularly concerning. 10 Literature Review Aim This review aims to identify the factors associated with polypharmacy among individuals residing in LTCFs. Methods Using Askey and O'Malley's (2005) framework, a scoping review strategy was conducted in five steps. (1) Determining the research question (2) Finding relevant studies (3) Study selection (4) Data charting, and (5) Compiling, analyzing, and reporting the results. This strategy assists in locating any gaps in the research topic, reviewing the relevant studies, and gaining the knowledge necessary to fill the gaps in the literature (Askey & O'Malley's, 2005). Research Question The research question investigated was what are the factors associated with polypharmacy among individuals residing in residential long-term care settings? Search Strategy To find relevant papers written in English and published in the last 10 years, we searched PubMed, Web of Science, APA-PsycInfo, and Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) databases. Search terms included Mesh terms and keywords related to polypharmacy (“polypharmacy” OR multiple medicine* OR multiple medication* OR multiple drug*), factors (“Risk factors” OR Associated factor* OR Co-morbidit* OR Factor* OR Risk*OR Protective factor* ) and long-term care (“Long-term care” OR “Residential facilities” OR aged care facilit*, OR Nursing home*OR long-term care home* OR long-term care facilit* nursing homes) were combined and searched in all databases (See Appendix 1 for details of the full search strategy). 11 Studies Selection Zotero (Zotero, 2023) was used to import potentially relevant articles, and duplicate items were identified and removed by running a duplicate scan. The titles and abstracts were screened and reviewed for inclusion and exclusion into the review based on the eligibility criteria. Finally, the full-text copies of published studies were retrieved and independently evaluated for potential inclusion. Prisma flow chart of systematic reviews, which incorporates databases and other source searches, were used to guide the selection of studies as shown in Figure 1 (Page et al., 2021). The following inclusion criteria were met by research studies: (1) polypharmacy was stated clearly (2) factors associated with polypharmacy were discussed in the text or figures or tables (3) studies were conducted in LTCFs. Studies that were conducted in hospital based LTCFs were excluded, also if they focused only on potentially inappropriate medications, deprescribing, and specific medication classes were excluded as well. Duplicate studies, reviews that did not meet the eligibility criteria for inclusion, abstracts only, editorial letters, video recordings, book chapters, dissertation, and protocols were excluded. Data Extraction and Synthesis An Excel spreadsheet (Microsoft Corporation, 2022) was used to develop a standardized data extraction form and piloted for review. The data retrieved from the selected studies included information about study designs, aims and objectives, publication year, settings, and methods; population characteristics such as sample size, mean age, gender, and prevalent co-morbidities; medical information relevant to polypharmacy such as mean number of drugs per resident, prevalence, most frequently prescribed drugs, or classes; findings and results. The medication cut-offs used to define polypharmacy, the period of time used to evaluate polypharmacy, and the terminology used to define polypharmacy were obtained from individual studies. Factors 12 associated with polypharmacy were identified in studies that performed regression analysis and also from one qualitative survey analysis. Results Total N = 38 studies satisfied the inclusion criteria including cross-sectional (n = 22), retrospective (n = 9), prospective (n = 4), survey-based qualitative analysis (n = 1), and longitudinal studies (n = 2). Primary research studies were conducted in Japan (n = 1), Switzerland (n = 1), Netherlands (n =1), Spain (n = 5), United Kingdom (n = 3), Cyprus (n = 1), Germany (n = 3), Denmark (n = 1), Mexico (n = 1), Australia (n = 6), Malaysia (n = 2), Sweden (n = 2), Europe and Israel (n = 1), Hungary (n = 1), Canada (n = 2), Sweden(n = 1), Hong Kong (n = 1), central Israel (n = 1). Four SHELTER studies included in this review were conducted in eight different countries such as the Czech Republic, Germany, Israel, Italy, England, Finland, France, and the Netherlands. 13 Note. The figure was created using PRISMA guidelines 2020 provided by Page et al., (2021) 14 Figure 1: Flow Diagram for Searches Under PRISMA 2020 New systematic Reviews guidelines, Including Database and Other Source Searches Conducted on April 29, 2023. Characteristic of Study Participants Participants in studies were often 65 years or older (n = 18) or all (n = 9). The mean age of participants ranged from 67.6 (SD = 3.8) to 87.5 (SD = 6.2) years, with females accounting for 56% to 78% of the population (n = 33). Eleven studies focused on stay lengths ranging from one month to one year (See Appendix 2 for the population and characteristics of studies included in this review). Appendix Three shows the prevalence of polypharmacy in various age groups. The prevalent pathologies among residents according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) were diabetes (n = 14), hypertension (n = 8), heart failure (n = 11), and dementia (n =12) as shown in Table 1. 15 36.1 71.0 88.0 Zazzara et al., 2023 Visser et al., 2023 Oya et al., 2022 Díez et al., 2022 Villani et al., 2021 58.6 63.2 Dörks et al., 2016 Hallgren et al., 2016 Lilac et al., 2016 Herson, et al., 2015 60.5 43.6 78.0 59.2 55.6 55.5 58.4 55.5 HTN (%) 2.1 3.8 32.0 32.0 34.0 Bone Fractures (%) 44.2 16.0 21.8 23.8 23.9 Depression (%) 19.6 21.7 22.7 22.8 19.1 33.0 22.0 22.0 29.6 19.4 22.9 28.8 22.5 21.6 Diabetes (%) Note. HTN = Hypertension, CVA = Cardiovascular Accident, IHD = Ischemic Heart Disease Leung et al., 2013 Davide et al., 2013 Graziano et al., 2012 57.0 McCracken et al., 2017 44.1 53.0 53.0 23.2 67.2 Cadenas et al., 2021 Velázquez-Alva et al., 2020 Izza et al., 2020 Iniesta-Navalón et al., 2019 Morin et al., 2018 Vetrano et al., 2018 Jokanovic et al., 2017 19.3 Dementia (%) Studies Table 1: Prevalent Co-morbidities in All Residents in N = 38 Articles (2012-2023) 36.0 36.0 29.7 5.0 Arthritis (%) 24.2 22.1 22.1 22.1 22.0 22.0 15.8 14.9 22.0 15.0 22.1 Stroke (%) 24.6 26.3 13.6 28.0 28.0 33.7 14.2 25.7 IHD (%) 14.6 17.7 16.7 17.7 24.0 17.0 17.0 20.4 17.4 3.0 Heart Failure (%) 17.7 9.2 10.9 20.4 10.0 10.0 10.7 10.9 Cancer (%) 16 Polypharmacy Overall, 34 studies defined polypharmacy using a cutoff point and the definition of polypharmacy in terms of the number of medications used varied among studies, and the most commonly used definition being employed was the use of five or more drugs (n = 12) (Anliker et al., 2023; Astrop et al., 2020; Beloosesky et al., 2013; Díaz et al., 2020; Gutiérrez-Valencia et al., 2018; Hasan et al., 2020; Izza et al., 2020; Morin et al., 2018; Nozomu et al., 2022; Visser et al., 2023; Wastesson et al., 2019; Zazzara et al., 2023), five to nine medicines (n = 8) (Cadenas, 2021; Davide et al., 2013; Diez et al., 2022; Dorks et al., 2016; Fassmer et al., 2019; Vetrano et al., 2018; Villani et al., 2021) and 9 or more drugs (n = 8) (Herson et al., 2015; Jokanovic et al., 2017; Jeon et al., 2019; Lilac et al., 2016; McCracken et al., 2017; Moore et al., 2014; Susan et al., 2012). In addition, the time duration of polypharmacy evaluation was given as the use of concurrent medications (n = 12), regular medications (n = 8), medications taken for at least one month (n = 6), medications taken for at least three months (n =1), use of chronic medications (n = 2), prescriptions dispensed in 28 days (n = 1), drugs ordered in three days (n =1), and prescription dispensed in a year (n = 1). 16 studies specified the inclusion criteria for polypharmacy definitions and did not include supplements (n =7), over the counter medication (n = 4), complementary medicine (n = 2), as needed (n = 2), topical (n =1), anti-infective (n = 1), and medical equipment’s (n = 2). However, supplements were included in n = 2, over the counter in n = 4, complimentary medicines in n = 1, as needed in n = 1, and topical preparations in n = 3 studies. The mean number of medications among residents ranged from 3.54 (SD = 1.96) to 8.7 (SD = 3.9). Overall, 12 studies defined excessive polypharmacy as the use of 10 or more medications. According to the Anatomical Therapeutic Classification system (World Health 17 Organization, [WHO] ), the most common medication classes used by residents were peptic ulcer and gastroesophageal reflux disease drugs, acetaminophen, proton-pump inhibitors, antipsychotics, anticoagulants, anti-depressant, anti-hypertensive including angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin receptor blockers, benzodiazepines including hypnotic sedative anxiolytics, anti-epileptic drugs, lipid-lowering agents including statins, antidementia drugs, beta blockers, and calcium channel blockers ( Appendix Four). Factors Associated with Polypharmacy Table 2 presents studies that investigated factors independently associated with polypharmacy following regression analysis. 18 Fassmer et al., 2020 Villani et al., 2021 Cristina Ionescu et al., 2021 Lexow et al, 2021 Cadenas et al., 2021 Clare et al., 2021 Oya et al., 2022 Anliker et al., 2023 Díez R et al., 2022 Zazzara et al., 2023 Visser et al., 2023 Studies Inverse Inverse Positive Inverse Inverse Positive OR = 2.23 (1.11 - 4.51) Contact with GP in past 2 Positive months Age ≥85 years Being demented Suspected Adverse events Frailty Frailty Out-of-hours medical care contact OR = 0.88 (0.50 - 1.53) Inverse Age (85–94 years) OR = 0.72 (0.59 - 0.87) OR = 0.75 (0.60 - 0.94) RR = 2.03 (1.59 - 2.59) OR = 0.43 (0.20 - 0.90) OR = 0.38 (0.17 - 0.82) OR = 2.01 (1.39 – 2.71) OR = 1.09 (1.00 - 1.20) OR = 43.02 (11.4 -162.00) OR = 134.0 (12.01 -1495.5) OR = 5.01 (1.96, 12.81) OR = 13.5 (1.62 - 112.54) OR = 0.13 (0.04 - 0.45) OR = 1.33, (1.00 - 1.77) OR = 2.41 (1.30 - 4.50) OR = 0.73 (0.64 - 0.84) OR = 1.86 (1.04 - 3.34) OR = 1.75 (1.01 - 3.02) OR = 2.0 (1.04 - 3.85) HR = 1.61 (1.09 - 2.40) OR = 1.09 (1.10 - 1.20) Results (95% CI) Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Inverse Positive Positive Inverse Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Association Risk of mortality COVID-19 related mortality Poor oral health status High anticholinergic risk 5–7 PIMs ≥2 severe/moderate DDIs ≥2 drug duplicities 6–10 pathologies Initial falls Injuries after falls Dementia Age (70–74 years) Age (80–84 years) Hospitalization Factors Associated with Polypharmacy Table 2: Factors Associated with Polypharmacy in N = 38 Articles (2012 - 2023) ≥5 ≥10 ≥10 0 - 11 ≥10 ≥10 ≥5 ≥10 ≥5 ≥5 ≥5 ≥ 10 ≥5 Number of Drugs 19 Care homes with 75% high- ACFI Risk of fall Decline in CPS score Drug-drug interactions Frailty Decline in CPS score Frailty Hypertension Depression Ischemic heart disease Diabetes without endorgan damage Jeon et al., 2019 Marhanis et al., 2019 Davide et al., 2019 Iniesta-Navalón et al., 2019 Morin et al., 2018 Vetrano DL et al., 2018 Gutiérrez-Valencia et al., 2018 Jokanovic et al., 2017 Izza et al., 2020 Velázquez-Alva., 2020 Hasan et al., 2020 Astrop et al., 2020 Kapoor et al., 2020 Díaz et al., 2020 Acute hospital admissions Adverse reaction Fall risk in past 12 months Frailty Age ≥85 Number of DDIs ≥1 per resident in the FDA database. Number of DDIs ≥1 per resident Danish database Falls Malnutrition Positive Positive Positive Positive Inverse Inverse Inverse Positive Positive Positive Positive OR = 1.51 (1.12 - 2.05) OR = 1.96 (1.43 - 2.68) OR = 2.09 (1.49 - 2.94) OR = 2.14 (1.50 - 3.07) OR = 0.74 (0.23 - 2.43) OR = 0.13 (0.01 - 0.24) OR = 0.54 (0.21 - 1.42) b = 0.10 (0.01, 0.20) OR = 9.6 (4.8 - 19.1) OR = 1.13 (1.02 - 1.24) OR = 1.48 (1.39 - 1.57) OR = 1.06 (1.03 - 1.09) OR = 1.83 (1.27 - 2.63) r = 0.40 Positive Positive Positive OR = 6.07 (1.71 - 21.56) r = - 0.15 r = 0.55 HR = 1.53 (1.07 - 2.18) OR = 1.29 (1.04 - 1.60) RR = 1.94 (1.60 - 2.35) Positive Inverse Positive Positive Positive Positive ≥9 ≥5 ≥5 ≥5 5-9 ≥ 10 Total ≥9 ≥5 ≥3 ≥5 ≥5 ≥6 ≥5 20 Lalic et al., 2016 Hallgren et al., 2016 Dörks et al., 2016 Bor et al., 2017 McCracken et al., 2017 Time to first hospitalization Number of hospitalizations Female sex Age Body Mass Index >25 kg/m2 Hypertension Diabetes Hospitalization risk Chronic pulmonary disease A higher median CCI Dementia Analgesics and antipyretics Drugs for constipation Antidepressants Antithrombotic agents Drugs for peptic ulcer Opioids High-ceiling diuretics Lipid-modifying agents – plain Beta-blocking agents Fall risk Overtreated diabetes Over treated hypertension Moderate renal failure Severe renal failure OR = 1.68 (1.04 - 2.71) OR = 2.84 (1.42 - 5.68) Positive Positive HR = 1.84 (1.21 - 2.79) IRR = 1.51 (1.09 - 2.10) Positive Positive OR = 2.10 (1.44 - 3.06) OR = 2.36 (1.44 - 3.8) HR = 1.20 (1.03 - 1.40) OR = 3.27 (2.29 - 4.69) OR = 1.71 (1.31 - 2.81) RR = 4.0 (0.97 - 16.41) RR = 1.77 (1.07 - 2.96) Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive OR = 2.23 (1.63 - 3.08) OR = 2.92 (2.12 - 4.04) OR = 3.40 (2.46 - 4.73) OR = 4.68 (3.35 - 6.60) OR = 2.83 (2.04 - 3.94) OR = 3.95 (2.81 - 5.58) OR = 3.37 (2.37 - 4.80) Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive OR = 1.14 (0.74 - 1.75) OR = 0.96 (0.94 - 0.98) OR = 1.86 (1.25 - 2.76) OR = 1.2 (1.08 - 1.33) OR = 0.39 (0.27, 0.54) OR = 2.57 (1.80 - 3.72) Positive Inverse Positive Positive Inverse Positive OR = 1.76 ([1.21 - 2.55) Positive ≥9 ≥ 6.8 ≥5 ≥4 ≥9 21 OR = 2.66 (1.46 - 4.84) OR = 2.84 (1.36 - 5.85) OR = 1.20 (1.43 - 3.39) OR = 3.12 (1.99 - 4.89) OR = 2.57 (1.31 - 5.07) OR = 2.56 (1.36, 5.85) OR = 0.74 (0.59 - 0.93) OR = 0.35 (0.19 - 0.53) OR = 0.27 (0.12 - 0.60) Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Inverse Inverse Inverse Diabetes mellitus Parkinson's disease Gastrointestinal symptoms Pain Dyspnea Recent hospitalization Age Age (65 - 74 years) Feeding tube status Susan et al., 2012 Beloosesky et al., 2013 Davide L. Vetrano et al., 2013 Positive Positive Positive CCI 2 or more Anxious behaviors Depression OR = 1.3 (1.20 - 1.40) OR = 1.4 (1.30 - 1.40) OR = 2.3 (2.10 - 2.40) OR = 3.68 (2.01 - 6.74) b = .091 Positive Ischemic heart disease OR = 3.22 (1.51 - 6.86) OR = 3.13 (1.10 - 8.85) OR = 0.34 (0.17 - 0.67) b = .081 Positive Positive Inverse Positive Leung et al., 2013 Moore et al.,2014 OR = 5.10 (2.21 - 11.8) IRR = 1.19 (1.16 - 1.23) Positive Positive IRR = 1.15 (1.06 - 1.24) Positive M. Herson et al., 2015 IRR = 1.39 (1.24 - 1.56) HR = 1.17 (1.06 - 1.29) Positive Positive Hospital stay per year 10-unit increase in MRCI and time to first hospitalization MRCI and number of hospitalizations MRCI and hospital days per person-year Chronic pulmonary disease Diabetes Heart Failure Dementia Hospitalization Frequency Emergency visits ≥9 ≥ 10 ≥5 ≥5 ≥9 ≥ 10 ≥ 10 ≥3 ≥9 22 OR = 1.7 (1.60 - 1.80) OR = 1.81 (1.38 - 2.37) OR = 2.31 (1.80 - 2.97) OR = 2.29 (1.61- 3.27) OR = 1.73 (1.35 - 2.21) OR = 0.85 (0.74, 0.96) OR = 0.64 (0.47 - 0.88) OR = 0.39 (0.26 - 0.57) Positive Positive Positive Positive Positive Inverse Inverse Inverse ≥ 10 Note, CCI = Charlson comorbidities index, CPS = Cognitive performance scale, DBI = drug burden index, DDIs = Drug-drug interactions, BMI = Body mass index, MRCI = Medication complex regimen index, OR = Odds ratios, RR = Relative risk, IRR = Incidence rate ratio, HR = Hazard ratio, ACFI = Aged care funding instrument Graziano et al., 2012 Prescriptions from multiple physicians Depression Pain Dyspnea Gastrointestinal symptoms Age Cognitive impairment (mild/moderate) Cognitive impairment (severe) 23 Falls Studies that examined the association between polypharmacy and fall risks found a positive association. Oya and colleagues conducted a one-year retrospective cohort study in four Japanese LTCFs to identify the incidence of drug-related falls with and without injury among 549 individuals with a mean age of 87 years. They identified 645 falls, including 146 injurious falls and 16 severe injurious falls requiring inpatient care, and found the association of fall risk and injuries after falls with the use of five or more drugs. Furthermore, medication use affected over three-quarters of all falls, and the use of psychiatric medicines accounted for more than 80% of all falls among individuals living in LTCFs (Oya et al., 2022). Another prospective cohort study conducted by Izza and colleagues involved 1,655 individuals from 84 LTCFs in the UK with a mean age of 85 (SD = 8.9) years and was followed over three months to evaluate the occurrence of falls. Overall, 31% fell in three months, with 67.9% being females. The use of five or more regularly prescribed drugs, as well as the use of one regular psychiatric medication were found to be independent risk factors for falling in these individuals. In addition, the risk of falls was higher among individuals taking antidepressants and benzodiazepines, but not antipsychotics (Izza et al., 2020). Diaz and colleagues conducted a nationwide study to analyze the occurrence of falls among 2,849 individuals aged 70 years and above who had been living in residential settings for at least a year in 113 Spanish LTCFs. In the last 12-month period, the incidence of fallers was 45.3%, with a proportion of recurring fallers of 51.7%. Falls were found to be positively associated with severe or moderate cognitive impairment and the use of four or more medications in these individuals (Díaz et al., 2020). Marhanis and colleagues investigated the prevalence of medicines that cause falls and the risk of falling in a cross-sectional study. In this study, 212 elderly individuals in 27 Malaysian LTCFs were recruited and classified as frail, 24 pre-frail, or robust. Frailty was shown to be strongly related to the risk of falling with 68.4% of individuals taking at least one orthostatic medicine or fall-risk-causing drug, with antipsychotics and use of calcium channel blockers being the most prevalent fall-risk-increasing drugs (Marhanis et al. 2019). Finally, Bor and colleagues conducted retrospective epidemiological research in Hungary and included 197 LTCFs individuals (55 fallers and 142 non-fallers). Fall risk factors were found to be associated with being above the age of 80 years, taking four or more chronic drugs, and independent use of pantoprazole, vinpocetine, and trimetazidine. In addition, male fallers were taking a high number of chronic medications with a mean of 12.4 drugs (SD = 4.0), and the use of PIMs having fall risk was prevalent in 70.9% of fallers (Bor et al 2017). Drug-Drug Interactions and Adverse Drug Events Different studies examined the association between polypharmacy and the risk of drugdrug interactions and adverse drug events. Diez and colleagues conducted a cross-sectional study in Spanish LTCFs among 222 individuals aged 65 years or above to see the association between polypharmacy or the use of five or more drugs with drug-related events. Drug-drug interactions were prevalent in 81.8% of individuals with polypharmacy and 24.7% experienced severe to moderate interactions. PIMs were prevalent in 96.8% of individuals, with 53.6% taking five or more PIMs. Drugs acting on the nervous system were associated with 97.2% of severe to moderate drug-drug interactions, especially with benzodiazepine class including opioids. Among benzodiazepines lorazepam, trazodone, mirtazapine, citalopram, and alprazolam most frequently contributed to these drug-drug interactions. In addition, 38.5% of adverse reactions were also contributed by nervous system drugs and analysis revealed that four to five or six to ten pathologies raise the risk of potential adverse reactions by 29.5 and 12.7 times, respectively. 25 Nearly half of the drug-drug interactions (47.6%) were involved in central nervous system depression and one-fifth (18.2%) in QT prolongation. Benzodiazepine duplicity was found in 34.4% of individuals which increased the likelihood of pharmacological interactions leading to increased risk of sedation, falls and fractures, or mental confusion (Díez R et al., 2022). Lexow and colleagues performed a cross-sectional observational analysis in three LTCFs in Germany and identified 424 adverse events, and a median of four (1-14) per patient in 99% of individuals (103 of 104). Individuals with gastrointestinal, psychiatric, skin, and subcutaneous tissue diseases as well as renal and urinary disorders frequently had 20.8%, 13%, 13%, and 11.8% of the detected adverse events, respectively. Additionally, they found that the median number of three drugs (0-11) that had actual adverse events were reported in the summary of product characteristics (Lexow et al, 2021). Astrop and colleagues evaluated drug-drug interactions and ADRs in 25 Danish LTCFs among 100 individuals aged 65 years and above who were taking five or more drugs concurrently (Astrop et al., 2020). The most common comorbid illness was cardiovascular disease, while the commonly used drugs were for gastrointestinal and metabolism-related diseases. The age group 75 - 84 years taking five or more drugs showed the highest number of drug-drug interactions 7.5 (4 - 13.75) and a positive correlation was found between old age 85 years or above and the number of drugs with drug-drug interactions in this study. According to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) database, the maximum drug interactions were moderate in 78.6% of individuals while according to the Danish database, 68.6% of interactions were of mild severity (Astrop et al., 2020). The prevalent drug-drug interactions reported by the Danish and FDA were due to a combination of furosemide and metoprolol in 13 cases, with clinical effects of hyperglycemia and hypertriglyceridemia of moderate severity among individuals (Astrop et al., 2020). In another study, Kapoor and 26 colleagues investigated the association between all adverse events and preventable adverse events developing in the 45 days following discharge back to LTCFs and demographic variables, hospital length of stay, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and Activities of daily living (ADL) dependency with a number of regularly scheduled drugs in prospective cohort analysis of 32 LTCFs from six New England states (Kapoor et al., 2020). From these LTCFs, all individuals who were hospitalized and returned to the same facility from March 1, 2016, to December 31, 2017, were analyzed. They reported that 22.7% of individuals were taking zero to nine drugs, 26.4% were on 18 or more drugs, and 23.9% were on 14 -17 drugs. The use of 18 or more regularly scheduled drugs was positively associated with an adverse drug event. Also, a positive association between hospital length of stay of more than nine days, CCI of four or more, and 19 or higher levels of functional ADL dependency with the use of 18 or more regularly scheduled medications was identified (Kapoor et al., 2020). A study conducted by Iniesta-Navalón, and colleagues based on an observational, multicenter, cross-sectional study design in a sample of 275 individuals aged 65 years and above from 10 LTCFs in Spain to determine the drug-drug interactions due to polypharmacy. A total of 210 potential drug-drug interactions were present among individuals taking 10 or more drugs, of which 120 were clinically relevant (57.1%), affecting 25.8% of elderly individuals. Diuretics, bronchodilators, anti-thrombotic, cardiac medications, calcium salts, renin-angiotensin inhibitors, antihypertensives, proton pump inhibitors, and psycholeptics accounted for 70.2% of the drug-drug interactions (Iniesta-Navalón et al., 2019). Individuals who used 10 or more medications per day, those who took antiinflammatory drugs, and those who suffered from multiple pathologies were all found with clinically significant drug-drug interactions (Iniesta-Navalón et al., 2019). 27 Hospitalization Risk Studies have shown positive associations between polypharmacy and the risk of hospitalization. Cadenas and colleagues found that a higher rate of hospitalization in the previous 12 months was directly associated with the usage of five or more medicines by 326 individuals in LTCFs in Spain, having a mean age of 86.8 years (SD = 7.5). A direct positive correlation between 10 or more medicines and hospitalization over the previous year as well as contact with a general physician within the previous two months was also observed. Additionally, individuals taking five or more drugs showed increased usage of cardiovascular medicines (Cadenas et al., 2021). Fassmer and colleagues evaluated the use of out-of-hours medical treatment, visits to emergency departments, and acute hospital admissions among German LTCFs individuals. In a retrospective cohort analysis, claims data from 1665 individuals with an average age of 80.5 years was used to examine the incidence rates of numerous services. Polypharmacy or the use of 10 or more drugs, a higher dependency on care, and the male sex all appeared to play a role in predicting acute health care services (Fassmer et al., 2020). Hallgren and colleagues assessed the factors associated with hospitalization risk among 429 LTCFs individuals aged 65 to 101 years from 11 LTCFs in Sweden, in a prospective study with three years of follow-up. They found that 45.7% of individuals were hospitalized at least once during the three-year follow-up period and 25.4% during the first six months of the study. The findings of the study revealed that undernutrition, fall history, use of a higher number of drugs (≥ 6.8), and cardiovascular illness, were positively associated with the increased risk of hospitalization (Hallgren et al., 2016). Lilac and colleagues investigated the association between polypharmacy or the use of nine or more regular medicines and medication regimen complexity (MRCI) with time to the first hospitalization, the number of hospitalizations, and the number of hospital days, over 12 months 28 and included 383 individuals from six Australian LTCFs. They found a positive association between polypharmacy and time to first hospitalization, number of hospitalizations, and hospital days per person-year. Similarly, in adjusted analyses, a 10-unit increase in MRCI was positively linked with the time to first hospitalization, the number of hospitalizations, and hospital days per person-year (lilac et al., 2016). Leung and colleagues looked at the frequency of emergency and hospitalization use among individuals with Alzheimer’s disease at admission and after a year in a single long-term care facility in Hong Kong. They enrolled 169 newly admitted individuals with Alzheimer's disease and found that 15.98% required hospitalization at admission, and 11.24% required emergency services during the last 90 days of admission assessment. The frequency of hospitalization was significantly correlated with polypharmacy or the use of three or more drugs as well as psychotropic drug use. The frequency of hospitalization and utilization of emergency services were also significantly positively correlated during a one-year follow-up with cognitive impairment and polypharmacy (Leung et al 2013). Co-morbidities, Disease Symptoms, and Age Studies examining the association between polypharmacy and diseases found a positive association; however, contradictory results were observed due to age. A cross-sectional study was conducted by Cristina and colleagues among 199 individuals, with a mean age of 84.3 years (SD = 6.7) from eight LTCFs in Cyprus, of which 67.8% had dementia and 35.6% were entirely dependent (non-mobile). They found the use of 10 or more drugs occurred in 15.5% of the individuals and was inversely associated with age 85 years or more and being demented. The mean CCI score was 5.54 (SD = 1.3) and was positively associated with age 85 years or above and the use of 10 or more drugs (Cristina Ionescu et al., 2021). Clare and colleagues performed a cross-sectional analysis of all medicines dispensed to 147 nursing care individuals in Scotland. In 29 total, 32.3% of individuals were using 10 or more drugs, and these were prevalent among individuals aged 70-74 years and 80-84 years. The use of 10 or more drugs was inversely linked to individuals with dementia. Across all adverse drug categories, PIMs of two medicines were seen, with the largest prevalence seen in drugs causing constipation (35.8%), sedation (27.7%), and renal damage (18.0%) (Clare et al., 2021). The Velázquez-Alva study examined the association between nutritional status, depressive symptoms, and the number of prescription medications among individuals residing in LTCFs in Mexico City. A total of 262 participants were recruited for a cross-sectional study with mean a age of 83.1 years (SD = 8.6). Nearly 2/3 of individuals (59.9%) in the study were at risk of being malnourished while 21.1% of the individuals were found to be malnourished. Regarding depression, 11.4% of individuals demonstrated severe depression, whereas 27.9% displayed mild depression. Individuals who took three or more prescription medications daily were five times more likely to be at risk for malnutrition or to be malnourished, and it was found that low nutritional status was linked to depression itself (Velázquez-Alva., 2020). In a cross-sectional study conducted in six LTCFs in British Columbia, Rita and colleagues assessed the overtreatment of diabetes and hypertension and its association with polypharmacy or the use of nine or more drugs in 214 individuals of which 48% were frail who received more than nine prescription medications. Over-treated diabetes was defined as the prescription of at least one hypoglycemic drug and hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) less than 7.5%, while over-treated hypertension was defined as the prescription of one blood pressure controlling drug when systolic pressure is less than 128 mm Hg. The individuals with polypharmacy were mostly diagnosed with hypertension and heart failure and were less likely with dementia. It was found that individuals in LTCFs appear to have a high rate of overtreated diabetes and hypertension, and polypharmacy was linked to more aggressive 30 treatment of these risk factors (Rita et al., 2019). Another cross-sectional analysis by Jokanovic and colleagues in Australia was performed to determine the prevalent medications and comorbidities among individuals with nine or more drug use across 27 LTCFs. They found that the use of nine or more drugs was positively associated with hypertension, depression, ischemic heart disease, diabetes without end-organ damage, chronic pulmonary disease, and a higher median CCI score among these individuals. While there was an inverse association between dementia and the use of nine or more drugs, no association was identified in cases of osteoarthritis, incontinence, cerebrovascular illness, or falls with polypharmacy. Moreover, analgesics and antipyretics, medications for constipation, antidepressants, antithrombotic agents, drugs for peptic ulcer and gastric reflux disease, opioids, high-ceiling diuretics, lipid-modifying agents, and beta-blocking agents were associated with the use of nine or more drugs. However, no association was observed between the usage of antipsychotics and polypharmacy (Jokanovic et al., 2017). Herson and colleagues conducted a cross-sectional analysis among individuals in six LTCFs in South Australia. They included 383 study participants, with a mean age of 87.5 (SD = 6.2) years and a median of 13.0 (1- 30) for regular and as-needed drugs. The average MRCI was 43.5 (4 – 113). High regimen complexity was associated with diabetes, congestive heart failure, and chronic pulmonary illnesses, whereas independence in ADLs and dementia diagnosis were inversely associated with high MRCI (Herson et al., 2015). Furthermore, Beloosesky and colleagues in a cross-sectional multicenter analysis investigated the association between the use of five or more drugs and age, length of stay, and comorbidities among 993 individuals, 75.5% of whom were fully dependent and 24.5% of whom were mobile demented and required institutional care, and with a mean age of 65 years. An inverse association was found between the use of five or more medicines and length of stay greater than two years and 31 older age groups. The usage of more than five medicines was found to be inversely associated with the age group of 65-74, 75-84, and 85 years or more, while being in the younger age group 65-74 years, was the risk factor for polypharmacy or use of five or more drugs. The mean CCI score was 2.45 (SD = 1.59) and no association between age and CCI score was found in these individuals. Individuals taking more than five medicines had a higher CCI score than those without polypharmacy: 2.99 (SD = 1.69) vs 2.04 (SD =1.38). The most commonly used drugs used among them were drugs for gastrointestinal, neurological, and cardiovascular problems (Beloosesky et al., 2013). In a cross-sectional analysis of 1,449 LTCFs individuals with advanced cognitive impairment participating in a study gathering data on individuals admitted to 57 LTCFs in eight countries known as Services and Health for Elderly in Long-Term Care project, Vetrano and colleagues assessed the prevalence and factors related to polypharmacy and found that the use of 10 or more drugs was directly associated with ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, Parkinson's disease, Alzheimer's disease, and hospitalization risk. Furthermore, the mean age of 84 years (SD = 9.0), ADLs, and the presence of a geriatrician on the LTCFs staff were found to have an inverse association with the usage of 10 or more medicines (Vetrano et al., 2013). In addition, Graziano and colleagues performed a cross-sectional analysis on 4,023 individuals admitted to 57 LTCFs in eight different countries. Of 24.3% of individuals taking 10 or more drugs was found to be strongly correlated with the existence of chronic diseases, as well as depression, pain, dyspnea, and gastrointestinal problems. A mean age of 83.3 years (SD = 8.8), ADLs disability, and cognitive impairment were found to have an inverse association with the use of 10 or more drugs among these individuals (Graziano et al., 2012). Apart from this Susan and colleagues conducted a cross-sectional study that included 64,394 individuals aged 66 years and older from 589 LTC facilities in Ontario, Canada. The use of nine or more drugs or 32 polypharmacy was found in 15.5% of individuals, which was strongly associated with the number of comorbidities, a CCI score of two or higher, and a length of stay of 90 days or less. Furthermore, individuals with polypharmacy had higher rates of cardiac, endocrine, and pulmonary disorders than those who used fewer drugs. Also, the prevalence of depression and anxiety was greater among individuals using nine or more drugs, and prescriptions from various doctors were also linked to higher odds of polypharmacy. The proportion of younger older individuals aged 66-74 years was higher among polypharmacy recipients compared to 66-74 years getting fewer than nine medications. Among individuals who received nine or more drug therapies concurrently, diuretics (68.2%), proton pump inhibitors (54.8%), and angiotensinconverting enzyme inhibitors (51.7%) were the most frequently recommended drug therapies. Additionally, individuals with polypharmacy were more likely to take psychoactive drugs including antipsychotics (37.5%), benzodiazepine derivatives (41.5%), and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (41.1%) (Susan et al., 2012). Frailty Studies investigating the association between polypharmacy and frailty have found mixed results. Villani and colleagues conducted a cross-sectional study based on data from the Services and Health for Elderly in Long-Term Care project to evaluate the association between frailty and polypharmacy and drug prescription patterns. 4,121 LTCFs individuals from Europe and Israel were included in the study, with 46.6% being frail with a mean age of 84.6 years (SD = 9.2). The use of five or more medicines, as well as the use of 10 or more medications, was found to be associated with a lower likelihood of frailty. In addition, polypharmacy (five or more drugs) and hyper polypharmacy (10 or more drugs) were significantly lower in frail individuals compared to non-frail individuals from old to older ages (80-85 years and greater than 85 years). Furthermore, 33 the use of symptomatic drugs such as laxatives, paracetamol, and opioids was more prevalent among frail individuals. Age, female sex, a history of falls, and delirium were all associated with a higher risk of being frail, and a history of stroke was also associated with a twofold increase in the likelihood of being frail, after adjusting factors for frailty. The likelihood of frailty was also associated with mild to severe cognitive impairment, but not with a dementia diagnosis (Villani et al., 2021). Hasan and colleagues investigated the association between frailty, anticholinergic, and sedative burden among 151 individuals aged 60 years or more and had at least one long-term medical condition, in a cross-sectional analysis involving 11 aged care facilities in Malaysia. The use of five or more drugs was found to be positively associated with frailty and anticholinergic and sedative burden in a substantial number of cognitively intact older adults (Hasan et al., 2020). Gutiérrez-Valencia and colleagues investigated the negative association between frailty, use of five or more drugs, and under-prescription in a cross-sectional analysis including 110 subjects of 65 years or older and living in two LTCFs in Spain of which 60.9% were frail. The participants' mean age was 86.3 years (SD = 7.3), and 73.6% of them took five or more chronic medications. The use of five or more drugs was found to be inversely associated with frailty. In addition, the frail population had a statistically significant greater prevalence of underprescription than the non-frail population (87.5% vs 50.0%) (Gutiérrez-Valencia et al., 2018). Renal Failure A positive association was found between polypharmacy and renal failure in one article. The association between the use of five or more drugs, particularly in renal failure patients was investigated by Dörks and colleagues in a cross-sectional study involving 21 German LTCFs and 685 individuals. 53.3% of individuals were taking five to nine drugs, while 16.4% were taking 10 or more drugs. Severe or moderate renal failure was prevalent in 63.6% of individuals and a 34 positive association was seen between the use of five to nine drugs with moderate to severe renal failure. Diuretics and psycholeptics were the two commonly prescribed drugs in them. Additionally, the use of five to nine drugs as well as a body mass index of 25.0 kg/m2 were found to be positively associated with diabetes, hypertension, and other health-related conditions (Dörks et al., 2016). Cognitive Function Studies examining the association between polypharmacy and cognition found a negative association. In a study by Davide and colleagues, LTCFs individuals from Europe and Israel were examined for their one-year changes in physical and cognitive function. A sample size of 3,234 individuals with an average age of 83.4 years was taken. In total, 50% of individuals used five to nine drugs, and 24% used 10 or more. With increasing polypharmacy status, the prevalence of ischemic heart disease, heart failure, stroke, Parkinson's disease, dementia, diabetes, cancer, and symptoms like pain, dyspnea, and depressive symptoms increased. The higher cognitive performance scale showed a larger decline in cognitive function in individuals using five to nine drugs and those using 10 drugs compared to individuals using less than five drugs. However, ADLs did not significantly change with polypharmacy status (Davide et al., 2018). Moore and colleagues collected data for 380 individuals over three months retrospectively from client databases at four Victorian Public Sector Residential Aged Care Services in Australia. The results of the logistic regression models revealed that individuals with a higher body mass index were 6% less likely to fall, while high levels of cognitive impairment increased the risk of falling by 8%. Also using a gait aid while ambulant doubled the risk of falling in individuals compared to individuals who were not ambulant, and a higher cognitive impairment 35 was associated with a 6% reduction in the likelihood of polypharmacy or the use of nine or more drugs (Moore et al., 2014). Two studies conducted Nationwide in Sweden longitudinally investigated polypharmacy including LTCFs individuals. In the study by Morin and colleagues, the proportion of time spent with polypharmacy increases with age 75 years or older, as well as with multidose drug dispensing over regular prescriptions. The proportion of LTCFs individuals with an amount of time spent with polypharmacy was higher than the proportion of community dwellers (90.7% vs 79.1%) (Morin et al., 2018). Furthermore, Wastesson and colleagues found that factors associated with chronic polypharmacy included older age, female sex, being in an institution, chronic multimorbidity, and multidose dispensing (Wastesson et al., 2019). A survey-based analysis conducted by Jokanovic and colleagues in Australia involving health care professionals found that the top five factors contributing to polypharmacy among aged care facilities included changes in resident mix, rising numbers of prescribers, avoidance by one prescriber to discontinue medications given by a different prescriber, adherence to clinical guidelines, increasing reliance on locum not aware with residence medical history and more management of pain pharmacologically (Jokanovic et al., 2016). Mortality In a retrospective analysis, Visser and colleagues investigated the association between the number of drugs used and the 30-day COVID-related death rate among Netherlands nursing home residents with mostly dementia who were diagnosed with COVID-19. 384 individuals from 15 nursing homes, with a median age of 84 years (65% female), were included in the study. While accounting for age, sex, CCI, BMI, and vaccination status, the researchers used multivariable logistic regression analyses to assess the effect of polypharmacy on COVID- 36 related mortality. According to the study, taking more prescription drugs was linked to a higher 30-day COVID-related mortality risk, particularly among nursing home residents who were not vaccinated (Visser et al., 2023). Additionally, longitudinal cohort research conducted by Zazzara and colleagues using information from the Services and Health for Elderly in Long Term Care (SHELTER) study evaluated the increased risk of death among nursing home residents who were taking five to nine drugs (polypharmacy) or ten drugs or more (hyper polypharmacy), as well as whether this risk is affected by the presence of frailty or disability. In total, 4023 nursing home residents from 50 European and 7 Israeli facilities were evaluated. The individuals were assessed by the researchers using the interRAI - LongTerm Care assessment tool. The study found that among residents of nursing homes, frailty, and disability were the greatest predictors of death. While among non-frail participants, multimorbidity and hyper-polypharmacy (taking 10 or more medications) were positively associated with a higher risk of death (Zazzara et al., 2023). Discussion Overall, this review suggests that polypharmacy is common among individuals living in LTCFs. However, the prevalence varies among individuals depending on the definition used and in different age groups. This review also identified different definitions of polypharmacy used in the literature with a cutoff of 5 or more drugs being the most popular. Several factors were shown to be associated with polypharmacy including a higher CCI score, co-morbidities, hospitalization risk, drug-drug interactions, adverse drug events, risk of falls, depression, and the number of prescribers. Factors inversely associated with polypharmacy included cognitive impairment, dementia, frailty, and activity of daily life disabilities. In 2 studies, polypharmacy was found to be positively associated with mortality risk. Visser et al. (2023) found that nursing home residents with COVID-19 disease who took five or 37 more drugs had a higher risk of COVID-19 related mortality within 30 days emphasizing the importance of reducing the number of medications prescribed and improving vaccination rates in this vulnerable population. While Zazzara et al. (2023) found a positive association between the use of 10 or more drugs and a high risk of mortality among nursing home residents suggesting that identification of individuals who are non-frail and have multimorbidity or hyper polypharmacy may help in tailoring their medication use through deprescription, which could improve their outcomes. Polypharmacy was found to be positively associated with fall risks in five studies (Bor et al., 2017; Clare et al., 2021; Díaz et al., 2020; Marhanis et al., 2019; Nozomu et al., 2022). Since dementia is one of the common disorders among LTCFs individuals which is also evident from our results, more than half of all falls were impacted by the use of psychotropic medications to treat the behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia in long-term care homes. It is, therefore, crucial to accurately assess the need for psychiatric medications in these individuals and to monitor the fall risk to prevent injuries due to falls in older adults (Jester et al., 2021). Old age was found to be inversely associated with a lower prevalence of polypharmacy in 5 studies (Astrop et al., 2020; Beloosesky et al., 2013; Cadenas et al., 2021; Graziano et al., 2012; Vetrano et al., 2013) and positively associated in 2 studies (Clare et al., 2021; Dörks et al., 2016). A range of factors may be postulated for these mixed findings. The decreased prevalence of polypharmacy in older age or individuals who are 85 years or older is likely due to the dearth of information regarding the benefits of chronic therapy in older individuals with a shorter life expectancy. When starting a new therapeutic regimen, the time required for therapeutic efficacy is evaluated against life expectancy. There has been increasing focus on the discontinuation of unnecessary medications and the fact that frailty has also been linked to an increased risk of 38 adverse drug events (Cullinan et al., 2016) which may result in a lower number of medications used in the oldest individuals (Ouellet et al., 2018; Wastesson et al., 2017). However, comorbidity burden in older ages and adherence to specific clinical guidelines could explain this positive association. The common comorbid conditions in older adults living in LTCFs that have been documented included cardiovascular diseases, hypertension, diabetes, musculoskeletal, mental, gastrointestinal, and behavioral problems (Moore Et al., 2014) which supports our findings that polypharmacy is linked to these pathologies and a high CCI score. Because clinical practice guidelines suggest combination treatment for these conditions, therefore, prescriber’s adherence to clinical guidelines frequently results in complex prescriptions and infrequently offers suggestions tailored specifically to older individuals with multimorbidity, resulting in polypharmacy (Tinetti et al., 2019). While complicated regimens could be unavoidable, it's not obvious how much they reflect the attitude of practitioners toward achieving tight therapeutic control (Maxwell et al., 2016). Furthermore, the prevalence of pain among individuals in residential long-term care was reported to be as high as 80%, with significant variation between institutions (Lukas et al., 2013), and greater management of pain mong LTCFs individuals was found to be associated with polypharmacy which is consistent with our findings. The occurrence of various adverse drug reactions and drug-drug interactions is one of the polypharmacy’s key challenges and could be a strong predictor for an increase in hospitalization risks and emergency department visits as evident from the results of this study. The increase in the number of PIM use among LTCFs individuals was shown to be a major determinant in potential adverse reactions and drug-drug interactions, while Diez and colleagues reported the highest prevalence of PIM use in 96.8% of individuals (Diez et al., 2021), proton pump inhibitors are found to be the most commonly overprescribed medications worldwide, presenting 39 30-50% of inappropriate prescriptions with the prevalence of 79.7% among LTCFs facility individuals (Chubert et al., 2018; Lanas et al., 2016; Schnoll-Sussman et al., 2020). Furthermore, drug duplication due to benzodiazepines and overdoses of citalopram, escitalopram, and other antidepressants are found to be associated with notable prolongation of QT in individuals of all ages (Crépeau-Gendron et al., 2019). The findings emphasize the significance of undertaking a clinical review of each medicine to confirm the suitability of therapy and avoid pharmaceutical overprescribing in older adults. Combining organized medication reviews with adverse event assessments aids in the identification and evaluation of drug-related problems. When treating older adults with coexisting cognitive impairment, it is important to avoid drugs that may impair cognition or cause delirium and behavioral symptoms, and the criteria given by the American Geriatrics Society's Beers criteria or the STOPP/START criteria (O’Mahony et al., 2015) is recommended. In addition, given the potential clinical importance of herbal drug interactions (Babos et al., 2021), it is important to include so-called poly-herbal medication in future studies to address the potential polypharmacy concerns in older adults. This review also found a significant positive association between polypharmacy and depression. LTCFs have a high prevalence of depressive illnesses due to biological and psychosocial factors such as loneliness and lack of social connection. Biological reasons include depression due to medical conditions linked to vascular abnormalities in the brain known as latelife vascular depression. Individuals in LTCFs exhibit elevated levels of neuroticism and are also more susceptible to depression, and as a result, they require more medication to treat their symptoms (Sachs et al., 2014; Virtanen et al., 2017). The findings in this review also revealed a complicated two-way link between polypharmacy and malnutrition. Drugs may affect one's taste buds, hyposalivation, and appetite, 40 all of which would lead to a reduction in the amount of food consumed. The development of comorbidities, on the other hand, is linked to poor nutritional status and will consequently necessitate the use of medication for therapy (Kok et al., 2022). Due to this reciprocal link, doctors need to exercise caution when prescription medications to older adults. Studies examining the association between dementia, cognitive impairment, and frailty with polypharmacy showed an inverse association. This may be explained by LTCFs individuals' specific characteristics, such as short life expectancy and high prevalence of functional and cognitive loss (Jerez-Roig et al., 2017), and frailty management tends to be focused on specific therapies to adjust the therapeutic goals, which could play a role in the decision of less prescribing. The Inverse association of cognitive impairment with polypharmacy could be related to our findings of a higher decline on the Cognitive Performance Scale in individuals with polypharmacy where harmful effects of anti-anticholinergics on cognitive function are documented (Satabdi et al., 2020). Furthermore, the inverse association between dementia with complex drug regimen is suggestive of doctors deprescribing to individuals with dementia and demonstrate a switch in treatment approach from curative to palliative. Long-term preventive treatment may not be as beneficial for these individuals as short-term control of symptoms (Sawan et al., 2021). Strengths and Limitations A thorough literature search was conducted in this literature review guided by Scopus review methodology to find relevant articles to include in this review, to determine the range of factors that are associated with polypharmacy including prescriber-related factors. Another strength of this study is that it covered all definitions of polypharmacy as well as the time to define polypharmacy and the inclusion and exclusion of over the counter and supplements. This 41 review also investigated the prevalence of polypharmacy in various age groups. However, quality check of the studies included in this review was not performed because the main focus was to gather the information from all available literature. Furthermore, this review did not include any study on factors associated with polypharmacy in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic in Canada due to the limitations of the currently available evidence and the fact that no studies have been conducted as of yet, to the best of our knowledge, in the setting of residential long-term care institutions. Implications for Practice and Future Recommendations. The study underlines the necessity of reviewing routine drug dispensing for long-term care individuals to reduce the likelihood of drug-related issues, identify diseases that do not require therapies, and differentiate between inappropriate and appropriate polypharmacy. A comprehensive medication review together with adverse events assessment by an interdisciplinary team of doctors, nurses, and pharmacists, may help to reduce drug-drug interactions, inappropriate medications, and adverse drug reactions in LTCFs individuals. Physicians should routinely monitor the cognitive functioning, polypharmacy, and psychiatric medication use of long-term care individuals who have various pathologies. For appropriate prescribing, it is also important to consider the benefit-to-risk ratio of psychotropic and fall risk medications in frail individuals. To assist caregivers in keeping track of their individuals' health and determining the need for additional medical evaluation, all LTCFs should provide a concise medication checklist on the common medications that have an elevated risk of causing falls and other harm in individuals. Dosage adjustments should be undertaken with caution, and the use of contraindicated medications should be avoided. Computerized decision-assisting tools and electronic monitoring of adverse reactions should be taken into account when determining the 42 appropriateness of medications for long- term care individuals. Furthermore, LTCFs care should limit individuals' access to outside clinics and treatment should be provided by a small number of specifically designated clinicians. The adoption of consumer-driven service delivery models by healthcare professionals and involving planned care for individuals’ clinical outcomes may reduce polypharmacy related issues. An important strategy that could help to optimize pharmacological therapy is to assess potentially improper prescribing in older individuals as per the STOPP/START and BEERS criteria (O'Mahony et al., 2015). A more careful and evidence-based strategy is required when treating any acute condition, especially in the context of COVID-19 disease, keeping the burden of pills in mind. International recommendations advise non-pharmacological music or psychological therapies for dementia patients as a first-line treatment approach and switching to pharmacological therapy when the former does not work. More interventional and longitudinal investigations are required to reduce the number of medical facilities and to ascertain how polypharmacy can change over time respectively, to guide strategies for reduction of polypharmacy in LTCFs individuals. Future studies should pay more attention to potential additive effects, and there is a need to further investigate the causes of greater utilization of acute care services. In addition, further research examining the appropriateness of drugs, potential combinations, adverse medication interactions, and the clinical importance of herbal medicine interactions involving a substantial number of nursing facilities should also be considered. Observational studies on polypharmacy as a time-varying exposure can be conducted to see whether longer exposure to polypharmacy raises the risk of harmful effects or whether these risks are dangerous even with brief exposure. Individuals, prescribers, and facility factors that may have contributed to the variation in polypharmacy 43 would also be noteworthy. Future studies should examine the prevalence of polypharmacy in the COVID-19 pandemic and the factors associated with it, in addition to how the variety of risk factors and early symptoms may help clinicians’ decisions about treatment strategies. Further investigations should evaluate the benefit-to-risk ratio while prescribing and create a comprehensive understanding and detection of cases of inappropriate polypharmacy among older adults. Studies are needed to determine how the severity of various conditions affects polypharmacy's chronicity and the fact that polypharmacy is not only linked to an increased risk of overprescribing inappropriate medications but has also been linked to an increased risk of under prescribing of possibly beneficial medications. Furthermore, investigations to clarify the role of drugs in dementia or the impact of medicine cessation in individuals with end-stage dementia are required as dementia is a chronic disease with changing goals of care at each stage. It is necessary to conduct more research to see whether the regimen simplification process would be aided by including a tool, such as the drug regimen complexity, in routine medication examination. Future research should examine the long-term effects of individual drug classes on the emergence of polypharmacy and the harms related to the frequent prescribing of particular drug classes in individuals with polypharmacy. Conclusions Individuals in LTCFs have a high prevalence of polypharmacy which varies depending on the definitions employed. Polypharmacy was associated with several factors. Comorbidities, high CCI index, drug-drug interactions, adverse drug events, falls, hospitalization risks, and prescriber-related factors all showed significant positive associations with polypharmacy. Age, cognitive impairment, Activity of daily life disability, and dementia were all negatively 44 correlated with polypharmacy. Future longitudinal and interventional research on risk factors associated with polypharmacy may guide to inform strategies to reduce polypharmacy. 45 Chapter 2: Analyzing Factors Associated with Polypharmacy; Aims and Methods Aim The purpose of this study is to explore the risk factors associated with polypharmacy among individuals newly admitted in LTCFs before and during COVID-19 pandemic in Canada. Research Questions Research Question 1 Which sociodemographic factors, clinical scales, mental health conditions, and specific clinical assessment protocols (CAPs) are associated with a greater risk of polypharmacy among individuals in LTCFs in both the pandemic and pre-pandemic cohorts, and are the findings statistically significant between individuals with no polypharmacy and polypharmacy in both cohorts? Research Question 2 What is the prevalence of polypharmacy, as well as antipsychotic, antidepressant, antianxiety, and hypnotic medications among individuals newly admitted in LTCFs in prepandemic and pandemic cohorts? Data Collection Data Source The Continuous Care Reporting System (CCRS) database was used to assess record-level data for individuals in residential LTCFs in Canada from 2019 to 2021. The CCRS database contains demographic, clinical, functional, and resource utilization information on individuals receiving continuing care services in hospitals or long-term care homes in Canada and was used to collect information about data variables of individuals receiving continuous care services in long-term care homes in Canada. Data is primarily collected using the Resident Assessment 46 Instrument Minimum Data Set (RAI-MDS 2.0), a clinical assessment instrument developed by http://www.interrai.org/. The RAI-MDS 2.0 is a comprehensive assessment that is used to assess the preferences, needs, and strengths of individuals who live and receive care in residential and hospital-based continuing care facilities. It is a method for monitoring important changes in each resident's health status upon admission, quarterly, and annually. It also offers a picture of the services they receive. The non-profit international research network interRAI created this standardized clinical assessment to enhance care for individuals with complicated medical issues. The RAI MDS 2.0 information is submitted to CCRS together with administrative, demographic, and resource use data and made available in Canada for care planning and monitoring, quality improvement, and resource allocation (Hutchinson et al., 2010). Data Set Data of newly admitted individuals who had their initial evaluations completed at the time of admission was collected. The individuals were divided into two groups. Individuals admitted to LTCFs during the fiscal year January 1 st, 2019 - December 1st, 2019, were classified into the pre-pandemic cohort, whereas those admitted during the fiscal year March 1st, 2020, to March 1st, 2021, were classified in the pandemic cohort. Data Cleaning The first step in preparing the dataset for analysis was data cleaning. The total dataset received in CSV format contained 107,352 records including the initial admission assessment and first follow up assessment, which was then imported into SPSS. The variables that were not relevant to the analysis were removed from the SPSS dataset by constructing syntax for removing variables. Furthermore, cases involving tracheostomy and ventilator use were excluded 47 using the SPSS case selection method (107 cases of tracheostomy and 89 cases of ventilator use) due to a different clinical context, medication patterns, and treatment goals in these cases than the study target population and focus. Specifically, a total of 56 cases with missing polypharmacy information were removed from the dataset. Following data cleaning steps, the dataset underwent a structural transformation from a longitudinal to a wide format in SPSS. This restructuring was done to separate and organize the data into two distinct assessment types, which were the initial assessment and the first follow-up assessment, to facilitate the subsequent analysis. The final dataset comprised 53,550 records in the initial assessment and 53,550 records in the first follow-up assessment. Finally, the analysis focused on examining the associations between sociodemographic factors, clinical scales, mental health conditions, and CAPs during the initial assessment at baseline with polypharmacy observed in the first follow-up assessment (completed with 92 days following initial assessment). String Variables Recoding For the purpose of analysis, certain variables underwent re-coding to establish more meaningful and interpretable categories. The variable "Number of Medicines" was redefined into two categories: "polypharmacy" (representing individuals taking five or more medicines) and "no polypharmacy" (encompassing those taking 0 to 4 medicines). Similarly, the Body Mass Index (BMI) Group variable was transformed into categorical groups: 0 denoting a healthy weight (used as the reference category), 1 for underweight, 2 for overweight (excluding obesity), 3 for Class I obesity, 4 for Class II obesity, and 5 for Class III obesity; later, these were further reclassified into broader BMI categories of healthy weight, underweight, overweight, and obesity. The "Age Group" initially underwent categorization into age ranges: 0 for individuals younger than 65 years (used as the reference category),1 for 65-69 years, 2 = 70-74 years, 3 = 48 75-79 years, 4 = 80-84 years, 5 = 85-89 years, 6 = 90-94 years, 7 = 95 and above, subsequently, these were reclassified into "less than 65 years old," "young-old (65-74 years)," "middle-old (7584 years)," and "oldest-old (85 years and above)" groups. The "DRS group" string variable was recoded as follows: 0 for no depression symptoms (used as the reference category), 1 for some depression symptoms (1-2), and 3 for possible depressive disorder (3-14). The "ABS group" was recoded into ABS categories: 0 for no aggressive behavior (used as the reference category), 1 for moderate aggressive behavior (1-2), 2 for severe aggressive behavior (3-5), and 3 for very severe aggressive behavior (6 or more instances). Similarly, the "CPS group" was recoded into "CPS_category": 0 for relatively intact cognitive functioning (0-1) (used as the reference category), 1 for mild to moderate impairment (2-3), and 2 for severe impairment (4-6). Lastly, the "Pain group" was recoded into pain categories: 0 for no pain (used as the reference category), 1 for less than daily pain, 2 for daily pain without severity, and 3 for severe pain. Crosstabulation was performed on all recoded variables to confirm the accuracy of the recoding process and ensure that the new categories aligned with the intended definitions. Definition of Polypharmacy This study used the most common definition of polypharmacy, which is the use of five or more drugs (Masnoon et al., 2017), and includes all over-the-counter and prescription medications given within the last seven days via any route (oral, IV, injection, patch, etc.), as well as topical treatments such as ointments, creams, eyedrops, vitamins, and suppositories in addition to any medications the resident takes on their own. Measurements The variables were assessed across four domains and considered as associated factors: sociodemographic factors, clinical scales, mental health conditions, and CAPs. 49 Sociodemographic Factors The sociodemographic and lifestyle factors included age groups (in years), sex (male or female), daily use of tobacco and weekly alcohol use dichotomized as yes or no, and BMI (kg/m2). Clinical Scales InterRAI LTCF outcome scales are standardized algorithms detailed in the Canadian Institute of Health Information (CIHI) reference guide, which categorizes an individual in standardized clinical domains and includes information on the outcome scale description, items used for calculation, and an example of an individual with a specific score. InterRAI verified the outcome scales against available gold standard measurements when developing the scales. The assessment during admission into LTCFs provides baseline scales for an individual which can be monitored quarterly to evaluate the changes over time to provide comprehensive information to clinicians, policymakers, managers, and researchers to enhance quality of life and care. (Canadian Institute for Health Information [CIHI], 2021). The following clinical scales were included in this study: Aggressive Behavior Scale (ABS), Activities of Daily Living Scale (ADL), Depression Rating Scale (DRS), Cognitive Performance Scale (CPS), and Pain Scale (PS) (Status and Outcome Scales | interRAI, n.d). The ABS is used as a tool to determine the severity of aggressive behavior in an individual based on the frequency of verbal and physical abuse, as well as behavior that was disruptive in social settings and care-resistance. Scores on the scale range from 0 to 12, with higher values indicating higher levels of aggressive behavior, and classified individuals with no aggressive behavior (0), moderate aggressive behavior (1-2), severe aggressive behavior (3-5), and with very severe aggressive behavior (6-12) (Perlman & Hirdes., 2008). 50 The scores on CPS range from 0 to 6 and evaluated the cognitive performance status of an individual as relatively intact (0-1), mild to moderate cognitive impairment (2-3), and very severe cognitive impairment (4-6). The scores on cognitive performance are calculated using four items including two cognitive (short-term memory and decision-making), one communicative (ability to make oneself understood), and one ADL factor such as eating (Morris et al., 1994). The PS determines the severity of pain and ranges from 0 to 3 based on frequency and intensity of pain, with 0 indicating no pain, 1 suggesting less than daily pain, 2 representing daily but not severe pain, and 3 indicating severe daily pain (Fries et al., 2001). The DRS screens the depression level in individuals which ranges from 0 to 12 based on seven items such as making negative statements, being persistently angry with oneself or others, expressing unrealistic fears, repetitive health complaints, persistent anxious complaints/concerns, saddened/ worried expression on the face, and tearfulness and crying. The scores on the scale categorized an individual’s depression severity as having no depression symptoms (0), having some depressive symptoms (1-2), and having possible depressive symptoms (3-14) (Burrows et al., 2000). The ADL term refers to essential skills required to independently take care of oneself, such as moving, eating, and bathing initially described by Sidney Katz (Katz, 1983). The ADL Self Performance Hierarchy Scale depicts disablement by categorizing ADL performance levels into distinct degrees of loss, such as early loss for personal hygiene, middle loss for toileting and mobility, and late loss for eating. The scores on the scale ranged from 0 to 6, and higher levels imply a higher decline in ADL performance indicating a progressive decline. The scale uses 4 items including personal hygiene, toilet use, locomotion, and eating to code ADL performance as 51 follows: Independent (0), At least supervision in one ADL (1), Limited assistance in one or more of the 4 ADL (2); At least extensive assistance in personal hygiene or toilet use (3); Maximum assistance in eating or locomotion (4); Dependent in eating or locomotion (5); and complete dependence in four ADL items (6) (Morris, 1999). Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs) CAPs employ MDS-coded items to generate person-centered assessment areas that help in complete care or service planning. Through standard protocols, CAPs assist in continuity of care planning and encourage collaborative decision-making by identifying potential areas for referral to specialized services for individuals who could benefit from further evaluations of particular problems because their risk of decline is higher than expected, their potential for improvement has increased, or their symptoms could be reduced if the problem were addressed (Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs) | interRAI, 2021.) CAPs can be triggered at distinct levels, such as triggered to facilitate improvement or detect risk levels or triggered to prevent decline or identify risk levels (Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI), 2008; Fries et al., 2007). The CAPs included and defined in this study are clinical issues CAPs such as Falls CAP; Pain CAP; Cardio-Pulmonary Conditions CAP; Under Nutrition CAP; Dehydration CAP; Urinary incontinence CAP; Functional Performance CAPs including ADL; Cognition CAPs including Cognitive loss (interRAI Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs) for Use with Community and Long-Term Care Assessment Instruments, (Standard English Edition), 9.1.2 | interRAI Catalog, n.d.). Falls Clinical Assessment Protocols A fall is defined as a change in position that is unintentional and causes an individual to land on a lower level, such as the floor, ground, or seat. The Falls CAP identifies underlying fall 52 risks, alters those risks, and identifies common pathways between falls, incontinence, and further decline. The prevention of falls is part of an overall objective to increase physical activity and improve quality of life. The Fall CAP triggers identify two categories of individuals for specialized follow-up. 1) Fall CAP triggered into the high-risk group for future falls based on the history of multiple falls, and 2) Fall CAP triggered into the medium risk category for future falls based on the history of a single fall. 3) Not triggered due to no history of falls (Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI), n.d.) and coded as (0 = Not Triggered, 1 = Triggered into the medium risk of future falls group, 2 = Triggered into the high risk of future falls group). Cardiopulmonary Conditions Clinical Assessment Protocols The InterRAI cardio-respiratory conditions CAPs in LTCFs include specific triggers that allow healthcare professionals to begin a comprehensive assessment and design a care plan for individuals with cardiovascular or respiratory problems. The Cardio-pulmonary CAP triggers are based on clinical symptoms suggesting the presence of a cardio-respiratory condition or an increased risk of developing one. The cardiopulmonary CAP Triggers determine whether the symptom is present and include individuals who present with any of the following symptoms such as chest pain, Shortness of breath, irregular pulse, dizziness, systolic blood pressure greater than 200 or less than 100 mmHg, respiratory rate greater than 20 breath per minute, Heart rate greater than 100 beats per minute or less than 50 per minute, oxygen saturation less than 94 %. Individuals in not triggered group Included those who do not display any of the symptoms listed above and coded as 0 = Not Triggered, 1 = Triggered. Undernutrition Clinical Assessment Protocols Undernutrition is defined by the BMI (person weight to height ratio) and ranges from less than 18 BMI for mild undernutrition, 16 to 18 BMI for moderate undernutrition, and to less than 53 16 BMI for severe undernutrition. Undernutrition CAPs address the root causes, medical conditions, or medicines that contribute to and increase the risk of undernutrition, to implement a reasonable treatment plan to ensure adequate caloric intake. The overall goal is to improve quality of life by preventing further weight loss and negative effects of undernutrition. The undernutrition CAPs have three levels based on BMI, and weight and height are the parameters when calculating this trigger. Individuals are divided into two categories based on the triggers 1); high-risk triggered and include those who have a baseline BMI score below 19 and are usually considered underweight. Half of the individuals in this group regularly left 25% of their food uneaten and are more likely to lose weight in the future than others 2); Triggered- Medium risk and include those with BMI of 19 to 21, and one out of every five residents of LTCFs will have a BMI of 18 or less in next assessment. At most meals, four out of 10 individuals typically leave 25% of the food uneaten. The CAP for undernutrition is coded as 0 = Not Triggered, 1 = Triggered - medium risk, and 2 = Triggered - high risk, in this study. Dehydration Clinical Assessment Protocols When the body loses more water than is being consumed (via breathing, sweating, defecating), it is said to be dehydrated. Dehydration CAPs overall goal is to identify and treat the main causes of dehydration, to rehydrate the patient, to establish a suitable approach to lab testing and monitoring to ensure recovery and the maintenance of a proper fluid balance, to prevent associated complications like hypotension, falls, delirium, and constipation, and to offer comfort to those whose treatment is primarily supportive. The interRAI assessment instrument's two elements, such as dehydration and insufficient fluid intake, which both contribute to more serious clinical relevance, serve as the basis for these CAPs. There are two trigger levels: high and low, and those who are in the high-level category show one or more overt signs of 54 dehydration. A physician needs to examine them promptly based on their clinical course. Those in the low-level group might be able to manage if their hydration intake is increased and they are closely monitored, even if they still need close clinical monitoring. Individuals in the triggered high-level category were first identified as dehydrated or receiving insufficient hydration. Second, they have been evaluated as having one or more of the following reasons for dehydration complications: diarrhea, vomiting, delirium, fever, dizziness, syncope, constipation, and weight loss. Triggered low level category individuals have been classified as dehydrated or receiving insufficient fluid but do not have any of the accompanying conditions listed in the triggered high-level group. The coding for undernutrition CAPs trigger is given as 0 = Not Triggered, 1 = Triggered - low level, 2 = Triggered - high level. Urinary Incontinence Clinical Assessment Protocols Urinary incontinence is defined as the inability to control urine as required in a socially appropriate manner. The overall goal of care is to recognize urinary incontinence and establish the cause, to expedite improvement in bladder function in those who could improve by instituting appropriate diagnostic and therapeutic interventions, and second to prevent worsening of bladder function who respond to treatment. The categories of individuals triggered to require specialized follow-up are. Triggered to facilitate improvement in bladder function and included individuals with all of these characteristics: 1) experiencing recurrent incontinence episodes with no urine output (even less than weekly); 2) possess at least a basic level of cognitive capabilities (i.e., independence or modified independence in cognitive ability for daily decision-making; 3) are not entirely dependent or receiving substantial assistance in movement; 4) and fulfill one or both of the acute triggering conditions listed below; 1) There is no regular schedule for toileting; or 2) 55 one or more of the following conditions, such as hip fracture, recent decline in ADLs, use of an indwelling catheter, pneumonia, or diarrhea, may indicate a more recent onset of incontinence or that it may improve. Triggered to prevent decline- a higher rate of decline is expected. The individuals of this group exhibit all of these characteristics: 1) less than weekly recurrent incontinence episodes or no incontinence episodes; 2) independence to mild cognitive impairment for daily decisionmaking; 3) and failure to meet the aforementioned acute criteria under improvement trigger (the schedule toileting program and fluctuating status). Not Triggered- Continent: Include individuals who are continent during assessment time. Not Triggered-Poor Decision Making: Individuals in this category were evaluated as having severe cognitive impairments or no discernible consciousness for daily decision-making at the time of assessment. The CAPs for urinary incontinence trigger are coded as 0 = Not Triggered; 1 = Not Triggered - continent at baseline; 2 = Triggered to prevent decline; 3 = Triggered to facilitate improvement. Mental Health Conditions. Factors related to mental health conditions included, a history of mental illness, Depression, Anxiety Disorder, Mania, Schizophrenia, Cerebral Palsy, Parkinson's Disorder, Seizure Disorders, and Multiple Sclerosis coded as 0, 1 (No or yes). The disease diagnosis and other health conditions occurring frequently in LTCFs are classified and coded according to ICD-10-CA (International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th Revision, Canada) (Canadian Institute for Health Information [CIHI], 2022; Codes and Classifications for Clinical Health Data, n.d). 56 Data Quality CIHI maintains rigorous data quality standards and ensures the accuracy and reliability of data about Canadian healthcare for informed decision-making. (Data and Information Quality, n.d.) Ethical Consideration The study did not require ethical approval from the University of Northern BC Research Ethics Board since the analysis was based on the use of de-identified secondary data. Data Analysis IBM SPSS Statistics Version 28.0 for Windows was used for data analysis (IBM Corporation, 2021). The descriptive statistics of categorical variables were expressed in terms of frequencies and percentages. The chi-square test of independence was used in both pre-pandemic and pandemic groups to examine the association between categorical independent factors with two levels and dependent variable polypharmacy with two levels (yes, no). Binary logistic regression was used to determine the association between independent factors with more than two levels and the categorical dependent variable of polypharmacy (yes, no). The unadjusted odd ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were determined, and a p value less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Multiple regression analysis was done to compute the adjusted ORs. 57 Chapter 3: Results The results chapter highlighted the associations between sociodemographic factors, clinical scales, mental health conditions, and CAPs at baseline during the initial assessment of newly admitted individuals in LTCFs with polypharmacy at the time of first follow-up assessment. The results of unadjusted analysis which is defined as a bivariate relationship between an independent and dependent variable that does not control for confounders (Voils et al., 2011), revealed the associations of various factors with polypharmacy in both the prepandemic and pandemic cohorts. These associations were further examined using adjusted analysis which is defined as analysis that accounts for the influence of cofounding variables to reveal true relationships between primary independent variables with the outcome variable in the study (Voils et al., 2011). The results chapter also highlights the prevalence of polypharmacy and psychotropic medication classes (antidepressants, antipsychotics, anti-anxiety, and hypnotics) among newly admitted individuals in LTCFs in pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts during their first follow-up assessment. Bivariate Analysis Sociodemographic Factors A total of 53,550 new admissions into LTCFs were included in the dataset, with 57.0% (n = 20,544) in pre-pandemic, and 43.0% (n = 23,006) in the pandemic cohort. In terms of sex, a total of 61.3% (n = 32,829) were females, whereas 38.7% (n = 20,710) were males. The total number of admissions was highest for individuals in the oldest-old category, 50.1% (n =26,826) (51.2% pre-pandemic vs 48.6% pandemic). The prevalent medical conditions among individuals were hypertension (61.2% vs 62.1%), dementia (50.4% vs 50.2%) arthritis (35.4% vs 32.8%), 58 depression (25.4% vs 24.8%), and diabetes mellitus (25.2% vs 25.7%) in pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts, respectively (Figure 3.1). Medical conditions Figure 3.1: Prevalent Medical Conditions Among Individuals in Pre-pandemic N = 30,544 (January 1st, 2019 – December 1st, 2019) and Pandemic Cohorts N = 23,006 (March 1st, 2020 – March 1st, 2021) HYPERTENSION DEMENTIA ARTHRITIS DEPRESSION DIABETES GASTRO INTESTINAL DISEASE OSTEOPOROSIS HYPOTHYROIDISM CEREBORVASCULAR ACCIDENTS EMPHYSEMA ANXIETY DISORDER HEART FAILURE ARTERIO HEART DISEASE ANEMIA CONSTIPATION RENAL FAILURE CANCER PARKINSON ARRYTHMIA PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE ASTHMA SEIZURE DISORDER DIARRHEA ANTIBIOTIC RESISTANT INFECTION SCHIZOPHERENIA HYPOTENSION MANIA 0 25 50 75 100 Percentages pandemic (%) pre-pandemic (%) Medication Dispensing The medication dispensing depicted that polypharmacy was observed in 89.8% (N = 48,065) of individuals, with 89.5% (n = 27,323) in the pre-pandemic and 90.2% (n = 20,747) in the pandemic cohort. In total, 58.50% (n = 31,346) were taking more than nine drugs, with 59 57.5% (n = 17,570) taking more than nine in the pre-pandemic, and 59.9% (n = 13,776) taking more than nine drugs in the pandemic cohort. Notably, antipsychotic dispensing increased significantly among individuals in the pandemic cohort, rising from 27.3% in the pre-pandemic to 32.4% in the pandemic. Antidepressant dispensing, which was the most commonly dispensed medication in both cohorts, increased slightly in the pandemic to 54.4% from 52.3% in prepandemic, while hypnotic dispensing increased to 8.6% in pandemic from 7.5% in the prepandemic. Antianxiety dispensing remained relatively stable across both cohorts, with rates of 8.8% in the pre-pandemic and 9.2% in the pandemic (Figure 3.2). Figure 3.2: Medications Dispensing Patterns in LTCFs Individuals in Pre-pandemic N = 30,544 (January,1st – December 1st, 2019) and Pandemic Cohorts N = 23,006 (March 1st, 2020 – March 1st, 2021) 100 PRE-PANDEMIC Percentage 75 PANDEMIC 50 *** 25 0 POLYPHARMACY ANTI-DEPRESSANTS ANTI-PSYCHOTICS ANTI-ANXIETY HYPNOTICS Psychotropic Medications Note: *** represents statistical significance p < 0.001 In the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts, 85.1% vs 86.3% of individuals always had polypharmacy, 7.8% vs 7.5% of individuals never had polypharmacy, 4.3% vs 4.1% of individuals newly developed polypharmacy, and 2.8% vs 2.3% individuals had reduced polypharmacy, respectively (Figure 3.3). 60 Figure 3.3: Pie Diagram for Different Categories of Polypharmacy Newly Developed Polypharmacy (4.0%) Reduced Polypharmacy (3.0%) Never Had Polypharmacy (8.0 %) Always Had Polypharmacy (85.0%) Table 3.1a presents results for unadjusted analysis for sociodemographic variables in both cohorts. The oldest old age category showed a higher prevalence in both the pre-pandemic (51.2%) and pandemic (48.6%) cohorts, with the majority being female (62.2% in pre-pandemic and 60.1% in pandemic), and unmarried individuals constituted the most prevalent group, with a prevalence of 60.1% in the pandemic and 56.9% in the pre-pandemic cohort. However, there was no significant difference in marital status between individuals between the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Geographical distributions showed that most assessments were completed in Ontario (57.4%), which decreased in the pandemic (51.5%) compared to the pre-pandemic (61.9%) . However, the proportion of assessments in British Columbia increased by 6.7% during the pandemic (26.7%) than in pre-pandemic (20.6%). Alberta also revealed a higher proportion of 61 assessments during the pandemic (16.4%) compared to the pre-pandemic (13.0%) (Appendix five). In terms of age distributions, admissions for young-old individuals (65 -74 years) were slightly higher (13.9%) in the pandemic than pre-pandemic cohort (12.3%), while admissions for the oldest-old category (85 and above) were slightly lower (48.6%) in the pandemic compared to pre-pandemic cohort (51.2%). Middle-aged admissions (75- 84 years) remained constant in both pandemic and pre-pandemic cohorts (30.4% vs. 31.0%). In addition, individuals in youngold, middle-old, and oldest-old categories were shown to have a slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy compared to those under 65 in the pre-pandemic, but this association was nonsignificant in the pandemic cohort. Furthermore, females sex accounted for 60.1% of admissions during the pandemic, slightly less than in pre-pandemic (62.2%). Admissions for males increased slightly in the pandemic (39.9%) as compared to pre-pandemic (37.7%). In both cohorts, males had a slightly highly likelihood of polypharmacy than females. The prevalence of tobacco use prior to admission was similar in the pandemic (3.8%) and pre-pandemic cohorts (4.2%), while alcohol use decreased slightly from 6.2% in the prepandemic cohort to 5.4% in the pandemic cohort. In both cohorts, the association between tobacco and alcohol use and polypharmacy was not statistically significant. Finally, BMI trends showed that admissions for underweight patients slightly increased in the pandemic, rising to 11.8% than 10% in the pre-pandemic. The percentage of overweight (26.6% vs. 28.7%) and obese (19.7% vs. 17.7%), however, slightly decreased in the pandemic compared to pre-pandemic. Unadjusted analysis revealed that underweight individuals had lower odds of polypharmacy in pre-pandemic (OR = 0.79, p < 0.001) and pandemic (0.85, p < 0.001) cohorts, whereas overweight individuals had a slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy in pre- 62 pandemic (OR = 1.28, p < 0.001) and pandemic (OR = 1.26, p < 0.001) cohorts and obese individuals had a moderately higher risk of polypharmacy in pre-pandemic (OR = 2.24, p < 0.001) and pandemic (OR = 2.16, p < 0.001) cohorts compared to the healthy weight . 63 Male Female 76.6 (2,467) 7 (225) No Yes Weekly Alcohol Use 4.4 (141) 20.7 (5,660) 10.9 (351) Yes 29 (7,911) 26.6 (858) 6.1 (1,661) 79.7 (2,1788) 4.2 (1,136) 85.5 (23,355) 9.5 (2,594) 14.3 (459) 84 (2,706) 39.4 (10,759) 46.5 (1,497) 62 (16,947) 51.1 (13,975) 51.8 (1,669) 64 (2,062) 30.6 (8,369) 28.4 (916) 37.9 (10,369) 12.4 (3,375) 12 (388) 36 (1,158) 5.9 (1,604) 0.84 (0.72 - 0.97) Reference 0.93 (0.78 - 1.12) Reference 2.24 (1.99 - 2.53) 1.28 (1.17 - 1.40) 0.79 (0.7 - 0.88) Reference 1.09 (1.01 - 1.18) Reference 1.29 (1.12, 1.49) 1.41 (1.22 - 1.64) 1.34 (1.13 - 1.59) Reference Pre-pandemic Unadjusted Odds Polypharmacy Ratios (95% CI) 89.5% (n =27,323) 7.7 (248) No Daily Use of Tobacco Body Mass Index Healthy weight (18.524.9 kg/m2) Under weight (< 18.5 kg/m2) Overweight (25-29.9 kg/m2) Obesity (>29.9 kg/m2) Sex Less than 65 Young-old (65-74 years) Middle-old (75-84 years) Oldest-old (85 and more) Age Groups No Polypharmacy 10.5% (n = 3221) >0.05 0.45 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.03 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 p - value 4.5 (103) 78.5 (1,777) 3.6 (81) 83.4 (1,888) 9.9 (225) 24.6 (557) 15.5 (352) 46.6 (1056) 62.5 (1415) 37.5 (849) 50.9 (1153) 29.4 (665) 13.2 (299) 6.5 (147) 9.8% (n = 2,264) No polypharmacy 5.5 (1,147) 78.5 (16,274) 3.8 (795) 83.6 (17,335) 18.5 (3,840) 26.8 (5,556) 11.3 (2,353) 40.2 (8,339) 59.8 (12,405) 40.2 (8,334) 48.4 (10,029) 31.1 (6,461) 13.9 (2,891) 6.6 (1361) 1.22 (0.99 - 1.50) Reference 1.07 (0.85 - 1.35) Reference 2.16 (1.86 - 2.51) 1.26 (1.13 - 1.41) 0.85 (0.74 - 0.96) Reference 1.12 (1.02 - 1.23) Reference 0.94 (0.78 - 1.13) 1.05 (0.87 - 1.27) 1.04 (0.85 - 1.29) Reference Pandemic Unadjusted Odds Polypharmacy Ratios (95% CI) 90.2% (n = 20,742) 64 0.06 0.58 <0.001 <0.001 0.01 0.01 0.5 0.62 0.68 p - value Table 3.1a: Bivariate Analysis for Sociodemographic Characteristics in Relation to Polypharmacy Among Individuals in Pre-pandemic N = 30,544 (January 1st – December 1st, 2019) and Pandemic Cohorts N = 23,006 (March 1st, 2020 – March 1st, 2021) Mental Health Conditions Mental health conditions and clinical scales associated with polypharmacy are presented in Table 1b. There was a statistically significant difference between the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts in terms of mental illness and cerebrovascular accidents. The proportions of individuals with Parkinson's Disease, Seizure Disorders, Anxiety, Cerebral Palsy, Dementia, Multiple Sclerosis, Depression, Mania, and Schizophrenia remained relatively stable, with no statistically significant differences (Table 3.1b). Dementia, one of the most common mental health conditions in both the pre-pandemic (49.8%) and pandemic (50.4%) cohorts had nearly equal prevalence. History of Mental Illness showed a small increase from 10.9% in pre-pandemic to 11.4% in the pandemic cohort. Similarly, Cerebrovascular Accidents exhibited a slight increase from 17.9% in pre-pandemic to 18.6% in the pandemic cohort. In both cohorts, individuals diagnosed with Cerebrovascular Accidents (OR = 2.03 pre-pandemic; OR = 2.04 pandemic, p < 0.001), Depression, (OR = 2.21 pre-pandemic; OR = 2.27 pandemic p < 0.001), Parkinson’s disease (OR = 2.28 pre-pandemic vs 2.61 pandemic, p < 0.001), and Mania (OR = 3.02 pre-pandemic vs 2.75 pandemic, p < 0.001) were associated with a moderately higher likelihood of polypharmacy, while individuals with Seizure Disorder (OR = 1.82 pre-pandemic vs OR = 1.74 pandemic, p < 0.001) and Anxiety Disorder (OR = 1.76 pre-pandemic vs OR = 1.88 pandemic, p < 0.001) had a small higher risk of polypharmacy as compared to individuals without these conditions. Conversely, the association between Multiple Sclerosis and polypharmacy was not significant in the pre-pandemic cohort, but slightly lower in the pandemic cohort (OR = 0.68, p = 0.04). The associations between polypharmacy and Cerebral Palsy and Schizophrenia were not significant in both cohorts. There 65 was no significant difference between these associations between pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Clinical Scales The Activities of Daily Living (ADL) Hierarchy scale results revealed significant changes between the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. In the pre-pandemic cohort, 31.3% of individuals required extensive assistance in one or more ADLs, which decreased to 24.4% in the pandemic cohort. Conversely, the number of individuals who were maximally dependent on one or more ADLs increased from 17% in pre-pandemic to 31.9% during the pandemic. In addition, individuals who required limited assistance and extensive assistance in one or more ADLs showed a slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy in both cohorts. While individuals who needed maximum assistance in one or more ADLs, as well as those categorized as totally dependent, exhibited a significantly higher likelihood of polypharmacy in both cohorts compared to individuals who were independent in ADL. In terms of PS, the results were comparable in both cohorts, with 64.2% of individuals reporting less than daily pain in the pre-pandemic and 63.9% in the pandemic cohort, while 26% experienced daily but not severe pain in the pre-pandemic compared to 26.2% in the pandemic cohort. Individuals experiencing less than daily pain had a moderately higher likelihood of polypharmacy in both cohorts. The daily but not severe pain category also showed a higher risk of polypharmacy, with an even greater risk observed in individuals with severe pain compared to the no pain category during both the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. According to scores on CPS, individuals with moderate cognitive impairment represented 59.4% of the pre-pandemic and 57.7% in the pandemic cohort, while those with severe cognitive decline accounted for 20.3% pre-pandemic and 21.4% in the pandemic cohort. Notably, 66 individuals with mild to moderate cognitive decline had a lower likelihood of polypharmacy in both cohorts (OR = 0.6 pre-pandemic vs OR = 0.6 pandemic, p < 0.001). Similarly, individuals with severe cognitive decline exhibited significantly reduced odds of polypharmacy during both pre-pandemic (OR = 0.49, p < 0.001) and pandemic cohorts (OR = 0.53, p < 0.001) compared to those with intact cognitive function. Among individuals with some depressive disorders, 28.1% were in pre-pandemic and 28.4% were in the pandemic cohort. For those with possible depressive disorders, a slight increase from 18.7% in pre-pandemic to 19.9% during the pandemic was seen. Individuals with a possible depressive disorder had a slightly higher risk of polypharmacy in both cohorts (OR = 1.21 pre-pandemic vs OR = 1.58 pandemic, p < 0.001). ABS revealed that in the pandemic cohort, 22.2% of individuals exhibited moderate aggressive behavior, which was similar to 22.7% in the pre-pandemic cohort. Furthermore, individuals displaying moderate aggressive behavior and severe aggressive in the pre-pandemic cohort had a slightly lower likelihood of polypharmacy compared to individuals with no aggressive behavior. However, the association between ABS and polypharmacy was insignificant in the pandemic cohort. There were no significant differences in the associations between sociodemographic variables such as age, sex, and marital status, with polypharmacy among newly admitted individuals in both the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Similarly, mental health conditions, such as Depression, Cerebrovascular Accidents, Mania, Seizure Disorders, Anxiety, and Parkinson's disease, maintained stable associations with polypharmacy in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Robustness in these associations with polypharmacy was further evident in the analysis of clinical scales, including ADL Hierarchy, PS, and CPS, as well as CAPs triggers. 67 92.9 (25,393) 7.1 (1,930) 96.1 (26,246) 3.9 (1,077) 85.2 (23,289) 14.8 (4,034) 99.7 (27,236) 0.3 (87) 81.2 (22,199) 18.8 (5,124) 98.9 (27,035) 1.1 (288) 73.3 (20,028) 26.7 (7,295) 98 (26,768) 2 (555) 97.6 (26,660) 2.4 (663) 96.8 (3,117) 3.2 (104) 97.8 (3,150) 2.2 (71) 91.1 (2,933) 8.9 (288) 99.5 (3,205) 0.5 (16) 89.8 (2,892) 10.2 (329) 99 (3,190) 1 (31) 85.9 (2,766) 14.1 (455) 99.3 (3,199) 0.7 (22) 98 (3,155) 2 (66) 56.9 (1,834) 24.3 (782) Clinical Scales Aggressive Behavior Scale No Moderate 61.7 (16,855) 22.5 (6,138) 88.9 (24,288) 11 (3,015) 90.7 (2,921) 9.3 (300) Reference 0.85 (0.78 - 0.93) Reference 1.19 (0.92 - 1.54) Reference 3.02 (1.97 - 4.62) Reference 2.21 (2.00 - 2.45) Reference 1.1 (0.76 - 1.59) Reference 2.03 (1.8 - 2.28) Reference 0.64 (0.38 - 1.09) Reference 1.76 (1.56 – 2.00) Reference 1.82 (1.43 - 2.32) Reference 2.28 (1.86 - 2.78) Reference 1.21 (1.07 - 1.37) Pre-pandemic (N = 30,544) Unadjusted Odds Polypharmacy Ratios 95% CI 89.5% (n =27,323) Mental Health Illness No Yes Parkinson No Yes Seizure Disorder No Yes Anxiety No Yes Cerebral Palsy No Yes Cerebrovascular Accident No Yes Multiple Sclerosis No Yes Depression No Yes Mania No Yes Schizophrenia No Yes No Polypharmacy 10.5% (n = 3,221) <0.001 0.18 <0.001 <0.001 0.63 <0.001 0.10 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.003 p – value 59.6 (1,350) 23.7 (536) 98.1 (2221) 1.9 (43) 99.2 (2245) 0.8 (19) 86.6 (1,960) 13.4 (304) 98.5 (2,230) 1.5 (34) 89.4 (2,024) 10.6 (240) 99.6 (2,256) 0.4 (8) 92 (2,083) 8 (181) 97.4 (2,206) 2.6 (58) 97.3 (2,202) 2.7 (62) 89.7 (2,030) 10.3 (233) No polypharmacy 9.8% (n = 2,264) 61.5 (12,762) 22 (4,562) 97.5 (20,216) 2.5 (526) 97.7 (20,271) 2.3 (471) 74 (15,339) 26 (5,403) 99 (20,529) 1 (213) 80.5 (16,701) 19.5 (4,041) 99.6 (20,662) 0.4 (80) 86 (17,832) 14 (2,910) 95.6 (19,837) 4.4 (905) 93.2 (19,322) 6.8 (1,420) 88.4 (18,344) 11.5 (2,395) 0.05 0.06 <0.001 <0.001 0.04 <0.001 0.81 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.08 p - value 68 Reference 0.9 (0.81 - 1.00) Reference 1.34 (0.98 - 1.84) Reference 2.75 (1.73 - 4.35) Reference 2.27 (2.01 - 2.57) Reference 0.68 (0.47 - 0.98) Reference 2.04 (1.78 - 2.34) Reference 1.09 (0.53 - 2.26) Reference 1.88 (1.61 - 2.2) Reference 1.74 (1.33 - 2.27) Reference 2.61 (2.02 - 3.38) Reference 1.14 (0.99 - 1.31) Pandemic (N= 23,006) Unadjusted Odds Polypharmacy Ratios 95% CI 90.2% (n = 20,742) Table 3.1b: Mental Health Conditions and Clinical Scales Associated with Polypharmacy Among Individuals in Pre-Pandemic N = 30544 (January, 1st – December, 1st 2019) and Pandemic Cohorts N = 23,006 (March 1st, 2020 – March 1st, 2021) 3.5 (957) 6.1 (196) 11.2 (360) 19.1 (616) 31.8 (1,024) 14.8 (476) 12.5 (402) 4.6 (147) Supervision Limited assistance Extensive assistance Maximal assistance Dependent Total dependence 3.4 (923) 17.5 (4,795) 23.1 (6,313) 31.2 (8,529) 15.2 (4,153) 6 (1,653) 1.4 (395) 9.1 (2,480) 3.7 (118) 0.3 (10) 27.2 (7,427) 62.3 (17,021) 80 (2,578) 16 (515) 18.9 (5,170) 16.5 (532) 28.1 (7,677) 53 (14,476) 55.8 (1,798) 27.7 (891) 21.1 (5,767) 59.3 (16,212) 19.6 (5,344) 11.7 (3,187) 4.2 (1,138) 14 (452) 59.5 (1,918) 26.4 (851) 14.1 (455) 4.7 (150) Severe Activities of Daily Living Scale Independent Less than daily pain Daily pain but not severe Possible depressive disorder Pain Scale No pain Some depressive symptoms Cognition Performance Scale Intact Mild/moderate Severe Depression Rating Scale No depression symptoms Severe Very severe 1.29 (1.02 - 1.62) 2.44 (2.03 - 2.94) 2.72 (2.27 - 3.25) 1.71 (1.44 - 2.02) 1.38 (1.16 - 1.65) 0.94 (0.78 - 1.14) Reference 3.18 (2.63 - 3.85) 5.98 (3.19 - 11.22) 2.18 (1.98 - 2.41) Reference 1.21 (1.09 - 1.34) 1.07 (0.98 - 1.17) Reference Reference 0.66 (0.6 - 0.74) 0.49 (0.44 - 0.55) 0.76 (0.68 - 0.85) 0.83 (0.69 - 0.99) 0.03 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.53 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.12 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.03 5 (114) 21.8 (494) 11.4 (259) 25.4 (574) 18.7 (423) 11.1 (251) 6.6 (149) 0.3 (6) 3.8 (85) 16.5 (374) 79.5 (1,799) 14.4 (327) 28.9 (654) 56.7 (1,283) 13.8 (313) 61.1 (1,383) 25.1 (568) 12.6 (285) 4.1 (93) 4.9 (1,008) 33.0 (6,839) 17.0 (3,528) 24.3 (5,038) 12.6 (2,605) 5.1 (1,067) 3.2 (657) 1.4 (295) 9.2 (1901) 27.2 (5,649) 62.2 (12897) 20.5 (4,260) 28.3 (5,871) 51.2 (10,611) 21.7 (4,491) 57.3 (11,892) 21 (4,359) 11.8 (2,455) 4.6 (957) 2.01, (1.54 - 2.61) 3.14 (2.57 - 3.83) 3.09 (2.48 - 3.84) 1.99 (1.63 - 2.43) 1.4 (1.14 - 1.72) 0.96 (0.77 - 1.21) 69 Reference 3.12 (2.5 - 3.9) 6.86 (3.05 - 15.41) 2.11 (1.88 - 2.37) Reference 1.58, (1.39 - 1.79) 1.09, (0.98 - 1.20) Reference Reference 0.6 (0.53 - 0.68) 0.53 (0.46 - 0.62) 0.91 (0.8 - 1.04) 1.09 (0.87 - 1.36) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.75 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.11 <0.001 <0.001 0.18 0.45 Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs) There was a statistically significant difference between pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts in terms of urinary incontinence CAPs, undernutrition CAPs, and cardiorespiratory condition CAPs, while insignificant in case of dehydration CAPs, pain CAPs, and falls CAPs. The proportion of individuals with fall CAPs triggered into the medium risk group was the same in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts, i.e., 13.0% versus 13.6%, respectively. Individuals with Cardiopulmonary CAPs trigger decreased slightly during the pandemic to 6.6% from 7.3% in pre-pandemic. In the case of the undernutrition CAPs, the percentage of individuals in the medium-risk group CAPs trigger category during the pandemic increased marginally from 11.5% to 12.2%. A more notable increase, from 11.7% in pre-pandemic to 13.3% in pandemic, was seen in individuals with triggers into the high risk for undernutrition CAPs. The proportion of individuals between pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts for urinary incontinence CAPs was identical, with 54.4% and 54.9% of patients triggered to prevent decline, respectively. However, a drop from 12.4% in pre-pandemic to 10.7% in the pandemic for urinary incontinence CAPs triggered to facilitate improvement was seen. Analysis of CAPs triggers for various health conditions showed that individuals in the medium risk fall group exhibited a moderately higher likelihood of polypharmacy. Those with dehydration CAPs triggers at low-level and urinary incontinence CAPs triggers (focused on prevention and improvement) demonstrated a slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy. Similarly, individuals with CAPs triggers for Cardiorespiratory issues had a moderately higher likelihood of polypharmacy in the prepandemic cohort and a significantly higher likelihood during the pandemic. Conversely, individuals with undernutrition CAPs triggers in both medium-risk (1) and high-risk (2) groups had a lower likelihood of polypharmacy in both cohorts. The association between polypharmacy 70 and bowel condition CAPs triggers was not significant. There was no significant difference between these associations between pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Figures 3.4a and 3.4b show the association between various CAPs triggers in relation to polypharmacy. Figure 3.4 a: Forest Plot for Pre-Pandemic Cohort to Determine the Association Between CAPs Triggers and Polypharmacy Urinary Incontinence (facilitate improvement) Urinary Incontinence (prevent decline) Dehydration (low level) Under nurtrition (high risk) Under nurtrition (medium risk) Cardiorespiratory Falls (high risk) Falls (medium risk) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Figure 3.4 b: Forest Plot for Pandemic Cohort to Determine the Association Between CAP Triggers and Polypharmacy Urinary Incontinence (facilitate improvement) Urinary Incontinence (prevent decline) Dehydration (low level) Under nurtrition (high risk) Under nurtrition (medium risk) Cardiorespiratory Falls (high risk) Falls (medium risk) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 71 There were no significant differences in the polypharmacy associations between sociodemographic variables such as male sex and BMI with polypharmacy among newly admitted individuals in both the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Similarly, individuals diagnosed with depression, cerebrovascular accidents, mania, seizure disorders, anxiety, and Parkinson's disease all showed a similar pattern in their associations with polypharmacy in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Comparable odds ratios were also found in the analysis of clinical scales such as ADL Hierarchy, PS, and CPS, as well as CAPs triggers such as urinary incontinence, cardiorespiratory conditions, falls, undernutrition, and dehydration between prepandemic and pandemic cohorts. This similar pattern suggests that the factors influencing polypharmacy within LTCFs may be greatly influenced by factors other than pandemic. Results of Multivariate Analysis Sociodemographic Factors Table 3.2a and Models A and B present the association between sociodemographic factors and polypharmacy for the multivariate logistic regression model without and with the adjustment of COVID-19 pandemic respectively. Sociodemographic factors that showed a significant association with polypharmacy at the bivariate level, including age, sex, and BMI, were included in multiple logistic regression analyses. The model's findings shown in Table 1 Model 1A revealed that individuals in all age groups over age 65 years had a slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy in reference to those aged under 65 years. Further, the model indicated that obesity was a significant contributor to polypharmacy, with individuals with higher weights (overweight and obese) displaying a greater likelihood of polypharmacy in reference to individuals of a healthy weight. Conversely, underweight individuals exhibited a slightly reduced likelihood of polypharmacy in reference to individuals of a healthy weight. 72 Males were found to have a slightly higher risk of polypharmacy in reference to females. The model was then adjusted with the pandemic time, as shown in Table 1 Model 1B, and although the pandemic itself showed only a very slight increased likelihood of polypharmacy, associations between sociodemographic variables and polypharmacy remained consistent. The C-statistic (Area Under the Curve, AUC) for both models were 0.58 (p <0.001), suggesting a moderate level of predictive accuracy in model performance. 73 Table 3.2a: Association Between Sociodemographic Factors and Polypharmacy for Multiple Logistic Regression Models, N = 52,356 MODEL A Adjusted Odds Ratios (95% CI) MODEL B p-value Adjusted Odds Ratios (95% CI) p-value Age < 65 years Young-old (65-74 years) Middle-old (75-84 years) Reference 1.22 (1.07 - 1.39) 1.32 (1.17 - 1.49) 0.004 <0.001 Reference 1.22 (1.07 -1.39) 1.33 (1.18 -1.49) 0.004 <0.001 Oldest-old (85 and more) 1.3 (1.15 - 1.45) <0.001 1.3 (1.16 -1.46) <0.001 Sex Female Male Reference 1.1 (1.04 - 1.17) 0.002 Reference 1.1 (1.03 -1.17) 0.002 Reference 0.83 (0.76 - 0.9) 1.27 (1.19 - 1.36) <0.001 <0.001 Reference 0.82 (0.76 - 0.9) 1.27 (1.19 - 1.36) <0.001 <0.001 2.25 (2.05 - 2.47) <0.001 2.26 (2.05 - 2.48) <0.001 Reference 1.1 (1.04 - 1.17) 0.001 0.58 (0.57 - 0.59) <0.001 Body Mass Index Healthy weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m2) Under weight (< 18.5 kg/m2) 2 Overweight (25-29.9 kg/m ) Obesity (>29.9 kg/m2) Covid-Cohort Pre-pandemic Pandemic AUC 0.58 (0.57 - 0.59) <0.001 74 Mental Health Conditions Table 3.2b and Model A/B present the association between mental health conditions and polypharmacy for the multiple logistic regression model. A history of mental illness and MS did not show a statistically significant association with polypharmacy. However, mental health conditions including Depression, Cerebrovascular Accident, Parkinson Disease, and Mania were found to be significantly associated with polypharmacy. Individuals diagnosed with these conditions were found to have a higher likelihood of polypharmacy (p < 0.001). Furthermore, individuals with Anxiety and Seizure Disorders showed a moderately higher likelihood of polypharmacy (p < 0.001). When the analyses were adjusted for age categories, sex, and the pandemic, these associations remained significant. In addition, all three age categories showed a moderately higher likelihood of polypharmacy, while males and the pandemic time showed a slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy compared to females and the pre-pandemic time, respectively. The C-statistic (Area Under the Curve, AUC) for both models was 0.62 (p <0.001), suggesting a moderate level of predictive accuracy in model performance. 75 Table 3.2b: The Association Between Mental Health Conditions and Polypharmacy for Multiple Logistic Regression Model, N = 53,526 MODEL A MODEL B Adjusted Odds Ratios (95% CI) p-value p-value 0.24 Adjusted odds Ratios (95% CI) 1 (0.9 - 1.1) Mental health history 0.94 (0.86 - 1.04) Parkinson disease 2.38 (2.03 - 2.79) <0.001 2.33 (1.98 - 2.73) <0.001 Seizure disorder Anxiety disorder 1.6 (1.33 - 1.92) 1.44 (1.3 - 1.6) <0.001 <0.001 1.73 (1.44 - 2.08) <0.001 Cerebrovascular accidents 2.01 (1.84 - 2.21) <0.001 1.47 (1.33 - 1.63) 2.02 (1.84 - 2.21) <0.001 <0.001 Multiple Sclerosis Depression 0.88 (0.68 - 1.14) 2.02 (1.86 - 2.19) 0.33 <0.001 1.05 (0.8 - 1.37) 2.05 (1.89 - 2.23) 0.74 <0.001 Mania 2.69 (1.96 - 3.69) <0.001 2.85 (2.07 - 3.92) <0.001 0.94 Age < 65 years Young-old (65-74 years) - Reference 1.24 (1.09 - 1.42) 0.002 Middle-old (75-84 years) - 1.41 (1.25 - 1.6) <0.001 Oldest-old (85 and more) - 1.45 (1.28 - 1.64) <0.001 - Reference 1.12 (1.06 - 1.19) <0.001 - Reference 1.08 (1.02 - 1.15) 0.006 Sex Female Male Covid-Cohort Pre-pandemic Pandemic AUC 0.62 (0.61- 0.62) <0.001 0.63 (0.62 – 0.63) < 0.001 Clinical Scales Table 3.2c and Model A/B present the association between clinical scales and polypharmacy. The findings from scores on the ADL scale indicated that individuals who required extensive assistance with personal hygiene or toileting, maximal assistance with eating or locomotion, displayed dependence in eating or locomotion, or exhibited total dependence in all ADL were at significantly more likely to experience polypharmacy. Further, individuals diagnosed with depression disorder had a moderately higher likelihood of polypharmacy. Similarly, individuals reporting daily but not severe pain and those with daily severe pain were significantly more likely to experience polypharmacy compared to those reporting no pain. Conversely, individuals with severe and very severe aggressive behavior exhibited a 76 slightly lower likelihood of polypharmacy than those with no aggressive behavior. Additionally, individuals with severe cognitive impairments showed a significantly lower likelihood of being on polypharmacy. These associations persisted even after adjusting for age categories, sex, and pandemic except individuals with very severe aggressive behavior with a slightly lower likelihood of polypharmacy. While age categories and male sex were associated with a slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy, the pandemic time did not exhibit any significant association with polypharmacy. The C-statistic (Area Under the Curve, AUC) for both models was 0.66 (p < 0.001), suggesting a moderate level of predictive accuracy in model performance. 77 Table 3.2c: The Association Between Clinical Scales and Polypharmacy for Multiple Logistic Regression Model, N = 53,539 Activities of Daily Living Scale Depression Rating Scale Pain Scale MODEL A Adjusted Odds p-value Ratios (95% CI) Reference MODEL B Adjusted Odds p-value Ratios (95% CI) Reference Supervision Limited assistance Extensive assistance Maximal assistance Dependence Total dependence 1.06 (0.92 - 1.23) 1.56 (1.36 - 1.78) 2.15 (1.89 - 2.45) 3.28 (2.85 - 3.78) 3.12 (2.72 - 3.59) 2.29 (1.91 - 2.75) 1.06 (0.91 - 1.23) 1.57 (1.37 - 1.8) 2.16 (1.9 - 2.47) 3.34 (2.89 - 3.85) 3.18 (2.76 - 3.65) 2.35 (1.95 - 2.83) No depression Reference Some depression symptoms Possible depressive disorder 1.1 (1.03 - 1.18) 0.006 1.11 (1.04 - 1.19) 0.002 1.35 (1.23 - 1.47) <0.001 1.39 (1.27 - 1.53) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 Independence 0.43 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.44 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 Reference No pain Less than daily pain Daily, but not severe Severe daily pain Reference 1.88 (1.74 - 2.03) 2.62 (2.26 - 3.03) 4.49 (2.73 - 7.4) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 Reference 1.9 (1.76 - 2.05) 2.65 (2.29 - 3.07) 4.57 (2.77 - 7.52) Aggressive Behavior Scale Moderate Severe Very severe 0.88 (0.82 - 0.95) 0.81 (0.73 - 0.89) 0.87 (0.75 - 1.01) 0.001 <0.001 0.08 0.87 (0.81 - 0.93) 0.78 (0.71 - 0.86) 0.84 (0.72 - 0.98) <0.001 <0.001 0.026 Cognitive Performance Scale Intact Mild/moderate impairment Severe impairment Reference 0.66 (0.6 - 0.72) 0.47 (0.43 - 0.53) <0.001 <0.001 Reference 0.65 (0.6 - 0.71) 0.47 (0.42 - 0.52) <0.001 <0.001 Age < 65 years Young-old (65-74 years) Middle-old (75-84 years) Oldest-old (85 and more) - Reference 1.3 (1.14 - 1.49) 1.41(1.25 - 1.59) 1.21 (1.08 - 1.36) <0.001 <0.001 0.001 Female Male Pre pandemic Pandemic - Reference 1.22 (1.15-1.29) Reference 1.02 (0.97 - 1.09) Sex Covid-Period AUC 0.66 (0.65 -0.67) <0.001 0.66 (0.65 – 0.67) <0.001 0.44 <0.001 78 Adjusted Analysis of All Variables The Mega Model 4 as shown in Table 3.2d was then adjusted for all variables that demonstrated a significant association with polypharmacy at the bi-variate level. Analysis of clinical scales for the level of assistance needed in ADL revealed that individuals requiring limited assistance in one or more ADLs had a slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy. Similarly, those needing extensive assistance in ADL were at moderately higher likelihood of polypharmacy while those requiring maximal assistance or those who were totally dependent in all ADL were all significantly more likely to be associated with polypharmacy as compared to individuals who were dependent in all ADL. In addition, as compared to individuals with no depression those individuals with some depression symptoms and possible depressive disorder were both associated with slightly higher likelihood of polypharmacy. The pain scale revealed that those who experienced daily, but not severe pain were moderately higher and those with severe daily pain were a significantly higher likelihood of polypharmacy than those who did not experience pain. In terms of cognitive impairment, those with mild/moderate impairment and severe impairment had lower odds of polypharmacy than individuals with intact cognition. Age, sex, and BMI also revealed important associations. Being in the middle-old or oldest-old age categories, being male, and being overweight were all associated with slightly higher association with polypharmacy while obese were at moderately higher risk of polypharmacy. Finally, individuals with Parkinson's disease notably had moderately higher odds of polypharmacy. Interestingly pandemic time showed insignificant association with polypharmacy as compared to the pre-pandemic. The C-statistic (Area Under the Curve, AUC) for the model was 0.68 (p <0.001), suggesting a higher level of predictive accuracy compared to models 3.2a, 3.2b, and 3.2c in model performance. 79 Table 3.2d: The Association Between All Significant Factors and Polypharmacy for Multiple Logistic Regression Model, N = 52,346 Activities of Daily Living Scale Depression Rating Scale Pain Scale Aggressive Behavior Scale Cognitive Performance Scale Age Model 4 Supervision Limited assistance Extensive assistance Maximal assistance Dependence Total dependence No Some depression symptoms Possible depressive disorder No pain Less than daily pain Daily, but not severe Severe daily pain No Moderate Severe Very severe Intact Mild/moderate impairment Severe impairment < 65 years Young-old (65-74 years) Middle-old (75-84 years) Oldest-old (85 and more) Sex Female Male Body Mass Index Healthy weight (18.5-24.9 kg/m2) Under weight (< 18.5 kg/m2) Overweight (25-29.9 kg/m2) Obesity (>29.9 kg/m2) Pre-pandemic Pandemic period Covid-Period Parkinson Disease AUC Yes Adjusted Odds Ratios (95% CI) 1.08 (0.93,1.26) 1.59 (1.38,1.83) 2.12 (1.86,2.42) 3.3 (2.85,3.81) 3.16 (2.74,3.65) p-value 2.47 (2.05,2.99) Reference 1.12 (1.04 - 1.2) <0.001 1.38 (1.26 - 1.52) Reference 1.87 (1.73 - 2.02) 2.64 (2.27 - 3.06) 4.4 (2.66 - 7.25) Reference 0.88 (0.82 - 0.95) 0.8 (0.73 - 0.88) 0.9 (0.77 - 1.05) Reference 0.68 (0.62 - 0.74) <0.001 0.5 (0.45 - 0.55) Reference 1.25 (1.09 - 1.43) 1.4 (1.24 - 1.58) <0.001 1.31 (1.16 - 1.48) Reference <0.001 1.16 (1.09 - 1.23) Reference 0.75 (0.68 - 0.82) 1.29 (1.20 - 1.38) 2.03 (1.84 - 2.24) Reference <0.001 1.05 (0.99 - 1.11) 2.19 (1.86 - 2.57) 0.11 <0.001 <0.001 1.082 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.002 <0.001 <0.01 <0.001 0.001 <0.001 0.17 <.001 0.002 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.68 (0.67 - 0.70) 80 Chapter 4: Discussion Polypharmacy receives significant attention in the scientific community worldwide because of its potential impact on patient safety, healthcare costs, and overall health outcomes. The existing body of literature provides a thorough understanding of the numerous factors associated with polypharmacy. Recognizing the breadth of research in this area is critical, to unravel the complexities of polypharmacy. The present study uncovered significant associations between polypharmacy at the time of the first follow-up assessment with a range of variables including sociodemographic factors, clinical scales, mental health conditions, and CAPs measured at baseline during the initial assessment, among newly admitted individuals in LTCFs in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Despite the unprecedented challenges posed by the pandemic, the study reveals remarkably consistent patterns in associations between polypharmacy and factors investigated in this study in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. The associations between risk factors found in this study and polypharmacy were not significantly altered by pandemic-related challenges. The findings emphasize the importance of recognizing and understanding the nature of these underlying associations for effective healthcare strategies, both in normal circumstances and during exceptional events such as a pandemic Furthermore, the high prevalence of polypharmacy during the first follow-up assessment in both the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts indicates that polypharmacy is a common concern among individuals in LTCFs across Canada. These findings closely matched previous research findings, which reported high rates of polypharmacy among LTCF residents worldwide, in which individuals in LTCFs were frequently taking five, nine, or even ten medications, with prevalence rates ranging from 91%, 74%, and 65%, respectively (Jokanovic et al., 2015). The 81 high prevalence of polypharmacy in LTCFs emphasizes the importance of conducting comprehensive medication regimen reviews involving multidisciplinary teams of physicians, pharmacists, and nursing staff. Such reviews can subsequently evaluate the potential risks associated with a higher number of medications. In addition, the prevalence of antidepressants among newly admitted individuals at the time of the first follow-up assessment remained remarkably high among newly admitted individuals in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Antidepressants were prescribed to a total of 53.2% of individuals in both cohorts, with only a 2% increase observed in the pandemic cohort. Previous research findings demonstrated increased antidepressant use during the pandemic attributed to the worsening of emotional and behavioral disorders as a result of COVID-19 restrictions (Ferro Uriguen et al., 2022). The notable prevalence of antidepressants in this study underscores the significant risk of depression among individuals in LTCFs and emphasizes the importance of addressing the mental health challenges experienced by individuals in LTCFs, regardless of the challenges posed by the pandemic. Urgent attention is needed to address factors contributing to depression in LTCFs, including issues such as social isolation, lack of activities, lack of emotional support, and challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic (Simard et al., 2020). Antipsychotic medications emerged as the second most frequently prescribed psychotropic drugs, with a significant 5.1% increase in the prevalence of antipsychotic medications dispensed among newly admitted individuals in LTCFs in the pandemic cohort during their first follow-up assessment. The LTCFs may have struggled to manage the mental health needs of newly admitted individuals during the pandemic, leading to an increase in antipsychotic prescriptions (Ali et al, 2022). Additionally, newly admitted individuals during the 82 pandemic time may have experienced increased anxiety and distress, and those diagnosed with COVID-19 exhibited increased levels of agitation, which may have prompted LTCFs to prescribe more antipsychotics (Ali et al, 2022). Challenges such as understaffing and insufficient training in addressing distress and adhering to antipsychotic prescribing guidelines may have also contributed to this trend (Anderson et al., 2021). These findings suggest areas of further investigation and imply a greater need for targeted interventions to address complex psychological challenges arising from the pandemic-related restrictions due to the risk of virus spread. The high prevalence of psychotropic medications in LTCFs is concerning due to the risk of dependence, increased fall risk, cognitive impairment, and the potential overlooking of behavioral and environmental interventions for sleep issues (Johnell, 2017) In both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts, hypnotic and anti-anxiety medications showed the lowest total prevalence rates, at 8% and 9%, respectively. The greater frequency of antidepressants in LTCFs, which are frequently used to treat anxiety and insomnia, is probably what accounts for this low trend. Because antidepressants address a wider range of mental health issues and help to prevent the potential dependence and side effects associated with hypnotics, contributing to eliminating the need for additional medications intended only to manage anxiety or sleep-related issues. The study investigated associations between sociodemographic factors and polypharmacy by analyzing age categories, sex, BMI, tobacco, and alcohol use in pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. A significant association between all age categories; the young-old, middle-old, and oldest-old, and polypharmacy in the pre-pandemic cohort was found. These findings align with previous research by Clare and their colleagues in which individuals 65 years old were at higher risk of polypharmacy due to the presence of multiple chronic conditions necessitating complex 83 medication regimens (Clare et al., 2021). The higher prevalence of conditions such as hypertension, dementia, arthritis, and depression in this study likely contributed to polypharmacy, as these complex conditions often require the use of multiple medications for effective management. After accounting for the pandemic time in the adjusted analysis, the associations between young old, middle-old, and oldest-old age groups and polypharmacy remained significant . Moreover, a higher risk of polypharmacy was associated with the oldestold age category in this study contradicts findings by Jokanovic et al. (2017), in which an inverse association with polypharmacy was found among individuals aged 85 years and older (Jokanovic et al., 2017). This is also supported by other studies indicating reduced therapeutic efficacy of drugs at the end of life and an increased risk of adverse drug reactions in older age populations contributing to a lower risk of polypharmacy (Astrop et al., 2020; Cristina et al., 2021). The findings suggest the need for careful medication monitoring and more investigations are required to uncover the associations between different age groups and polypharmacy among individuals in LTCFs. In addition, males were at slightly higher risk of polypharmacy than females, in both cohorts. One explanation could be due to sex-specific physiological differences affecting drug metabolic rates and responses to medications which can influence the types and number of medications required (Soldin & Mattison, 2009). These findings align with the findings by Dörks et al. (2016) but contradict the findings by Jokanovic et al. (2017), suggesting that males were at a reduced risk of polypharmacy, and thus the association between sex and the risk of polypharmacy is inconclusive. Further investigations are required to determine whether healthcare practices and patient preferences may contribute to the observed sex differences in medication use. Future research should aim to underscore the inherent biological and genetic 84 differences between males and females for the development of tailored and effective treatments that optimize health outcomes while minimizing potential adverse effects. The study also found a higher and similar risk of polypharmacy in obese individuals in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. This aligns with findings indicating a higher prevalence of pain, hypertension, diabetes, peripheral vascular disease, and psychiatric disorders among obese individuals in LTCFs, contributing to increased medication use (De Souto Barreto et al., 2015). While this association is acknowledged in the literature, a more thorough investigation is needed to assess how lifestyle interventions or preventive measures can reduce the risks of polypharmacy in obese individuals. Obese individuals frequently have comorbidities like diabetes, hypertension, heart disease, and osteoarthritis and as a result, high polypharmacy risk should be managed by adopting lifestyle interventions to avoid medication-related complications, drug interactions, and poor health outcomes (Barreto et al., 2015). The lack of association between alcohol or tobacco use and polypharmacy in this study suggests that there may be complex interactions involving factors like physical and mental health, genetics, chronic diseases, and substance use patterns that play a more significant role in an individual's medication regimen, overshadowing the potential impact of alcohol and tobacco use and calls for further investigations. The analysis of various clinical scales and their association with polypharmacy suggests significant associations in pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts with no substantial differences observed between them. Individuals with different scores on the ADL hierarchy scale, PS, and DRS all exhibited a higher risk of polypharmacy. These findings emphasize the importance of considering these factors by healthcare professionals when making prescription decisions. Greater ADL dependency is linked to a higher risk of polypharmacy in this study could be 85 explained by low physical function as a risk factor for various chronic diseases (Katsimpris et al., 2019), suggesting taking an individual's functional level into account during prescribing. Similarly, as the scores on PS increase, the risk of polypharmacy also increases, which is also supported by previous studies (Davide L. Vetrano et al., 2013; Graziano et al., 2012). This suggests that alternative non-pharmacological pain management approaches should be explored in LTCFs to mitigate the risk of polypharmacy. Furthermore, in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts, severe depression was associated with a higher risk of polypharmacy with no substantial differences observed between the two cohorts. This aligns with prior research findings showing a moderate risk of polypharmacy in depression disorder (Graziano et al., 2012; Jokanovic et al., 2017; Susan et al., 2012) likely linked to management of other medical conditions along with management of psychological distress in LTCFs and suggests careful considerations in antidepressants prescribing. The study also found a lower risk of polypharmacy among individuals with different scores on the CPS and ABS in both cohorts. Individuals with mild to moderate cognitive impairment exhibited moderately lower risk, while those with severe cognitive impairment exhibited significantly lower risk of polypharmacy, with no substantial differences in pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. This finding is consistent with previous research findings in which severe cognitive impairment was found to be associated with a lower risk of polypharmacy, explained by the need to avoid medications that could further impair cognition or induce delirium and behavioral symptoms in patients with existing cognitive impairment (Graziano et al., 2012; Moore et al., 2014). However, the findings contradict the investigations (Davide et al., 2019 & Vetrano et al., 2018), where lower scores on CPS were linked with a higher risk of polypharmacy, likely due to complexities in the regimen for the management of comorbidities, specific symptoms, age, and functional status. These inconclusive 86 findings necessitate more investigations to determine whether severe cognitive impairment affects medication adherence and the risk-to-benefit ratio of drug therapies to provide a more definitive understanding of these associations. The findings demonstrating lower and similar risks of polypharmacy in pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts among individuals with different scores on ABS might be attributed to concerns about exacerbating aggressive behavior due to polypharmacy, as many medications have the potential to promote violence (Anderson & Bokor, 2012). This underscores the necessity for additional research to investigate factors contributing to these associations, especially due to the lack of available studies on this specific association. These findings remained consistent in adjusted analysis after controlling for factors such as age, sex, and the pandemic. A significant association between different mental health conditions and polypharmacy was also found in this study. Specifically, individuals diagnosed with Parkinson's, Seizure Disorder, Cerebrovascular Accident, and Mania were found to be at a higher risk of polypharmacy, while no substantial difference in associations was observed across two cohorts. However, the risk of polypharmacy was not significant in individuals diagnosed with Schizophrenia and Multiple Sclerosis in both cohorts. The findings remained consistent even after accounting for age, sex, and pandemic. Previous research demonstrated a higher risk of polypharmacy with Parkinson's disease (Leung et al., 2013) while further research is needed to determine the association between these mental health conditions and polypharmacy. The findings underscore the complex interplay between mental and physical well-being, demonstrating that individuals with mental health illnesses frequently have physical health challenges (Sampogna et al., 2022), which may necessitate the use of various medications, and 87 highlight the significance of integrated care in treating both mental and physical health conditions. The analysis of CAPs triggers for various health conditions reveals significant associations with polypharmacy with no substantial differences observed between both prepandemic and pandemic cohorts. The association between fall CAPs triggers and a higher risk of polypharmacy underscores the importance of regularly reviewing and limit ing medications to prevent fall-related hospitalizations (Zaninotto et al., 2020), and to consider potential confounding factors that may contribute to falls. Furthermore, a higher risk of polypharmacy in individuals with dehydration CAPs triggers (low-level) uncovers the multifaced nature of dehydration and its potential interaction with conditions such as renal senescence, multiple diseases, and polypharmacy all of which contribute to increased risk of fluid loss (Alsanie et al., 2022). These findings underscore the need to address dehydration issues as part of prescribing medications. The urinary incontinence CAPs triggers (for prevention and improvement) suggest an association between polypharmacy, delirium, and urinary incontinence, which can lead to complex medical issues and increased medication use (Hogan, 1997). This finding suggests conducting thorough medication reviews to address these multifaceted concerns (Hogan, 1997). Specific medications that may be contributing to incontinence were not accounted for in this study, thus limiting the ability to suggest targeted interventions, and calls for future research. Similarly, the cardiorespiratory CAPs findings emphasized the complexities of cardiovascular pharmacotherapy in older individuals, with age-related pharmacokinetics and dynamic changes affecting medication efficacy, necessitating individualized approaches to optimize regimens (Tamargo et al., 2022). However, specific cardiovascular drugs and their interactions were not accounted for in this study, limiting insights into medication management strategies for 88 individuals with cardiovascular issues. A more in-depth investigation is needed to determine the appropriate medication management strategies for individuals with cardiovascular CAPs triggers and polypharmacy. The inverse association observed in undernutrition CAPs triggers (medium risk and high risk) may be attributed to individuals with undernutrition receiving preferential treatment focused on dietary changes and nutritional interventions over medications since the intervention aims to improve nutritional status while reducing the need for multiple medications (Croggan et al., 2009). However, specific nutritional interventions and their impact on medication usage have yet to be thoroughly explored, emphasizing the need for further research to investigate these associations comprehensively. Finally, the study's overall rigor was maintained through detailed data information, precise statistical analysis, ethical considerations, and a solid overview of the existing literature. The findings of the study provide important insights into the complex associations between polypharmacy and various factors, which can be used to inform clinical practice and future research in the field. Furthermore, the associations displayed no noteworthy differences between the various factors studied in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. Future research should prioritize studies that reveal variations in these associations between the two cohorts, delving deeper into the specific factors contributing to polypharmacy trends. This exploration is important for gaining a comprehensive understanding of how the pandemic may have influenced medication usage, allowing for more targeted interventions and improved healthcare strategies. Implications of Findings The study underscores the persistent issue of polypharmacy in LTCFs, in both prepandemic and pandemic cohorts irrespective of pandemic influence. To address this concern, 89 comprehensive medication reviews including multidisciplinary teams are urgently needed to reduce the harms associated with multiple drugs, and to enhance the health outcomes of individuals in LTCFs. Furthermore, the high prevalence of antidepressants suggests the need to address the underlying reasons for depression, such as social isolation and a lack of activity. Non-pharmacological interventions such as emotional support, should be prioritized in LTCFs. In addition, given the complex psychological challenges that may have occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic as a result of pandemic-related restrictions, an increase in the use of antipsychotic drugs during the pandemic emphasizes enhanced staff training and education on behavioral management techniques, enhanced psychosocial support services, and active involvement of family and caregivers can contribute to a holistic care approach. The associations between sociodemographic factors, including age, sex, obesity, and polypharmacy underscore that healthcare providers should be careful when prescribing medications to individuals in LTCFs who fall within the young-old, middle-old, and oldest-old age categories, tailoring treatment plans to their specific needs and to avoid potential risks associated with polypharmacy in these age groups. Policymakers should consider initiatives that promote regular medication reviews, foster interprofessional partnerships and prioritize nonpharmacological therapies to manage conditions that can derive significant benefits from such approaches and develop guidelines to simplify medication regimes for individuals with multiple medical conditions. The significant associations between mental health conditions, including Depression, Mania, and Anxiety, polypharmacy suggests that healthcare providers should prioritize evidencebased psychotherapeutic interventions, behavioral therapies, and non-pharmacological approaches as primary modalities for managing mental health conditions at the time of initial 90 assessment to minimize reliance on multiple medications during follow up assessments, thereby reducing the potential for adverse effects and drug interactions. Regular assessments and personalized treatment plans that consider the unique needs of individuals with mental health conditions are crucial to promoting optimal mental well-being while avoiding unnecessary pharmacological interventions. Policymakers should consider integrating mental health-specific guidelines into LTCF protocols to ensure the provision of mental health care aligns with best practices to optimize overall mental health outcomes in these settings. The increased risk of polypharmacy associated with higher scores on the PS, ADL scale, and DRS highlights the challenges of managing individuals with complex health needs. Healthcare providers must carefully evaluate and implement suitable pain management strategies, and consider the adverse effects of polypharmacy, such as an increased likelihood of falls and worsened cognitive decline in individuals already experiencing cognitive impairment. It is essential for healthcare professionals and policymakers to work together in formulating guidelines to address the complex clinical needs found through these outcome scales to enhance the overall well-being of individuals. The higher risk of polypharmacy among individuals with CAPs triggers for falls, cardiorespiratory conditions, urinary incontinence, and dehydration suggests that healthcare providers and policymakers should reassess the appropriateness of existing CAPs and consider a more comprehensive approach to address the root causes of these health issues. The implications suggest a need for a shift towards non-pharmacological interventions, preventive measures, and targeted care plans tailored to the individual needs of individuals in LTCFs. It emphasizes the importance of refining CAPs to prioritize holistic, person-centered care, minimizing the risk of 91 polypharmacy while effectively managing the health concerns identified in the initial assessments. The lack of significant differences in these associations between the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts implies that the observed trends are not attributable to the influence of the pandemic. This underscores the persistent nature of the identified risk factors, suggesting that they exist independently of external events such as the pandemic. Efforts for mitigating polypharmacy should be continuous and should not be solely based on specific external circumstances and healthcare professionals should adopt sustained and proactive approaches in addressing the underlying risk factors associated with polypharmacy at the time of initial assessments. This recognition underscores the need for ongoing, comprehensive interventions to effectively manage and reduce polypharmacy, irrespective of external contextual changes. Strengths & Limitations Investigating and understanding the risk factors associated with polypharmacy in LTCFs, which are often frail and more vulnerable to the harms associated with polypharmacy than those living in the community, can improve risk stratification, evidence-based decision-making, and clinical outcomes among individuals in LTCFs, potentially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. One of the study's main strengths is the large and diverse sample of the CIHI dataset, which allows for a comprehensive understanding of the LTCF population. Furthermore, large datasets, being representative of broader populations, increase statistical power and improve the ability to generalize findings to other LTCFs. One limitation of using large datasets is the risk of identifying statistically significant associations that are not clinically significant or relevant. To address this limitation, the study focuses on odds ratios in the findings to demonstrate the magnitude of the associations and their practical importance. Another notable strength of this 92 study lies in its unique contribution to the existing literature. While a substantial body of literature addresses polypharmacy prevalence within the context of LTCFs, limited research is available on risk factors associated with polypharmacy specifically in the context of the COVID19 pandemic in LTCFs in Canada. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate factors associated with polypharmacy in LTCFs across Canada both before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, this is the only study to compare polypharmacy and psychotropic medication prevalence before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, adding a unique dimension to the existing body of knowledge. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, the existing body of research has primarily focused on assessing the relationship between polypharmacy and the risk of mortality. In a retrospective analysis, Visser and colleagues found that higher prescription drugs were associated with an increased 30-day COVID-related mortality risk, particularly in nonvaccinated individuals (Visser et al., 2023). Additionally, a longitudinal study involving 4023 nursing home residents across Europe revealed that among non-frail participants, hyperpolypharmacy (10 or more medications) was associated with a higher risk of death (Zazzara et al., 2023). As mortality data was not available in the current study, this limitation should be addressed in future research. One of the limitations of this study is its retrospective nature, due to which it was difficult to determine a causality relationship or monitor changes in polypharmacy trends over time. In addition, due to the lack of information available regarding the drug classes used by individuals of LTCFs, the study has not taken specific medication regimens and their potential interactions into account. Because this study focused on LTCFs, therefore findings are not applicable to other healthcare settings or demographics. Another limitation of this study is that 93 alternative definitions of polypharmacy, such as the use of five to nine drugs or nine or more drugs were not employed which could have provided a deeper understanding of factors associated with different medication patterns in the LTCFs and should be investigated in future research. The decision to define polypharmacy as the concurrent use of five or more medications in this study is rooted in its wide utilization in clinical practice and research. Clinically, this threshold signifies the point where individuals encounter complexity in managing medication regimens, increasing the risk of adverse drug reactions and interactions. Furthermore, this definition holds practical relevance in healthcare settings, representing the juncture at which clinicians typically enhance monitoring due to the escalation in medical regimen complexities involving five or more drugs. Modeling nine or more medications which is generally defined as hyper polypharmacy introduces a more stringent criterion, potentially excluding individuals with moderately complex medication regimens. By focusing on five or more medications, the study aimed to strike a balance between inclusivity and statistical robustness. However, exploring alternative definitions of polypharmacy in future studies is essential to achieve a more comprehensive understanding of polypharmacy's spectrum, allowing for a deeper exploration of the clinical significance of different polypharmacy categories and providing insights for more targeted interventions and personalized healthcare strategies. Furthermore, a moderate 5.1% increase in the dispensing of antipsychotic medications was seen during the pandemic, which could be explained by changes in the mental health needs of LTCF individuals during the pandemic linked to a higher prevalence of antipsychotic use (Yan et al., 2023). However, this study did not delve into the specific factors contributing to the increase in antipsychotic use in LTCFs in the pandemic cohort as it extends beyond the scope of 94 this research. This limitation highlights an avenue for future research exploration to determine the specific factors leading to an increase in antipsychotic use in LTCFs during the pandemic. Future Research Directions Future longitudinal studies are needed to determine the polypharmacy trend over time in LTCFs and to investigate the longitudinal impact of polypharmacy on the health outcomes of LTCF individuals in Canada. Investigations should be conducted on the effectiveness of interventions aimed at reducing polypharmacy in long-term care settings, such as medication reviews, deprescribing strategies, and the implementation of non-pharmacological interventions to manage health conditions. Future research should include a comprehensive analysis of drug classes used by the individuals in LTCFs, with particular attention to antipsychotics. An investigation into the factors contributing to the significant increase in the dispensing of antipsychotics during the pandemic as observed in this study, is required, alongside with an evaluation of the potential impacts of antipsychotic medications on the mental health of individuals residing in LTCFs. Additionally, studies examining the effects of changes in medication patterns on patient outcomes are essential. Research is needed to determine potential drug-drug interactions, adverse effects, and causality relationships. To better understand why males may be at higher risk more study is needed to explore the factors underlying the sex discrepancy in polypharmacy, such as pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic differences, and to develop sex-specific interventions if necessary. Future research directions should consider adopting other definitions of polypharmacy, such as the use of five to nine drugs and the use of nine or more drugs, to investigate their associations with various factors within the LTCFs. This exploration will contribute to a more comprehensive 95 understanding of medication patterns and their implications for individuals in LTCFs, allowing for targeted interventions and improved healthcare practices. Individuals with specific diagnoses, such as Parkinson's Disease, Seizure Disorders, Cerebrovascular Accidents, Depression, Mania, and Anxiety Disorders, could benefit from interventions tailored to their needs. Future research into the efficacy and feasibility of such targeted approaches is critical for progressing personalized care in LTCFs. The findings that individuals with moderate to severe aggressive behaviors, as well as moderate to severe cognitive impairments, had a lower risk of polypharmacy warrants further research. The underlying causes of this phenomenon should be investigated to explore its implications for medication management in this subset of LTCFs individuals. Furthermore, future research should focus on investigating non-pharmacological interventions for individuals who have higher scores on PS, ADL scale, and DRS. It is critical to investigate nonpharmacological approaches and interdisciplinary strategies to manage these factors to reduce reliance on multiple medications. Research on the role of technology, such as decision support systems and electronic health records in lowering the risks of polypharmacy in LTCFs is warranted. Optimizing medication management practices in LTCFs requires investigations into how technology can support individualized prescribing, medication reconciliation, and real-time monitoring. Future research direction should also focus on associations between different CAPs and polypharmacy. It is critical to investigate the outcomes and effectiveness of CAPs for falls, cardiorespiratory conditions, urinary incontinence, and dehydration in reducing polypharmacy. Future research should look into whether these protocols contribute to more informed prescribing practices and better overall patient outcomes. 96 It is critical to investigate the impact of pandemic-related disruptions on polypharmacy, such as changes in healthcare delivery understaffing and resource availability. Future research should prioritize studies that reveal variations in associations between the two-time frames to better understand the impact of the pandemic on polypharmacy trends. A comprehensive understanding of whether the changes made during the pandemic will influence medication management practices in LTCFs is critical for developing strategies for future healthcare challenges. Moreover, investigations should be conducted to examine the possible long-term consequences of the pandemic on individual general well-being and delivery of healthcare in LTCFs, considering the changing landscape of healthcare post-pandemic. This involves looking into the adoption of telehealth, modifications to care protocols, and incorporation of new healthcare practices that arose during the pandemic. Conclusions This study describes various sociodemographic factors, clinical scales, mental health conditions, and CAPs were associated with a higher risk of polypharmacy among individuals in LTCFs in both pre-pandemic and pandemic cohort. In LTCFs, the overall differences in prevalence of polypharmacy between the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts were minimal. Among psychotropic medications, antidepressants were the most frequently dispensed, showing a slight increase in prevalence among individuals in the pandemic cohort. Antipsychotic medications were the second most prevalent and the prevalence increased significantly to 5.1% in the pandemic cohort. A smaller but higher risk of polypharmacy was observed among individuals in the young-old, middle-old, and oldest-old age categories, as well as among males, while a moderately higher risk of polypharmacy was observed among obese individuals. Several mental health conditions were associated with increased risk polypharmacy. Individuals with 97 moderate and severe aggressive behaviors, as well as those with moderate and severe cognitive impairments, exhibited a lower risk of polypharmacy. Conversely, the risk of polypharmacy was higher among individuals with higher scores on the PS, ADL scale, and DRS. In addition, a higher risk of polypharmacy in individuals with CAPs for falls, cardiorespiratory conditions, urinary incontinence, and dehydration was observed. Importantly, there were no significant differences, and a similar pattern was observed between the pre-pandemic and pandemic cohorts. These findings shed light on the complexities of polypharmacy in LTCFs and emphasize the importance of a patient-centered, comprehensive approach while managing medications, with a focus on limiting the risks of polypharmacy while optimizing the health outcomes of individuals in LTCFs. This study adds to the existing literature as a national study which describes a broad range of factors associated with polypharmacy in LTCFs across Canada, in pre-pandemic and COVID-19 pandemic cohorts and which describes medication utilization. This analysis provides an understanding of the impact of the pandemic on medication patterns, especially in the realm of psychotropic medications, which holds implications for both clinical practice and policy development. 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Prevalence of 111 Malnutrition and Depression in Older Adults Living in Nursing Homes in Mexico City. Nutrients, 12(8), 2429. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu12082429 Vetrano, D. L., Tosato, M., Colloca, G., Topinkova, E., Fialova, D., Gindin, J., Roest, H. G., Landi, F., Liperoti, R., Bernabei, R., Onder, G., & SHELTER Study. (2013). Polypharmacy in nursing home residents with severe cognitive impairment: Results from the SHELTER Study. Alzheimer’s & Dementia, 9(5), 587–593. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jalz.2012.09.009 Vetrano, D. L., Villani, E. R., Grande, G., Giovannini, S., Cipriani, M. C., Manes-Gravina, E., Bernabei, R., & Onder, G. (2018). Association of Polypharmacy With 1-Year Trajectories of Cognitive and Physical Function in Nursing Home Residents: Results from a Multicenter European Study. Journal of the American Medical Directors Association, 19(8), 710–713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jamda.2018.04.008 Villani, E. R., Vetrano, D. L., Liperoti, R., Palmer, K., Denkinger, M., van der Roest, H. G., Bernabei, R., & Onder, G. (2021). Relationship between frailty and drug use among nursing homes residents: Results from the SHELTER study. Aging Clinical and Experimental Research, 33(10), 2839–2847. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40520-021-01797-z Violan, C., Foguet-Boreu, Q., Flores-Mateo, G., Salisbury, C., Blom, J., Freitag, M., Glynn, L., Muth, C., & Valderas, J. M. (2014). Prevalence, Determinants and Patterns of Multimorbidity in Primary Care: A Systematic Review of Observational Studies. PLoS ONE, 9(7), e102149. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0102149 Visser, A. G. R., Winkens, B., Schols, J. M. G. A., Janknegt, R., & Spaetgens, B. (2023). The impact of polypharmacy on 30-day COVID-related mortality in nursing home residents: a multicenter retrospective cohort study. European geriatric medicine, 14(1), 51–57. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41999-022-00723-4 Voils, C. I., Crandell, J. L., Chang, Y., Leeman, J., & Sandelowski, M. (2011). Combining adjusted and unadjusted findings in mixed research synthesis. Journal of evaluation in clinical practice, 17(3), 429–434. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2753.2010.01444.x Wastesson, J. W., Morin, L., Laroche, M., & Johnell, K. (2019). How Chronic Is Polypharmacy in Old Age? A Longitudinal Nationwide Cohort Study. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 67(3), 455–462. https://doi.org/10.1111/jgs.15717 Wastesson, J. W., Morin, L., Tan, E. C. K., & Johnell, K. (2018). An update on the clinical consequences of polypharmacy in older adults: A narrative review. Expert Opinion on Drug Safety, 17(12), 1185–1196. https://doi.org/10.1080/14740338.2018.1546841 White, E. M., Santostefano, C. M., Feifer, R. A., Kosar, C. M., Blackman, C., Gravenstein, S., & Mor, V. (2020). Asymptomatic and Presymptomatic Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infection Rates in a Multistate Sample of Skilled Nursing Facilities. JAMA Internal Medicine, 180(12), 1709. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.5664 112 World Health Organization. (2004). A glossary of terms for community health care and services for older persons. (n.d.). ATC (Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical Classification System). World Health Organization. https://www.who.int/tools/atc-ddd-toolkit/atc-classification World Health Organization. (2022, October 22). A report about aging and health. Retrieved from https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/ageing-and-health. World Health Organization. (2019). Medication safety in polypharmacy: technical report. World Health Organization. https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/325454. Yan, D., Temkin-Greener, H., & Cai, S. (2023). Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Affect the Use of Antipsychotics Among Nursing Home Residents With ADRD? The American journal of geriatric psychiatry: official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry, 31(2), 124–140. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jagp.2022.09.009 Zaninotto, P., Huang, Y. T., Di Gessa, G., Abell, J., Lassale, C., & Steptoe, A. (2020). Polypharmacy is a risk factor for hospital admission due to a fall: evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. BMC public health, 20(1), 1804. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889020-09920-x Zazzara, M. B., Villani, E. R., Palmer, K., Fialova, D., Corsonello, A., Soraci, L., Fusco, D., Cipriani, M. C., Denkinger, M., Onder, G., & Liperoti, R. (2023). Frailty modifies the effect of polypharmacy and multimorbidity on the risk of death among nursing home residents: Results from the SHELTER study. Frontiers in Medicine, 10, 1091246. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2023.1091246 Zotero. (2023). Zotero 6 for Windows [Software]. https://www.zotero.org 113 Appendix One Different Keywords Selected for All Databases RISK FACTORS POLYPHARMACY LONG-TERM CARE Associated factors Multiple medicines Long-term care facilities Co morbidities Multiple drugs Aged-care facilities Risk Multiple medications Nursing homes Factors Long term care homes Protective factors Predictive factors 114 Search Criteria from CINAHL Database using MeSH Terms and Key Words CINAHL DATABASE 1 2 (MH "Polypharmacy”) OR AB multiple medicines OR AB multiple medications OR AB multiple drugs (MH "Risk Factors+") OR (MH "Comorbidity") OR AB risks OR AB factors OR AB associated factors AB protective factors OR predictive factors 3 (MH "Long Term Care") OR (MH "Residential Facilities+") OR (MH "Nursing Homes") OR AB long-term care facilit* OR AB aged care facilit* OR AB long-term care home* 4 #1 AND #2 AND #3 Number of Retrieved Articles 10,661 1,348,266 59,196 219 (150 last 10 years, English) 115 Search Criteria from PubMed Database using MeSH Terms and Key Words PubMed Database Retrieved Articles 1 "Polypharmacy"[MeSH Terms] OR "polypharmacy"[All Fields] OR "multiple medicine*"[Title/Abstract] OR "multiple drug*"[Title/Abstract] OR "multiple medication*"[Title/Abstract] 24,671 2 "Risk factors"[MeSH Terms] OR ("risk"[All Fields] AND "factors"[All Fields]) OR "risk factors"[All Fields] OR "factor*"[Title/Abstract] OR "risk*"[Title/Abstract] OR "associated factor*"[Title/Abstract] OR "protective factor*"[Title/Abstract] OR "predictive factor*"[Title/Abstract] OR "co morbidit*"[Title/Abstract] 6,158,831 3 104,732 "Long term care"[MeSH Terms] OR "long term care"[All Fields] OR "residential facilities"[MeSH Terms] OR "residential facilities"[All Fields] OR "long term care home*"[Title/Abstract] OR "nursing home*"[Title/Abstract] OR "aged care facilit*"[Title/Abstract] OR "long term care facilit*"[Title/Abstract] 4 #1 AND #2 AND #3 518 306, last 10 years and English 116 Search Criteria from Web of Science Database using MeSH Terms and Key Words 1 Web of Science Database Retrieved Articles TI= (polypharmacy OR multiple medications OR multiple medicines OR multiple drugs) OR AB= (polypharmacy OR multiple medicat* OR multiple medici* OR multiple drug*) OR TS= (polypharmacy OR multiple medicat* OR multiple medici* OR multiple drug*) 217,137 2 3,731,375 TI= (risk factors OR associated risks OR risks OR factors OR protective factors OR predictive factors) OR AB= (risk factors OR risk NEAR2 factor* OR associated risk* OR predictive factor* OR protective factor*) OR TS = (risk factors OR risks NEAR2 factor* OR associated risk* OR protective factor* OR Predictive factor*) 3 21,346 TI=(long-term care OR residential facilities OR long term care facilities OR nursing homes OR long term care homes OR aged care facilities ) AND TS=(longterm care OR residential facilit* OR nursing home* OR long term care home* OR long term care facilit* OR aged care facilit*) AND AB = (long-term care OR residential facilit* OR nursing home* OR long term care home* OR long term care facilit* OR aged care facilit*) 4 #1 AND #2 AND #3 241 181 last 10 years, English 117 Search Criteria from APA Psych info Database using MeSH Terms and Key Words APA Psych info Database Retrieved Articles 1 (MH "Polypharmacy") OR AB Multiple drugs OR AB Multiple medications OR AB Multiple medicines 5246 2 (MH "Risk Factors") OR (MH " (Protective factors") OR AB Associated factors OR AB Factors OR AB Risks OR AB predictive factors. 1,049,021 3 MH "Long Term Care" OR MH "Nursing Home Residents" OR MH "Nursing Homes” OR AB long-term care facilit* OR AB aged care facilit* OR AB long term care home* 18,315 4 #1 AND #2 AND #3 52 30 last 10 years, English 118 Visser, A. G. R., Winkens, B., Schols, J. M. G. A., Janknegt, R., & Spaetgens, B. (2023). The impact of polypharmacy on 30-day COVID-related mortality in nursing home residents: a multicenter retrospective cohort study. European geriatric medicine, 14(1), 51–57. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41999022-00723-4 Oya N, Ayani N, Kuwahara A, Kitaoka R, Omichi C, Sakuma M, Morimoto T, Narumoto J. Over Half of Falls Were Associated with Psychotropic Medication Use in Four Nursing Homes in Japan: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Mar 7;19(5):3123 3. 4. 2. Anliker, N., Molinero-Mourelle, P., Weijers, M. et al. Dental status and its correlation with polypharmacy and multimorbidity in a Swiss nursing home population: a cross-sectional study. Clin Oral Invest (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00784023-04906-6 Zazzara, M. B., Villani, E. R., Palmer, K., Fialova, D., Corsonello, A., Soraci, L., Fusco, D., Cipriani, M. C., Denkinger, M., Onder, G., & Liperoti, R. (2023). Frailty modifies the effect of polypharmacy and multimorbidity on the risk of death among nursing home residents: Results from the SHELTER study. Frontiers in medicine, 10, 1091246. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2023. 1091246 Reference 1. Reference ID To identify the incidence of drug-related falls with and without injury To evaluate how polypharmacy affects 30-day COVID-related mortality in residents of nursing homes presented with COVID-19. To evaluate the association of polypharmacy and hyper polypharmacy with increase in risk of death To examine the association between oral health condition, and polypharmacy and/or multimorbidity 2022 2023 2023 2023 retrospective Retrospectiv e Longitudinal cohort based on secondary analysis Cross sectional Article Information Aims and Publication Study Objectives Date Design Characteristics of Participants and Studies, N = 38 Articles (2012-2023) 1 August 2016 to 31 July 2017 (one year) March 2020December 2021 20092011 Study duration Japan Netherlan ds 50 European NH facilities Switzerla nd Country 4 nursing homes Nursing homes (10 in Czech Republic, 9 in England, 4 in Finland, 4 in France, 9 in Germany, 10 in Italy, and 4 in the Netherlan ds) and from 7 facilities in Israel. 15 nursing homes 3 Nursing homes Settings ≥5 medications ≥5 medications Polypharmacy (5-9 medications), hyper polypharmacy (10 or more drugs) N/A Concurrent use Concurrent use 46% N/A Polypharmacy in 42.80 %, hyper polypharmacy in 52.90 %. 27.90% (0 - 4 drugs) Polypharmacy Information Polypharmacy Inclusion criteria Prevalence of definition for Polypharmacy polypharmacy in residents definition ≥5 medications Concurrent use 92. 00% Appendix Two All residents except with short term stay COVID-19 positive residents Randomly selected older adults residing in participating NHs at the beginning of the study and those admitted in the 3-month enrolment period following the initiation of the study individuals with dental and medical records over 65 years old with diagnosed polypharmacy and/or multimorbidity Characteristics 459 384 4156 180 Number of residents 87 years (SD: 6.9 84 years (SD = 8) 83.6 (SD = 9.4) 85.5 ± 7.4 median (IQR) 4 (2–6) 6 (SD = 3) N/A 12.1 ± 5.6. Population demographics Mean/ Number of Median drugs per age resident 75% 65% 73.20% 75. 00% gender/ female resident care records Medical records secondary analysis based on data from the Services and Health for Elderly in Long Term care (SHELTER) study Medical records Data Collection 119 Díez R, Cadenas R, Susperregui J, Sahagún AM, Fernández N, García JJ, Sierra M, López C. DrugRelated Problems and Polypharmacy in Nursing Home Residents: A Cross-Sectional Study. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Apr 4;19(7):4313 Excessive polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate prescribing in 147 care homes: a cross-sectional study Clare MacRae, David AG Henderson, Stewart W Mercer, Jenni Burton, Nicosha De Souza, Paula Grill, Charis Marwick, Bruce Guthrie BJGP Open 2021; 5 (6): BJGPO.2021. Cadenas R, Diez MJ, Fernández N, García JJ, Sahagún AM, Sierra M, López C, Susperregui J, Díez R. Prevalence and Associated Factors of Polypharmacy in Nursing Home Residents: A Cross-Sectional Study. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Feb 19;18(4):2037. Cristina Ionescu, Aleksandar Jovanović Rates, Variability and Associated Factors of Polypharmacy in Nursing Homes in Cyprus. Aging Medicine and Healthcare 2021;12(4):125-130 Villani, E.R., Vetrano, D.L., Liperoti, R. et al. Relationship between frailty and drug use among nursing homes residents: results from the SHELTER study. Aging Clin Exp Res 33, 2839– 2847 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40520021-01797-z 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. To investigate the association of frailty with polypharmacy To assess the consumption of drugs and to establish if polypharmacy is related to the most common comorbid diseases. To assess the rates of polypharmacy and the factors related to it To assess the pattern of polypharmacy in a nursing home in Leon, one of Spain’s most ageing regions, and its relationship with different drug-related problems To describe excessive polypharmacy and potentially inappropriate prescribing predisposing care home residents to adverse events 2021 2021 2021 2021 2022 crosssectional crosssectional crosssectional crosssectional crosssectional 2009 2011 May 2019August 2019(4 months) January to June 2019 N/A February to July 2021 Czech RepublicE ngland, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlan ds, and Israel. Cyprus Spain UK Spain 50 European facilities and 7 facilities in Israel 8 nursing homes in the region of Limassol Spanish Nursing home located in the province of Leon 147 care homes A nursing home in Leon, one of Spain’s most ageing regions Nonpolypharmacy (0-5 drugs), polypharmacy (6-9 drugs) and excessive polypharmacy (≥10 drugs). polypharmacy 59 medications, and hyper polypharmacy as use of 10 or more drugs nonpolypharmacy (0–4 medicines), polypharmacy 59 drugs an excessive polypharmacy (≥10 Drugs) Excessive polypharmacy ≥10 distinct drug classes determined by subsections of the British National Formulary nonpolypharmacy (0–4 medicines), polypharmacy (5–9 medicines), and excessive polypharmacy (at least 10 medicines) concurrent use of medications Current' prescribing (prescription in the 56 days before data collection) and Repeat prescriptions issued in 28-day cycles. Prescriptions for medical appliances were excluded treatment at least 1 month prior to data collection. complementary, over the counter medications and nutritional supplements were excluded. prescribed medication given for at least 1 month prior to data collection Prescription drugs administered to residents for at least 1 month. Over the counter medications, nutritional supplements, and herbal medicines were not considered. polypharmacy 6-9 drugs, 39.7% residents and excessive polypharmacy ≥10 drugs 15.5% polypharmacy in 49.5% and excessive in 25.40% residents polypharmacy in 54.9% of residents and excessive in 22.1% of residents 32.3% (excessive polypharmacy) 78.8% data of All NH participants from SHELTER study conducted age ≥65 and being institutionalized for at least one month residents institutionalized for at least 1 month in nursing home with age ≥65 years residents aged ≥60 years Residents aged ≥65 years or older taking chronic medications for at least one month 4121 199 326 4468 222 mean age 84.6 ± 9.2 years Mean age was 84.32 (SD 6.7) years, range 65-97 years The mean age was 86.8 ± 7.5 years (range 67– 107 years), Mean age was 84.9 years [SD] 8.1 The mean age was 85.5 ± 7.8 years (range 65– 107, median 86), mean SD 7.0 (3.6) mean 6.06 (SD 2.91) with a range of 0 to 14 mean 7.02 ± 3.31 (range: 0– 17). mean of 7.8 (interquartile range [IQR] 3.5–12.1) and median of 8 (IQR 3–13) median of 7 (range = 0 to 17) 73.10% 70.35% 63.80% 71.50% 67.1%. Inter RAILTCF medical files medical charts NHS health coverage linkage database management software and medical charts 120 Fassmer AM, Hoffmann F. Acute health care services use among nursing home residents in Germany: a comparative analysis of out-of-hours medical care, emergency department visits and acute hospital admissions. Aging Clin Exp Res. 2020 Jul;32(7):1359-1368. Doi: 10.1007/s40520-019-01306-3. Epub 2019 Aug 19. PMID: 31428997. Kapoor A, Field T, Handler S, Fisher K, Saphirak C, Crawford S, Fouayzi H, Johnson F, Spenard A, Zhang N, Gurwitz JH. Characteristics of Long-Term Care Residents That Predict Adverse Events after Hospitalization. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2020 Nov;68(11):2551-2557. Doi: 10.1111/jgs.16770. Epub 2020 Aug 20. PMID: 32816317. Astorp J, Gjela M, Jensen P, Bak RD, Gazerani P. Patterns and characteristics of polypharmacy among elderly residents in Danish nursing homes. Future Sci OA. 2020 May 29;6(8). 11. 12. 13. Lexow M, Wernecke K, Schmid GL, Sultzer R, Bertsche T, Schiek S. Considering additive effects of polypharmacy: Analysis of adverse events in geriatric patients in longterm care facilities. Wien Klin Wochenschr. 2021 Aug;133(1516): 10. To identify patterns and characteristics of polypharmacy by investigating the drug-drug interactions and potential adverse effects. Analysis of resident characteristics for association with adverse events transitioning back from the hospital to their LTC facility. Investigating German NH residents' use of out-of-hours medical care, visits to emergency departments and acute hospital admissions. To identify adverse events occurring in LTC facility residents and to assess plausible concomitant drug causes. 2020 2020 2020 2021 cross sectional Prospective retrospective crosssectional 7–27 November 2019 March 1, 2016, to December 31, 2017. 1 January 2014- 31 December 2015 10 months Denmark New England Germany: Germany Twentyfive nursing homes A total of 32 nursing homes from six New England states. This cohort study was a componen t of the HOMER N project which explores, in depth, health care of NH residents three LTC facilities in Germany. five or more N/A polypharmacy 59, excessive polypharmacy 10 or more use of medicines ≥3 concurrent use of prescription-based medications regularly schedule medications the number of different drugs prescribed during the quarter of nursing home admission all drugs administered to the patient during the acquisition period polypharmacy in 68% residents and excessive in 32% 22.7% were on 0-9 medications. 26.4% were on 18+ medications, 23.9% were on 14–17 medicines 26.4% were on 18+ medications 47.0% with 5-9 and 30.6% with 10 or more N/A Residents were 65 years or older, concurrently taking five or more medications for longer period of time Cohort members (categorized into four groups: ≤ 69, 70−79, 80−89 and ≥ 90 years), were institutionalized for the first time between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2015 and were required to have a preceding insurance period of at least 1 year All residents who had resided in the facility for 100 days or longer. age ≥65 years, long-term/chronic medicines ≥3 and multimorbidity with ≥3 comorbidities at the time of recruitment, more than 8 weeks stay in the LTC facility, and a life expectancy of more than 6 months 100 555 1665 104 The mean (± standard deviation) age 82.9 ± 7.7 y ears N/A mean age 80.5 year, median 86 (range: 66– 101) years old (mean ± SD: 8.5 ± 2.6) N/A N/A median (Q25/Q75; min– max) 8 (6/10; 2–18) 68% 63.40% 66.30% 72.10% The requested information was either collected from the nursing homes in person or received by Email. data management was performed using Google sheet. nursing home records and physician review claims data of insured individuals interviews and chart review. 121 Izza, M.A.D., Lunt, E., Gordon, A.L. et al. Polypharmacy, benzodiazepines, and antidepressants, but not antipsychotics, are associated with increased falls risk in UK care home residents: a prospective multi-centre study. Eur Geriatr Med 11, 1043–1050 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41999020-00376-1 Wastesson JW, Morin L, Laroche ML, Johnell K. How Chronic Is Polypharmacy in Old Age? A Longitudinal Nationwide Cohort Study. J Am Geriatr Soc. 2019 Mar;67(3):455-462 17. 18. 16. 15. Díaz, L.B.; Casuso-Holgado, M.J.; Labajos-Manzanares, M.T.; BarónLópez, F.J.; Pinero-Pinto, E.; Romero-Galisteo, R.P.; MorenoMorales, N. Analysis of Fall Risk Factors in an Aging Population Living in Long-Term Care Institutions in SPAIN: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2020, 17, 7234. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph1719 7234 Velázquez-Alva MC, IrigoyenCamacho ME, Cabrer-Rosales MF, Lazarevich I, Arrieta-Cruz I, Gutiérrez-Juárez R, ZepedaZepeda MA. Prevalence of Malnutrition and Depression in Older Adults Living in Nursing Homes in Mexico City. Nutrients. 2020 Aug 13;12(8):2429. Doi: 10.3390/nu12082429. PMID: 32823579; PMCID: PMC7468927. Drug burden index, polypharmacy, and patient health outcomes in cognitively intact older residents of aged care facilities in Malaysia. S. S. Hasan PhD, S. H. Chang BPharm, K. Thiruchelvam BPharm, MSc, D. W. K. Chong BPharm, MSc, Z. U. Babar PhD 14. To evaluate the chronicity of polypharmacy among older adults and to identify factors associated with To examine the association of the drug burden index and polypharmacy with patient health outcomes among cognitively intact older residents in aged care facilities To explore the link between polypharmacy, psychotropic medications, and falls risk The association between nutritional status, depressive symptoms, and the number of prescription drugs taken by older adults. To assess the prevalence of falls among residents and to identify risk factors for fall. 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 Longitudinal prospective crosssectional crosssectional retrospective cohort 37 months (Oct 2010Dec2013) 18 months between August 2016 and February 2018. July– Septembe r 2017 May to October 2018. past 12 months Nationwid e, Sweden. UK Malaysia Mexico Spain Living arrangeme nt was given as “living in institution 84 UK long term care homes Eleven RACFs in Kuala Lumpur Three nursing homes in Mexico 113 longterm care institution s distributed across the different provinces of Spain. Use of five or more drugs ≥5 Drugs 5 or more 3 or more medications 5 or more drugs. Eye drops and nasal sprays were included, Overthe-counter medications were included. taken as needed were included. Medical equipment and dressings, topical medications, vaccinations, and dietary supplements were excluded drugs taken in one month. over-thecounter drugs were excluded medication taken at single time. complementary medications, health supplements and medications prescribed on an as needed basis were excluded use of prescription drugs, and current antidepressant use (within the past 30 days). 5 or more medications daily Overall, 82% were continuously exposed to polypharmacy for 6 months or longer, and 74% 61.90% 27.15% 73.70% 85.4%. (Aged 65 years or older) who were exposed to five or more drugs in October 2010. N/A Participants were eligible to take part in the study if they had been permanent residents in the facility for ≥6 months, were aged ≥60 year 65 years and older, staying for more than one year in the nursing home, Persons over 70 years old who were living in a residential setting for at least 1 year 711432 1655 200 262 2849 . Mean age at baseline was 77 (SD = 7.8) years, mean age 85(SD 8.9) 74.50± 84.0 mean age 83.1 ± 8.6 years 85.21 (SD 6.6) years old, mean SD 8.0 (3.1) median 6 (IQR 3–9) 3.54 ±1.96 mean 5.1 ± 3.9 Mean, SD) 8.07 (3.6) 59% 67.91% 49.10% 66.40% 68.30% The Swedish Prescribed Drug Register was linked to the National Patient Register, the Medicine Administration Record charts medical records medical records institutional databases from SAR quavitae Company 122 Iniesta-Navalón C, GascónCánovas JJ, Gama ZADS, Sánchez-Ruiz JF, GutiérrezEstrada EA, De-la-Cruz-Sánchez E, Harrington-Fernández O. Potential, and clinically relevant drug-drug interactions among elderly from nursing homes: a multicentre study in Murcia, Spain. Cien Saude Colet. 2019 May 30;24(5):1895-1902. Doi: 10.1590/141381232018245.16032017. PMID: 31166522. Jeon YH, Casey AN, Vo K, Rogers K, Poole B, Fethney J. Associations between clinical indicators of quality and aged-care residents' needs and consumer and staff satisfaction: the first Australian study. Aust Health Rev. 2019 Apr;43(2):133-141. Doi: 10.1071/AH17213. PMID: 29335089. Marhanis Salihah Omar, Lee Shiow-Ling, The use of Fall RiskIncreasing Drugs among Older People in Nursing Home, Age and Ageing, Volume 48, Issue Supplement_4, December 2019, Pages iv34iv39, https://doi.org/10.1093/ageing/afz1 64.138 19. 20. 21. To ascertain Australian multistate prevalence and incidence of five commonly collected clinical indicators such as falls, physical restraints, pressure injury, unplanned weight loss and polypharmacy of aged-care home quality and to measure associations between these clinical indicators and levels of care needs and consumer and staff satisfaction To determine the prevalence of drugs causing falls and the fall risk status among older people residing in nursing homes To determine the prevalence of potential and clinically relevant DrugDrugInteractions institutionalized older adults and to identify the pertinent factors associated. chronic polypharmacy. 2019 2019 2019 crosssectional retrospective analysis crosssectional March 2018 November 2018 1 January 2014 – 1 May 2016 last quarter of 2010. Malaysia Australia Spain 27 long term care facilities in Malaysia 426 agedcare homes 10 nursing homes of Murcia (Spain) number of medications N/A Polypharmacy (9 or more medications) Ten or more drugs N/A including prescription and over the counter drugs medications taken for at least 3 months N/A (Median 42.2%, IQR 27.3– 58.3%) for 12 months or longer. The proportion of individuals who remained exposed until the end of the study was 55%. 20.70% aged 65 years and above, staying at a longterm care facility for at least three months N/A The study assesses people over 65 years 212 N/A 275 age group 70-74 (23.1%) and 75-79 years (n=47%, 22.2%) accounting for the most N/A average 81.6 ± 7.7 Total mean rank 114.42 N/A 6.6±3.8 drugs per person 60.80% N/A 61.50% researcherassisted questionnaire Using an existing database from a private benchmarking company clinical record National Cause of Death Register, and the Social Services Register 123 Morin L, Johnell K, Laroche ML, Fastbom J, Wastesson JW. The epidemiology of polypharmacy in older adults: register-based prospective cohort study. Clin Epidemiol. 2018 Mar 12; 10:289298. Bor A, Matuz M, Csatordai M, Szalai G, Bálint A, Benkő R, Soós G, Doró P. Medication use and risk of falls among nursing home residents: a retrospective cohort study. Int J Clin Pharm. 2017 Apr;39(2):408-415. Doi: 10.1007/s11096-017-0426-6. Epub 2017 Feb 10. PMID: 28188510. 24. 25. 23. Gutiérrez-Valencia, M., Izquierdo, M., Lacalle-Fabo, E. et al. Relationship between frailty, polypharmacy, and under prescription in older adults living in nursing homes. Eur J Clin Pharmacol 74, 961–970 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00228018-2452-2 Vetrano DL, Villani ER, Grande G, Giovannini S, Cipriani MC, Manes-Gravina E, Bernabei R, Onder G. Association of Polypharmacy With 1-Year Trajectories of Cognitive and Physical Function in Nursing Home Residents: Results from a Multicenter European Study. J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2018 Aug;19(8):710-713. Doi: 10.1016/j.jamda.2018.04.008. Epub 2018 May 31. PMID: 29861194. 22. To measure the prevalence of polypharmacy at baseline, to measure the incidence rate of polypharmacy over time, and finally to investigate the factors independently associated with both prevalent and incident polypharmacy. To investigate the possible predictors of geriatric falls annualized over a 5-year-long period, as well as to evaluate the medication use of nursing home residents. To examine the possible association between medication underprescription, polypharmacy, and frailty To test the association between polypharmacy and 1-year change in physical and cognitive function among nursing home residents. 2017 2018 2018 2018 retrospective prospective Longitudinal crosssectional 20102015 November 1, 2010December 20, 2013. 2009 and 2011. N/A Hungary Sweden. Europe and Israel Spain Nursing home in Szeged using data from the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare’s Social Services Register. NH in Europe (n = 50) and Israel (n = 7). two nursing homes four or more polypharmacy was defined as the concurrent use of ≥5 medications and “excessive polypharmacy” as the concurrent use of ≥10 medications Polypharmacy was defined as the concurrent use of 5 to 9 drugs and excessive polypharmacy as the use of ≥10 drugs polypharmacy was defined as ≥ 5 medications use of chronic medications concomitant use of medications excluding antiinfective for systemic use concurrent use of medications including topical treatments chronic medications 89.3% of residents. The prevalence of polypharmacy was 44.0% and excessive polypharmacy was 11.7%. 50% with polypharmacy and 24% with excessive polypharmacy 73.60% Every patient who was the resident of the investigated nursing home for at least 12 months was included into the study. Individuals aged ≥65 years at baseline (November 1, 2010) were included All the NH residents admitted to the participant facilities before the beginning of the study were included. older than 65 years 197 1,742,336 3234 110 Mean age SD 81.2 ± 8.9 Mean age was 75 years (SD, 7.8), mean 83.4 SD 9.2 86.3 years (SD 7.3) percentage of residents mean SD 8.32 ± 3.88 mean 4.6 (SD, 4.0) N/A N/A 76.20% 56% 74% 71.80% medical record data from the Services and Health for Elderly in Long Term care (SHELTER) study. Drug data were taken from order sheets and drug administration records and reported in the InterRAILTCF. Total Population Register and record-linkage at the individual level between multiple registers with national coverage in Sweden a questionnaire 124 Jokanovic N, Jamsen KM, Tan ECK, Dooley MJ, Kirkpatrick CM, Bell JS. Prevalence and Variability in Medications Contributing to Polypharmacy in Long-Term Care Facilities. Drugs Real World Outcomes. 2017 Dec;4(4):235-245. doi: 10.1007/s40801-017-0121-x McCracken R, McCormack J, McGregor MJ, Wong ST, Garrison S. Associations between polypharmacy and treatment intensity for hypertension and diabetes: a cross-sectional study of nursing home patients in British Columbia, Canada. BMJ Open. 2017 Aug 11;7(8): e017430. Doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-017430. PMID: 28801438; PMCID: PMC5724061. Dörks M, Herget-Rosenthal S, Schmiemann G, Hoffmann F. Polypharmacy and Renal Failure in Nursing Home Residents: Results of the Inappropriate Medication in Patients with Renal Insufficiency in Nursing Homes (IMREN) Study. Drugs Aging. 2016 Jan;33(1):45-51. Doi: 10.1007/s40266-015-0333-2. PMID: 26659732. 26. 27. 28. To investigate which medications were more prevalent among residents with polypharmacy and to determine the variability in prescribing of these medications across LTCFs Describe nursing home polypharmacy prevalence in the context of prescribing for diabetes and hypertension and determine possible associations between lower surrogate markers for treated hypertension and diabetes (overtreatment) and polypharmacy. To assess polypharmacy in residents with renal failure 2016 2017 2017 cross sectional cross sectional cross sectional October 2014April 2015 July– November 2014 May 2015 Germany Canada Australia 21 nursing homes in northwest ern Germany (Bremen and Lower Saxony). 6 nursing homes in British Columbia, Canada 27 LTCfs , polypharmacy (concurrent use of 5–9 drugs) and excessive polypharmacy (concurrent use of C10 drugs) Polypharmacy was defined as ≥9 regular medications. Polypharmacy was defined as nine or more regular medications. scheduled medication prescribed regularly, excluding as needed medications. overthe-counter drugs were included, while extemporaneous products, homeopathic drugs and dietary supplements were not taken into account taking regular medications. dietary supplements and topical preparations were excluded. Onceonly, telephone orders, nurseinitiated medications, asneeded and shortterm medications were also excluded. regular medications including vitamins and supplements. Polypharmacy (5–9 drugs) was found in 53.3 % residents and excessive in 16.4 % 48% residents Polypharmacy (nine or more regular medications) was observed in 272 (36.0%) residents. All residents for whom at least one serum creatinine value and information about sex were available, so the eCLCR could be calculated. All patients were very frail All 685 214 754 The mean age was 83.3 ± 10.6 years (interquartil e range [IQR] 79– 91 years). mean 84±10 The median age of residents with and without polypharma cy was 85 and 86 years, respectively . mean SD 6.3 ± 3.3 long-term medications (IQR 4–9) per resident mean 8.7 (SD ±3.9) mean ± standard deviation of 7.46 ± 3.35 (range 0–19) 75.20% 69.70% 69.90% using a questionnaire and medical records paper chart and local health authority database electronic medication charts and medical records 125 Jokanovic N, Tan EC, Dooley MJ, Kirkpatrick CM, Elliott RA, Bell JS. Why is polypharmacy increasing in aged care facilities? The views of Australian health care professionals. J Eval Clin Pract. 2016 Oct;22(5):677-82. Lalic S, Sluggett JK, Ilomäki J, Wimmer BC, Tan EC, Robson L, Emery T, Bell JS. Polypharmacy and Medication Regimen Complexity as Risk Factors for Hospitalization Among Residents of Long-Term Care Facilities: A Prospective Cohort Study. J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2016 Nov 1;17(11): M. Herson, J.S. Bell, E.C.K. Tan, T. Emery, L. Robson, B.C. Wimmer, Factors associated with medication regimen complexity in residents of long-term care facilities. European Geriatric Medicine, Volume 6, Issue 6, 2015, Pages 561-564, ISSN 18787649, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eurger.20 15.10.003. Moore KJ, Doyle CJ, Dunning TL, Hague AT, Lloyd LA, Bourke J, Gill SD. Public sector residential aged care: identifying novel associations between quality indicators and other demographic and health-related factors. Aust Health Rev. 2014 Jun;38(3):32531. Doi: 10.1071/AH13184. Erratum in: Aust Health Rev. 2015 Feb;39(1):120. PMID: 24807681. 30. 31. 32. 33. Hallgren J, Ernsth Bravell M, Mölstad S, Östgren CJ, Midlöv P, Dahl Aslan AK. Factors associated with increased hospitalisation risk among nursing home residents in Sweden: a prospective study with a three-year follow-up. Int J Older People Nurs. 2016 Jun;11(2):130-9 29. To explore associations among quality indicators with other demographic and healthrelated factors. To investigate the association between polypharmacy and medication regimen complexity with time to first hospitalization, number of hospitalizations, and number of hospital days over a 12month period. The aim of this study was to investigate factors associated with medication regimen complexity in residents of LTCFs. To identify and prioritize factors contributing to the increasing prevalence of polypharmacy To evaluate physical and psychological factors associated with hospitalization risk 2014 2015 2016 2016 2016 retrospective cross sectional prospective survey based Prospective over 3 months April August 2014 April 2014August 2014 NGT survey was conducted at November 2014 2008– 2010 Australia Australia Australia Australia Sweden Victorian Public Sector Residentia l Aged Care Services 6 LTCFs 6 residential aged care facilities in Adelaide and regional South Australia aged care facilities 11 nursing homes in three different municipali ties in Sweden ≥9 drugs Polypharmacy w as defined as the use of nine or more regular medications. Polypharmacy was defined as the use of 9 or more regular medications polypharmacy was defined as the use of nine or more regular medicines. N/A/ number of drugs at any one time regular and asneeded medication use were included. Minerals and vitamins, complementary and alternative medications were included regular medications including over the counter, dermatologic products, vitamin, and herbal supplements were included regular medicines. N/A N/A 63.4% 63% N/A N/A data of residents with full 3 months from their admission date except residents with stay <3 months permanent residents aged 65 years or older Health care professionals with experience in aged care clinical practice, research or health policy were purposively sampled from metropolitan and regional Victoria and South Australia. permanent residents with aged 65 years or older All Swedish nursing home residents, ages 65– 101 years 380 383 383 17 health care professional s 429 80.9 ± 11.0 mean age 87.5 (SD: 6.2) years The median age was 88 years (interquartil e range 8492 N/A The mean age of the sample was 85 (range 65–101) years N/A The median number is 13.0 (range: 1–30). median number 10 IQR (7-13) N/A 6.8 (3.1) mean SD 58% 77.50% 78% Seventeen health care professionals , 70.90% databases medication and medical record administration chart and electronic medical records commercial tool SurveyMonke y data from the Study of Health and Drugs in Elderly living in institution. 126 Beloosesky Y, Nenaydenko O, Gross Nevo RF, Adunsky A, Weiss A. Rates, variability, and associated factors of polypharmacy in nursing home patients. Clin Interv Aging. 2013; 8:1585-90. Davide L. Vetrano, Matteo Tosato, Giuseppe Colloca, Eva Topinkova et al, Polypharmacy in nursing home residents with severe cognitive impairment: Results from the SHELTER Study, Alzheimer's & Dementia, Volume 9, Issue 5, 2013, Pages 587-593, ISSN 1552-5260, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jalz.2012. 09.009 Susan E. Bronskill, Sudeep S. Gill, J. Michael Paterson, Chaim M. Bell, Geoffrey M. Anderson, Paula A. Rochon. Exploring Variation in Rates of Polypharmacy Across Long Term Care Homes, Journal of the American Medical Directors Association, Volume 13, Issue 3, 2012, Pages 309.e15-309.e21 35. 36. 37. Leung AY, Kwan CW, Chi I. Residents with Alzheimer's disease in long-term care facilities in Hong Kong: patterns of hospitalization and emergency room use. Aging Ment Health. 2013;17(8):959-65. Doi: 10.1080/13607863.2013.768211. Epub 2013 Feb 12. PMID: 23402396. 34. To quantify the extent to which nine or more drug therapies were concurrently dispensed to Ontario LTC residents, to identify resident and LTC home characteristics associated with polypharmacy, to explore the variation in polypharmacy across LTC homes, and to consider the relationship bet This study examined the frequency and predictors of hospitalization and emergency room use among residents with Alzheimer's disease at admission and after 1 year in a long-term care facility. To determine the rate and variability of polypharmacy in nursing home residents and investigate its relationship to age, sex, functional status, length of stay, and comorbidities. To assess prevalence and factors related to polypharmacy with advanced cognitive impairment. 2012 2013 2013 2013 cross sectional cross sectional cross sectional Secondary analysis of Longitudinal Study on Long-Term Care Facility Residents. Retrospectiv e The census date from the LOC served as the reference date for study; the fall of 2005, 2009 to 2011 Nov 2011feb2012. 2004– 2010 Canada Czech RepublicE ngland, Finland, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, the Netherlan ds. central Israel Hong Kong 589 LTCFs in Ontario 57 nursing homes six NHs (four forprofit and two notfor-profit long-term care institution s). 10 residential long-term care facilities Polypharmacy w as defined as taking nine or more distinct drug therapies at the time of the census. no polypharmacy (0-4 drugs), polypharmacy (5-9 drugs), and excessive polypharmacy (≥10 drugs). Two types of polypharmacy were determined: polypharmacy defined as >5 drugs/day and polypharmacy defined as >7 drugs/day The number of medications taken by each participant during the previous 7 days. Polypharmacy is given as >3 drugs all drug therapies dispensed in 2005 were identified. Over the counter were excluded Only chronic medications given orally, by inhalation, or eye drops, given for at least 1 month prior to data collection, were recorded. complementary, over the counter, and nutritional supplements were not recorded drugs ordered and assumed in the 3 days prior to the assessment were recorded topical treatments were included medications taken during the previous 7 days. 15.5% of residents 50.7% with polypharmacy and excessive polypharmacy in 16.9%. residents Mean rates of polypharmacy >5 drugs and polypharmacy >7 drugs were 42.6% and 18.6%, respectively. N/A residents aged 66 years and older residing in LTC homes in the fall of 2005. All participants willing to participate residents aged ≥65 who had been institutionalized for at least 1 month All residents with Alzheimer's disease who were newly admitted between 2005 and 2010 was included in the analysis 64,394 1449 993 169 Mean 82.6 SD 6.9 for individuals dispensed with ≥9 drugs and mean age 84.8 SD 7.5 of individual dispensed with <9 drugs Mean age 84.2 ± 9 years The mean age was 85.04±7.55 (65–108) years. The mean age was 82.74 (SD = 8.07). N/A the mean number of drugs used was 6.2 ± 3.2. Mean number of chronic drugs per resident was 5.14±2.60 M (SD) 5.44 (3.17) VS 5.78 (3.55) (at admission and after 1 year) N/A 75.00% 71.200% 72% Data was assembled from four large, linked health care administrative databases housed at the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences using the InterRAI LTCF. medical files This secondary analysis used data collected with the Chinese version of the Residential Assessment Instrument Minimum Data Set 2.0 at admission and 12-month intervals 127 38. Graziano Onder, Rosa Liperoti, Daniela Fialova, Eva Topinkova, Matteo Tosato, Paola Danese, Pietro Folino Gallo, Iain Carpenter, Harriet Finne-Soveri, Jacob Gindin, Roberto Bernabei, Francesco Landi, for the SHELTER Project, Polypharmacy in Nursing Home in Europe: Results from the SHELTER Study, The Journals of Gerontology: Series A, Volume 67A, Issue 6, June 2012, Pages 698–704, https://doi.org/10.1093/gerona/glr2 33 This study assesses prevalence and patients’ characteristics related to polypharmacy ween polypharmacy and other published indicators of prescribing quality. 2012 cross sectional 2009 to 2011 7 European Union (EU) countries (Czech RepublicE ngland, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, and The Netherlan ds) and 1 non-EU country (Israel) 57 facilities nonpolypharmacy (0-4 drugs), polypharmacy (5-9 drugs) and excessive polypharmacy (≥ 10 drugs). concurrent use of medications. polypharmacy in 49.7% residents and excessive in 24.3% resident All participants willing to participate 4023 83.5 (SD 9.3) years mean number of drugs used was 7.0 (median 7.0, SD 3.6) 73.20% The SHELTER study is aimed at validating the interRAI strument for long-term care facilities (interRAI LTCF), 128 Appendix Three Prevalence of Polypharmacy in Different Age Groups in 10 Studies from a Total of N = 38 Articles (2012 – 2023). Studies Age Groups (years) Clare et al., 2021 60 - 64 65 - 69 70 - 74 75 - 79 80 - 84 85 - 89 90 - 94 ≥ 95 Cadenas et al., 2021 Cristina et al., 2021 Astorp etal., 2020 Villani et al., 2021 Wastesson etal., 2019 Morin et al., 2018 Dörks et al., 2016 Polypharmacy Prevalence (%) ≥ 5- 9 Drugs ≥10 Drugs 2.2 1.3 3.3 3.7 6.1 7 10.5 11.3 19.2 20.9 25.3 27.2 23.4 19.9 9.9 8.7 65 - 74 75 - 84 85 - 94 ≥ 95 6.2 26.6 52 15.2 5.6 29.6 56.3 8.5 65 - 74 75 - 84 ≥ 85 65 - 74 75 - 84 85 - 94 ≥ 95 < 65 65 - 69 70 - 74 75 - 79 80 - 84 ≥ 85 5.1 14.3 25.7 16.2 33.8 42.6 7.40 38.7 42.1 52.7 50.5 45.9 50 1.7 9.2 6.88 9.4 65.6 21.9 3.1 20.4 23.5 19.8 25.1 24.9 21.2 65 - 74 75 - 84 85 - 94 ≥ 95 65 - 74 75 - 84 85 - 94 ≥ 95 < 70 70 – 79 80 – 89 ≥ 95 42.3 38.4 18.2 1.1 32.8 530 65.5 67 58.6 56.1 52.4 51 15.7 14.6 18.4 14.6 65 – 74 75 – 84 > 85 66 -74 75 – 84 85+ 58.3 44 39 53.7 27.5 41 13.4 45.3 41.3 Beloosesky etal., 2013 Susan et al., 2012 129 Anti-psychotics Visser et al., 2023 25.0% Anliker et al., 2023 Oye et al., 2022 72.0% Clare et al., 2021 Cadenas et al., 2021 17.9% Cristina et al., 2021 Lexow et al., 2021 Iniesta-Navalón et al., 2019 Villani et al., 2021 25.7% Marhanis et al., 2019 52.0% Bor et al., 2017 Jovenk et al., 2017 29.0% McCracken et al., 2017 21.0% Lalic et al., 2016 Davide et al., 2013 35.6% Beloosesky et al., 2013 Susan et al., 2012 37.5% Graziano et al., 2012 26.4% Anti-depressants 35.6% 31.8% 63.6% 3.9% 83.0% 34.4% 4.8% 30.0% 10.7% 8.1% 62.1% 94.5% 66.9% 23.0% 51.7% 31.0% 17.4% 39.0% 20.8% 22.3% 69.1% 39.2% 12.6% 54.9% 18.3% Angiotensin converting enzymes inhibitors 56.2% 55.0% 11.6% 10.30% 26.4% Anti-dementia 39.0% 78.3% 37.6% 36.6% 34.4% 4.0% 21.1% 47.2% 26.9% 1.8% 45.0% Acetyl salicylic acid 22.0% 44.2% 29.0% Anti-hypertensive 62.0% Anti-thrombotic 60.0% Anti-ulcers 40.9% 37.2% 53.5% 71.7% 17.9% 86.1% Anti-platelets 37.7% 40.6% 34.5% 32.2% Anti-diabetics 9.3% 21.4% 7.6% 20.0% 9.0% 31.7% Benzodiazepines 36.0% 41.5% 46.9% 35.3% 40.0% 34.8% 29.6% 25.0% Beta-blockers 22.6% 43.2% 29.3% 17.3% 38.0% 39.7% 12.7% 21.9% 33.6% Calcium-channel blockers 16.8% 38.8% 21.1% 13.9% 34.0% 34.3% 19.0% Diuretics 35.5% 68.2% 26.9% 26.5% 9.0% 55.9% 10.3% 34.5% 50.9% 41.2% 57.4% 20.6% Osmotic laxatives 41.8% 49.4% 73.6% 61.8% 40.4% 36.3% 32.5% 50.0% 10.0% 13.3% 26.0% Opioids Prevalent Drugs Classes Among All Residents According to Anatomical Therapeutic Classification System in 18 Studies from a Total of N = 38 Articles (2012 – 2023) Appendix Four Psychotropics 41.1% 38.6% 10.0% 90.3% 38.7% 43.4% 14.3% 49.6% 54.0% Proton pump inhibitors 54.8% 48.0% 40.0% 78.3% 44.2% 35.8% 44.0% 14.8% 36.9% 22.2% 10.0% 25.0% 41.9% 14.4% 33.2% 23.9% 27.3% Statins 130 Body Mass Index Healthy weight Under weight Overweight Obesity Urban Rural Status Urban Rural Tobacco Use No Yes Alcohol Use No Sociodemographic Status Age Groups Less than 65 Young-old Middle-old Oldest-old Sex Female Male 40.1 (12,256) 10.0 (3,053) 28.7 (8,769) 19.7 (6,011) 81.1 (24,771) 14.0 (4,270) 85.3 (26,061) 4.2 (1,277) 79.4 (24,255) 80.3 (43,007) 14.1 (7,550) 84.6 (45,284) 4.0 (2,153) 79 (42,306) 62.2 (19,009) 37.7 (11,527) 61.3 (32,829) 38.7 (20,710) 40.4 (21,651) 10.8 (5,758) 27.8 (14,882) 18.8 (10,076) 6.1 (1,852) 12.3 (3,763) 30.4 (9,285) 51.2 (15,644) 57 (30,544) Pre-pandemic 6.3 (3,360) 13 (6,953) 30.6 (16,411) 50.1 (26,826) 100 (53,550) Total Descriptive Analysis of Sample Population N = 53,550 Appendix Five 78.5 (18,051) 83.6 (19,223) 3.8 (876) 79.3 (18,236) 14.3 (3,280) 40.8 (9,395) 11.8 (2,705) 26.6 (6,113) 17.7 (4,065) 60.1 (13,820) 39.9 (9,183) 6.6 (1,508) 13.9 (3,190) 31 (7,126) 48.6 (11,182) 43 (23,006) Pandemic 131 Married Not married Alberta British Columbia Ontario Others English/French Others Medication Status Polypharmacy No polypharmacy Polypharmacy Antipsychotic Dispensing Not received Received Antianxiety Dispensing Not received Received Antidepressants Dispensing Not received Received Hypnotic Dispensing Not received Received Mental Health Conditions Marital Status Provinces Language Yes 10.5 (3,221) 89.5 (27,323) 72.7 (22204) 27.3 (8340) 91.2 (27,855) 8.8 (2,689) 47.7 (14,574) 52.3 (15,970) 92.5 (28,258) 7.5 (2,286) 70.5 (37765) 29.5 (15785) 91 (48,735) 9 (4,815) 46.8 (25,057) 53.2 (28,493) 92 (49,278) 8 (4,272) 26.3 (8,023) 56.9 (17,373) 13 (3,976) 20.6 (6,288) 61.9 (18,919) 4.5 (1,361) 86.4 (26,396) 13.6 (4,148) 6.2 (1,886) 10.2 (5,485) 89.8 (48,065) 25.6 (13,692) 55.6 (29,778) 14.5 (7,740) 23.2 (12,433) 57.4 (30,763) 4.9 (2,614) 86.9 (46,560) 13.1 (6,990) 5.9 (3,136) 91.4 (21,020) 8.6 (1,986) 45.6 (10,483) 54.4 (12,523) 90.8 (20,880) 9.2 (2,126) 67.6 (15,561) 32.4 (7,445) 9.8 (2,264) 90.2 (20,742) 24.6 (5,669) 53.9 (12,405) 16.4 (3,764) 26.7 (6,145) 51.5 (11,844) 5.4 (1,253) 87.6 (20,164) 12.4 (2,842) 5.4 (1,250) 132 Mental Illness History No Yes Parkinson Disease No Yes Seizure Disorder No Yes Anxiety Disorder No Yes Cerebral palsy No Yes Cerebrovascular Accidents No Yes Dementia No Yes Multiple Sclerosis No Yes Depression No Yes Mania No Yes 89.1 (27,209) 10.9 (3,315) 93.3 (28,510) 6.7 (2,034) 96.2 (29,396) 3.8 (1,148) 85.8 (26,222) 14.2 (4,322) 99.7 (30,441) 0.3 (103) 82.1 (25,091) 17.9 (5,453) 49.6 (15,144) 50.4 (15,400) 99 (30,225) 1.0 (319) 74.6 (22,794) 25.4 (7,750) 98.1 (29,967) 1.9 (577) 88.9 (47,583) 11.1 (5,943) 93.4 (50,034) 6.6 (3,516) 96.1 (51,439) 3.9 (2,111) 86.2 (46,137) 13.8 (7,413) 99.6 (53,359) 0.4 (191) 81.8 (43,816) 18.2 (9,734) 49.9 (26,701) 50.1 (26,849) 98.9 (52,984) 1.1 (566) 74.9 (40,093) 25.1 (13,457) 98 (52,483) 2 (1,067) 97.9 (22,516) 2.1 (490) 75.2 (17,299) 24.8 (5,707) 98.9 (22,759) 1.1 (247) 50.2 (11,557) 49.8 (11,449) 81.4 (18,725) 18.6 (4,281) 99.6 (22,918) 0.4 (88) 86.6 (19,915) 13.4 (3,091) 95.8 (22,043) 4.2 (963) 93.6 (21,524) 6.4 (1,482) 88.6 (20,374) 11.4 (2,628) 133 No Yes Clinical Scales Activity of Daily Living Hierarchy Scale Independent Supervision Limited assistance Extensive assistance Maximal assistance Dependent Total dependence Aggressive Behavior Scale No aggressive behavior Moderate aggressive behavior Severe aggressive behavior Very severe aggressive behavior Cognitive Performance Scale Relatively intact Mild/Moderate Severe Depression Rating Scale No depression symptoms Some depressive symptoms Possible depressive disorder Pain Scale No pain Less than daily pain Schizophrenia 3.8 (1,153) 6.6 (2,013) 15.6 (4,769) 31.3 (9,553) 22.2 (6,789) 17 (5,197) 3.5 (1,070) 61.2 (18689) 22.7 (6920) 11.9 (3642) 4.2 (1288) 20.4 (6,219) 59.4 (18,130) 20.3 (6,195) 53.3 (16,274) 28.1 (8,568) 18.7 (5,702) 64.2 (19,599) 26 (7,942) 61.3 (32,801) 22.4 (1,2018) 11.9 (6,382) 4.4 (2,338) 20.6 (11,023) 58.6 (31,405) 20.8 (11,122) 52.6 (28,168) 28.2 (15,093) 19.2 (10,289) 64 (34,295) 26.1 (13,965) 97.6 (29,815) 2.4 (729) 3.7 (1,959) 6.2 (3,331) 14.6 (7,797) 28.3 (15,165) 19.7 (10,576) 23.4 (12,530) 4.1 (2,192) 97.6 (52,252) 2.4 (1,298) 63.9 (14,696) 26.2 (6,023) 51.7 (11,894) 28.4 (6,525) 19.9 (4,587) 20.9 (4,804) 57.7 (13,275) 21.4 (4,927) 4.6 (1,050) 22.2 (5,098) 11.9 (2,740) 61.3 (14,112) 3.5 (806) 5.7 (1,318) 13.2 (3,028) 24.4 (5,612) 16.5 (3,787) 31.9 (7,333) 4.9 (1,122) 97.5 (22,437) 2.5 (569) 134 Daily pain but not severe Severe Clinical Assessment Protocols (CAPs) Falls CAPs Not triggered Triggered into the medium risk of future falls group Triggered into the high risk of future falls group Cardiorespiratory CAPs Not Triggered Triggered Under nutrition CAPs Not triggered Triggered - medium risk Triggered - high risk Dehydration CAPs Not triggered Triggered - low level Triggered - high level Urinary Incontinence CAPs Not triggered Not Triggered - continent at baseline Triggered to prevent decline Triggered to facilitate improvement 8.5 (2,598) 1.3 (405) 78 (23,827) 13 (3,979) 9 (2,738) 92.7 (28,317) 7.3 (2,227) 76.7 (23,441) 11.5 (3,524) 11.7 (3,579) 95.1 (29,046) 2.8 (869) 2.1 (629) 11.6 (35,30) 21.7 (6,634) 54.4 (16,607) 12.4 (3,773) 8.6 (4,584) 1.3 (706) 77.7 (41,613) 13.3 (7,116) 9 (4,821) 93 (49,801) 7 (3,749) 75.8 (40,597) 11.8 (6,320) 12.4 (6,633) 95.1 (50,904) 2.8 (1,526) 2.1 (1,120) 11.9 (6,394) 21.8 (11,680) 54.6 (29,238) 11.6 (6,238) 10.7 (2,465) 21.9 (5,046) 54.9 (12,631) 12.4 (2,864) 95 (21,858) 2.9 (657) 2.1 (491) 74.6 (17,156) 12.2 (2,796) 13.3 (3,054) 93.4 (21,484) 6.6 (1,522) 9.1 (2,083) 13.6 (3,137) 77.3 (17,786) 8.6 (1,986) 1.3 (301) 135 Research Ethical Board Letter Appendix Six 136